etf

US spot Bitcoin ETFs are on track for a fourth consecutive week of losses as Standard Chartered cut its 2026 Bitcoin target to $100,000.
US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw heightened selling on Thursday, with outflows accelerating the same day Standard Chartered lowered its 2026 Bitcoin forecast.
Spot $BTC ETFs recorded $410.4 million in outflows, extending weekly losses to $375.1 million, according to SoSoValue data.
Unless Friday brings substantial inflows, the funds are on track for a fourth consecutive week of losses, with assets under management (AUM) nearing $80 billion, down from a peak of almost $170 billion in October 2025

The selling coincided with Standard Chartered lowering its 2026 Bitcoin target from $150,000 to $100,000, warning that prices could fall to $50,000 before recovering.
“We expect further price capitulation over the next few months,” the bank said in a Thursday report, forecasting Bitcoin to drop to $50,000 and $ETH to $1,400.
“Once those lows are reached, we expect a price recovery for the remainder of the year,” Standard Chartered added, projecting year-end prices for BTC and ETH at $100,000 and $4,000, respectively.
Solana ETFs the only winners amid heavy crypto ETF outflows
Negative sentiment persisted across all 11 Bitcoin ETF products, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) and the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund suffering the largest outflows of $157.6 million and $104.1 million, respectively, according to Farside.
Ether ETFs faced similar pressure, with $113.1 million in daily outflows dragging weekly outflows to $171.4 million, marking a potential fourth consecutive week of losses. $XRP ETFs saw their first outflows of $6.4 million since Feb. 3, while Solana ETFs bucked the trend, recording a minor $2.7 million in inflows.
Extreme bear phase not yet here as analysts expect $55,000 bottom
Standard Chartered’s latest Bitcoin forecast follows previous analyst forecasts that Bitcoin could dip below $60,000 before testing a recovery.
Crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant reiterated that realized price support remains at around $55,000 and has not yet been tested.
“Bitcoin’s ultimate bear market bottom is around $55,000 today,” CryptoQuant said in a weekly update shared with Cointelegraph.
“Market cycle indicators remain in the bear phase, not extreme bear phase,” CryptoQuant noted, adding: “Our Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator has not entered the Extreme Bear regime that historically marks the start of bottoming processes, which typically persist for several months.”

Bitcoin hovered around $66,000 on Thursday, briefly dipping to $65,250, according to CoinGecko data.
Despite ongoing selling pressure, long-term holder (LTH) behavior does not indicate capitulation, with holders currently selling around breakeven. “Historical bear market bottoms formed when LTHs endured 30–40% losses, indicating further downside may be required for a full reset,” CryptoQuant added.
This article is my own research and a opinion, it doesn't mean that it is right. So it would be better if you do your own research before doing any trade.
#BTC #etf #bullishleo

📅 February 13 - United States | Far from backing down after regulatory delays, Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG) is back with two new crypto ETF offerings, reaffirming its commitment to integrating digital assets into the financial ecosystem linked to the Truth Social brand.

📖Both funds, if approved, will offer exposure to staking rewards, a component that still faces increased regulatory scrutiny in the US. The appointed advisor is Yorkville America Equities, while Crypto.com will provide custody, liquidity, and staking services.
Purchases will be channeled through their broker-dealer, Foris Capital US LLC, and each ETF would have a management fee of 0.95%.
The relationship between TMTG and Crypto.com has deepened in recent months. In addition to these ETFs, they collaborate on a prediction market, a CRO treasury, and support for Trump Media's bitcoin reserve.
There is even anticipation of a future non-equity reward token for DJT shareholders, which could operate on the Cronos blockchain.
This is not the first attempt. Last June, TMTG filed its registration for a spot bitcoin ETF, and subsequently announced a range of products under the concept of “American Exceptionalism”, including a “Crypto Blue Chip” ETF with assets such as BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP and CRO.
However, in August, the SEC delayed decisions on several proposals, including those from Truth Social. Although the regulator has expedited some processes, ETFs that include staking or lower-cap altcoins remain more difficult to approve.

Topic Opinion:
TMTG is not only seeking financial exposure but also aiming to position its brand within the new digital investment system. However, its success will depend less on marketing and more on regulatory approval and institutional trust.
💬 Do you think the SEC will approve these new ETFs with staking?

Leave your comment...
#TrumpMedia #etf #bitcoin #SEC #CryptoNews $BTC $ETH $SOL

Bitcoin is at $68,000.
And nobody can agree on where it's going next.

The bears say: We're heading to $40K-$50K before any recovery.
The bulls say: This is capitulation $87K to $200K+ is next.

The range: $40,000 to $200,000+.
That's a 150% spread in predictions.
Same market. Same data. Completely different conclusions.

Let me break down what each side is seeing and why both might be partially right.
The Full Spectrum: $40K to $200K

Extreme Bears: $40K-$50K
Who: ZordXBT, John Blank (Zacks), Polymarket traders
The call: Bitcoin drops to $40K-$50K, possibly wicking to $32K
Their argument:
Historical bear markets see 75-85% drops from ATHCurrent 46% drop ($126K → $70K) isn't enoughFinal capitulation hasn't happened yetPolymarket odds: 64% chance Bitcoin goes sub-$50K
Bears: $50K-$55K
Who: Standard Chartered, Canary Capital (Steven McClurg)
The call: Drop to $50K by summer, then recovery to $100K by EOY

Their argument:
ETF outflows continuing ($817M single day, $1.33B weekly)Average ETF buyer sitting on -25% loss (bought at $90K)Macro headwinds (high rates, sticky inflation)Four-year cycle entering bear phase
Standard Chartered's exact words: "We are going to see more pain and a final capitulation period for digital asset prices in the next few months."
Cautious Middle: $60K-$70K Range
Who: Grayscale, cycle-based analysts
The call: Hold current support, range-bound 2026

Their argument:
BTC correlating with high-growth tech stocksNot acting as "digital gold" yetMight be a "breather year" in the four-year cycleSupport should hold at $60K-$70K
Bulls (Near-Term): $87K-$95K
Who: Ainslie Research (Chris Tipper), on-chain analysts
The call: Relief rally to $87K-$95K, then consolidation
Their argument:
Bitcoin oversold vs 50/100-week moving averagesHistorical rallies of 170-220% after undervalued zonesOn-chain showing capitulation signalsShort-term bounce likely before next leg

Institutional Bulls: $143K-$150K
Who: Citi, Standard Chartered (end-2026 target), Grayscale

The call: $143K-$150K by end of 2026
Their argument:

ETF demand will returnInstitutional adoption still earlyFed rate cuts coming (eventually)Four-year cycle might break (no traditional bear in 2026)
Citi's framework: Base case $143K, bull case $189K, bear case $78K
Ultra Bulls: $175K-$200K+
Who: Grayscale (new ATH in H1 2026), CZ, crypto-native analysts
The call: New all-time high above $150K, possibly $200K+
Their argument:

Spot ETFs changed the game (no more 80% crashes)Institutional demand is structural, not cyclicalSupercycle thesis (2026 won't be a bear year)Bitcoin's scarcity + growing demand = inevitable
Grayscale's specific call: "Bitcoin's price will likely reach a new all-time high in the first half of the year"

The Bear Case: Why $50K Could Happen

1. ETF Outflows Are Real
The numbers:

ETF holdings down 100,000 BTC from October peakTotal AUM dropped 41%: $165B → $96BAverage ETF buyer entry price: $90KCurrent price: $70KLoss: -22%
What bears say: Institutions aren't buying the dip. They're selling. When your average buyer is underwater, they don't add they cut losses.

2. Historical Drawdowns Go Deeper
Past bear markets:
2018: -85% ($20K → $3K)2022: -78% ($69K → $15.5K)
Current:
2026: -46% ($126K → $70K)
What bears say: We're only halfway through a typical bear market. History says we go lower.
3. Macro Is Getting Worse
Fed not cutting rates yetInflation still sticky at 2.9-3.1%Dollar strengthening (bad for $BTC )Tech stocks correlating down
What bears say: Bitcoin trades like a risk asset. Risk-off environment = more downside.
4. Standard Chartered's Warning

October 2025: $200K for 2025, $300K for 2026

December 2025: Cut to $100K for 2025, $150K for 2026

February 2026: Cut again to $50K near-term, $100K for EOY 2026

What bears say: If a major bank keeps slashing forecasts, they're seeing real deterioration.
The Bull Case: Why $87K-$200K Could Happen
Now let me show you the data bulls are using.
1. On-Chain Says: Capitulation Zone

The signals:
SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) below 1 = sellers realizing lossesLong-term holders selling at historic ratesExchange outflows accelerating (whales accumulating)Fear & Greed Index hit 5 (lowest ever, worse than FTX collapse)
What bulls say: Extreme fear + whale accumulation = classic bottom formation.
Example: On February 6, whales bought 66,940 BTC in a single day largest since 2022.
2. Undervalued vs Realized Price
Realized Price: $55K (average cost basis of all Bitcoin)
Current Price: $70K
What bulls say: We're trading near realized price. Historically, this is where bottoms form, not where crashes accelerate.
3. Negative Funding Rates = Short Squeeze Setup
Funding rates have been negative for multiple days.
Translation: Shorts are paying longs. Market is overleveraged to the downside.
What bulls say: When everyone's short, a bounce can trigger a massive short squeeze forcing shorts to buy back, spiking price.
4. Historical Rally Patterns
After extreme fear + capitulation:
2018: +316% rally (from $3.2K to $13K in 6 months)2020: +1,625% rally (from $4K to $69K)2022: +715% rally (from $15.5K to $126K)
What bulls say: If this is capitulation, the next rally could be 200-300%+. That's $140K-$210K from current levels.

Who's Right?
Honestly? Maybe both.
Here's my take on how this could play out:
Scenario 1: Bears Win Short-Term, Bulls Win Long-Term
BTC drops to $50K-$55K (capitulation)Stays there for weeks/monthsThen rallies to $87K-$100K by EOYNew ATH ($150K+) in 2027
Probability: 40%
This fits Standard Chartered's revised forecast and historical patterns.
Scenario 2: We Already Bottomed at $67K
$70K holdsRelief rally to $87K-$95KConsolidation, then continuation to $120K-$150K

Probability: 30%

This fits the bull case if Fear & Greed 5 marked the bottom.
Scenario 3: Deeper Crash to $40K Range
Breaks $60K supportCapitulation wick to $40K-$50KThen recovery begins
Probability: 20%
This fits the extreme bear case and Polymarket odds.
Scenario 4: Supercycle (No Traditional Bear)
Consolidates at $70K-$80KRallies to new ATH by mid-2026No deep bear market
Probability: 10%

This fits Grayscale's "end of four-year cycle" thesis.
The Key Data Points to Watch
Forget predictions. Here's what to actually monitor:
1. ETF Flows
If flows turn positive: Bulls are right.

If outflows continue: Bears are right.
Current: Negative. Watch for reversal.
2. Fear & Greed Index
Currently: 15 (Extreme Fear)
If it drops below 10: Possible final capitulation.

If it starts rising: Bottom might be in.
3. $60K Support
Holds: Bulls have a case.

Breaks: Bears take control, next stop $50K.
4. Funding Rates
Stay negative: Short squeeze setup.

Flip positive: Longs getting squeezed instead.

What Should You Do?
Here's my honest advice:
If You're Waiting to Buy
Don't go all-in at one level.
Layer your entries:
20% at current ($70K)30% at $60K50% at $50K
This way you get exposure if bulls are right, but have dry powder if bears are right.
If You're Already Holding
Don't panic sell.
If you believe long-term (2-5 years), this chop doesn't matter.

Bitcoin at $40K, $50K, or $70K all cheap if it's going to $150K-$200K eventually.
If You're Trading
Respect the range.
We're in $60K-$80K chop. Trade the bounces, take profits, don't over-leverage.
The Bottom Line

#bitcoin is at $70,000.
Bears see: $40K-$55K before recovery.

Bulls see: $87K-$200K+ next.
The truth? Nobody knows.
But here's what we DO know:
✅ #etf outflows are real (bearish)

✅ On-chain capitulation signals are real (bullish)

✅ Macro is challenging (bearish)

✅ Fear & Greed at historic lows (bullish)

✅ Historical bear markets go deeper (bearish)

✅ Historical bottoms have this exact setup (bullish)
Both sides have valid data.

The market will decide who's right.

What's your take are we going to $50K before $100K, or is $70K the bottom? And which analyst camp are you in? Let me know below.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs have posted $311 million inflows this week, almost offsetting last week’s $318 million outflows, even as BTC fell 13%.
US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) extended their inflow streak to three sessions, with this week’s gains nearly offsetting last week’s outflows.
Spot $BTC ETFs recorded $166.6 million in inflows on Tuesday, bringing total inflows this week to $311.6 million, according to data from SoSoValue.
Last week, the funds saw net outflows of $318 million, marking three consecutive weeks of losses totaling more than $3 billion.

Bitcoin ETF momentum has picked up in recent sessions, despite BTC price declining 13% over the past seven days and briefly slipping below $68,000 on Tuesday.
Earlier this week, analysts observed signs of a potential trend shift across crypto exchange-traded products, noting a slowdown in the pace of selling.
Goldman trims Bitcoin ETF exposure, adds XRP and Solana ETFs
US investment bank Goldman Sachs reported yesterday that it trimmed its Bitcoin ETF exposure in the fourth quarter of 2025, according to a Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The bank specifically reduced holdings in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), cutting shares outstanding by 39%, from around 34 million in Q3 to 20.7 million in Q4, worth around $1 billion.

It also decreased stakes in other Bitcoin funds and companies, including Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) and Bitcoin Depot, and reduced its Ether $ETH ETF positions.
At the same time, Goldman Sachs disclosed its first-ever positions in $XRP and #solana ETFs, acquiring 6.95 million shares of XRP ETFs, worth $152 million, and 8.24 million shares of Solana ETFs, valued at $104 million.
According to SoSoValue data, spot altcoin ETFs saw modest inflows Tuesday, with Ether funds adding around $14 million, while XRP and Solana ETFs gained $3.3 million and $8.4 million, respectively.
On Thursday, Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, noted that the majority of Bitcoin ETF investors had held their positions despite the recent downturn, estimating that only about 6% of total assets exited the funds even as Bitcoin prices fell sharply.
He added that, although BlackRock’s IBIT saw its assets drop to $60 billion from a peak of $100 billion, the fund could remain at this level for years while still holding the record as the “all-time-fastest ETF to reach $60 billion.”
This article is my own research and knowledge, it's better to perform any action before doing your own research.
#bullishleo #etf #BTC

Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, positioned $XRP as the core focus of the Ripple ecosystem. Speaking on X spaces during the XRP Community Day on February 11, he reiterated that XRP and RLUSD are the heartbeat of Ripple’s operations, per the latest XRP price news. 
Garlinghouse added that Ripple is more of a financial infrastructure platform, not a crypto-first firm as many perceive it. Besides XRP, DeepSnitch AI (DSNT), a new AI analytics and market intelligence platform, has also found itself in the crypto spotlight. 
DeepSnitch AI is up nearly 160% to sell at $0.03985 in the ongoing presale stage. This crypto project has also raised over $1.57 million as the limited-time bonuses and the 100x ROI narrative continue to attract investors. 
‘XRP is the “north star” for Ripple’; Brad Garlinghouse says
In a live session on X spaces on Wednesday, Garlinghouse said that XRP is the ‘north star’ for Ripple. This crypto, according to him, drives the broader direction of Ripple, with Ripple Payments, Ripple Prime, and Ripple Treasury all set to expand XRP’s utility, trust, and liquidity. 
Garlinghouse’s #xrp Community Day comments coincided with speculations over a potential IPO, according to the XRP price news today. One report by CBInsights claims that Ripple is placed ninth on the potential IPO firms, valued at over $40 billion. 
The XRP Community Day is expected to continue today, with more Ripple executives expected to speak in the February 12 session. 
XRP price news today, and two cryptos preparing to rally in the near term
1. DeepSnitch AI: Is it really a 100x moonshot coin you should buy for 2026?
Other crypto presales focus on building hype with no real value proposition. But for DeepSnitch AI, the approach is different. Instead of offering vague promises, DeepSnitch AI provides clear solutions for everyday traders.
The development team understands that small investors require clear and accurate market intel, now more than ever. In that sense, DeepSnitch AI brings forward several AI agents to help investors beat market volatility. 
These AI agents, including SnitchFeed, SnitchScan, AuditSnitch, and SnitchGPT, work together to flag market-moving events such as Ripple updates, whale wallet movements, sentiment shifts, and FUD. With access to this information, you can front-run market swings with insider-level confidence. 
DeepSnitch AI is still considered early, priced at $0.03985 with over $1.57 million raised. However, moving in early is crucial to capitalize on the generous bonus offerings. By utilizing the 300% bonus, for instance, you will get 2.3 million DSNT tokens for $30k, instead of 768k tokens. 
2. XRP consolidates, but ETF inflows offer hope for a bullish breakout?
XRP has been range-bound between $1.345 and $1.4958 according to the XRP price news. This crypto has been trading within this zone for the past 6 days as bulls and bears engage in a tag of war. As of the time of writing, XRP traded at $1.3814, marking a 1% surge. 
However, technical data shows that XRP’s technical indicators are rather bearish. Nonetheless, the XRP market developments highlight that continued #etf inflows could trigger an XRP breakout. XRP ETFs recorded about $9.57 million in net inflows over the past week, indicating institutional investors are seeking exposure to $XRP . 

Analysts are now targeting an XRP move above $1.90 if the crypto breaks out from the consolidation zone. 
3. Uniswap rallies after strong backing from BlackRock
Uniswap (UNI) was up by 2.9% on Thursday as the crypto traded at $3.34. UNI’s rally was majorly fueled by BlackRock’s plan to launch its BUIDL token on Uniswap. This announcement came on Wednesday, pushing UNI up by over 20%, before making a retracement to the current level. 
Investors now see this crypto as a potential runner in 2026, following BlackRock’s backing. The project also won the patent infringement lawsuit by Bancor-affiliated entities, which further boosted sentiment. Currently, Uniswap is targeting to retain the bullish momentum. 
Final verdict
The $XRP price news highlights that #Ripple is expected to break out soon, following strong ETF inflows. But XRP might fail to match DeepSnitch AI’s 100x rally in 2026. Most expect DeepSnitch AI to give up to 100x returns, considering it is in early stages, has clear utility, and has strong backing from investors. 
So far, over 36 million DSNT tokens are staked, hinting at significant early adoption. Once DeepSnitch AI launches on exchanges, the reduced supply may open the door for the materialization of the 100x narrative. 
This article is my own research and opinion, it doesn't meant to be according to your thoughts or opinion. So it would be good to do your own research before taking any decision.

#bullishleo