Crypto Fear & Greed Index

$XRP U.S. lawmakers continue to work on the Clarity Act, and the conversation around whether Ripple would have to divest its XRP holdings has gained momentum.
Notably, most market watchers believe Ripple may need to cut its XRP holdings because the bill sets a strict rule barring anyone tied to a crypto project from holding more than 20% of the total token supply before that asset could qualify as a commodity.
👉Would Ripple Divest Its XRP Holdings?
Notably, with over 34 billion XRP tokens in escrow alone, Ripple still controls more than 30% of all XRP. As a result, community commentators expect the company to face major decisions once the bill moves forward.
One such commentator is Brad Kimes from Digital Perspectives. He argued that Ripple must drop its holdings below the 20% mark to meet the bill’s requirements.
Interestingly, Kimes presented the possibility that Ripple could hand a portion of its XRP to the U.S. government or the White House without receiving anything in return. Notably, such a move could help Ripple meet the threshold without using traditional selling or distribution methods.
Meanwhile, in a subsequent disclosure, Kimes claimed that this issue might disappear entirely if Ripple becomes a bank. Essentially, he believes that a national bank charter would place Ripple under a different rulebook, which could remove any need to cut XRP holdings.

However, it is important to note that this idea remains speculative and largely unconfirmed. Regulators have not suggested that being a bank would remove the 20% maximum holding threshold from any entity.
👉Ripple’s Banking License Push
For context, in July 2025, Ripple sent a formal application to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to create Ripple National Trust Bank as a brand-new national trust bank. At the same time, the company asked the Federal Reserve for a master account, which would give it direct access to Fed payment systems, including Fedwire and FedNow.
Ripple aims to use this setup to support 24/7 issuance and redemption of RLUSD while holding reserves directly with the Federal Reserve. This would strengthen its cross-border payment operations by removing the need for outside custodians. At press time, the OCC has neither approved nor denied the application, and the review continues.
👉XRP Price if Ripple Gets a Banking Charter
Notably, besides the potential waiver suggested by Kimes, this banking charter may also influence XRP’s price action. However, the extent of such an impact remains largely unclear, so we asked Google Gemini for an assessment.
According to Gemini, winning a national trust bank charter, along with direct Fed access, would represent one of the strongest signs of institutional acceptance that any crypto project has ever received.
The AI chatbot said XRP could reach $50 in an extremely bullish situation. It believes this leap would come from several forces working together. According to Gemini, major financial institutions could quickly adopt XRP once regulators clear the uncertainty that has held many firms back.

It also said Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity system could start replacing parts of the global Nostro and Vostro account structure. Because of ODL’s connection to XRP, Gemini expects demand to rise sharply.
It said this type of sudden demand could tighten available liquidity and force the market to reprice XRP to match the scale of international settlement flows. The chatbot added that such a major regulatory breakthrough would likely trigger a wave of enthusiasm from both large investors and retail traders, pushing XRP even higher in the short term.

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Ethereum continues to trade in a tight range, holding just below the upper boundary of its trend channel, and all signs currently point toward a low-volatility weekend. Based on historical behavior and current market conditions, a major breakout over the weekend appears unlikely.
🔍 Market Context: Why the Weekend May Stay Quiet
Historically, Ethereum (and crypto markets in general) rarely see decisive channel breakouts over weekends, especially when:
Trading volume is already declining
Liquidity is thin toward year-end
Price action lacks impulsive structure on lower timeframes
This environment usually leads to range-bound price action, which is exactly what we are seeing now.
📊 Ethereum Trend Channel & Higher Timeframe Outlook

$ETH remains below the upper boundary of its trend channel, while price is still holding above the channel’s center line, currently around $2,800–$2,810.
A clear break below this center line would significantly increase the probability that Ethereum is heading toward the next downside target zone.
🔽 Potential Downside Target (Wave 5 Scenario):
$2,626 – $2,258
At this stage, there is not enough evidence to confirm a market top, but there are early warning signs suggesting that the corrective structure may already be complete.
🌊 Elliott Wave Perspective: Two Scenarios in Play

Ethereum currently presents two valid scenarios:
🟡 Scenario 1 (Yellow Count – Bearish Continuation)
The corrective wave 4 likely ended at the November 21 low
$ETH is now potentially starting a wave 5 impulse to the downside
This move would likely unfold as a five-wave structure lower
This scenario gains confirmation below $2,800.
🔵 Alternative Scenario (Bullish Diagonal Potential)
The November 21 low may already be a meaningful bottom
A developing diagonal pattern could be forming
Confirmation requires a break above $3,245
While this diagonal is not ideal in structure, it would still be taken seriously if confirmed.
⏱ Short-Term Weekend Range: Key Support & Resistance
Ethereum is currently respecting the expected weekend range, which is common during periods of low volume.
🟢 Weekend Support:
$2,983 – $3,068
Price has already bounced from this area
🔴 Weekend Resistance:
$3,156 – $3,245
Aligns with the upper boundary of the trend channel
This price action likely represents a corrective bounce (wave 2) within a broader bearish structure, rather than the start of a new impulsive move.
A potential increase in volatility could occur late Sunday, but until then, range trading remains the higher-probability outcome.

Alright team, let's break down this juicy $XRP chart and see what's cooking on the weekly timeframe. The setup is extremely clean.
### Technical Analysis
The chart clearly displays a classic Bullish Flag formation. This is a powerful continuation pattern following a strong impulsive move (the pole). Price action is consolidating within a tight descending channel, currently hovering around $2.03. The critical major support rests firmly at $1.6129. A decisive weekly close above the flag resistance confirms the breakout, projecting a high probability target at the measured move of $4.1216.
### Fundamental Tailwinds
On the fundamental side, Ripple continues to drive adoption globally, expanding its On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) corridors and emphasizing the development of the XRPL ecosystem. Recent major announcements regarding institutional stablecoins and deeper DeFi integration on the ledger provide powerful utility and structural backing for the next price rally.
### Action Plan
My strategy is simple: accumulate within this flag zone while volume remains low. This pattern suggests the next major leg up is imminent. A sustained breach of $2.05 is the confirmation signal for entry into the next bull run phase.
Highly recommend HOLD and Stacking $XRP at Binance.
Feel free to comment the altcoin you are holding and we will check it for you!
#XRP #Ripple #BullishFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto #BinanceSquare #Altcoins

This chart suggests a #bitcoin cycle low around ~$25,000 in 2026 👀
If this plays out, it wouldn’t be shocking. Deep bear markets historically compress sentiment to extremes long after the majority believes the pain is already over.
The real question isn’t whether $25k is possible it’s how prepared people are to buy when narratives are dead, volume is gone, and conviction is at its lowest.
Markets don’t bottom when hope exists.
They bottom when everyone stops caring.
If this model is even partially right, 2026 could be where long-term wealth is quietly built not chased.
#CPIWatch #WriteToEarnUpgrade

Introduction

SEI and SUI are two next-generation Layer-1 blockchain projects designed to deliver high performance, scalability, and efficiency for decentralized applications. Despite sharing similar goals, each network adopts a different architectural philosophy and targets distinct use cases, making them suitable for different types of long-term investors.

1. Technology and Network Design

SUI

Built on an object-based data model, allowing parallel transaction execution, which significantly improves throughput.

Achieves near-instant transaction finality, often in under one second.

Designed as a general-purpose blockchain, supporting DeFi, NFTs, gaming, and Web3 applications.

Uses the Move programming language, enhancing security and asset ownership clarity.
SEI

Built using the Cosmos SDK, optimized specifically for high-frequency trading and DeFi applications.

Introduces a native Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) at the protocol level, a rare feature among Layer-1 blockchains.

Utilizes Twin-Turbo Consensus, enabling extremely fast block times and low latency.

Highly specialized for decentralized exchanges and trading platforms.
Summary:

SUI focuses on broad adoption and versatility.

SEI prioritizes specialization, particularly in trading-focused DeFi ecosystems.

2. Ecosystem Growth and Adoption

SUI currently has a larger market capitalization, higher total value locked (TVL), and a rapidly expanding ecosystem with hundreds of active projects.

SEI, while smaller in overall size, has demonstrated impressive transaction throughput and is gaining traction among trading-centric protocols.

In certain periods, SEI has processed more daily transactions than SUI, highlighting its efficiency in high-volume environments.
3. Institutional Interest and Partnerships

SUI has attracted notable institutional attention, including interest from major asset managers and discussions around investment products such as crypto funds and ETFs.

SEI has secured strategic partnerships within the DeFi and stablecoin sectors, though its institutional exposure remains more limited compared to SUI.
4. Long-Term Price Outlook (Investment Perspective)

⚠️ Disclaimer: The following projections are analytical estimates, not financial advice.
SUI – Long-Term Price Expectations

SUI has previously experienced strong price movements, rising from below $1 to over $5 during bullish market cycles.

If ecosystem growth and institutional adoption continue, SUI could revisit and surpass previous highs.

Long-term speculative scenarios include:

Conservative scenario: $5 – $15

Strong growth scenario: $30 – $75

High-adoption scenario: $100+ over the next decade, assuming mass adoption and favorable market conditions
SUI’s success largely depends on its ability to compete with other Layer-1 networks such as Solana, Avalanche, and Ethereum Layer-2 solutions.
SEI – Long-Term Price Expectations

SEI remains a lower-market-cap asset, which gives it higher risk but potentially higher upside.

As DeFi trading volumes increase and on-chain order books gain popularity, SEI could benefit disproportionately.

Long-term speculative scenarios include:

Conservative scenario: $1 – $3

Growth scenario: $5 – $10

High-adoption trading-hub scenario: $15 – $30+

SEI’s future performance depends heavily on whether decentralized trading platforms can rival centralized exchanges in liquidity and user experience
5. Investment Comparison Summary
Factor SUI SEI
Blockchain Type General-purpose Layer-1 DeFi-optimized Layer-1
Main Strength Scalability & parallel execution High-speed trading & CLOB
Risk Level Medium Medium-High
Upside Potential Strong Very High (with higher risk)
Best For Long-term diversified investors High-risk, high-reward investors
Conclusion
Both SUI and SEI offer compelling long-term investment narratives, but they appeal to different investor profiles:

SUI is better suited for investors seeking a robust, scalable Layer-1 with broad adoption potential.

SEI is more attractive to those willing to take on higher risk in exchange for potentially outsized returns, especially if DeFi trading continues to move on-chain.

A balanced long-term strategy could involve holding both assets, weighted according to individual risk tolerance and conviction.
#SEİ #SUI🔥 #TrumpTariffs

The entire category featuring Made in USA coins has traded almost flat over the past week, even as broader crypto volatility picked up. That lack of movement stands out heading into Christmas, when thin liquidity often exposes which projects are quietly building pressure.

Several US-based tokens are now sitting at clear technical decision points, where small moves could shift the short-term trend. This piece lists three such Made in USA coins to watch before Christmas 2025, led by improving price structures, rising breakdown risks, and setups that could move sharply in either direction.

Cardano (ADA)

Cardano is one of the Made in USA coins that traders could be watching ahead of Christmas 2025. It is down around 3.5% over the past 24 hours, extending its monthly losses to over 27%.

The recent Midnight upgrade failed to shift sentiment, and downside pressure has returned as the broader market weakens.

On the daily chart, Cardano has broken down from a bearish continuation structure — the bearish pole-and-flag. The prior consolidation resolved lower, confirming sellers remain in control.

This keeps the broader downside projection active, which still points to a potential drop of nearly 39% from the earlier breakdown zone.

ADA Price Analysis: TradingView

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The first level that matters now is $0.370. This area has acted as strong support in recent weeks, but the price is already drifting toward it. A daily close below $0.370 would increase downside risk and bring $0.259 into focus, which aligns with the full bearish projection.

For the Cardano price to stabilize, selling pressure must ease near $0.370. To invalidate the bearish setup and regain momentum, Cardano needs to reclaim $0.489, followed by $0.517. Those levels mark key Fibonacci resistances and would signal buyers stepping back in.

Until then, Cardano remains vulnerable into Christmas, especially if weakness across the Made in USA category continues.

Stellar (XLM)

Stellar sits at an important decision point among Made in USA coins ahead of Christmas, as price action begins to test whether long-term adoption can still support value in the short term.

XLM is down around 2.5% over the past 24 hours, extending its monthly decline to nearly 18%. That caution becomes clearer when looking at adoption data.

While the number of RWA holders on Stellar has increased sharply over the past month, the total value of assets on the network has declined.

Stellar RWA Performance: RWA.XYZ

The price chart reinforces that message. Between December 3 and December 9, Stellar formed a hidden bearish divergence. Price made a lower high while the RSI made a higher high. RSI, or Relative Strength Index, tracks momentum. Since that divergence appeared, XLM has continued drifting lower, confirming that the broader downtrend remains intact.

The key level now is $0.231. This zone has acted as short-term support during recent pullbacks. Holding above it would suggest sellers are slowing, especially into the thin Christmas trading period. A daily close below $0.231 would expose $0.216 next, opening the door to further downside if market weakness persists.

Stellar Price Analysis: TradingView

For the bearish structure to break, Stellar needs to reclaim $0.262. That level has capped every rally attempt since mid-November.

A move above it would require roughly a 10% push and would signal that buyers are finally willing to defend higher prices again. Some hope of reclaiming that level remains as analysts on X highlight XLM flashing a buy signal.

Until then, Stellar remains a Made in USA coin where the trend still favors caution, making this support test especially important heading into Christmas.

Litecoin (LTC)

Litecoin is one of the few Made in USA coins showing relative stability heading into Christmas.

LTC is up around 1.5% on the week, making it an outlier among Made in USA coins. At the same time, it has remained down roughly 19% over the past month. This mixed performance lines up with recent fundamentals. Reports show institutions and funds have quietly accumulated around 3.7 million LTC, even as retail interest stayed muted.

That accumulation has not translated into immediate upside, but it helps explain why Litecoin has avoided deeper breakdowns compared to peers. For Made in USA projects, that kind of steady demand matters more than short-lived hype, especially into year-end.

On the price chart, Litecoin is forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which is typically bullish. This structure reflects the fading of selling pressure over time, followed by buyers slowly regaining control. The pattern attempted a breakout on December 9 but failed to hold, pushing the price back into consolidation rather than triggering a reversal.

LTC Price Analysis: TradingView

The structure remains valid as long as Litecoin holds above $79.63. A drop below this level would weaken the setup and delay any upside attempt. A deeper move below $74.72 would invalidate the pattern entirely and shift the outlook back to bearish continuation.

For confirmation, Litecoin needs a clean daily close above the neckline near $87.08. That break would signal the pattern is active again and open a path toward $97.95 first, with $101.69 as the full measured target.

Until that happens, Litecoin remains a US-based project (token) at a decision point, where steady institutional interest contrasts with still-cautious price action ahead of Christmas 2025.