Wise Analyze
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Wise Analyze
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Crypto veteran since 2017. Creator and believer of Bitcoin Cycles chart. X: @WiseAnalyze
My TA is my personal opinion. Not financial advice. DYOR
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Article
Bitcoin Halving CyclesBitcoin has a very clear 4 year halving cycles which it followed all previous years.
Top of each cycle comes to November-December. Bottom forms 1-1.3 years after that top.
Bottom consolidation period usually correlates with 0.5-0.75 period of bearish cycles which corresponds with December'22-June'23. Since it doesn't yet look like BTC had final capitulation I believe we should see the bottom in the beginning of 2023 year (March-June). Most probably it will be 10540-12500 zone (see week chart below).
Target for beginning of 2024 year is 25-29k which should start a new bull run towards new all time high in November-December 2025. Sorry, but I will not play in Nostradamus trying to guess it.
Keep that chart in mind not to get too fearful or greedy. I've created it in December 2019 and it helped me to survive through all these years. Hope it will help you as well 🙏
#Bitcoin #BTC #Halving #Cycles #HalvingCylces #BitcoinCycles #BTCcycles
Bitcoin Halving Cycles
Bitcoin has a very clear 4 year halving cycles which it followed all previous years.
Top of each cycle comes to November-December. Bottom forms 1-1.3 years after that top.
Bottom consolidation period usually correlates with 0.5-0.75 period of bearish cycles which corresponds with December'22-June'23. Since it doesn't yet look like BTC had final capitulation I believe we should see the bottom in the beginning of 2023 year (March-June). Most probably it will be 10540-12500 zone (see week chart below).
Target for beginning of 2024 year is 25-29k which should start a new bull run towards new all time high in November-December 2025. Sorry, but I will not play in Nostradamus trying to guess it.
Keep that chart in mind not to get too fearful or greedy. I've created it in December 2019 and it helped me to survive through all these years. Hope it will help you as well 🙏
#Bitcoin #BTC #Halving #Cycles #HalvingCylces #BitcoinCycles #BTCcycles
Top of each cycle comes to November-December. Bottom forms 1-1.3 years after that top.
Bottom consolidation period usually correlates with 0.5-0.75 period of bearish cycles which corresponds with December'22-June'23. Since it doesn't yet look like BTC had final capitulation I believe we should see the bottom in the beginning of 2023 year (March-June). Most probably it will be 10540-12500 zone (see week chart below).
Target for beginning of 2024 year is 25-29k which should start a new bull run towards new all time high in November-December 2025. Sorry, but I will not play in Nostradamus trying to guess it.
Keep that chart in mind not to get too fearful or greedy. I've created it in December 2019 and it helped me to survive through all these years. Hope it will help you as well 🙏
#Bitcoin #BTC #Halving #Cycles #HalvingCylces #BitcoinCycles #BTCcycles
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Bearish
Liquidity hunt <79k I forecasted took $BTC under Weekly 20EMA ✅ There it bounced back to Monthly 20EMA where was once again rejected during Asia session today.
We have bearish engulfing on Monthly and 4 red candles in a row on Weekly. So far nothing points up on higher timeframes. That means that chances for another liquidity hunt under 76k are pretty high and that move can easily take price to 74k at least.
Nothing moves in one direction endlessly. Nearest LP above is around 79.1k plus there are gaps left on the dump at ~80k and ~80.6k. These levels might be re-tested prior to the dump.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 79024 / 79518 / 81398
Below: 76750 / 76200 / 74990
{future}(BTCUSDT)
I've updated alarms, set new for swing highs and lows. Got to be useful to track major price action.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 78853.5, 76270, 73653, 68241
Liquidity hunt <79k I forecasted took $BTC under Weekly 20EMA ✅ There it bounced back to Monthly 20EMA where was once again rejected during Asia session today.
We have bearish engulfing on Monthly and 4 red candles in a row on Weekly. So far nothing points up on higher timeframes. That means that chances for another liquidity hunt under 76k are pretty high and that move can easily take price to 74k at least.
Nothing moves in one direction endlessly. Nearest LP above is around 79.1k plus there are gaps left on the dump at ~80k and ~80.6k. These levels might be re-tested prior to the dump.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 79024 / 79518 / 81398
Below: 76750 / 76200 / 74990
I've updated alarms, set new for swing highs and lows. Got to be useful to track major price action.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 78853.5, 76270, 73653, 68241
We have bearish engulfing on Monthly and 4 red candles in a row on Weekly. So far nothing points up on higher timeframes. That means that chances for another liquidity hunt under 76k are pretty high and that move can easily take price to 74k at least.
Nothing moves in one direction endlessly. Nearest LP above is around 79.1k plus there are gaps left on the dump at ~80k and ~80.6k. These levels might be re-tested prior to the dump.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 79024 / 79518 / 81398
Below: 76750 / 76200 / 74990
I've updated alarms, set new for swing highs and lows. Got to be useful to track major price action.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 78853.5, 76270, 73653, 68241
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$BTC closed October with a bearish engulfing candle. This doesn't guarantee an immediate dump, but increases the odds of bearish continuation over the next few candles.
Still, the Weekly structure offers a bullish perspective.
After printing a Lower Low, Bitcoin managed to form a Higher High. The current correction may simply be an attempt to establish a new Higher Low and confirm the bullish reversal.
Bearish monthly close, potentially bullish Weekly structure. Both scenarios can coexist.
Will #Bitcoin manage to print a Higher Low? 👀
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC closed October with a bearish engulfing candle. This doesn't guarantee an immediate dump, but increases the odds of bearish continuation over the next few candles.
Still, the Weekly structure offers a bullish perspective.
After printing a Lower Low, Bitcoin managed to form a Higher High. The current correction may simply be an attempt to establish a new Higher Low and confirm the bullish reversal.
Bearish monthly close, potentially bullish Weekly structure. Both scenarios can coexist.
Will #Bitcoin manage to print a Higher Low? 👀
Still, the Weekly structure offers a bullish perspective.
After printing a Lower Low, Bitcoin managed to form a Higher High. The current correction may simply be an attempt to establish a new Higher Low and confirm the bullish reversal.
Bearish monthly close, potentially bullish Weekly structure. Both scenarios can coexist.
Will #Bitcoin manage to print a Higher Low? 👀
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High Timeframe scenarios, in case $BTC close under September open ~78600
{future}(BTCUSDT)
August close at ~78580 correlates with M20EMA
🟢 if October close above that level, it gives bulls a chance to recover fast.
🔴 If below - that will be bearish engulfing on Monthly. And obviously that decrease chances for fast recovery and increase for further correction.
High Timeframe scenarios, in case $BTC close under September open ~78600
August close at ~78580 correlates with M20EMA
🟢 if October close above that level, it gives bulls a chance to recover fast.
🔴 If below - that will be bearish engulfing on Monthly. And obviously that decrease chances for fast recovery and increase for further correction.
August close at ~78580 correlates with M20EMA
🟢 if October close above that level, it gives bulls a chance to recover fast.
🔴 If below - that will be bearish engulfing on Monthly. And obviously that decrease chances for fast recovery and increase for further correction.
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Google searches for Bitcoin just hit a 5-year low, while price sits right at $80k.
The last two times interest was this low (Sep 2023 and Sep 2024), it was close to a bottom.
So is this boredom a buy signal, or is this time different? 👇
$BTC
Google searches for Bitcoin just hit a 5-year low, while price sits right at $80k.
The last two times interest was this low (Sep 2023 and Sep 2024), it was close to a bottom.
So is this boredom a buy signal, or is this time different? 👇
$BTC
The last two times interest was this low (Sep 2023 and Sep 2024), it was close to a bottom.
So is this boredom a buy signal, or is this time different? 👇
$BTC
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Bearish
Two rejections from Daily 20ema and dip under week open make Bitcoin Weekly candle look like a doji now. After 3 bearish weeks that doji slow down downside momentum (but still bearish).
The rest depends on how today's PCE influence the market. So far it seems like liquidity hunt <79k is inevitable.
Before that $BTC may retest ~80780 zone correlating with FVG left on night dump.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 80780 / 82565 / 83940
Below: 79000 / 77340 / 76250
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD
Two rejections from Daily 20ema and dip under week open make Bitcoin Weekly candle look like a doji now. After 3 bearish weeks that doji slow down downside momentum (but still bearish).
The rest depends on how today's PCE influence the market. So far it seems like liquidity hunt <79k is inevitable.
Before that $BTC may retest ~80780 zone correlating with FVG left on night dump.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 80780 / 82565 / 83940
Below: 79000 / 77340 / 76250
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD
The rest depends on how today's PCE influence the market. So far it seems like liquidity hunt <79k is inevitable.
Before that $BTC may retest ~80780 zone correlating with FVG left on night dump.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 80780 / 82565 / 83940
Below: 79000 / 77340 / 76250
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD
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Ethereum re-tested 2023 close, created new Lower Low at 2281.22 and bounced. But it remains within downtrend on Daily with invalidation above 2527.
🔥 Nearest upper liquidity pool is above ~2428.
Week open at 2328 correlates with Week 20ema - TG alarm is set for the cross of it.
{future}(ETHUSDT)
🔭 High Timeframe:
Month - may expect re-test of Monthly bullish breaker at 1963-2256 zone
Week+Day - wide fair value gap left on August pump at 1943-2222 zone
Therefore while $ETH remains within downtrend it has all the chances to cover those gap zones from higher timeframes. If it bounce from Weekly 20ema, may go for re-test of 2430. But don't forget that market structure flip is above 2527.
⏰ Free TG #Ethereum alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W20ema, 2640, 2527, 2281.22
Ethereum re-tested 2023 close, created new Lower Low at 2281.22 and bounced. But it remains within downtrend on Daily with invalidation above 2527.
🔥 Nearest upper liquidity pool is above ~2428.
Week open at 2328 correlates with Week 20ema - TG alarm is set for the cross of it.
🔭 High Timeframe:
Month - may expect re-test of Monthly bullish breaker at 1963-2256 zone
Week+Day - wide fair value gap left on August pump at 1943-2222 zone
Therefore while $ETH remains within downtrend it has all the chances to cover those gap zones from higher timeframes. If it bounce from Weekly 20ema, may go for re-test of 2430. But don't forget that market structure flip is above 2527.
⏰ Free TG #Ethereum alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W20ema, 2640, 2527, 2281.22
🔥 Nearest upper liquidity pool is above ~2428.
Week open at 2328 correlates with Week 20ema - TG alarm is set for the cross of it.
🔭 High Timeframe:
Month - may expect re-test of Monthly bullish breaker at 1963-2256 zone
Week+Day - wide fair value gap left on August pump at 1943-2222 zone
Therefore while $ETH remains within downtrend it has all the chances to cover those gap zones from higher timeframes. If it bounce from Weekly 20ema, may go for re-test of 2430. But don't forget that market structure flip is above 2527.
⏰ Free TG #Ethereum alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W20ema, 2640, 2527, 2281.22
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Market structure is very choppy and mostly bearish on lower timeframes, leaving only Weekly within uptrend now. Bulls only hope is for Stocks Indices bounce that may push $BTC up as well.
In general chart looks prone for a dip towards August close at 78550. That move will fill September FVG, and re-test Monthly 20ema - both major magnets for price.
If that won't be enough, next zone of interest is around Weekly 20ema (~76960), which correlates with two smaller gaps from the same September 18th pump day.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
📈 If #Bitcoin goes up first, then the following levels ask for revisit:
* US Friday close at 81255
* Friday POC for all sessions at 81700
* LP around 82560
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 81170 / 82565 / 84970
Below: 78815 / 77000 / 74980
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Market structure is very choppy and mostly bearish on lower timeframes, leaving only Weekly within uptrend now. Bulls only hope is for Stocks Indices bounce that may push $BTC up as well.
In general chart looks prone for a dip towards August close at 78550. That move will fill September FVG, and re-test Monthly 20ema - both major magnets for price.
If that won't be enough, next zone of interest is around Weekly 20ema (~76960), which correlates with two smaller gaps from the same September 18th pump day.
📈 If #Bitcoin goes up first, then the following levels ask for revisit:
* US Friday close at 81255
* Friday POC for all sessions at 81700
* LP around 82560
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 81170 / 82565 / 84970
Below: 78815 / 77000 / 74980
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
Market structure is very choppy and mostly bearish on lower timeframes, leaving only Weekly within uptrend now. Bulls only hope is for Stocks Indices bounce that may push $BTC up as well.
In general chart looks prone for a dip towards August close at 78550. That move will fill September FVG, and re-test Monthly 20ema - both major magnets for price.
If that won't be enough, next zone of interest is around Weekly 20ema (~76960), which correlates with two smaller gaps from the same September 18th pump day.
📈 If #Bitcoin goes up first, then the following levels ask for revisit:
* US Friday close at 81255
* Friday POC for all sessions at 81700
* LP around 82560
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 81170 / 82565 / 84970
Below: 78815 / 77000 / 74980
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
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Worth waiting for $DOT at 0.945-0.974 zone with long term spot buys. Invalidation on two Days close under 0.9322
{future}(DOTUSDT)
Worth waiting for $DOT at 0.945-0.974 zone with long term spot buys. Invalidation on two Days close under 0.9322
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
$BTC wiped out stops under 15/10 low on Saturday. Day timeframe is turning bearish. We may still count on a bounce, but the longer it takes the more prone this chart is to fall into correction.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 81400 / 82565 / 84970
Below: 78995 / 74980 / 68800
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Interest rates decision is coming this Wednesday. Forecast is for no changes to be made. If that was priced in, the bounce will follow (up to 83k). But if no changes on this meeting, then most probably there will be a rate hike on December 8–9, so my long term forecast for dump within Q4 stays valid.
I won't call it a healthy correction. There is nothing "healthy" left in modern world.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
$BTC wiped out stops under 15/10 low on Saturday. Day timeframe is turning bearish. We may still count on a bounce, but the longer it takes the more prone this chart is to fall into correction.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 81400 / 82565 / 84970
Below: 78995 / 74980 / 68800
Interest rates decision is coming this Wednesday. Forecast is for no changes to be made. If that was priced in, the bounce will follow (up to 83k). But if no changes on this meeting, then most probably there will be a rate hike on December 8–9, so my long term forecast for dump within Q4 stays valid.
I won't call it a healthy correction. There is nothing "healthy" left in modern world.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 73653, 68241
$BTC wiped out stops under 15/10 low on Saturday. Day timeframe is turning bearish. We may still count on a bounce, but the longer it takes the more prone this chart is to fall into correction.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 81400 / 82565 / 84970
Below: 78995 / 74980 / 68800
Interest rates decision is coming this Wednesday. Forecast is for no changes to be made. If that was priced in, the bounce will follow (up to 83k). But if no changes on this meeting, then most probably there will be a rate hike on December 8–9, so my long term forecast for dump within Q4 stays valid.
I won't call it a healthy correction. There is nothing "healthy" left in modern world.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 73653, 68241
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Thursday market collapse haven't made any sufficient bounce yet, but momentum slowed down. No clear LTF trend, no clear direction to trade, so I won't.
Nevertheless there are some zones on the chart worth marking. First of all liquidity pool under 80600 wasn't wiped out yet. So far we saw liquidity hunt under 81144 which was also a large LP, but not crucial. Therefore <80.6k remains attractive.
On the way down $BTC left several gaps, which are ~82375, 83090 and 83900 - these will be targets for future recovery, regardless when it happens. Nearest correlate with Daily 20ema, which make it realistic target for weekend manipulations.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82527 / 83043 / 83472
Below: 80575 / 79650 / 78882
{future}(BTCUSDT)
P.S. I've closed short and now have a small long with SL at BE.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Thursday market collapse haven't made any sufficient bounce yet, but momentum slowed down. No clear LTF trend, no clear direction to trade, so I won't.
Nevertheless there are some zones on the chart worth marking. First of all liquidity pool under 80600 wasn't wiped out yet. So far we saw liquidity hunt under 81144 which was also a large LP, but not crucial. Therefore <80.6k remains attractive.
On the way down $BTC left several gaps, which are ~82375, 83090 and 83900 - these will be targets for future recovery, regardless when it happens. Nearest correlate with Daily 20ema, which make it realistic target for weekend manipulations.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82527 / 83043 / 83472
Below: 80575 / 79650 / 78882
P.S. I've closed short and now have a small long with SL at BE.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Thursday market collapse haven't made any sufficient bounce yet, but momentum slowed down. No clear LTF trend, no clear direction to trade, so I won't.
Nevertheless there are some zones on the chart worth marking. First of all liquidity pool under 80600 wasn't wiped out yet. So far we saw liquidity hunt under 81144 which was also a large LP, but not crucial. Therefore <80.6k remains attractive.
On the way down $BTC left several gaps, which are ~82375, 83090 and 83900 - these will be targets for future recovery, regardless when it happens. Nearest correlate with Daily 20ema, which make it realistic target for weekend manipulations.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82527 / 83043 / 83472
Below: 80575 / 79650 / 78882
P.S. I've closed short and now have a small long with SL at BE.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
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#Ethereum pulled back to and below week open at 2409. Rather complicated situation to comment or forecast anything even for near future.
Nearest big liquidity pools are both pretty far - below around 2276 and above at 2588. That means that within current range not much to catch and that favor choppy PA till price finally moves towards one LP or another.
I've set alarms for swing low at 2313.39 and swing high at 2527 to watch that expansion.
{future}(ETHUSDT)
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 2560 / 2588 / 2639
Below: 2316 / 2276 / 2253
⏰ Free TG $ETH alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W20ema, 2640, 2527, 2313.39
#Ethereum pulled back to and below week open at 2409. Rather complicated situation to comment or forecast anything even for near future.
Nearest big liquidity pools are both pretty far - below around 2276 and above at 2588. That means that within current range not much to catch and that favor choppy PA till price finally moves towards one LP or another.
I've set alarms for swing low at 2313.39 and swing high at 2527 to watch that expansion.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 2560 / 2588 / 2639
Below: 2316 / 2276 / 2253
⏰ Free TG $ETH alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W20ema, 2640, 2527, 2313.39
Nearest big liquidity pools are both pretty far - below around 2276 and above at 2588. That means that within current range not much to catch and that favor choppy PA till price finally moves towards one LP or another.
I've set alarms for swing low at 2313.39 and swing high at 2527 to watch that expansion.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 2560 / 2588 / 2639
Below: 2316 / 2276 / 2253
⏰ Free TG $ETH alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W20ema, 2640, 2527, 2313.39
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Biggest liquidity pool around 84750 was a magnet for $BTC price, but once collected, price collapsed back to week open and FVG around it ✅✅
When I went to sleep everything looked pretty bullish - dump happened over the night. And now Day candle covers the distance previous two days made. Full reversal back under Week open (82078). So week candle now looks like a gravestone doji.
Yesterday's both UK/US sessions left far above, so theoretically they should make an attempt to push price back up. But no guarantees it will happen this week or anywhere near, as main liquidity now hides below ~80600 and market will hunt for it. Nevertheless now at dev Y VAH and oversold RSI short term bounce his possible.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83890 / 85530 / 87526
Below: 80575 / 79650 / 78882
{future}(BTCUSDT)
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Biggest liquidity pool around 84750 was a magnet for $BTC price, but once collected, price collapsed back to week open and FVG around it ✅✅
When I went to sleep everything looked pretty bullish - dump happened over the night. And now Day candle covers the distance previous two days made. Full reversal back under Week open (82078). So week candle now looks like a gravestone doji.
Yesterday's both UK/US sessions left far above, so theoretically they should make an attempt to push price back up. But no guarantees it will happen this week or anywhere near, as main liquidity now hides below ~80600 and market will hunt for it. Nevertheless now at dev Y VAH and oversold RSI short term bounce his possible.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83890 / 85530 / 87526
Below: 80575 / 79650 / 78882
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Biggest liquidity pool around 84750 was a magnet for $BTC price, but once collected, price collapsed back to week open and FVG around it ✅✅
When I went to sleep everything looked pretty bullish - dump happened over the night. And now Day candle covers the distance previous two days made. Full reversal back under Week open (82078). So week candle now looks like a gravestone doji.
Yesterday's both UK/US sessions left far above, so theoretically they should make an attempt to push price back up. But no guarantees it will happen this week or anywhere near, as main liquidity now hides below ~80600 and market will hunt for it. Nevertheless now at dev Y VAH and oversold RSI short term bounce his possible.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83890 / 85530 / 87526
Below: 80575 / 79650 / 78882
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Wise Analyze
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Monday review plan fully played out - $BTC dipped under dev Year VAH and bounced back to re-test September close at 83577 ✅✅
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 84060 / 84750 / 85530
Below: 82900 / 81900 / 80570
No liquidity left below, so if market gonna hunt for blood, it got to push higher towards fair value gaps left on October 7th dump - biggest liquidity concentration around ~84750, but the area is so big, that I've placed a big red cycle there on the chart.
Wherever price will come back, there are two gaps left yesterday at ~81900 and ~82900. Mark them as zones prone for revisit in future.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Monday review plan fully played out - $BTC dipped under dev Year VAH and bounced back to re-test September close at 83577 ✅✅
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 84060 / 84750 / 85530
Below: 82900 / 81900 / 80570
No liquidity left below, so if market gonna hunt for blood, it got to push higher towards fair value gaps left on October 7th dump - biggest liquidity concentration around ~84750, but the area is so big, that I've placed a big red cycle there on the chart.
Wherever price will come back, there are two gaps left yesterday at ~81900 and ~82900. Mark them as zones prone for revisit in future.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
5
1.7k
·
--
Verified
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Monday review plan fully played out - $BTC dipped under dev Year VAH and bounced back to re-test September close at 83577 ✅✅
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 84060 / 84750 / 85530
Below: 82900 / 81900 / 80570
{future}(BTCUSDT)
No liquidity left below, so if market gonna hunt for blood, it got to push higher towards fair value gaps left on October 7th dump - biggest liquidity concentration around ~84750, but the area is so big, that I've placed a big red cycle there on the chart.
Wherever price will come back, there are two gaps left yesterday at ~81900 and ~82900. Mark them as zones prone for revisit in future.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Monday review plan fully played out - $BTC dipped under dev Year VAH and bounced back to re-test September close at 83577 ✅✅
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 84060 / 84750 / 85530
Below: 82900 / 81900 / 80570
No liquidity left below, so if market gonna hunt for blood, it got to push higher towards fair value gaps left on October 7th dump - biggest liquidity concentration around ~84750, but the area is so big, that I've placed a big red cycle there on the chart.
Wherever price will come back, there are two gaps left yesterday at ~81900 and ~82900. Mark them as zones prone for revisit in future.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Monday review plan fully played out - $BTC dipped under dev Year VAH and bounced back to re-test September close at 83577 ✅✅
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 84060 / 84750 / 85530
Below: 82900 / 81900 / 80570
No liquidity left below, so if market gonna hunt for blood, it got to push higher towards fair value gaps left on October 7th dump - biggest liquidity concentration around ~84750, but the area is so big, that I've placed a big red cycle there on the chart.
Wherever price will come back, there are two gaps left yesterday at ~81900 and ~82900. Mark them as zones prone for revisit in future.
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Wise Analyze
·
--
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Both LPs played out - $BTC covered FVG <80900 and bounced to 73158.
Nearest liquidity pool below at ~81580 is five times smaller than nearest above at 83250, so I think market should be more interested in pushing higher. But dips to lower LP should take place as well.
Last Week closed at 81978, leaving a long buy tail (same as the week before). So we see lots of dips being bought. This week may expect revisit of last week's buy tail (that perfectly fits to lower key zone(. After then either bounce to form some kind of doji (favor reversal back to uptrend) or drop lower to August close at ~78550.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83250 / 84430 / 85600
Below: 81580 / 80350 / 79460
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241
Both LPs played out - $BTC covered FVG <80900 and bounced to 73158.
Nearest liquidity pool below at ~81580 is five times smaller than nearest above at 83250, so I think market should be more interested in pushing higher. But dips to lower LP should take place as well.
Last Week closed at 81978, leaving a long buy tail (same as the week before). So we see lots of dips being bought. This week may expect revisit of last week's buy tail (that perfectly fits to lower key zone(. After then either bounce to form some kind of doji (favor reversal back to uptrend) or drop lower to August close at ~78550.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83250 / 84430 / 85600
Below: 81580 / 80350 / 79460
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241
1
4
1.1k
·
--
Bearish
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
$BTC dip to developing Year VAH gave some volume, but that wasn't enough to push price back above Daily 20ema.
Yesterday forecast stays valid: expecting revisit of last week's buy tail. That move should fill the gaps around 80350.
After then either bounce to form some kind of bullish reversal pattern on Weekly or hunt for stops under week low and re-test of August close at ~78550.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83240 / 84430 / 85600
Below: 80350 / 79460 / 78550
{future}(BTCUSDT)
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
$BTC dip to developing Year VAH gave some volume, but that wasn't enough to push price back above Daily 20ema.
Yesterday forecast stays valid: expecting revisit of last week's buy tail. That move should fill the gaps around 80350.
After then either bounce to form some kind of bullish reversal pattern on Weekly or hunt for stops under week low and re-test of August close at ~78550.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83240 / 84430 / 85600
Below: 80350 / 79460 / 78550
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241
$BTC dip to developing Year VAH gave some volume, but that wasn't enough to push price back above Daily 20ema.
Yesterday forecast stays valid: expecting revisit of last week's buy tail. That move should fill the gaps around 80350.
After then either bounce to form some kind of bullish reversal pattern on Weekly or hunt for stops under week low and re-test of August close at ~78550.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83240 / 84430 / 85600
Below: 80350 / 79460 / 78550
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241
4
2.1k
·
--
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Both LPs played out - $BTC covered FVG <80900 and bounced to 73158.
Nearest liquidity pool below at ~81580 is five times smaller than nearest above at 83250, so I think market should be more interested in pushing higher. But dips to lower LP should take place as well.
Last Week closed at 81978, leaving a long buy tail (same as the week before). So we see lots of dips being bought. This week may expect revisit of last week's buy tail (that perfectly fits to lower key zone(. After then either bounce to form some kind of doji (favor reversal back to uptrend) or drop lower to August close at ~78550.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83250 / 84430 / 85600
Below: 81580 / 80350 / 79460
{future}(BTCUSDT)
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Both LPs played out - $BTC covered FVG <80900 and bounced to 73158.
Nearest liquidity pool below at ~81580 is five times smaller than nearest above at 83250, so I think market should be more interested in pushing higher. But dips to lower LP should take place as well.
Last Week closed at 81978, leaving a long buy tail (same as the week before). So we see lots of dips being bought. This week may expect revisit of last week's buy tail (that perfectly fits to lower key zone(. After then either bounce to form some kind of doji (favor reversal back to uptrend) or drop lower to August close at ~78550.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83250 / 84430 / 85600
Below: 81580 / 80350 / 79460
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241
Both LPs played out - $BTC covered FVG <80900 and bounced to 73158.
Nearest liquidity pool below at ~81580 is five times smaller than nearest above at 83250, so I think market should be more interested in pushing higher. But dips to lower LP should take place as well.
Last Week closed at 81978, leaving a long buy tail (same as the week before). So we see lots of dips being bought. This week may expect revisit of last week's buy tail (that perfectly fits to lower key zone(. After then either bounce to form some kind of doji (favor reversal back to uptrend) or drop lower to August close at ~78550.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 83250 / 84430 / 85600
Below: 81580 / 80350 / 79460
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 81978, 73653, 68241
Wise Analyze
·
--
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Day closed at 82639 with a long buy tail and decent volume, leaving room for a recovery of the HTF uptrend. However, the 4H timeframe remains bearish.
At this stage, I expect the following levels to be revisited in the near term:
🎯 Almost guaranteed - no need to mark them on the chart:
81500 to the downside
82900 to the upside
Both align with major $BTC levels and have liquidity sitting around them.
📍 Liquidity pools for safer entries:
80900 to the downside
83200 to the upside
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82600 / 83200 / 84330
Below: 81500 / 80900 / 79050
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Day closed at 82639 with a long buy tail and decent volume, leaving room for a recovery of the HTF uptrend. However, the 4H timeframe remains bearish.
At this stage, I expect the following levels to be revisited in the near term:
🎯 Almost guaranteed - no need to mark them on the chart:
81500 to the downside
82900 to the upside
Both align with major $BTC levels and have liquidity sitting around them.
📍 Liquidity pools for safer entries:
80900 to the downside
83200 to the upside
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82600 / 83200 / 84330
Below: 81500 / 80900 / 79050
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
1
2
1.1k
·
--
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Day closed at 82639 with a long buy tail and decent volume, leaving room for a recovery of the HTF uptrend. However, the 4H timeframe remains bearish.
At this stage, I expect the following levels to be revisited in the near term:
🎯 Almost guaranteed - no need to mark them on the chart:
81500 to the downside
82900 to the upside
Both align with major $BTC levels and have liquidity sitting around them.
📍 Liquidity pools for safer entries:
80900 to the downside
83200 to the upside
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82600 / 83200 / 84330
Below: 81500 / 80900 / 79050
{future}(BTCUSDT)
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Day closed at 82639 with a long buy tail and decent volume, leaving room for a recovery of the HTF uptrend. However, the 4H timeframe remains bearish.
At this stage, I expect the following levels to be revisited in the near term:
🎯 Almost guaranteed - no need to mark them on the chart:
81500 to the downside
82900 to the upside
Both align with major $BTC levels and have liquidity sitting around them.
📍 Liquidity pools for safer entries:
80900 to the downside
83200 to the upside
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82600 / 83200 / 84330
Below: 81500 / 80900 / 79050
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Day closed at 82639 with a long buy tail and decent volume, leaving room for a recovery of the HTF uptrend. However, the 4H timeframe remains bearish.
At this stage, I expect the following levels to be revisited in the near term:
🎯 Almost guaranteed - no need to mark them on the chart:
81500 to the downside
82900 to the upside
Both align with major $BTC levels and have liquidity sitting around them.
📍 Liquidity pools for safer entries:
80900 to the downside
83200 to the upside
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82600 / 83200 / 84330
Below: 81500 / 80900 / 79050
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 73653, 68241
Wise Analyze
·
--
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Inflation/CPI news dumped the whole market - stock indices are dumping even harder now, while Dollar Index is pumping higher.
All $BTC fair value gaps I've marked yesterday already closed and price is heading towards Y VWAP VAH at ~81500. At this stage I won't even try to guess if price will stop there or continue lower. Cause if it continues, nearest liquidity pool still awaits around 79-79.6k
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82630 / 83250 / 84415
Below: 79780 / 79050 / 76850
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 82240, 80985, 73653, 68241
Inflation/CPI news dumped the whole market - stock indices are dumping even harder now, while Dollar Index is pumping higher.
All $BTC fair value gaps I've marked yesterday already closed and price is heading towards Y VWAP VAH at ~81500. At this stage I won't even try to guess if price will stop there or continue lower. Cause if it continues, nearest liquidity pool still awaits around 79-79.6k
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82630 / 83250 / 84415
Below: 79780 / 79050 / 76850
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 82240, 80985, 73653, 68241
3
1
7
1.5k
·
--
Verified
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Inflation/CPI news dumped the whole market - stock indices are dumping even harder now, while Dollar Index is pumping higher.
All $BTC fair value gaps I've marked yesterday already closed and price is heading towards Y VWAP VAH at ~81500. At this stage I won't even try to guess if price will stop there or continue lower. Cause if it continues, nearest liquidity pool still awaits around 79-79.6k
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82630 / 83250 / 84415
Below: 79780 / 79050 / 76850
{future}(BTCUSDT)
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 82240, 80985, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Inflation/CPI news dumped the whole market - stock indices are dumping even harder now, while Dollar Index is pumping higher.
All $BTC fair value gaps I've marked yesterday already closed and price is heading towards Y VWAP VAH at ~81500. At this stage I won't even try to guess if price will stop there or continue lower. Cause if it continues, nearest liquidity pool still awaits around 79-79.6k
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82630 / 83250 / 84415
Below: 79780 / 79050 / 76850
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 82240, 80985, 73653, 68241
Inflation/CPI news dumped the whole market - stock indices are dumping even harder now, while Dollar Index is pumping higher.
All $BTC fair value gaps I've marked yesterday already closed and price is heading towards Y VWAP VAH at ~81500. At this stage I won't even try to guess if price will stop there or continue lower. Cause if it continues, nearest liquidity pool still awaits around 79-79.6k
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 82630 / 83250 / 84415
Below: 79780 / 79050 / 76850
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 82240, 80985, 73653, 68241
1
5
1.9k
·
--
$ETH looks similar to BTC now. Being rejected from last week close at 2535 and Weekly 20ema at 2520. Strong SR area here and no result of that struggle is visible yet. So 50/50. We have a tl east another 6 hours till anything will be any more clear.
{future}(ETHUSDT)
I've set TG alarms for:
* developing Year VAH - now at ~2759 and moving up - cross above will trigger stop hunt and most probably will push price towards 2595 liquidity pool
* cross above 2640 LP
* cross below 2405 - that is Tuesday 08/10 swing low - break below will dump price down to Weekly 20ema and liquidity pools above it.
⏰ Free TG #Ethereum alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, W20ema, 2640, 2405
$ETH looks similar to BTC now. Being rejected from last week close at 2535 and Weekly 20ema at 2520. Strong SR area here and no result of that struggle is visible yet. So 50/50. We have a tl east another 6 hours till anything will be any more clear.
I've set TG alarms for:
* developing Year VAH - now at ~2759 and moving up - cross above will trigger stop hunt and most probably will push price towards 2595 liquidity pool
* cross above 2640 LP
* cross below 2405 - that is Tuesday 08/10 swing low - break below will dump price down to Weekly 20ema and liquidity pools above it.
⏰ Free TG #Ethereum alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, W20ema, 2640, 2405
I've set TG alarms for:
* developing Year VAH - now at ~2759 and moving up - cross above will trigger stop hunt and most probably will push price towards 2595 liquidity pool
* cross above 2640 LP
* cross below 2405 - that is Tuesday 08/10 swing low - break below will dump price down to Weekly 20ema and liquidity pools above it.
⏰ Free TG #Ethereum alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, W20ema, 2640, 2405
2
620
·
--
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
$BTC dipped under developing Year VWAP VAH 81430, closed FVG there and pushed back up in two strong bullish candles. That move didn't break above previous swing high at 83340, but technically the move isn't over yet.
Today might finally reveal the future. If we see break above previous high and bullish engulfing on Day close, that will increase chances for price return back to range top. Or at least towards fair value gaps around 86k.
And if today close under Daily 20ema again, that will increase chances for re-test of Monthly 20ema at 79180.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 84675 / 85540 / 87435
Below: 82700 / 81820 / 79780
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 82240, 80985, 73653, 68241
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
$BTC dipped under developing Year VWAP VAH 81430, closed FVG there and pushed back up in two strong bullish candles. That move didn't break above previous swing high at 83340, but technically the move isn't over yet.
Today might finally reveal the future. If we see break above previous high and bullish engulfing on Day close, that will increase chances for price return back to range top. Or at least towards fair value gaps around 86k.
And if today close under Daily 20ema again, that will increase chances for re-test of Monthly 20ema at 79180.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 84675 / 85540 / 87435
Below: 82700 / 81820 / 79780
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 82240, 80985, 73653, 68241
$BTC dipped under developing Year VWAP VAH 81430, closed FVG there and pushed back up in two strong bullish candles. That move didn't break above previous swing high at 83340, but technically the move isn't over yet.
Today might finally reveal the future. If we see break above previous high and bullish engulfing on Day close, that will increase chances for price return back to range top. Or at least towards fair value gaps around 86k.
And if today close under Daily 20ema again, that will increase chances for re-test of Monthly 20ema at 79180.
🎯 Nearest Key Levels
Above: 84675 / 85540 / 87435
Below: 82700 / 81820 / 79780
📉 High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates either on October 27–28 or later, on December 8–9
⏰ Free TG #Bitcoin alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 87249.6, 84340, 82240, 80985, 73653, 68241
3
1.3k
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USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
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#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible 🚨 FED RATE CUTS UNLIKELY? HIGHER FOR LONGER COULD PRESSURE CRYPTO MARKETS
The Federal Reserve's latest policy decision signals a cautious approach to monetary easing, with inflation concerns and labor-market resilience keeping interest-rate expectations firmly in focus.
📊 FED POLICY UPDATE
Federal Funds Rate: 3.75%–4.00%
FOMC Vote: 10–2 split
October NFP Forecast: 65,000 new jobs
Potential Upside: 100,000 jobs
Unemployment Forecast: 4.2%
Average Hourly Earnings: +0.3% MoM
🇺🇸 NOVEMBER 6: THE NEXT BIG TEST
The October Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report could significantly influence the Fed's next policy decisions.
Three possible scenarios:
🟥 Hot NFP: Strong employment and wage growth could strengthen the US dollar, push Treasury yields higher and pressure Bitcoin, Ethereum and other risk assets.
🟡 In-Line NFP: Markets may remain cautious as investors wait for additional inflation and employment data.
🟢 Weak NFP: A weaker labor market could revive expectations of future rate cuts, potentially supporting precious metals and cryptocurrencies.
📉 WHAT THIS MEANS FOR CRYPTO
A higher-for-longer interest-rate environment generally creates challenging conditions for risk assets.
Investors should closely monitor:
US Dollar Index (DXY)
US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Gold (XAU)
Bitcoin (BTC)
Ethereum (ETH)
Federal Reserve policy signals
BOTTOM LINE
November 6 could be an important turning point for market expectations. A stronger NFP report may reinforce the Fed's cautious stance, while weaker employment data could reopen discussions about monetary easing.
⚠️ These are potential scenarios, not confirmed market outcomes. A single jobs report does not guarantee future rate hikes or eliminate the possibility of rate cuts.
Not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency and financial markets involve significant risk.
#FederalReserve #NFP #InterestRates #HigherForLonger #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Gold #USD #Macroeconomics
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