负债驱动人生

Technical perspective | $US
15 min +14.23%, 24h +115.39%
At this pace, either large orders are actively taking liquidity, or short sellers are being forced to stop out.

#US

For reference only. Make your own trading decisions.

Chart Talk | UK Foreign Office sanctions several Russia-linked crypto platforms; Cryptomus among them
On shorter timeframes, follow sentiment; on longer timeframes, follow the trend. This news mainly affects the shorter timeframe. I’ll compare trading activity with the past few days to see if there’s any noticeable change.
After bad news breaks, whether selling pressure continues to ease matters more than the news itself.
$BTC , down 0.3% today; 24-hour range: 80393.56–82776.01.

#BTC

Markets involve risk. Trade with caution.

$XRP The long/short ratio across all accounts is 2.68 (72.8% long / 27.2% short).
The long/short ratio reflects positions in leveraged accounts; spot buyers’ sentiment needs to be assessed separately.
Price and volume need to move in tandem for the signal to be meaningful; a move in a single candlestick doesn’t tell us much.

Just a note, not investment advice.

Binance to add a Monitoring Tag to BICO and CVC

A quick look at the potential impact: The news is somewhat negative and could trigger risk aversion in the short term. The key is how well support below holds.
$BICO Current price: 0.01936, 24h range: 0.01838 ~ 0.02038.

#BICO

Markets can change in an instant. Please make your own decisions.

📢 $SAND funding rate: -0.186%. Shorts are paying, with an annualized rate of 204.2%.
Short positions are overly crowded—watch out for a short squeeze.
Holding oversized positions through adverse moves is the most common cause of liquidation. Did you profit or lose on this move?

#SAND

For discussion purposes only. Trade at your own risk.

$S hits a 24-hour high: current price 0.04214, previous high 0.04076.
After the breakout, focus on two things:
· Whether the previous high of 0.04076 can turn from resistance into support (holding on a retest)
· Whether trading volume increases during the breakout—a breakout on declining volume can easily turn into a bull trap
What do you think?

#S

This is a summary of publicly available information. Please refer to the original source.

Q: U.S. Treasury yields are lower, and Japanese government bond yields are down across the board. What’s your take?
A: After macro news comes out, the initial price move is often corrected. Wait for the daily close before making a judgment. Trading volume is the least likely to lie—whether the news has had an effect is clear from the volume.
$BTC currently at 81940.55.

Personal notes; not investment advice.

The main theme in the crypto market today is BTC returning to $80K. Tonight brings a major double test: the long-awaited first appearance at the Jackson Hole event by former Fed chair Powell (Jerome) + the expiration of $6.44 billion in options.

1. BTC returns to $80,000; up 25% this week
- Around 80,439 (+280,844), total market cap $1.61T
- The second-strongest week since early 2021; RSI 82.4 is severely overbought. The last resistance is 81,085 (50-week EMA); if it breaks, watch 83K–$86K
- Key signal: For the first time in three months, BTC is trading at a premium on Coinbase versus Binance—market action is shifting from short-squeeze pressure to real spot buying by U.S. institutions

2. Nvidia ignites tech stocks; the “choose between AI and BTC” narrative is disproven
- Q2 revenue $96.22B (+$106.4420B to $549B)
- AI stocks and bitcoin rise together; risk appetite resonates. Gold also breaks above $4,600 to a record high—the “value-depreciation trade” trio all rally at once

3. SOL leads the pack (+8.3%) ($109)
- Two catalysts: Solana’s first-ever binding governance vote passes—annual inflation reduction speed doubled + daily burn amount expanded up to 14x; over 6 years, up to 18.9 million SOL can be removed
- Charles Schwab (13T in assets under management) launches spot trading for SOL/AVAX/LINK; SOLETF cumulative net inflows of $1.22B set a record

4. Tonight at 22:00: Powell’s first appearance at Jackson Hole
- For the first time in 40 years, crypto and stablecoins are written into the annual agenda (theme: “Financial Innovation and Payment Policy”)
- Powell says his speech is “a blank sheet.” The probability of a September rate hike has risen to 40%—a hawkish surprise is the biggest tail risk today

5. $6.44B in BTC options expires today
- 81,700 contracts (Put/Call 0.83 skew bullish); the biggest pain point is 68–70K, with open interest concentrated at 75K/$80K—stacked on the same day as Powell’s speech, volatility is likely to be ignited

⚠️ Risk warning: triple pressure from overbought conditions + options hedging flows + a hawkish surprise; the size of September options expiration is double that of this week—derivatives pressure is not over yet. BTC is still 36% away from its all-time high of $126K. $BTC $ETH

The main storyline in the crypto market today is that BTC keeps crashing repeatedly against the $79K wall, with the whole market holding its breath for tomorrow’s Jackson Hole.
1. BTC spikes and fades into consolidation; $79K keeps getting stubbornly resisted
- Currently around $78,757 (-0.1%); since 8/17 it’s still up 20%+
- After a peak of $81,255 on 8/24, it’s been in its third consecutive day of range trading between $77K–$79K. Each pullback sees a progressively lower low, and upside momentum is cooling
- ETH is relatively strong (+1.6%); after XRP’s week-on-week surge of 29%, profit-taking follows (-2.6%)
2. ETFs see seven straight days of net inflows; total assets near $99.05B, approaching $100B
- On 8/26, +$314M in a single day (BlackRock’s IBIT alone accounts for $284M, 90%+); August-to-date totals $2.72B, setting a monthly high for the year
- ETH ETFs are also in positive inflows for seven consecutive days (single day +$180M)
- More importantly: **gold + bitcoin ETFs attracted a total of $7.0B over 5 days** **(GLD $3.4B + IBIT $1.5B)**, and the “debasement trade” is back in vogue
3. PCE comes in hotter than expected, weighing on rate-cut expectations; macro variables take back the lead
- July PCE year-over-year at +3.7%, above expectations → stronger USD → pressure on risk assets. This is the direct reason BTC can’t hold above $80K
- Tomorrow (8/28), Powell? (actually Waller?)—Wait: “沃什 Jackson Hole” speech (including a theme on financial innovation) becomes the compass. If it turns hawkish, recent gains may be given back
4. Liquidation data: longs dominate the deleveraging
- Total liquidations across the whole market in 24h: $324M, with longs accounting for $832.7M (BTC longs: $109M)
- BTC open interest has fallen 4.5% from its peak—this indicates long-leverage unwinding rather than new short build-up, making the derivatives side healthier
5. Extension of institutional narratives
- GSR confirms a “new trading phase”: rebound of over 26% from the 8/15 low. Core3 strategy: SOL weight at 44%. Capital is shifting from single-coin characteristics toward on-chain infrastructure
- XRP catalysts come from the SEC dropping its appeal; Figure Heloc’s tokenized product has entered the top 10 by market cap for the first time
⚠️ Risk warning: BTC is severely overbought technically, and long-term holders are selling into the rise. If the Jackson Hole speech turns hawkish or Bessent downplays concerns about deficits, the “debasement trade” logic could loosen. Upbit trading volume has shrunk to 40% of the peak, and momentum for chasing higher is insufficient.
$BTC $ETH

1. BTC Approaches $80,000, Up 23% Week-on-Week, Its Biggest Jump in Two Years
For the first time since mid-May, BTC is again nearing the $80,000 level; this week’s cumulative gain exceeds 23%

2. Dario Makes a Public Call: Suggests “A Little Bitcoin” Allocation
Bridgewater founder warns that a debt crisis could erupt in the U.S. within three years
He recommends hedging fiat depreciation with 10–15% gold plus a small amount of BTC, directly strengthening the “trade on currency depreciation” narrative

3. The U.S. Treasury’s “Operation Twist” is the starting point of this round of market moves
The scale of long-term bond repo operations has doubled to $4 billion per transaction, starting on September 9
But the intervention proved ineffective within 24 hours—secondary-market prices of 30-year Treasuries have fallen to 47% of par value, and long-end selling has not stopped
4. ETFs Raked in $1.92 Billion in Weekly Net Inflows, Highest in 10 Months
BlackRock’s IBIT alone accounted for $726 million

5. Regulatory standoff heats up dramatically
The probability of the CLARITY Act passing plunges to 18% (vote on 9/15)
The CFTC throws out Plan B: create a DCM subcategory for crypto assets, bypassing the legislative deadlock

⚠️ Risk Warning: BTIG warns that a pullback like in 2023 may repeat; XRP has already given back profits of -2.65% today, and Bitstamp briefly crashed by 37%.
#BTC触及80000美元

Verifying my Binance Square account for YZi Labs Amplify via EchoHunt: EH-YTA68P

Repayment Record - Day 2.

Yesterday after work, I drove and recorded income from two platforms:

Fare income: 47.15 yuan
Owner bonus: 1.00 yuan
Owner settlement amount: 34.90 yuan

Today’s total recorded income: 83.05 yuan.

Not much—actually, it looks kind of heartbreaking.
But this is Day 2 of me starting to face my debt.

In the past, seeing a few dozen yuan probably wouldn’t even have registered.
Now it’s different.

Because I know debt doesn’t disappear just by saying, “I’m going to turn things around.”
It can only be paid down, one payment and one income stream at a time—through discipline little by little, and choices made carefully, one decision at a time.

My plan now is:

First, don’t rush to pay every day.
Save the money earned this week separately.
After a week, use it all to make repayments.

There are two reasons for doing this:

1. It lets me see every day that cash flow is increasing.
2. It prevents me from trading impulsively, overspending, or adding leverage out of anxiety.

Today’s record:

Yesterday’s income: 83.05 yuan
This week’s repayment pool: 83.05 yuan
Remaining amount to repay: 134,840.14 yuan

83 yuan is small compared to over 130,000 yuan of debt.
But at least it’s not new debt.
It’s my first small step climbing back out.

Repayment Record - Day 2.
Today I’m not asking to get rich overnight—only to not lose control.

#RepaymentRecord #DebtDiary #CashFlow #TradingDiscipline #RiskControl

Debt repayment record — Day 1.

Today I sorted out the debts I still haven’t paid off:

Remaining unpaid principal: 44,340.14 yuan
Loan balance: 85,500 yuan
Loan balance: 5,000 yuan

Just the amounts shown in these screenshots add up to 134,840.14 yuan.

Seeing this number—there’s no way I’m not anxious.
But even more terrifying than anxiety is pretending you didn’t see it, then continuing to make random moves, random fantasies, and adding leverage at random.

In the past, I always thought that one opportunity could fill the hole.
Now I understand: the more you try to flip your situation in one go, the more likely you are to push yourself even deeper.

So starting today, I’m setting a few rules for myself:

1. No more taking on new debt to pay off old debt.
2. Don’t rely on high leverage fantasies to turn things around.
3. Record repayment progress every month—honestly and steadily.
4. Before every trade, think about risk first, then reward.
5. When emotions run high, don’t place orders.

This isn’t me selling sympathy, and it’s not inspirational.
It’s simply the first day a normal person starts facing the bill.

The goal isn’t to turn things around immediately.
The goal is to stay stable first, and not enlarge the gap any further.

Today’s entry:
Remaining to be repaid: 134,840.14 yuan

I hope that in the next update, this number is lower.
And I hope I can be a bit more clear-headed than I am today.

#debtdiary #repaymentrecords #tradingdiscipline #riskcontrol #cryptoafterthefact

#newt $NEWT After the launch of the Newton Mainnet Beta, I’m more focused on the value that @NewtonProtocol brings to on-chain authorization and automated execution. In the future, AI agents, automated trading, and DeFi strategies will become increasingly complex—the key isn’t “what can be automated,” but whether each step follows rules that are verifiable and traceable. The direction represented by $NEWT may become one of the important infrastructures for the integration of AI and on-chain finance. #Newt

The ierc20 ecosystem is about to explode, and Binance is going to #ethi