Crypto Daily 10/13|$BTC loses the $82,500 neckline as $489 million in longs are liquidated—the market disproves yesterday’s “flush complete” call
📌 In a sentence: BTC fell through the $82,500 weekly neckline, hitting $81,357. 24-hour liquidations surged to $489 million (83.2% longs; 118,000 traders). The outlook was downgraded from “neutral” to “neutral to bearish.” 📊 Market snapshot - $BTC ~$81,400–82,800 (main range: $81,700–82,500)|24h 🟢 -0.78%~-3.0%|7d 🟢 -3.45%~-4.63%|24h range: $81,728–84,231, low of $81,357 - $ETH ~$2,450–2,517|7d 🟢 -6.99%~-9.34% (continues to underperform BTC; $2,600 and the 100-week EMA at $2,561 remain overhead) - $488.6 million in total market liquidations over 24 hours: $406.5 million in longs (83.2%) / $82.14 million in shorts; 118,142 traders. About 6.5 times the $65.54 million on 10/11.
Crypto Daily 12/10/2026|$BTC Holds the $82,500 Weekly Neckline, but This Rally Is a “Short Squeeze,” Not a Return of Buying Demand
📌 One-sentence summary: The only decisive factor from last period—the weekly $82,500 inverse head-and-shoulders neckline—held, and the daily chart has shifted into “range-bound trading after a recovery”; but the rise came from shorts being forced to cover, not from new capital. Assessment: cost-basis support underpins the downside, while the upside lacks fresh fuel. 📊 Market at a glance - \u003cc-86/\u003e~$83,540–83,720|24h 🔴 +0.65%–+0.93%|7d 🟢 -1.8%–-3.5%|24h range $82,735–84,072 - $ETH ~$2,531–2,535|24h 🔴 +1%|7d 🟢 -6.3%~-7.3% (continues to significantly underperform BTC; has not reclaimed $2,600) - Total market liquidations over 24h: $65.54 million (longs $32.32 million / shorts $33.22 million), down another 69% from $210 million on 10/9
1. [Core] First recovery after BTC broke down: the $81,000 largest buy wall was breached intraday for a few hours, then reclaimed; price returned to $82,400–82,690, with $82,500 becoming the weekly dividing line; 2. [Derivatives] Liquidations cool sharply: 24-hour liquidations fell from $1.00–1.17 billion to $210 million (-81.73%), with liquidations shifting from longs to shorts; 3. [Flows] ETFs saw net outflows for a second consecutive day, but at a significantly slower pace, while selling pressure on the largest product, IBIT, nearly “ground to a halt”; 4. [On-chain] Short-term holders’ daily realized losses widened to 55,600 BTC (≈$4.5 billion)—9.2 times ETF single-day outflows and equivalent to 124 days of miner production;
1. The thin defense at $82,278 and the largest buy wall at $81,000 both break → over $1 billion liquidated in two days 2. Glassnode: The $81,000 buy wall comes under pressure for the first time, the $86,500 sell wall rejects the rebound, and the first cluster below is at $75,000 3. Double blow from ETFs: BTC sees $484.9 million in outflows in a single day; ETH logs seven consecutive days of outflows (concentrated in the largest product = large institutions reducing holdings) 4. ETH breaks down independently: $2,500/$2,561 lost; Hyperliquid has a cluster of longs at $2,511 + a whale liquidation level at $2,445 5. On-chain: STH single-day realized losses reach ≥29,500 BTC (the highest in nearly four months) vs. easing miner selling pressure (hashrate recovers to 962 EH/s)
#事件合约 Recently, it's really incredible. Every time I spot a trend, I place two orders in the event contract (one for Bitcoin, one for Ethereum), hoping for a double hit, to add a finishing touch. It often fails... resulting in double losses... with a probability of nearly 90%... I really can’t believe it. I can only grind away bit by bit, unable to make further improvements! This luck...
The contracts for gold and silver Tesla have started trading on exchanges, including Coinbase, which has also launched futures contracts for copper and platinum. It feels like this wave is about to peak. The next step is for excess funds to flow into commodities. It will take some more time before it's crypto's turn...
The Binance event contract has become increasingly disgusting after the upgrade. This morning, I saw that the fee rates changed from 80% to 75%. This means that if the order amount is the same each time, the profit and loss ratio points increased from 55% to 57.1%. The most disgusting part is that shortly after, it changed again to 74%, and the break-even point rose to 57.4%. Previously, the order amount for BTC was reduced from 250 to 125. The step-by-step operation is really disgusting. It is said that Binance can dynamically modify the rates through its own backend data to keep itself in a state of perpetual profit (or even making more). Really, if they don't want to let us play, they should just shut it down. Don't do such disgusting things! I have been continuously optimizing my trading strategy for the past few weeks, just raising my profit and loss ratio points to between 55% and 56%, and then they raised it. I even suspect that this profit and loss ratio point may change dynamically for different people (accounts). They keep lowering the rate (increasing your break-even point) as you earn more. It's really disgusting...