$ZEC Back above all moving averages again The three biggest dark horses of 2026: ZEC, $HYPE , $TRX All were among the first to start climbing out of the bear market during its lows in the first half of 2026 🚀
Google $GOOGL fell sharply again by 10% last night; calculated from the October high of $360, it has already pulled back about 20%; but if calculated from the all-time high of $408, it has already pulled back about 30%‼️ And analysts in the market are still bullish on Google. The current pre-market price is $287, for long-term holders, or people who like and are optimistic about Google, is it time to buy the dip? At the very least, in terms of market cap ranking, it looks that way. You have no reason to refuse the allure of a 30% pullback in the third-ranked U.S. stock. (For personal opinion only)
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Bullish
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious. The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns. I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive.
I posted on Tuesday that $HYPE had hit key support, but I never expected it to surge like this‼️ It’s bound to break $100 now 🚀🚀 Reason: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, plans to launch a Hyperliquid-based perpetual futures market in the U.S. After the news broke, HYPE strengthened in the short term, while large on-chain accounts moved in to build positions. HYPE is so strong—every time it reaches a critical point, good news comes along to drive it higher 🚀🚀
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$HYPE has fallen to key support once again. Can it rebound again this time? Wait for the short-term moving average to turn upward, then go for it.
It’s been a while since I looked at platinum $XPT and palladium $XPD . I opened the daily charts and got quite a shock‼️ These two precious metals, once riding high, have quietly fallen so far. Many people lump them together with gold, assuming all precious metals move in sync. But that’s not true. Gold $XAU is underpinned by its monetary role, continued central-bank buying, and safe-haven demand—it’s a hard asset that protects against credit risk. But palladium and platinum are industrial metals at heart.
Palladium in particular: the foundation of its past bull market was its use in catalytic converters for gasoline-powered cars. Electric vehicles don’t need it, and automakers are still replacing palladium with platinum. Supply and demand have shifted from a persistent shortage to a sustained surplus. The long-term demand outlook has been rewritten by electric vehicles.
Platinum has a slightly better story, with the market betting on additional demand from hydrogen energy and fuel cells. But a story is just a story—the near-term demand growth is nowhere near enough to make up for the decline in gasoline-powered cars.
These two daily charts make it crystal clear: there have been two rebounds, and both times prices hit the moving-average channel and came under pressure. Every rebound has met resistance; no one is willing to step in and support the market. With no central-bank buying to provide a backstop, once industrial demand expectations weaken, there’s no floor to the sell-off.
Gold is “money”; platinum and palladium are “industrial raw materials.” They may belong to the same broad category, but they operate under completely different pricing systems. Once the trend reverses, the duration and depth of a bear market can far exceed what people imagine.
$BTC and $ETH have completely erased their gains over the past 24 hours. The reason is that Google $GOOGL fell 10% in premarket trading, dragging both cryptocurrencies and stock indices lower.
欧鹏
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Bullish
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious. The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns. I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive.
“If you can’t stomach a 50% decline, you don’t deserve to earn outsized returns.” — Charlie Munger.
How often the market really scares you: • 5% decline: every few months • 10% correction: about once a year • 15% pullback: once every two years • 20% bear market: once every five to seven years • 30%+ crash: once every ten or twenty years • 50%+ crash: once or twice in an investing career
Corrections are the price of participating in the market. They show up roughly on the schedule above, and you can’t skip them. Great investors ride them out. They’ve already decided to do so before the market gets scary.
欧鹏
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Bullish
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious. The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns. I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive.
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious. The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns. I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive.
欧鹏
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Bearish
Brent crude oil $BZ has been moving sideways around 110 for several days, unable to break higher, and the price has started to slowly pull back. Meanwhile, the daily chart has flashed a TD13 overbought signal, and short-term momentum has clearly faded. Structurally, the failure to move higher at these levels, combined with the overbought signal, points to mounting correction pressure. I’m personally leaning bearish in the short term, and with a very tight stop-loss and plenty of upside potential on a short position, the risk-reward still looks pretty good. The price is now at $110—let’s leave a 👣 and check back at year-end~
Brent crude oil $BZ has been moving sideways around 110 for several days, unable to break higher, and the price has started to slowly pull back. Meanwhile, the daily chart has flashed a TD13 overbought signal, and short-term momentum has clearly faded. Structurally, the failure to move higher at these levels, combined with the overbought signal, points to mounting correction pressure. I’m personally leaning bearish in the short term, and with a very tight stop-loss and plenty of upside potential on a short position, the risk-reward still looks pretty good. The price is now at $110—let’s leave a 👣 and check back at year-end~
🚨 Reminder: U.S. PCE inflation data will be released at 20:30 Beijing time! Previous: 3.4% Forecast: 3.6% PCE below forecast → markets rise sharply PCE above forecast → markets fall sharply PCE in line with forecast → limited market movement
Expect significant volatility! Additional note: PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure and directly affects expectations for interest rate cuts.
Here’s how $BTC performed after previous Fed meetings: 🟢 April 29: +11% rebound 🔴 June 17: −13% decline 🟢 July 29: +31% rebound 🟢 September 16: +16% rebound
What about this time???
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Ripple$XRP partnered with Coinbase $COIN to expand the use of its $RLUSD crypto stablecoin in trading, payments, and institutional finance. These two are really underperforming. Let’s wait for the FOMC decision in four hours. The current probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October is as high as 90.6%—bullish 🚀🚀
Breaking: MSTR shareholders have formally approved the daily dividend amendment. This could attract more investors, boost its ability to raise capital, and help fund additional Bitcoin purchases. $MSTR Bullish 🚀
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Bullish
$MSTR edged up slightly in premarket to around 140. According to my trading system, once the price moves back above all the moving averages, they’ll fan out bullishly again, opening up room to move higher. The chip distribution points to the same conclusion: the last dense chip zone above the current price is the main resistance. If the price breaks through it decisively, chips are relatively sparse above, so the price could surge higher quickly. MSTR and $BTC are both at key levels. Holding above the moving averages and breaking through the dense chip zone would be the confirmation signals 🚀🚀
Ripple$XRP partnered with Coinbase $COIN to expand the use of its $RLUSD crypto stablecoin in trading, payments, and institutional finance. These two are really underperforming. Let’s wait for the FOMC decision in four hours. The current probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October is as high as 90.6%—bullish 🚀🚀
After breaking out from the bear-market bottom, BNB entered a pullback. It has now moved back above all moving averages, returning to a bullish daily trend.
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Bullish
$BNB BNB price is currently near 745 and is slowly moving back above all moving averages. From a structural perspective, once it can hold steady around $750, a short-term bullish divergence may form first, and upside room is expected to open up.
Sun Yuchen has become the largest individual holder of $PEPE , holding tokens worth $51.25 million in a vesting wallet. PEPE’s moving averages diverged bearishly near the previous highs, leading to a prolonged downtrend. In August, the moving averages converged tightly, and the price climbed above them all, completing a trend reversal. The price is currently fluctuating near the upper edge of the moving-average band. The bullish structure remains intact as the market awaits a further upside breakout 🚀
Since 1926, U.S. stocks $SPY $QQQ have crashed 5 times: 📉 1929 Great Depression: -86% 📉 1973 Oil Crisis: -48% 📉 2000 Dot-com Bubble: -49% 📉 2008 Financial Crisis: -57% 📉 2020 COVID-19 Shock: -34% Yet they have risen by an average of 10.3% per year, for a cumulative gain of approximately +1,400,000% over 99 years.
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In financial markets, admitting you were wrong is incredibly difficult. It’s not just about money; pride plays a big part too—especially when you have some name recognition and a following.
If you realize you’ve fired all your bullets and can only sit tight and hope the price goes up, that’s the most dangerous position to be in. It means you’ve lost control of the situation. But the assets people usually hope will rise aren’t necessarily destined to keep going up in the long term. Once a stock has fallen 70% from its previous high, the odds of it returning to that high are already very low.
That’s why I advocate investing in assets that are *bound to rise over the long term*, such as the S&P $SPY and the Nasdaq $QQQ .
$NFLX has fallen more than 50%‼️, from a June 2025 peak of around $134 to about $62.5 now. It is a NASDAQ-listed U.S. stock with a market capitalization of about $260 billion, ranking roughly among the top 45. The world’s largest streaming platform, it has over 325 million paid subscribers, and its content and subscriber scale remain industry benchmarks. Its earlier rise was driven mainly by subscriber growth, a crackdown on password sharing, the launch of an ad-supported tier, and pricing power. The recent decline reflects slowing revenue growth, a lower advertising revenue forecast for 2026, intensifying competition from short-form video, and valuation compression as the market lowered its growth expectations.
In financial markets, admitting you were wrong is incredibly difficult. It’s not just about money; pride plays a big part too—especially when you have some name recognition and a following.
If you realize you’ve fired all your bullets and can only sit tight and hope the price goes up, that’s the most dangerous position to be in. It means you’ve lost control of the situation. But the assets people usually hope will rise aren’t necessarily destined to keep going up in the long term. Once a stock has fallen 70% from its previous high, the odds of it returning to that high are already very low.
That’s why I advocate investing in assets that are *bound to rise over the long term*, such as the S&P $SPY and the Nasdaq $QQQ .
The KOSPI rose 6% overnight, returning to 6,000. U.S. stocks are set to open higher tonight $EWY 🚀
EWY is an ETF issued by BlackRock and listed in the U.S. It tracks the MSCI Korea Index and has large holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and other companies, with a high weighting in semiconductors. It’s a longstanding Korean ETF.
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Bullish
Is a rebound coming? The Korea Exchange halted program buying for 5 minutes as the KOSPI ($EWY ) surged +4.7%. The Korean stock market added over 238 trillion won ($158 billion) 🚀🚀
Lesson 11: Trends, Ranges, and Reversals—Three Market States
Open any price chart and you'll see that price movements aren't random scribbles; they follow recognizable patterns. Today, let's talk about the most basic classification of market conditions: trends, ranges, and reversals. These three conditions aren't just theory—they happen in real markets every day. Understanding them is the first step toward figuring out “what phase are we in right now?” I. Trends: Price moves continuously in one direction The definition of a trend is simple: over a period of time, the price moves continuously in one direction. Uptrend: highs keep getting higher, and lows keep getting higher too. Each pullback bottoms out above the previous one, showing that buyers are consistently overpowering sellers.
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