No more pretending—I might be the first player in @predictdotfun S2 to get wiped out and come back three times.
I was comfortably in fourth place, but got an itch to play a few more rounds and get wiped out again.
I’ve used up all four chances, so I can only look forward to the next competition 😂
I saw Ah Huang @ricardogee write an article about common misconceptions around Predict.
Here are a few things I’d like to add.
First, capital efficiency. I took part in the Predict Prophet Challenge S2, using 100U of starting capital to trade five-minute BTC price moves. I got it up to 600U at one point. Each round lasts five minutes—that’s 12 rounds an hour, 288 a day—and the same money can be rolled over again and again.
So measuring prediction markets by TVL really doesn’t make sense. The money isn’t locked in the protocol; it’s constantly circulating at high speed.
The leaderboard’s second-place finisher, JJJJ, has made nearly $980,000 from sports markets, with $59 million in trading volume. Meanwhile, I’ve made 7,000U on Predict while racking up a million points—earning as I farm.
These are all real users making real trades.
Now, revenue: the protocol generates over $300,000 in fees a day. Since integrating with Binance—and especially after the World Cup wave ended—those users have mostly been real users.
The TGE should be coming soon. Events like Binance’s “Oracle” campaign are also building a pool of prediction-market users. Predict isn’t just a standalone prediction platform on BSC; Binance is also guiding users’ trading habits toward prediction markets. This is an important part of the ecosystem’s main battleground. Even after the airdrop, it won’t be over—they’ll keep promoting it.
Predict is primarily providing the underlying technical infrastructure here, embedding prediction into everyday trading scenarios.
Exercising every day really makes me happy. My body feels great, and all my aches and pains are gone.
I spend five days a week at cafés with beautiful views, chatting online, checking messages, writing articles, and studying—keeping up my Duolingo streak.
A good environment is so important. At home, I’d just lounge around and binge-watch shows.
The boss has failed again and lost money. The road to breaking even feels endless—whatever you do, don’t go all-in like me 🩸🩸
I followed a parlay on Bagel’s prediction market yesterday and lost big. It seems I always end up getting burned after a bunch of small wins. I can’t help thinking something’s a sure thing, then placing a big bet to make a small profit.
Following the experts above can work if you manage your position sizes properly, but you absolutely have to manage your risk. Ideally, stick with one person and follow every bet they make, keeping an eye on how much they wager relative to their total bankroll. I recommend following @worldtree526 and @chessxyz.
Bagel has now launched a Kaito campaign, so interested KOLs can also join the prize pool.
After writing so many posts about TermiX, here's a final summary Kaito Epoch 2 is almost over
━━━━━━━━━━
▎Starting point
Founded by MaxxLFG, a PhD graduate from Zhejiang University Built a protocol called AACP It tackles the challenge of how Agents can assign tasks to one another and interact while solving trust issues
▎Product
http://Agent.family — a marketplace for Agent jobs Register a service → get hired → complete tasks → settle on-chain An Evaluator arbitration mechanism handles disputes Fees: 1–3% (compared with 20% on traditional platforms)
▎Metrics
· 430K+ Agents registered · 370K+ Jobs completed · Over $19.6M in cumulative settlements · $62K in protocol revenue over 30 days · Ranked #1 in 7-day and 30-day revenue among AI Agent projects on BNB Chain · Ranked #24 in 7-day revenue on Base
▎Ecosystem
Native deployment across three chains: BNB Chain / Base / RH Chain SDKs: TypeScript / Python / Go
Selected as one of 9 teams out of 260+ for BNB Chain Set and Earn
▎Funding
$1M seed round from YZi Labs (Binance)
▎TGE
Expected around November Kaito prize pool: 0.30% of the total supply, fully unlocked at TGE Now we just have to see if the TGE can deliver a good price
Help me get some votes for my bro on Binance Square! It’s the Binance Top 100 Creators voting campaign. @wiseinvest513 is a highly motivated creator born in the 2000s. He puts a lot of effort and energy into creating content, and deserves to be seen by more people.
Let’s send him to Dubai to receive his award!
If you have a vote to spare, please support him. Search 🔍wiseinvest513 on Binance Square, visit his profile, and tap Vote. You can vote once a day, and votes in different categories don’t affect each other. Thanks, everyone!
Things are pretty lively on Twitter. When interests are at stake, only a few people can truly treat others with kindness. Recognizing this can make betrayal less of a surprise.
This Square campaign really broke through to a wider audience. Ying was so thoughtful this time—when he noticed I hadn’t made the nomination list, he even asked whether I’d submitted the wrong information. That was really considerate.
Honestly, Square is much more focused on crypto than Twitter.
Binance has 300 million users, so Square is naturally a huge pool of crypto traffic.
You can find real traders here, because the profit rankings and trade posts are based on live trading data and are hard to fake.
I joined Square on its very first day, and now I have over 30,000 followers. In the early days, there were a few content creation campaigns each month, each paying a few hundred dollars. Later, the Creator Task Hub helped support a whole group of KOLs, and content mining provided another way to earn ongoing commissions.
Binance spotlighting the top 100 creators is also a way to reward people who put real effort into creating content and building influence.
It’s a shame I’m too lazy to livestream, but Square livestreams really are a great way to build a loyal following—especially now that you can trade live together.
Compared with Twitter’s broad, less targeted traffic, Square is a better fit for people who want to grow through content and build a genuine trading community.
Regardless, it’s pretty generous of NeoSoul to compensate StandX users with $DNA .
I’m also a StandX user and took part in the interactions. I ranked in the hundreds, so it’s a shame there wasn’t a TGE.
I’ve also signed up on the NeoSoul Discord. Every little bit helps, so if you participated in StandX, remember to sign up!
I just saw that the official account, @NeoSoulAI, has added another 100,000 $DNA tokens to the airdrop.
Share your personal experience with StandX or on-chain activities and quote this post. They’ll pick 5 people based on their personal stories, then randomly draw 2 winners. Hope I get picked 🧑💼
Big things just keep coming today—@predictdotfun $predict is now on Aster @Aster_DEX. These expectations are a little scary. Let me work out how much I could get from the airdrop. The chart is by @moranweb3, based on a $4B valuation and calculated using different airdrop allocations.
Duck $microduck is taking off, but I've already cut my losses. I know any hype around Nvidia, Jensen Huang, or robots arriving could bring attention back, but it's been shaken out way too hard.
Binance’s Prediction Pro event is definitely going to be huge. I recommend everyone give it a try—the prize pool is enticing, and it’s free 🆓. It’s basically an official free prediction market. Binance is up to something 🤪
The rules are simple: complete tasks to earn points, then use them to make predictions. Get predictions right to rack up points, and share 1 million USDC among the leaderboard winners. If you run out of points, you can claim a daily top-up.
I’m competing on Predict right now, and this event is also powered by @predictdotfun ⬇️
Here’s my strategy:
1. Check in daily, post in the Square, and trade 50U to complete all the points tasks. That’s a steady way to build up points—play it safe and you can outperform most people.
1. The 5-minute BTC up-or-down market is the most exciting. People near the top are probably already using bot strategies. I’ve seen scores of over 100,000—scary! If you’re a beginner, don’t go all in right away. Start by testing the waters with a small number of points.
2. Sports markets are a good place to steadily earn points. Strong teams in competitions like the Champions League and NBA give you a solid basis for making predictions.
4. No worries if you lose—there’s a daily top-up of up to 100 points so you can keep playing.
The prize pool has three tiers: - Season leaderboard: 500,000 U (top 20,000) - Weekly: 100,000 U × 4 weeks (top 8,000) - Participation rewards: 100,000 U (shared among people who checked in for ≥5 days but didn’t make the leaderboard; max 5U per person)
Go to: Search “Prediction Pro” in the Binance app Event ends: November 16
Quick, let me screenshot this and show off—I made it to third place on the daily leaderboard in the @predictdotfun contest 🥉
The funny 🥸 thing is, for the two days before the contest, I was trying to find the wallet address I’d signed up with. I tried switching between several wallets, but none of them worked. I’d forgotten which one it was.
I finally found it last night, and only then could I officially start playing.
My first run went from 100U to 500U, then down to zero. In the middle of the night, I got Yue Xiaoyu @yuexiaoyu to help me restart. I went from 100U to 600U again, making one huge bet after another—couldn’t afford to make a single mistake.
Everyone in this contest is a degen. Zc @ZhanweiC is somehow up more than two grand right now. Absolutely insane.
Today’s goal: go head-to-head with Teacher Monkey @web3houzi 😂
I’m planning to stick to just 100U from here on and keep climbing steadily. I need to take it easy—my heart really needs a break.
I didn’t make it into Binance’s Top 100 Creators this year. I’ll try again next year.
Last year, the Top 100 creators went to Dubai in person for the awards ceremony, with flights and accommodation covered. Binance is very generous with its perks for creators, and the badges on Binance Square carry a lot of weight and prestige.
I’ve seen lots of new-generation creators make the list. It’s great to see creators thrive in all their diversity.
I’ve already voted for a few familiar names. If you need votes, just give me a shout.
Also, vote-buying seems to be getting pretty rampant now, and I’ve seen lots of people raising concerns about it. Last year, many people went into top streamer Tianqing’s livestream to campaign for votes, mostly by handing out red packets, and the fans were happy to go along with it.
Binance probably can’t fully control this. With any public vote, the final result comes down to how well people can rally support. Being good at community management and willing to spend money can also affect the outcome. All I can say is: if you’re going to campaign for votes, start early.
I checked—this is one user’s rebate. It’s settled weekly. They signed up back when Binance hadn’t enabled automatic payouts yet, so rebates were all sent manually.
They get several hundred dollars every week, more reliably than they make from trading. Even they laugh about it.
It’s kind of absurd when you think about it. You’re all studying candlestick charts every day, chasing pumps and selling dips, with your emotions on a roller coaster—yet so many people still haven’t set up this reliable rebate income.
Whether you trade on centralized or decentralized exchanges, rebates through my exchange partnerships are paid on time.
You’ve been working for the exchanges for free for long enough. Why not put that money back in your own pocket?
All you genius traders are welcome to DM me anytime.
🥊 The Predict Prophet Challenge S2 kicks off at midnight tonight, and I’m thrilled to have been selected! 👋
S1 champion @Franky7 turned 100U into 1,700U—seeing that has me itching to play.
Here are the rules: the platform gives each player 100U to start. The competition lasts 7 days, with 5,000 bucks for the overall champion and an additional 200 bucks for each daily champion.
The nice thing this time is that you can pay to stay in the game: if your balance drops below 10U, you can revive yourself at your own expense, up to three times.
The League of Legends World Championship is underway, and lately I’ve also been trying prediction markets over at @bagel_win. There are some really skilled people on both platforms, so I’m planning to follow the pros 🧑🏫 and learn from their picks!
My only goal is to make it past day one without getting knocked out. 😂 I’ll share my predictions and results along the way, so feel free to follow along if you’re interested!
#PRIORS has hit a new high. It remains resilient despite the current weakness in RH. Providing credit scores for AI agents and enabling bots to lend to one another is still a relatively rare niche in the ecosystem.
I’ve been watching the $DNA chart all day. I was hoping to wait for a pullback to get in, but it never gave us a decent one—it’s held steady around 0.27. That’s really strong.
After all, most of the memes on Alpha recently peaked right at launch and then steadily declined, which has given me a bit of PTSD.
One thing worth noting is the team token unlock plan: the tokens are locked for 12 months, and after that, the team has to meet its KPIs before they can unlock them.
If the price and market cap are both very low by then, the KPIs probably won’t be met, and the team won’t get its tokens.
So the project team’s own interests are tied to the token price. They’re willing to be bound by rules they designed themselves: no price pumping = 100 million DNA tokens forfeited. That incentive structure works in retail investors’ favor.
You can submit KPI suggestions through 10/19, and accepted proposals get a bonus worth around 5,000U in DNA. I’ve already seen people seriously putting forward proposals, including quantifiable metrics like Agent activity and minimum real-fund thresholds. If you have ideas, give it a try.
Personally, I think they’re probably going to take this project seriously going forward. Market cap management should be the most important KPI.