Four_iv

I remain to be expecting a big impulse from $SUI

As $SOL is moving upwards, it's just a matter of time until $SUI will follow through.

Technically: a massive bullish divergence on the daily timeframe indicating that we'll start to see a strong surge in the coming period.

What to expect?

Probably at 60-80% rally against Bitcoin, which means that we'll be looking at $1.50 per $SUI

As long as price fails to breach the Macro Downtrend and forms yet another Lower High...

Technically, it's still a possibility that the Four Year Cycle will remain intact

But if Bitcoin breaks the Downtrend or pulls back from here to form a Macro Higher Low...

Then indeed that would be a significant alteration to the 4 Year Cycle

Why?

Because that turn of technical events would confirm that Bitcoin will have formed the Bear Market Bottom sooner than has historically been the case

And if you already know that the Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom is 100% indisputably in without full confirmation then well done

$BTC #Bitcoin

Fair chances that this correction on #Altcoins is coming to an end already, indicating that we'll have another leg upwards.

I'm looking at things like $NEAR, $TAO, $SUI, $ONDO, $W, $SEI as the next leg contendors.

Incredible runs seen on-chain, showcasing that this market isn't in a bear market anymore.

These runs happen fast, but the runs on #Altcoins can last for a longer period of time.

There are still many #altcoins out there that are severely undervalued.

Position yourself well.

If this is a true breakout on $ETH , we're expecting to see a lot more upside, probablyanother leg.

My expectations are that the next leg goes to $3,200, perhaps even $3,500 and stalls from there.

Don't sell your positions too early.

Weekly bullish divergences take a little bit of time, which is fine.

However, in that regard: $ARB is looking great.

Sure, we're seeing a correction here, but sooner than later Bitcoin pairs will start to get momentum and we'll see this weekly bullish divergence come to play and be confirmed.

Most likely a lot of people will be left behind waiting for $60K to happen again.

If this sweeps $75.5K and hits $74K, it will probably be bought up rather quickly for #bitcoin

Bull markets don't give deep retraces.

If this consolidates here and grinds back up, we'll see $90K in September/October and the low is in.

I mostly have two types of trades I take, one is a more defensive trade which depends on velocity into a HTF area, the other is reclaims. With a lot of weight into historical context. But the general idea is to trade around areas that when you are wrong, it's cheap to be wrong, but when you're right the upside is somewhat unlimited.

On the ones when I'm right. I like to be a little more aggressive into adding into the trend early on to mid stage. Obviously there's other context like market structure, momentum, strength off or into an area. But in general, its my bread and butter setup. I still dabble and take other trades, sometimes around the core on LTF's. But that's essentially what I like. And there's obviously a lot of other things you look at like how price is responding to x narratives and if its strengthening or weakening into that. A lot of it is just gut, pattern recognition.

#crypto

I remember these periods from 2023.

Everyone expected deep retraces to be taking place in the markets.

Neither of those happened in #bitcoin , as it kept grinding higher.

That's similar to the current period.

Sure, we can have a test at $75,000 or even $72,000.

However, given the fact that so many are currently sidelined, and if we're truly in a bull market, these will be quickly bought up.

#BTc

After we made new highs, we began losing levels, eventually made a new low (lower than the low to the left). 78.1k is what took us down to make new lows, so that is why it is my level to hold

$BTC
#bitcoin

Bitcoin Near $80K But Something Is Still Missing

$BTC has rallied ~30% from $63K to nearly $81K, while Binance inflows are also recovering:
▶️ Whale inflows: $5.6B, Still ~36% below February peak
▶️ Retail inflows: $9B, Still ~36% below February peak

Interestingly, whale inflows are rising faster than retail.
#BTC is back near $80K, but exchange activity is NOT back at February levels. This divergence is worth watching closely.

All liquidity taken on the downside, and we should be good for now.

I'm looking at #altcoins from this point on, as I don't think we'll continue to fall with Bitcoin on a heavily note.

Liquidations have taken place, all lows have been taken out, and probably we'll go sideways and give #altcoins their time.

Choppity chop. No surprises here. $ETH

It's going to be great to see a leverage liquidity crash to happen on #bitcoin (of 2-5%) and everyone screaming for the bear market again, while it's just going to stagnate.

Fun times.

The past month's returns are overwhelmingly green.

It is about an even distribution between coins up 0% to 30%+.

The few coins being down in this market environment really had a bad time. Don't be stuck in underperforming assets, especially if they have massive unlocks and no narrative or flows going for them.

Today, Warsh will speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Generally this is used by the Fed to discuss their current view on monetary policy and the path forward.

This can cause volatility into the end of the week so keep that in mind.

The next FOMC is on the 16th of September and the current odds of a hike sit at about a 1/3rd chance. This was more some weeks ago.

ETH/BTC 4H UPDATE: Consolidation vs. Confirmation

While BTC dominance remains elevated, $ETH / $BTC is holding its ground around 0.0315 following the Aug 19 breakout.
Consolidating above the prior range instead of giving it all back is constructive, but confirmation requires a decisive move.

Key Levels to Watch

🔴 Immediate Resistance: 0.0320 – 0.0325

🔴 Major Target: 0.0334 (Recent High)

🟢 Immediate Support: 0.0310

🟢 Major Breakout Support: 0.0298 – 0.0300

The Takeaway

A rising ETH/BTC ratio indicates relative outperformance, not guaranteed USD gains. For ETH to lead a broader altcoin move, it needs to flip 0.0325 into support. Losing 0.0310 opens the door for a retest of 0.0300.

Patience over chasing mid-range noise—let the market confirm the level first. 🎯

#Ethereum #Bitcoin

BITCOIN SPOT CVD UPDATE: Price vs. Participation

While Bitcoin ($BTC ) trades near $79,500 after touching the $80K range, underlying Spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) data reveals a critical dynamic: Spot demand is flattening, while leverage is creeping back in.

🔍 What the Data Tells Us

* Spot CVD Shift: Following a strong period of spot buying dominance, Spot CVD has turned neutral. Aggressive spot buyers are not confirming the current push with the intensity we'd expect.

* Open Interest (OI) Rebuilding

Total BTC Open Interest stands near $55.82B and is trending upward, indicating rising derivatives leverage.

* The Vulnerability

Rising OI alongside neutral spot CVD means the market is relying heavily on leverage rather than organic demand—increasing the risk of a flush if resistance rejects price.

Why $79.5K–$80K Is Crucial

* Bullish Breakout Signal

A clean 4H close above $79,500 backed by a sharp uptick in Spot CVD confirms genuine market demand and opens the door for continuation.

* Fakeout Warning

If BTC tests $80K while Spot CVD stays neutral or turns negative, expect derivatives to do the heavy lifting, raising the probability of a sharp rejection.

The Bottom Line

The macro structure remains constructive, but spot demand needs to step up. Until aggressive spot buyers return to back up the leverage expansion, exercise caution and let the market prove the breakout. 🎯

#cryptotrading #BTC

BITCOIN LIQUIDATION HEATMAP

$79.5K vs $78K Magnet Zones
Bitcoin ($BTC ) is trading around $78,800, sitting directly between two major liquidity clusters across 12H, 24H, and 3-Day heatmaps.

Upside Liquidity Targets

* $79,400–$79,700: The immediate cluster. Reclaiming $79,500 could trigger a cascade of short liquidations.

* $80,500–$81,500: The largest multi-day liquidity pool. A breakout past $79.5K clears the path directly toward this $80K+ zone.

Downside Liquidity Risk

* $78,000: Immediate downside target and key pivot level.

* $75,000–$77,500: Broader liquidity stacked below. Losing $78K could accelerate a sharper move down to sweep these stops.

Key Takeaway

The liquidation heatmap perfectly matches our 4H technical structure: BTC is consolidating right beneath major resistance with heavy short liquidations stacked just above it.

Patience is key—wait to see which liquidity pool gets swept first and whether price holds the breakout level afterward.

$79,500 remains the line in the sand.

#BinanceSquare #LiquidationHeatmap