Crypto-爱币斯坦

Why are they masters? That is the result of thousands of trials and tribulations. How much time, energy and cost have you spent on learning how to trade? If you have spent nothing or very little, then don't ask why others can get results but you can't. I practiced trading for more than eight hours a day. It took two hours a day to find targets. I researched four projects at the fastest every day, and sometimes I could only finish one. The whole team researched all the currencies of Binance and OK very clearly, which took more than half a year. Most people would be numb after just one look at the Google spreadsheet. With so much information, we think the basic information is clear at a glance. Next, we will study the K-line pattern, market maker methods, project structure and operation. This is also the reason why currencies are not shared often. The reason is simple. Olympic gold medalists only have a few minutes or one chance to go on stage, but they have studied and practiced hard for more than ten years! When you see people sharing coins, your cognition is not at the same frequency and level as theirs, and you can't even tell whether the person sharing is an expert or not. So many people often suffer a lot in this regard. They call it paying a lot of tuition fees, but in fact, they have wasted their hard-earned money. They wanted to change their fate in the coin circle, but ended up becoming fuel for others.

Learning is important, and practice is more important. There is a gap in the middle that needs to be crossed. It is very difficult to integrate knowledge and practice.

My confidence comes from the fact that the entire team has been deeply involved in the coin circle for many years and has experienced the trials and tribulations of the coin circle, and the confidence brought by continuous learning and practice. That's why I say that each coin has its own temper, because in my heart they are not just a string of letters but people with life and feelings.

I said in my trading taboos: when economic data is released, don’t trade. Look at how Bitcoin has today done a double kill on both long and short—you might think you can profit from both directions, but you could end up losing on both. It’s unstable, uncertain—don’t trade.

Even though the CPI data met expectations, its implications point to rate hikes. How do you rally it and still go long? Something’s off—there must be a catch. If it’s pumped up, what to do about the rate hikes? Where would it drop to? And if it’s going to fall, why lift it so high in the first place? If Bitcoin then drops back, it just means the market maker is cutting the same weeds over and over, driving both sides to get harvested.

The logic can’t hold together at all, so just watch the show. You can’t make money forever, but you can lose it all.

24-hour across-the-web liquidation surge to $745 million, after the CPI the market stages a double kill for both bulls and bears

I predicted wrong—things are getting easy. CPI came in as expected at 3.4, and Big Bitcoin just exploded upward! Pull it to 80,000 already!

But inflation is still high—the actual increase is 0.3, which is quite high. Rate-hike expectations have risen to 90%.

However, Tom Lee said the probability of a rate hike in September is 0. That’s impressive—he can predict even the exact numbers with his eyes closed!

Next I’m making plans with two possibilities. If there’s no rate hike, Big Bitcoin is going to surge again. Last time it surged a few thousand points, and this time it will surge a few thousand points too!

If they do hike—plus the odds of Japan also hiking are very high—then Big Bitcoin should drop to 75,0-74,0
$BTC

I talked with Roy for the whole afternoon today, and then he went to pick up the kids. Our conversation is over.

To be honest, I also benefited a lot from it. He’s a student who joined BTB prop research and investment in 2023—among the very first batch, back when we were just starting. At that time, it was my turn to practice on microb—after he practiced, he told me, “Teacher, I searched for your practice method for a long time before I found it.”

I remember he bought more than 30 fake/clone setups. I analyzed them one by one for him, adjusted his position, and later he didn’t listen—he made money but didn’t run. Luckily, OP, SUI, and ONDO ended up earning it back. As for him calling me “teacher,” actually, in terms of contracts, he’s the one who taught me. It was his long-term persuasion that made me start trading contracts. I’m very clear: once the contract work is done properly, as long as you’re willing to make friends with time, financial freedom is only a matter of time.

Many students who’ve been in it for a long time are already friends—we exchange ideas and learn from each other.

Today we mainly discussed direction and trend judgment, as well as contract position sizing, take-profit and stop-loss strategies, and levels. The specific details involve his personal privacy, and I didn’t obtain his consent, so I won’t share them publicly. But I really agree with his way of thinking. A lot of people trade contracts just want to get rich in a short time. He calculated it: compounding at 20% per month. For me, that’s too simple—most people aim for 1x to 6x per month. It’s easy to give it all back afterward, which is really uncomfortable.

If you assume 20% and compound: after one year you get 9x, after two years 90x, after three years 706x. With $500, that’s $353,000. If you stick it out until the fourth year, the result can be calculated directly—but many people can’t hold on. They don’t want to make friends with time. He told me: “Teacher, you can do 1w per day—then in three years it’s 706w, and you won’t be that exhausted. Training students to do intraday trading isn’t suitable.” I think that’s exactly right.

That’s just with contracts—spot trading can also make money. But I don’t teach contracts. It’s too exhausting. Before placing trades you need to do planning and calculations, and not many people can work it out clearly. And it’s not just about choosing which coin to trade—it requires ability, not imagining how much it will go up or down. What you need is stability, not explosive gains.

For example, with a $1,000 principal: how many multiples do you open? Do you use isolated margin per position or all-in? How much do you enter each time? That’s something you must plan before entering. Then you decide where to enter, where to exit, and you also need two sets of strategies to handle both upside and downside scenarios. Entry and exit require technical skill judgment too—knowing how to use indicators, patterns, theory, and so on—everything comes into play here.

The big coin trend is still bearish. The evening CPI data is still expected to be bearish as well. This will determine whether the big coin can fall to the 750–740 range that I had in mind. My prediction may not be right—just for reference. Take your own risk.

$BTC
@Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ

In the evening, the PPI data came in as a bearish surprise—5.3 above expectations, reaching 5.4. If we extrapolate from this, tomorrow’s CPI should likely be bearish; my outlook may be right.

After the data was released, Bitcoin dropped to around 766. If there’s a rebound, it probably won’t get above 780—so I’m still bearish.

I’m keeping my short position and watching to see if it can reach the 750–740 zone I predicted. Unfortunately, my short from 817—I was so sleepy that I decided to go to bed instead. Otherwise, I could have gotten stopped out. I think I could’ve entered around 820.

I’m going to scale up the level for a more comfortable trade. One position could let you make more than 5,000 points; if you’re lucky, you can even make over 10,000 points in that one to two weeks—earning more and not getting as tired. In normal times, you also have more time to study and improve yourself; meanwhile, short-term trading means you have to keep staring at the charts and it’s exhausting.
$BTC

After this big rally pushed up to 70,000, about 7,360 units were sold by those holding for 1–2 years, and about 1,860 units by those holding for 5 years. For those holding for more than 10 years, it was around 620. Overall, it clearly shows a state of distribution.

Recently, “free credit card repayment,” “money laundering through account transfers,” “running commissions for scoring,” and other projects may hide money-laundering risks. If ordinary people provide personal accounts or participate in illegal cryptocurrency transactions, they may also become “tools” of criminal groups.

Everyone should be careful not to fall for scams, so you won’t end up being forced to do menial tasks. Also, be cautious about so-called U-cards within the country—those are also illegal.

Trump, that old “father” is now so scared he’s clamping down on the card! Before he was howling so fiercely—now he’s been made so miserable by Iran.

Last night at 2:36 a.m., Trump said the war would end after the midterm elections, and negotiations are still possible! No reaction from the big talk at all—the market kept dropping; he “taco’d” it—no power left, just like the result I predicted in advance.

This mainly comes down to two things. First, the war situation has changed: Iran is taking a defensive-for-offense approach, hitting the U.S. aircraft carrier; Russia is openly supporting it, and Pakistan is also backing it. Behind Pakistan, who’s really there—everyone knows. Trump can talk tough all he wants, but in the face of facts he has to bow his head. With no money and no missiles—that’s the truth. People aren’t stupid: he can shout fiercely for a while, but he can’t keep it up forever. In the end, everyone will be able to see it.

Second, the principle of the Chinese ancestors for thousands of years: a dog that bites doesn’t bark. If Trump wants to erase Iran’s civilization and flatten its infrastructure—like MacArthur’s “Christmas” operation in Korea—only for the Changjin Lake battle to flip him. The louder he howls, the more it shows he’s afraid. Look at the photo of the Ford sailing to Thailand: the aircraft carrier looks like a ghost ship—it's also a snapshot of the whole U.S.!

The U.S. will repurchase $6 billion in government bonds—then let’s see whether the big talk falls as predicted.

Yesterday I was thinking about whether to go all-in on the coin that Biden’s son posted, but then I looked at that setup—forget it. Turns out there are really people with thick skulls who aren’t afraid of dying; they rushed in and lost 92%!!!

And they even call themselves traders. Would a trader with an actual trading system do something like that? Should anyone who buys and sells be called a trader! Thank goodness I’m not a trader. If I were a trader like this, I’d lose even my underwear money—can’t even save that.

Flop Labs unveils the latest tokenomics draft: no VC, no presale, with a total supply of 18.1 billion tokens in year 10

Check out this FLOP coin—if you can eat it, go ahead and take a bite.

Because some students want to do contracts themselves (I won’t teach them), I tell them the correct way to set up a contract: take profit at 10,000 points and stop loss at 100 points (this example is a bit extreme). You can lose 99 times, and make it back on the 1 win—the win rate would be 1%. The wrong method is to set a stop loss at 10,000 points and take profit at 100 points. You win 99 times, and then you lose everything on the 1 time—the win rate would be 99%. If you’re especially good at math, you can use an infinite-loop calculation to estimate the formula. Without a stop loss—i.e., with the stop loss approaching zero—you could keep winning for a while. But just once is enough to bring you back to zero. That’s why contract trading without a stop loss leads to eventual total loss: the mathematical verification result, and also something that’s happening in the market at all times. You might already be in the trap.

So as long as you “hold the position and absorb losses” or someone who locks the door (keeps adding/holding no matter what), in my way of thinking, there’s only one outcome: you’ll definitely end up losing everything in the future.

That’s why reading more books helps. After I do the math, I absolutely won’t be the kind of person who holds through losses—I’ll only limit the loss. Once I explain this to the students, they understand: it’s knowing why something is true, not just knowing that it’s true. A coach who’s worth listening to doesn’t only control the outcome—they’ll also teach you the underlying principles.

So I’m not a big shot. I don’t have CZ’s money.
I’m not “Big Love” either, and I don’t have a company, and I’m not the boss of a company.
And I’m also not Teacher “Love”—that teacher teaches theory, and practice might not be that strong. I’ve focused on what I see as truly effective: I know how to place heavy positions and go all in.

For that reason, if you want to address me, please call me 【Love Coach】. Some students like calling me 【Love】; luis likes calling me 【Old Love】. The moment he comes on stream and says “Old Love,” I know it’s him. You can also call me 【Xixian Ai】. I not only teach theory, I’ll also guide you to do hands-on practice. The end result is that you learn the theory properly, you practice properly, and you gradually make money and become profitable—doing it in the crypto world by yourself, getting the results you want.

Sun Peng, Xiao Yu, Zhongnan, Geng Xin, the squid, Xiao Cui, Old Zhang, plus me—eight people in total. The office hasn’t been this lively in a long time.

We all share our experiences and gains and losses in doing trades, and this makes a huge difference for everyone’s improvement. In the middle of it, I even video-called Guo Xiaobai. Everyone keeps asking, “When is Sister Guo coming back to Chongqing?” I saw Guo Xiaobai looking so exhilarated, as if she were happy like she’d just made 1 billion in earnings.

During the training, I had one realization: when you’re still a beginner—when you’re Xiao Bai—you know nothing. Either you revere the market blindly or you’re blissfully fearless because you don’t know any better, and you charge in very aggressively. After learning, though, you’ll fall into a period of confusion for a while. Before, you couldn’t read it; later, you could see it, but you still couldn’t read it correctly. Then it becomes a constant tug-of-war between your left and right brains. For example, if you look at the daily chart and it suggests price should rise, the 4-hour chart shows it should fall, the 1-hour chart also shows it should fall, and the 5-minute chart suggests it should rise—so is it going to rise or fall? Even though it’s clearly supposed to fall, the students on-site might notice that the coach is buying spot right there.

This is exactly the big gap between “knowing” and “being able to use it when it matters.” It’s a gap I’ve always emphasized how important practice is for. Practice isn’t about making students money; it’s about bridging that gap.

There are more than a hundred indicators. Some point downward, some point upward—who should you believe? With all kinds of pattern theories, you’ll get different conclusions. What do you do then? That’s also why you see so much disagreement between the bulls and the bears.

To solve this, you need to clearly define the trend timeframe: analyze the analysis cycle and the trading cycle, and then step-by-step work through to your conclusion. At the same time, you also need to pay attention to the macro side—connect the data—review the trading conditions and the emotional/market sentiment. And throughout continual practice, you verify whether the theory is correct, then adjust according to real-world situations.

Still maintain my bearish view and hold the short position while waiting for the price to drop.

Today a student discussed with me that the low before 776 hasn’t been broken, it rebounded, and that the drop from 823 to 776 is already finished—so it might rebound up to 830–850. This analysis is correct; it uses a naked candlestick approach to determine the direction.

My response is that I’m still bearish, because a large-scale downtrend has already formed and it won’t change casually. Livermore once said that once a trend forms, it’s hard to change. In addition, the BTC rebound lacks strength, and my outlook on CPI data is more bearish. So I remain bearish. Also, 795 has been unable to move upward; all indicators are moving downward.

As BTC moves lower, altcoins will inevitably need to pull back. The pullback magnitude should be greater than BTC’s. I’ve already notified the students who hold altcoins: you must protect your principal. Don’t let making money turn into losing money. If necessary, just sell a bit first to take profits and lock it in.

The more violently a coin has risen, the more aggressively it will get “shaken out” when BTC pulls back, according to historical patterns.
$BTC

I’m done eating. I’m really happy today. The students in Chongqing are all here today—the squid called it out. Sun Peng, Xiao Yu, Xiao Cui—everyone, let’s exchange ideas together. Lao Zhang, I said it—he’s the man I care about most. The woman is Guo Xiaobai.

In the evening we’ll eat skewers. I invited my African friends along so I could introduce them to everyone and showed them the charity video. I won’t post it publicly; only the BTB investment research students will get to see it.

Sun also talked a lot about what happened on this trip to Hong Kong for the Bitcoin conference. Let’s all learn together.

Xiao Yu said that when we have time, we should go to Diaoyu City in Hechuan. It’s the place where Mongke Khan died back then. After that, everyone can arrange a time!

Today, we have a Brazilian beauty joining our BTB investment research team. I sent a message to Luis—he’s in Argentina. I didn’t even think our students are spread across this whole planet.

Come on—we must build BTB Investment Research into the Whampoa Military Academy in the coin world. Anyone who leaves BTB Investment Research will be able to stand on their own!

In the 79470 open-profit!
$BTC

I didn’t really analyze the market today. Mostly, I spent the whole afternoon in training. I didn’t place any trades either, yet I still insist on a bearish view. Maybe I’m wrong—if I’m wrong, I’ll get hit!

In the afternoon, I trained Lao Zhang for four hours. We covered one knowledge point. All four students were in the office. This was Lao Zhang’s second time coming to Chongqing. Honestly, I want to bring Lao Zhang out—he’s absolutely incredible. Explaining one knowledge point for four hours, and the other students understood it.

At dinner in the evening, Geng Xin also came. He said that when you train, you hit people. I told them: among you guys who were in the office, who took photos and posted them? Lao Zhang has been saying it to himself for so many times and still couldn’t get it. The students at the scene even explained it to him. I said, I’ll teach you one more time—if you still don’t get it, I’m going to smack your butt. It was just a figure of speech, but these ungrateful disciples went and took photos of me. 😭

Just now, Sun Peng sent me a message: for dinner in the evening, he said that the four Chongqing students are going to be there today, plus two students from out of town—Lao Zhang and Xiao Cui. The office is almost too crowded to fit. When Sun Peng arrives, I told him: the rest of us are empty-handed—when you come, you definitely have to drop it! When you arrive, we’ll welcome you in a corridor.

Getting to the point: still bearish! Short at 79470. But there’s news in the evening, and it might bounce back. There’s no way to predict that, really.
$BTC

On September 9, Strategy released a pair of Bitcoin-themed Air Jordan 1 sneakers priced at $250, but its official website checkout only supports bank cards and Apple Pay, not Bitcoin payments.

MicroStrategy has started doing side hustles—it’s starting to buy shoes. But I think $250 is too expensive. If this were 10 to 20 years ago, I’d think it was cheap. Back then, it was generally around that price. Now that China’s manufacturing has picked up, $250 feels expensive to me instead.

I think this is a bad sign. MicroStrategy is starting to get into side businesses. If it were 250 RMB, I could consider buying a pair to wear.