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X(推特):Ebnstein 三轮牛熊实战派 | 币安新手学堂陪伴官 | BTB投研主理人,专注交易兼培训 | 曾参与100➕项目投资 | 每天早11点(@BTB投研)复盘直播| 周二周六22:30直播
原创之星
原创之星
Occasional Trader
6.1 Years
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Why are they masters? That is the result of thousands of trials and tribulations. How much time, energy and cost have you spent on learning how to trade? If you have spent nothing or very little, then don't ask why others can get results but you can't. I practiced trading for more than eight hours a day. It took two hours a day to find targets. I researched four projects at the fastest every day, and sometimes I could only finish one. The whole team researched all the currencies of Binance and OK very clearly, which took more than half a year. Most people would be numb after just one look at the Google spreadsheet. With so much information, we think the basic information is clear at a glance. Next, we will study the K-line pattern, market maker methods, project structure and operation. This is also the reason why currencies are not shared often. The reason is simple. Olympic gold medalists only have a few minutes or one chance to go on stage, but they have studied and practiced hard for more than ten years! When you see people sharing coins, your cognition is not at the same frequency and level as theirs, and you can't even tell whether the person sharing is an expert or not. So many people often suffer a lot in this regard. They call it paying a lot of tuition fees, but in fact, they have wasted their hard-earned money. They wanted to change their fate in the coin circle, but ended up becoming fuel for others. Learning is important, and practice is more important. There is a gap in the middle that needs to be crossed. It is very difficult to integrate knowledge and practice. My confidence comes from the fact that the entire team has been deeply involved in the coin circle for many years and has experienced the trials and tribulations of the coin circle, and the confidence brought by continuous learning and practice. That's why I say that each coin has its own temper, because in my heart they are not just a string of letters but people with life and feelings.
Why are they masters? That is the result of thousands of trials and tribulations. How much time, energy and cost have you spent on learning how to trade? If you have spent nothing or very little, then don't ask why others can get results but you can't. I practiced trading for more than eight hours a day. It took two hours a day to find targets. I researched four projects at the fastest every day, and sometimes I could only finish one. The whole team researched all the currencies of Binance and OK very clearly, which took more than half a year. Most people would be numb after just one look at the Google spreadsheet. With so much information, we think the basic information is clear at a glance. Next, we will study the K-line pattern, market maker methods, project structure and operation. This is also the reason why currencies are not shared often. The reason is simple. Olympic gold medalists only have a few minutes or one chance to go on stage, but they have studied and practiced hard for more than ten years! When you see people sharing coins, your cognition is not at the same frequency and level as theirs, and you can't even tell whether the person sharing is an expert or not. So many people often suffer a lot in this regard. They call it paying a lot of tuition fees, but in fact, they have wasted their hard-earned money. They wanted to change their fate in the coin circle, but ended up becoming fuel for others.

Learning is important, and practice is more important. There is a gap in the middle that needs to be crossed. It is very difficult to integrate knowledge and practice.

My confidence comes from the fact that the entire team has been deeply involved in the coin circle for many years and has experienced the trials and tribulations of the coin circle, and the confidence brought by continuous learning and practice. That's why I say that each coin has its own temper, because in my heart they are not just a string of letters but people with life and feelings.
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Article
Learning | Growth | Gambling | Training Only when it is late at night and everyone is asleep can you calm down. The live broadcast during this period has touched me deeply and made me more determined to continue the training and education in the cryptocurrency circle. At the beginning, my friend said that you have such a high degree, such a good experience, and you can stand up after two ups and downs. Why don’t you do training and education? When we entered the cryptocurrency circle, we wanted to find a place to learn, but there was no place. It was all about fomo, cx, and getting rich overnight. K-line technology can be learned from stocks, but it needs to be transformed into the cryptocurrency circle. Investment research is a dimensionality reduction attack in the secondary level, and there are also on-chain data, strategies, and position management. Share your sad past and the pitfalls of the cryptocurrency circle, so that more people can benefit and avoid detours. A science and engineering man like me doesn’t like to socialize. I like to do research by myself. To put it nicely, it’s called professionalism, and to put it bluntly, it’s called social phobia! I was so nervous when I went to Binance live broadcast that I not only stuttered but also almost said the wrong thing. Later, I tried a few times before I slowly got better. I was like they didn’t know me anyway, and they wouldn’t remember what I said.

Learning | Growth | Gambling | Training


Only when it is late at night and everyone is asleep can you calm down. The live broadcast during this period has touched me deeply and made me more determined to continue the training and education in the cryptocurrency circle. At the beginning, my friend said that you have such a high degree, such a good experience, and you can stand up after two ups and downs. Why don’t you do training and education? When we entered the cryptocurrency circle, we wanted to find a place to learn, but there was no place. It was all about fomo, cx, and getting rich overnight. K-line technology can be learned from stocks, but it needs to be transformed into the cryptocurrency circle. Investment research is a dimensionality reduction attack in the secondary level, and there are also on-chain data, strategies, and position management. Share your sad past and the pitfalls of the cryptocurrency circle, so that more people can benefit and avoid detours. A science and engineering man like me doesn’t like to socialize. I like to do research by myself. To put it nicely, it’s called professionalism, and to put it bluntly, it’s called social phobia! I was so nervous when I went to Binance live broadcast that I not only stuttered but also almost said the wrong thing. Later, I tried a few times before I slowly got better. I was like they didn’t know me anyway, and they wouldn’t remember what I said.
Article
How to Interpret the Fed’s Rate-Setting MeetingAs expected, the Fed didn’t raise interest rates. When we trade, we focus on expectations—and so does the market. A lot of crypto investors, including students in BTB’s investment research program, were basically left scratching their heads after seeing the outcome and listening to Warsh speak. They couldn’t figure out what his words implied about future expectations. Today I’m sharing my method. In tomorrow’s class, I’ll explain it in detail to the students attending in person: how to read future expectations from Warsh’s words. Of course, my method may not be effective; it’s just for your reference, learning, and discussion. The market moves ahead of the facts. With no rate hike in October, the next thing to watch is whether the market expects a rate hike in December. If it does, then a downturn is only natural; if not, then prices will rise.

How to Interpret the Fed’s Rate-Setting Meeting

As expected, the Fed didn’t raise interest rates. When we trade, we focus on expectations—and so does the market.
A lot of crypto investors, including students in BTB’s investment research program, were basically left scratching their heads after seeing the outcome and listening to Warsh speak. They couldn’t figure out what his words implied about future expectations.
Today I’m sharing my method. In tomorrow’s class, I’ll explain it in detail to the students attending in person: how to read future expectations from Warsh’s words. Of course, my method may not be effective; it’s just for your reference, learning, and discussion.
The market moves ahead of the facts. With no rate hike in October, the next thing to watch is whether the market expects a rate hike in December. If it does, then a downturn is only natural; if not, then prices will rise.
🎙️ 【Temporary Livestream】 The Fed's rate decision meeting—let's talk about it together. I've already opened a short position.
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As expected, the Fed didn’t raise interest rates, which was in line with expectations. The price went up, so I closed my long position and switched to a short near 812. Tonight at 8:30, the PCE forecast is 3.1, higher than the previous month’s 3, which would be bearish. If it comes in at 3.1, Bitcoin may pop first and then fall; if it’s higher than 3.1, it’ll drop straight away. Based on this, it looks like the earlier 818 won’t be surpassed. But I’m prepared for a breakout to 823. The technical and fundamental factors are lining up. As I predicted earlier, Bitcoin is going to break below the previous low of 792 and head to 780. Be careful, though—the market makers won’t let it drop all at once. They’ll sweep liquidity back and forth, then push it down once they’ve swept enough. This is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Please make your own assessment and take responsibility for your own gains and losses. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
As expected, the Fed didn’t raise interest rates, which was in line with expectations. The price went up, so I closed my long position and switched to a short near 812. Tonight at 8:30, the PCE forecast is 3.1, higher than the previous month’s 3, which would be bearish. If it comes in at 3.1, Bitcoin may pop first and then fall; if it’s higher than 3.1, it’ll drop straight away.

Based on this, it looks like the earlier 818 won’t be surpassed. But I’m prepared for a breakout to 823. The technical and fundamental factors are lining up. As I predicted earlier, Bitcoin is going to break below the previous low of 792 and head to 780.

Be careful, though—the market makers won’t let it drop all at once. They’ll sweep liquidity back and forth, then push it down once they’ve swept enough.

This is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Please make your own assessment and take responsibility for your own gains and losses.
$BTC
Crypto-爱币斯坦
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Since the roughly expected 820 level was reached, I reduced part of my spot position at 815, then planned to wait for the Fed to speak before opening a short. But BTC rallied early and then pulled back. The market makers are clearly up to something.

I went long at 805, with a stop-loss at 800. If my position gets stopped out before the Fed speaks, I’ll accept the loss. As long as it doesn’t, if the Fed says it won’t raise rates and the market pumps, I’ll take my profits and get out!
$BTC
Since the roughly expected 820 level was reached, I reduced part of my spot position at 815, then planned to wait for the Fed to speak before opening a short. But BTC rallied early and then pulled back. The market makers are clearly up to something. I went long at 805, with a stop-loss at 800. If my position gets stopped out before the Fed speaks, I’ll accept the loss. As long as it doesn’t, if the Fed says it won’t raise rates and the market pumps, I’ll take my profits and get out! $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Since the roughly expected 820 level was reached, I reduced part of my spot position at 815, then planned to wait for the Fed to speak before opening a short. But BTC rallied early and then pulled back. The market makers are clearly up to something.

I went long at 805, with a stop-loss at 800. If my position gets stopped out before the Fed speaks, I’ll accept the loss. As long as it doesn’t, if the Fed says it won’t raise rates and the market pumps, I’ll take my profits and get out!
$BTC
The Fed’s rate decision meeting is at 2 a.m. tomorrow. It’s fairly clear that there won’t be a rate hike. Bitcoin has already rallied ahead of the meeting, so it’s quite possible that it will fall during the meeting. The resistance levels above are 820 and 827. If Bitcoin can break through 835, the odds of it dropping to 780 will decrease. My forecast is that Bitcoin will rise to around 820, then fall to 780, rebound to around 810–815, then drop to around 760 before starting to rise toward 100,000. This is shared for reference only and is not investment advice. Do your own analysis and take responsibility for your own profits and losses. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
The Fed’s rate decision meeting is at 2 a.m. tomorrow. It’s fairly clear that there won’t be a rate hike. Bitcoin has already rallied ahead of the meeting, so it’s quite possible that it will fall during the meeting.

The resistance levels above are 820 and 827. If Bitcoin can break through 835, the odds of it dropping to 780 will decrease.

My forecast is that Bitcoin will rise to around 820, then fall to 780, rebound to around 810–815, then drop to around 760 before starting to rise toward 100,000.

This is shared for reference only and is not investment advice. Do your own analysis and take responsibility for your own profits and losses.
$BTC
SOL ETFs have started seeing outflows. Previously, I had consistently seen inflows over the long term. After the fifth-ranked ETF provider liquidated its holdings, ETFs started seeing outflows. Does this mean SOL ETFs are no longer very attractive, causing the outflows?
SOL ETFs have started seeing outflows. Previously, I had consistently seen inflows over the long term. After the fifth-ranked ETF provider liquidated its holdings, ETFs started seeing outflows.

Does this mean SOL ETFs are no longer very attractive, causing the outflows?
🎙️ A Coach to Grow with You | Market Analysis
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I'm too sleepy, so the 10:30 livestream will start a little later. You can listen to the replay after it ends. I'm very sorry. Everyone, get some rest.
I'm too sleepy, so the 10:30 livestream will start a little later. You can listen to the replay after it ends.

I'm very sorry. Everyone, get some rest.
I added a little to my spot position at 795. Contract trading has now switched to range-bound mode: higher leverage, tighter stop-losses, short when it rises and go long when it falls. Take 300–700 points per trade and get out. The profit ratio is pretty decent, but it’s really exhausting. It feels pretty mindless too—just open a position when it reaches the level, make a few dozen to a hundred bucks per trade, and get out!
I added a little to my spot position at 795. Contract trading has now switched to range-bound mode: higher leverage, tighter stop-losses, short when it rises and go long when it falls. Take 300–700 points per trade and get out.

The profit ratio is pretty decent, but it’s really exhausting. It feels pretty mindless too—just open a position when it reaches the level, make a few dozen to a hundred bucks per trade, and get out!
Mbappe is a star I quite like. I first saw France's 19-year-old rising star during the World Cup. What was said in the interview is shown in the picture below. This directly led to the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stepping in. I can understand that public figures are also people and, like us, have the same range of emotions and desires, but there is nothing that can be done: once you become a public figure, you need to be careful about your words and actions. Simply put, your income is very high and your influence is too great.
Mbappe is a star I quite like. I first saw France's 19-year-old rising star during the World Cup. What was said in the interview is shown in the picture below. This directly led to the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stepping in.

I can understand that public figures are also people and, like us, have the same range of emotions and desires, but there is nothing that can be done: once you become a public figure, you need to be careful about your words and actions. Simply put, your income is very high and your influence is too great.
Tonight's 10:30 PM livestream agenda: 1. Bitcoin market analysis 2. Common price action techniques 3. How investment research sectors are categorized 4. Essential skills for futures trading Answering questions from the crypto community. 【BTB Investment Research】:Helping people find their way in the crypto world 【Four Things We Don't Do】:No trading signals, no copy trading, no referral commissions, and no futures trading instruction 【Coach Ai】:Livestreams every Tuesday and Saturday at 10:30 PM
Tonight's 10:30 PM livestream agenda:
1. Bitcoin market analysis
2. Common price action techniques
3. How investment research sectors are categorized
4. Essential skills for futures trading

Answering questions from the crypto community.

【BTB Investment Research】:Helping people find their way in the crypto world
【Four Things We Don't Do】:No trading signals, no copy trading, no referral commissions, and no futures trading instruction
【Coach Ai】:Livestreams every Tuesday and Saturday at 10:30 PM
A lot of traders don’t really understand how I trade. My system and position sizes change with market conditions. First principle: A winning trade can absolutely turn into a loss, so I move my stop to protect profits. I might get stopped out and miss a one-way move; I may not catch the big moves, but I don’t lose money. Second principle: I adjust my leverage and position size based on Bitcoin’s volatility. When volatility is low, I may use up to 150x leverage; when it’s high, I adjust down to 20x. The exact leverage I use depends on the situation. Consistency is key. Third principle: Always wait for a second chance—in other words, enter on the right-hand side of the chart. Don’t catch falling knives or act impulsively; wait for the opportunity. Fourth principle: I never provide contract trading signals, and I don’t take referral commissions. If you want to get referral commissions, you can contact @ETH1883 .
A lot of traders don’t really understand how I trade. My system and position sizes change with market conditions.

First principle: A winning trade can absolutely turn into a loss, so I move my stop to protect profits. I might get stopped out and miss a one-way move; I may not catch the big moves, but I don’t lose money.

Second principle: I adjust my leverage and position size based on Bitcoin’s volatility. When volatility is low, I may use up to 150x leverage; when it’s high, I adjust down to 20x. The exact leverage I use depends on the situation. Consistency is key.

Third principle: Always wait for a second chance—in other words, enter on the right-hand side of the chart. Don’t catch falling knives or act impulsively; wait for the opportunity.

Fourth principle: I never provide contract trading signals, and I don’t take referral commissions.
If you want to get referral commissions, you can contact @大铭哥 .
I’ve always thought Bitcoin was going to fall—not based on guesswork. I was at my computer right on time at 6 today to keep analyzing. It’s not because I opened a short at 80.5k that I want the price to drop; I shorted because I judged that it was going to fall. Let’s look at the weekly chart. It hasn’t fallen nearly far enough yet, and there’s still room to go lower. But the battle between bulls and bears around 80k is intense, so the price is ranging here. You can short around 81k and go long around 79.5k, trading back and forth. The Fed isn’t expected to raise rates on Thursday. If things go as expected, we’ll see which direction the market makers choose to liquidate traders. I think the most likely scenario is a rally to 82k–83k, followed by a drop to around 76k, so I’ve prepared in advance. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
I’ve always thought Bitcoin was going to fall—not based on guesswork. I was at my computer right on time at 6 today to keep analyzing. It’s not because I opened a short at 80.5k that I want the price to drop; I shorted because I judged that it was going to fall.

Let’s look at the weekly chart. It hasn’t fallen nearly far enough yet, and there’s still room to go lower. But the battle between bulls and bears around 80k is intense, so the price is ranging here. You can short around 81k and go long around 79.5k, trading back and forth.

The Fed isn’t expected to raise rates on Thursday. If things go as expected, we’ll see which direction the market makers choose to liquidate traders. I think the most likely scenario is a rally to 82k–83k, followed by a drop to around 76k, so I’ve prepared in advance.

$BTC
Maji has lost over 30 million and now has only 4,000 left. His ETH position is still down 300. Maji can’t quit the scene after losing it all—or the young phoenix will fall, and then how will TOM push Ethereum to 62,000 all by himself!
Maji has lost over 30 million and now has only 4,000 left. His ETH position is still down 300.

Maji can’t quit the scene after losing it all—or the young phoenix will fall, and then how will TOM push Ethereum to 62,000 all by himself!
I entered a short on Bitcoin at 805 because my analysis suggested this pullback could reach around 720 if it went deep. It might also stop around 760 without breaking the previous low. Another possibility is that 792 is the bottom of the pullback, but I don't think that's very likely. So I'm still going with my own judgment. I took two short positions today; this is the third one. The 4-hour candle just closed, and even with such high volume, it couldn't push the price above 810. It's clearly weak. I've set a stop to protect my profits, just in case my prediction is wrong. I think 792 is going to break. If it does, I'll buy some spot Bitcoin. $BTC
I entered a short on Bitcoin at 805 because my analysis suggested this pullback could reach around 720 if it went deep. It might also stop around 760 without breaking the previous low. Another possibility is that 792 is the bottom of the pullback, but I don't think that's very likely.

So I'm still going with my own judgment. I took two short positions today; this is the third one. The 4-hour candle just closed, and even with such high volume, it couldn't push the price above 810. It's clearly weak.

I've set a stop to protect my profits, just in case my prediction is wrong. I think 792 is going to break. If it does, I'll buy some spot Bitcoin.
$BTC
Tom Lee: Ethereum could rise to $62,000 in the next crypto market cycle. In past crypto market cycles, Ethereum has gained 50 to 200 times its value. Even using a more conservative 25x increase, ETH would reach around $62,000. Tom must be a real genius to come up with a statement like that. I swear on my kid, I almost believed it. Do you guys really think ETH can hit $62,000??? $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT)
Tom Lee: Ethereum could rise to $62,000 in the next crypto market cycle. In past crypto market cycles, Ethereum has gained 50 to 200 times its value. Even using a more conservative 25x increase, ETH would reach around $62,000.

Tom must be a real genius to come up with a statement like that.

I swear on my kid, I almost believed it. Do you guys really think ETH can hit $62,000???
$ETH
After my long positions were stopped out this morning, I analyzed the market structure and price action. With oil falling, my entry logic for Bitcoin told me it was going to rise, so I opened two trades around 79,300–79,500. I set the take-profit at 80,314, and both trades have now hit take-profit successfully. I’m not sure whether Bitcoin can reach 810, 820, or 830. Overall, though, I still think it’s going to fall, so when it reaches those levels, I’ll short it. All of Trump’s recent statements are aimed at winning votes, so he keeps wavering from one side to the other. How does that work? For example, he says we might negotiate, but if negotiations fail, we’ll fight. What he means is: if you’re worried about high oil prices, vote for me and I’ll negotiate to bring them down. If you support Israel, vote for me and I’ll attack Iran. He’s playing both sides to win votes. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
After my long positions were stopped out this morning, I analyzed the market structure and price action. With oil falling, my entry logic for Bitcoin told me it was going to rise, so I opened two trades around 79,300–79,500. I set the take-profit at 80,314, and both trades have now hit take-profit successfully.

I’m not sure whether Bitcoin can reach 810, 820, or 830. Overall, though, I still think it’s going to fall, so when it reaches those levels, I’ll short it.

All of Trump’s recent statements are aimed at winning votes, so he keeps wavering from one side to the other. How does that work? For example, he says we might negotiate, but if negotiations fail, we’ll fight. What he means is: if you’re worried about high oil prices, vote for me and I’ll negotiate to bring them down. If you support Israel, vote for me and I’ll attack Iran. He’s playing both sides to win votes.
$BTC
🎙️ Monday Livestream Recap
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