On the 4H, BTC is still forming a Falling Wedge and is trading within the demand area of $75.966–$77.200.
As long as this demand holds, the possibility for a rebound is still open. But stronger confirmation will only appear if BTC can break out and hold above $78.000.
If the breakout is valid, the next areas to watch are:
T1: $78.926
T2: $79.693
If it fails to hold the demand area, the bullish scenario needs to be reassessed.
So for now: don’t rush to guess the direction—wait for the market to provide confirmation.
What do you think—will BTC break out above $78K, or will it break the demand area first? 👇
On the weekly timeframe, the market capitalization of altcoins outside BTC & ETH appears to have broken out from a downtrend resistance that previously constrained price movement.
If this breakout can hold and receive further confirmation, the opportunity for capital rotation into altcoins could open up again. But remember, a breakout isn’t an immediate guarantee of an altseason—still wait for follow-through and don’t FOMO.
Is the altcoin market getting hot again this week?
September is known as one of the heaviest months for Bitcoin.
Historically, about 62% of September periods since 2013–2025 closed negative, with an average return of around -4%.
But interestingly, the last three Septembers actually ended positive: 2023, 2024, and 2025.
So, seasonality can be a reference, but it’s not a signal to immediately short.
For September 2026, the initial bias is still neutral to slightly bearish. Confirmation is still needed from price structure, volume, liquidity, and macro conditions.
Bitcoin is testing an important area around $80K 👀
After a bearish close triggered by rising geopolitical tensions, the market is back in an indecisive phase. The $80K area is still an important resistance that needs attention before making an aggressive decision.
For conditions like this, excessive leverage should be avoided. If a deeper correction happens, the lower area could instead become an opportunity for gradual DCA for investors with a long-term horizon.
Remember: time in the market > timing the market.
Do you think BTC will break $80K or retrace first? 👇
The biggest problem in the world of trading isn’t the people who are looking for an “edge.”
The problem is that too many people claim they have an edge as if it were a money-making machine.
In reality, a new strategy can only be said to have an edge if it’s been tested with data, enough samples, fees, slippage, drawdown, and in different market conditions.
So if someone says their strategy is 90% accurate, don’t just believe it.
Ask for the data.
In your opinion, how many “edge” traders are actually just the result of a good backtest? $BTC
The chance of the Fed raising interest rates in September surges again
Kevin Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole caused market expectations for the Fed’s September decision to change sharply. The probability of rates being held fell from 71% to 50%, while the probability of a 25 bps hike rose from 30% to 49%. The probability of a cut is only about 1%.
For crypto traders, this matters because higher rate expectations typically make risk assets more sensitive to strengthening yields and the dollar. However, the hike is not certain. The next focus is on U.S. inflation and labor data, which could shift market pricing again.
Bitcoin fails to hold at $80K—healthy correction or new pressure?
BTC fell about 1.36% in 24 hours to $78,717 after briefly touching $81,478. Current selling pressure is more reasonably read as a combination of profit-taking in the $80K–$81.5K area and volatility ahead of options expiry—not because of any clearly negative fundamental catalyst.
On the other hand, US spot Bitcoin ETF flows on August 27 were still positive at around $242 million. Traders now need to watch $80K as the reclaim area and $78,423 as the key low if selling pressure continues.
Bitcoin capital starts to turn profitable again, are bullish signals beginning to form?
CryptoQuant on-chain data shows that the amount of investor Bitcoin capital currently in unrealized profit has started to increase again, while some capital is still in a loss position. A similar pattern appeared during the early phase of the bullish trend in the previous cycle, but it has not yet become a full confirmation.
The next focus is on the potential crossover between capital in profit and capital in loss. If the capital in profit truly takes over, bullish momentum could look stronger. For traders, this indicator is better suited as a trend confirmation, not as a single standalone reason to enter.
One SOL position, the profit is almost Rp7 billion. 🤯
One of the traders we’re monitoring managed to record a Realized PNL of $435,977 from a SOL position with an ROI of nearly 700%. Not bad—one position can buy a supercar. 😅
But what’s even more interesting isn’t just the final result. Where did the entry happen? Why take the position? What Trading Plan and signals did he use? We’ve journaled his signals and trade journey, so you can learn his setup and Trading Plan directly at: Mtjournal
Not just seeing the profit—learn the process behind the trade.
Trump changes place names again, this time Ontario Lake
Donald Trump signed an executive order to rename Lake Ontario to Lake America amid worsening relations between the United States and Canada. Previously, his administration also changed the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America and restored the name Mount McKinley.
Not all name changes went smoothly. Efforts related to the Kennedy Center reportedly faced rejection and legal issues.
For crypto traders, the direct impact is still limited. What’s more important to watch is whether the US-Canada tension evolves into trade policy, or further pressures global risk sentiment.
Market crypto ready to face two major triggers from the US today
Friday, 28 August 2026, traders’ attention will be focused on two important agenda items from the United States.
🇺🇸 21:00 WIB, Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks The market will look for clues about the direction of The Fed’s interest rates. If his remarks lean hawkish, the USD and Treasury yields could strengthen. This may put pressure on BTC and other risk assets.
📊 Preliminary Benchmark Payrolls Revision This data is important because it can shift market perceptions of the state of the US labor market. If the revision suggests the economy is weaker than expected, expectations for policy easing could increase.
For BTC traders, don’t just look at the candles. USD and yields could be the main drivers of today’s volatility.
The scenarios are fairly clear. A hawkish stance could weigh on risk assets, while a dovish tilt could open room for BTC and crypto to strengthen.
Follow to become a trader for market updates and other trading insights.