U.S. August core inflation monthly rate higher than expected
U.S. August inflation data were released before the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting, with the market focused on whether underlying price pressures are continuing to cool. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics show that in August, the core consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.4% year over year, in line with expectations and down from the prior 2.5%. However, the core CPI increased 0.3% month over month, exceeding the market estimate of 0.2%. This means that on an annual basis, core inflation is still slowing, but on a monthly basis, price pressure has not fully returned to a more moderate range.
For overall CPI, August climbed 3.4% year over year and 0.4% month over month, both matching market expectations. By component, energy prices rose 2.1% month over month, reversing July’s decline. Gasoline prices rose 3.9%, contributing more than one-third of the overall monthly CPI increase. Food prices rose 0.1% month over month and 2.7% year over year. Within the core items, housing costs rose 0.3%, and lodging, communication services, airfares, and education prices also moved higher. Meanwhile, healthcare and motor vehicle insurance helped buffer core inflation.
Logically, the data present a combination of “the total matches expectations, the core monthly rate is somewhat stronger, and the core annual rate is easing.” At the factual level, a core monthly rate higher than expected could heighten policymakers’ concerns about stickier service prices and secondary (pass-through) inflation. But the year-over-year decline indicates the inflation trend is not simply accelerating upward in a single direction. Therefore, the market’s assessment of the subsequent interest-rate path may depend more on how the Fed weighs energy shocks, housing costs, and service prices.
For the crypto market, the impact pathway mainly comes from macro liquidity expectations and risk appetite. If investors believe stronger-than-expected core inflation will delay easing or increase the weight of rate-hike discussions, expectations for higher yields on dollar-denominated assets could suppress valuations of risk assets; highly volatile assets such as BTC and ETH would typically face greater discounting pressure. Conversely, if the market places more emphasis on the core year-over-year figure continuing to fall, expectations that liquidity will improve could be supported.
Editor’s note: This report is not a one-way signal, but a differentiated one. Near-term volatility may stem from the market repricing the policy meeting. In the medium term, it will still be important to observe whether subsequent employment, energy, and services inflation data together point to price pressures accelerating again. For crypto investors, the key is not the single CPI number itself, but how it changes interest-rate expectations, U.S. dollar liquidity, and portfolio positioning in risk assets.
#U.S. August core CPI rises 0.3% month over month, exceeding expectations #BTC #ETH #BNB
US CPI beats expectations as BTC breaks through 78,000 USDT 📰 Crypto Evening News | 2026-09-11 21:00
🔥 Major Events 1. Jiang Zhuoer says he sold all BTC at $77,226 — Jiang Zhuoer said in a post on X that he sold 100% of his BTC holdings at the $77,226 price level, disclosing his liquidation operation publicly… 2. Iran nuclear issue upgraded to UN Security Council — According to OpenNews, 23 council member countries (plus 8 neutral countries) are pushing to upgrade Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council… 3. Trump says the war will last until the midterm elections — According to OpenNews, when Trump’s administration started the war, it said it would not last longer than 6 weeks; now Trump says it will last until the midterm elections…
📊 Market Data 1. BTC breaks 78,000 USDT — OKX quotes show BTC breaking through 78,000 USDT, currently at 78,008 USDT, with a 24h increase of 1.38%… 2. US August CPI accelerates higher, raising expectations for rate hikes — Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows August CPI rose 0.4% month over month, higher than July’s 0.1%; inflation over 12 months increased 3.4%… 3. Liquidations across the entire network total $121 million in the past hour — Coinglass data shows liquidations across the entire network totaled $121 million in the past hour… 4. ETH breaks 2,500 USDT — OKX quotes show ETH breaking through 2,500 USDT, currently at 2,500.67 USDT, with a 24h increase of 2.5%… 5. Gold breaks $4,350 per ounce — According to Gate data, gold (XAUUSD) rose and broke above $4,350 per ounce, currently at $4,350.50 per ounce… 6. USD falls to 153.5 against JPY — According to Gate data, USDJPY dropped to 153.5, currently at 153.491, with a 24h decline of 0.6%. 7. JPMorgan CPI preview mentions higher communication-sector prices — According to OpenNews, JPMorgan’s CPI preview indicates that education and communications goods rose 1.3% in July, nearing record highs…
🏛️ Regulatory Policy 1. Probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Fed next week rises to 85% — The US August core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, above economists’ 0.2% forecast; after the data was released…
💡 Project Updates 1. Bonk Guy responds to STONK community doubts — Bonk Guy clarified that buying EMBER is not a challenge to STONK, saying that STONK’s second-largest holder previously bought at a market cap of $2.8 million… 2. USDe and sUSDe launch on TRON — USDe and sUSDe have now launched on the TRON network; the official says it will offer more building options for developers across the entire ecosystem… 3. AI company Clay completes $115 million Series D — Enterprise AI company Clay completed a $115 million Series D round, led by Wellington… 4. NEAR AI Cloud API compatible with OpenAI interface — NEAR AI Cloud API is compatible with the OpenAI interface…
📊 Market Snapshot: BTC $77,993 (+1.54%), funding rate 0.0060%; ETH $2,510.24 (+4.08%), funding rate 0.0088% 📍 Daily Buy/Sell Points: $BTC Daily sell point $77,919 | Daily buy point $75,778 / $ETH Daily sell point $2,479.58 | Daily buy point $2,398.92 / BNB Daily sell point $722.73 | Daily buy point $699.26
XRP is down 3.4% and nobody says a word; BTC holds at 76,400 and everyone starts shouting “reversal”?
This intraday bearish candle was pretty “polite” during the day. BTC slid from 77,935.8 all the way down to 76,402.9—down -1.076% for the day. Now at 77,013.9, it’s just lying dead under the daily pivot at 77,160.83. Trading volume is 10.14B. The drop isn’t deep, and it also can’t bounce—both bulls and bears are waiting for the other side to make the first move.
The funding rate is 0.002973%, which is positive, but it’s so small it’s almost nonexistent. Translate it this way: after falling all day, there are still people paying to hold longs—not many have given up. What this structure fears most isn’t a sudden dump, but a slow grind that wears your patience down—until you near 76,400 and end up handing over your chips on your own, without the main players even needing to coordinate.
ETH, on the other hand, is tougher. -0.204% for the whole day; 2,457.58 is sitting above the pivot at 2,441.45. It touched 2,483.73 briefly and then snapped back. Funds are huddling together in BTC and ETH—nobody’s really looking after the alts. Look at XRP: -3.446%, with 1.3283 clinging to the intraday low 1.3201. The next rest stop is 1.31. A few days ago when people chased alt coin rotations, now they should understand: what they call “rotation” is getting hit in turn.
In the night session, watch three lines:
① 76,402.9 — today’s low. Hold it: the storefront is still there. Break it: straight to 75,777.77, with no meaningful buffer in between. ② 77,160.83 — the daily pivot. If the market reclaims above it during the night, the bears’ narrative immediately goes silent. ③ 77,918.77 — almost perfectly overlaps today’s high at 77,935.8. Only counts as a structural reversal if it stands above on higher volume. A quick touch on low volume doesn’t count.
My bias: slightly bearish. Price stays overnight below the pivot; alts are leading the downside; the funding rate isn’t extreme enough to ignite a reversal. If 76,400 gets lost in the Europe/US segment of the night session, then 75,777 shows up. If you want to flip long, make BTC reclaim 77,160 first.
BNB at 713.58 is grinding right on top of 712.87—no direction at all. Don’t look for signals in it.
This XRP lesson: the market teaches investors’ efficiency better than any research report.
Liquid Network resumes block production; more than 80% of stolen Bitcoin has been returned
Launched by Blockstream in 2018, the Bitcoin sidechain Liquid Network is designed to enable faster settlement through the issuance of L-BTC backed by reserve Bitcoin. Over the weekend of September 6–7, the network was hit by a security vulnerability attack in which nearly 4,000 out of about 4,200 Bitcoin (worth roughly $320 million) were extracted. The network then paused all transactions, and an alliance comprising more than 80 exchanges, infrastructure companies, and asset management firms began handling the aftermath. The core facts are: Liquid Network has resumed block production, but as a precaution, trading and pegging operations are still suspended to monitor network stability. After the involved parties confirmed that affected nodes completed repairs, about 3,400 Bitcoin were returned. Currently, 598 Bitcoin (worth about $46 million) have not yet been recovered. The network team has published an emergency software update that fixes the vulnerability-related proof-verification cache issue, and it is actively working to restore the BTC and L-BTC reserve. From the mechanism, this incident differs from the typical paths of most crypto-hacking cases. According to disclosures, the funds were not stolen due to password or private-key leaks; instead, the related Bitcoin left via the normally authorized trading platform SideSwap. Blockstream’s investigation found that a software bug in the Elements system caused some of the implicated Bitcoin to be generated abnormally. Security experts noted that the vulnerability lies in the unit-processing layer of the transaction software, not in compromised keys or hardware modules. The attacker claimed to be a white-hat hacker via an on-chain message, demanding that each node’s vulnerability be fixed before returning the funds—subsequent return behavior aligns with that statement. The impact on the crypto market can be observed through three lines of development. First, because L-BTC depends on reserve Bitcoin backing, with reserves nearly depleted, the credit foundation of this model is directly shaken; outsiders will likely re-examine the security assumptions of consortium-custodied sidechains. Second, the incident puts infrastructure code audits in the spotlight, showing that proof-verification-like underlying components can also become single points of failure; timely node software updates and multi-party verifiability are expected to gain higher weight. Third, with block production resumed and most funds returned, the likelihood of further risk expanding is reduced. However, the pegging pause means related liquidity remains constrained, and institutions using this network may need to assess alternative settlement routes in the near term. Editor’s view: What can currently be confirmed is that the network has resumed block production, about 3,400 Bitcoin have been returned, and the root cause points to the proof-verification cache issue. What remains to be seen is whether the remaining 598 Bitcoin can be recovered, when pegging functionality will restart, how reserves will be replenished, and whether the alliance’s governance will introduce stricter multi-party validation mechanisms. It should be emphasized that the white-hat identity is still the attacker’s unilateral claim. Although the return actions are consistent with the statement, the final classification still requires further explanation by the project team and the alliance. Overall, this is a rare incident driven by a technical root cause. Its remediation approach may become a reference sample for similar sidechains and custody solutions.
BTC slips below the axis but still mouths off; don’t talk about a bottom until the funding rate turns negative
The midday session is green in a neat, orderly way—so neat even the market can’t be bothered to paint over it with a token red candle.
BTC is at 77,076, down 1.68%, just sitting below the 77,160 axis. This is the most tortifying spot: if you call it weak, the low at 76,402 is still holding; if you call it strong, yesterday’s 78,542 breakout buyers now have a different kind of story to tell. The market’s favorite trick is to make people who hesitate at both ends get punished together.
XRP is the laggard—down over 3% and then suddenly gone, smashing through the 1.35 axis from 1.3928, with a low at 1.3282. The coin that was yelling the loudest usually falls the hardest. The next test is 1.31—if you can’t hold it, don’t ask how much further there is; the answer is: the market is educating investors.
ETH looks relatively respectable, down only 0.828%. At 2,458 it’s still standing; volume is 8.7B, second only to BTC’s 10.75B. The funding rate is 9.25e-06—almost flat. Bulls and bears are both waiting for BTC to make up its mind. Above 2,479 being reclaimed means sentiment can finally be repaired; if 2,398 is lost, the catch-up selloff will come fast and hard—don’t blame anyone for not reminding you.
What’s most worth thinking about is BTC’s funding rate: even after falling this much, it’s still sitting positive (8.675e-05). Put simply, the longs haven’t admitted defeat. As long as the funding rate doesn’t turn negative and the panic positioning hasn’t cleared out, the so-called bottom is still missing that last breath. On the flip side, if the low at 76,402 from last night is broken, it would directly hand over the daily buy point at 75,777—that’s the number to watch today.
BNB is the most laid-back: down 0.842% to 717, with volume only 0.39B. No one is smashing it, and no one is catching it. The survival philosophy of a laid-back coin: if you don’t make noise, you won’t get hit.
Conclusion: slightly bearish. Before 77,918 is reclaimed, treat any rebound as just a breather. Drifting lower isn’t an opportunity, and going sideways isn’t safety—this market flips its face without giving advance notice.
SEC Clears Nasdaq’s State Rule Revision; SOL and XRP Included in Digital Commodity Definition
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved Nasdaq’s submission of a rules amendment application, with Order No. 34-106268. The core of this revision is the addition of a “digital commodity” definition in Nasdaq Rule 5711(d). Following Bitcoin and Ethereum, Solana and XRP are also explicitly included in this definition, and operating restrictions for commodity trust shares are simultaneously loosened. In the order document, the SEC cites trust products that include these four assets as examples, listing them as “digital commodities” that currently meet the relevant conditions.
Based on the rule details, the new rule allows certain assets that have not met existing listing standards to be included in the portfolio of commodity trust products, but limits their share to no more than 15% of the fund’s net asset value (NAV). This means there is now a more flexible “gap” between the previously clear-cut boundary of assets that do and do not meet listing requirements, giving asset management institutions more room in structuring products. The market expects that the allocation status of XRP and Solana in subsequent compliant investment products may further move closer to Bitcoin and Ethereum—though this is speculation and expectation rather than an established fact.
The boundary must be clearly drawn: this approval applies only to the amendment of Nasdaq’s exchange rules, and does not mean that the federal regulatory layer has formally categorized XRP or Solana within the commodity regulatory regime. It is not a nationwide, unified legal framework, and it does not constitute direct approval for any specific XRP or Solana ETF. Whether later products can be launched and whether the relevant assets can be listed still depends on additional review requirements and processes.
Now, consider the market impact pathway. Fueled by policy expectations, risk appetite has visibly rebounded: over the past 24 hours, total forced liquidations across the market were about $567 million, of which short liquidations were about $479 million, accounting for the vast majority—showing a fairly clear short-squeeze characteristic. Total market capitalization for cryptocurrencies rose to about $2.71 trillion. Flows were also active: U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $731 million on the day, with IBIT leading at about $454 million; Ethereum spot ETFs saw net inflows of about $141 million on the same day; the XRP spot ETF has recorded net inflows for 11 consecutive trading days, with cumulative scale reaching $1.68 billion; and the amount of the stablecoin RLUSD issued on the XRP Ledger surpassed $1 billion. It should be noted that the above figures reflect the market’s overall condition, and the rule revision is only one of the influencing factors. On the macro side, statements by Fed Governor Waller—about slowing inflation and support for keeping interest rates unchanged at the mid-September policy meeting—are also seen as factors supporting risk assets.
Editor’s observation: the real significance of this revision lies in institutional flexibility at the product-structure level, not in a final “regulatory characterization” verdict. Looking ahead, two key points are worth tracking: first, the Senate plans to hold a final vote on ending the CLARITY Act on the 15th; if it passes, the digital asset regulatory framework may become even clearer. Second, whether asset management firms will use the 15% exception quota to file new product applications. Ripple CEO Garlinghouse said that the U.S. becoming “the global crypto hub” is within reach, provided the final wrap-up of the regulatory system is completed. Whether compliance coverage can extend from Bitcoin and Ethereum to mainstream assets such as XRP and Solana still needs to be tested by subsequent processes.
Overnight drop of 1.63%—the funding rate is still positive. Bulls are paying for lessons
Prices don’t lie: BTC is currently trading at 76,971.8, down 1.63% over the past 24 hours. Overnight it slid all the way from 78,543.9 to a low of 76,402.9. Even more ironic: the funding rate is 0.005858%—still positive. Translate this: while prices are falling, the bulls are still digging into their own pockets to maintain their positions. This isn’t conviction. It’s doing free labor for the exchange.
The daily pivot is 77,160.83, and the current price is hanging just below it. Bulls that entered overnight are now collectively “underwater.” Want to turn it around? First get back above the daily sell point at 77,918.77—then talk about your dreams. Until then, every bounce is just a courtesy ticket for the trapped-position crowd to get out.
Lock your sights on two gates below: first, 76,402.9, the 24-hour low. If it breaks, you immediately look at the daily buy point at 75,777.77. If it truly gets there, don’t get excited yet—check whether volume is supportive. With $11.04B USDT in 24-hour turnover, don’t confuse a rebound with a reversal during a low-tide period.
Over on the side, ETH is tougher: 2,458.43, down only 0.41%. The funding rate is -0.000075%, so neither bulls nor bears really want to place a bet. The 24-hour low at 2,403.33 and the daily buy point at 2,398.92 are almost touching. Whether this gate holds decides if ETH is the “resilient benchmark” or just another “catch-up dump” candidate.
The worst off is XRP: down 3.44%, currently 1.3436, having jumped down from the 1.395 peak. Its daily buy point at 1.31 still leaves some room to fall. BNB is at 715.3, down 1.06%. Whether it stays steady depends on 699.26—if that level is lost, the “buy-the-dip but it keeps dumping” scenario automatically loads.
Here’s the direction: bearish. With price below the pivot, an overnight bearish candle, and funding not turned negative—those three things stack together, making downside risk greater than upside. Today’s script is simple: break 76,402.9 and look at 75,777.77. The day it gets back above 77,918.77, I’ll be the first to change my tune.
Yesterday, whoever yelled “a pullback is an opportunity” all changed their chorus today to “healthy consolidation.” The market hasn’t changed—the talk did. In this industry, the most reliable product has always been the wording.
Under Macro Shocks, the Crypto Market Faces Pressure 📰 Crypto Morning News | 2026-09-11 09:00
🔥 Major Events 1. SBF files an appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court — FTX founder SBF appeals to the U.S. Supreme Court, seeking a new trial and overturning the order to forfeit $11 billion in assets…
📊 Market Data 1. Crypto market continues to retrace; Bitcoin falls below $77,000 — Ahead of the release of the U.S. CPI, pressure on the bond market and oil prices intensifies. The material says Bitcoin fell below $77,000, while ZEC is down 13.6% over 24 hours… 2. U.S. and Brent crude rise above $100 per barrel — The widening Middle East conflict raises supply concerns, pushing oil prices up more than 6% on Thursday. Brent crude is quoted at $107.63, while WTI is at $102.48… 3. A whale’s $70 million BTC long position nears liquidation — According to monitoring by Residual Ember, a whale’s $70 million BTC long position is only about $400 away from the liquidation price… 4. U.S. Treasury repurchases long-term Treasuries below the cap — The U.S. Treasury repurchased $5.187 billion of 10- to 20-year Treasuries, below the $6 billion highest repurchase limit. The material says this move could exacerbate selling… 5. U.S. two-year Treasury yields rise to 4.58% — U.S. two-year Treasury yields rose by 15 basis points to 4.58%, reaching the highest level since 2024, indicating a clear rise in pressure on short-term interest rates. 6. Australian Treasury yields hit a new high since 2011 — Driven by Middle East tensions boosting oil prices, Australia’s 3-year Treasury yield briefly rose 18 basis points to 5.03%… 7. Arthur Hayes mentions the MOVE index breaking above 130 — Arthur Hayes said that in addition to the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reaching 5%, it also needs to see the MOVE index break above 130… 8. U.S. stocks: AI-related shares broadly fall — The three major U.S. stock indexes fell at close, and the VIX volatility index rose 13.49%. AI-related stocks broadly declined, with CoreWeave down 6.13%… 9. South Korea’s KOSPI dips 3.29% in early trading — South Korea’s KOSPI index slips downward to touch 7,000 points, down 3.29% in early trading. The material says SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics both fell by about 4%… 10. Japan’s Nikkei 225 falls 3% intraday — The Nikkei 225 fell 3.00% during the day, to 63,229.63 points. shares of Kioxia fell 6.6%, and SoftBank Group fell 6.3%… 11. U.S. officials say Iran’s oil loading volumes have dropped sharply — U.S. officials said Iran’s oil loading volumes over the past 30 days were about 200,000 barrels per day, down from 1.8 million barrels per day in January and February… 12. South Korea’s semiconductor exports in early September up 270.1% year over year — Data from South Korean customs shows semiconductor exports grew 270.1% year over year from September 1 to 10…
🏛️ Regulatory Policies 1. European regulators warn about risks to prediction market platform licenses — ESMA said platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi providing event contracts in the EU may lack the necessary authorization… 2. Bessent downplays concerns over U.S. Treasury buybacks coming in below expectations — U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said conditions in the U.S. Treasury market are very good, and that the Treasury only repurchases when prices are cheap. The total repurchase amount on Thursday was $5.19 billion… 3. Trump says the $5,000 election bonus does not require congressional approval — Trump said that if Republicans keep control of both chambers, he plans to give each U.S. citizen a $5,000 election bonus, adding that he believes no congressional approval is needed… 4. The Trump administration will issue $500 healthcare premium refunds — The Trump administration announced it will send a one-time $500 refund to nearly 1 million Obamacare enrollees, with distribution expected in October…
💡 Project Updates 1. Bitwise announces liquidation of the Dogecoin ETF — Bitwise announced it will liquidate and close the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF BWOW… 2. Ethereum’s GlAmsterdam tentatively activates on Oct 6 for Sepolia — Ethereum developers tentatively set the GlAmsterdam upgrade activation on October 6 at 13:53 on the Sepolia testnet… 3. Kalshi plans to launch about 60 types of perpetual contracts — According to The Wall Street Journal, Kalshi plans to launch about 60 perpetual contracts linked to ETFs and individual stocks…
📊 Market Overview: BTC $76,880 (-1.63%), funding rate 0.0057%; ETH $2,455.42 (-0.37%), funding rate -0.0001% 📍 Daily trading levels: $BTC daily sell point $77,919 | daily buy point $75,778 / $ETH daily sell point $2,479.58 | daily buy point $2,398.92 / BNB daily sell point $722.73 | daily buy point $699.26
The ECB Raises Rates Again to a Deposit Rate of 2.5%
The euro area’s monetary policy has once again turned toward tightening. On September 10 local time, the European Central Bank announced it would raise all three key interest rates for the euro area by 25 basis points. The deposit facility rate, the main refinancing rate, and the marginal lending facility rate were raised to 2.50%, 2.65%, and 2.90%, respectively. Previously, in June, the ECB had already increased the three rates by 25 basis points, with the deposit facility rate rising to 2.25%. This means the current tightening cycle continues into September.
The core background remains inflation pressure driven by energy prices. Evidence shows that the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East has pushed international oil and gas prices higher. Front-month Brent crude futures briefly traded above $100 per barrel, and European natural gas prices also rose to their highest levels since 2023. For the euro area, which is highly dependent on energy imports, higher fuel costs will directly raise production costs for businesses and living costs for residents, and may also create a second-round effect through channels such as wage negotiations and pricing of goods.
From a policy logic perspective, this rate hike by the ECB is not only aimed at current inflation readings; it is also intended to prevent energy shocks from turning into broader, more persistent inflation expectations. The market and many economists have generally expected a 25-basis-point hike in September, but there is disagreement about the path afterward. Some economists believe tightening may be paused after September to avoid overly suppressing the economy. Others argue that if the energy shock persists, further actions may still be possible in October and December.
For the crypto market, the impact is mainly transmitted through three channels. First, higher euro area interest rates increase the appeal of risk-free assets, compressing valuation space for risk assets; digital assets are also indirectly affected by tighter liquidity. Second, if elevated energy prices continue to push up inflation, the period during which major central banks remain relatively tight could be extended, and market risk appetite may swing back and forth. Third, if rate hikes further intensify concerns about economic slowdown, investors may in the short term focus more on cash flow, leverage, and balance-sheet strength rather than simply chasing high-volatility assets.
The editor’s view is that the key point of this rate hike is not the 25 basis points itself, but how the ECB balances “anti-inflation credibility” against “pressure on growth.” The confirmed fact is that rates have been raised to the levels mentioned above; what remains unconfirmed is whether further consecutive hikes will follow. What is more worth watching going forward is the persistence of energy prices, signs of euro area inflation expectations, and wage transmission. These variables will determine whether this tightening cycle is nearing its end or entering a longer observation period.
#The ECB’s Second Rate Hike to 2.5% #BTC #ETH #BNB
Macroeconomic Disruptions and On-Chain Project Developments in Parallel 📰 Crypto Evening News | 2026-09-10 21:00
🔥 Major Events 1. Liquid: About $5 billion in assets ordered to be fully repaid — Samson Mow warns of the Liquid attacker, allegedly a white-hat hacker, and says that approximately $5 billion in assets belong to the issuer and holders… 2. Salesforce completes acquisition of Fin — Materials indicate that Salesforce has completed the acquisition of Fin; the original text does not provide the transaction amount or additional business details, so the announcement information should be used.
📊 Market Data 1. BTC breaks below 77,000 USDT — OKX market data shows BTC fell below 77,000 USDT and is now at 76,974.4 USDT, down 3.28% over 24H… 2. Wall Street watches U.S. midterm election combination — The U.S. midterm election is nearing its end, and investors are focusing more on the combination of congressional control; the prediction market favors Democrats winning the House, while Republicans hold a slight lead in the Senate. 3. Suspected “AI bull god” funds buy AI call options — Analysts say suspected funds related to Leopold Aschenbrenner have made concentrated buys of AI-related FLEX Calls… 4. JUGGERNAUT market cap briefly falls below $25 million — GMGN data suggests it may be affected by the listing of Robinhood Crypto… 5. FRONG market cap reaches $17.6 million — GMGN data suggests it may be affected by the listing of Robinhood Crypto; FRONG’s market cap reaches $17.6 million… 6. Suspected Cumberland wallet keeps buying PONS — Lookonchain monitoring says a wallet allegedly related to Cumberland has bought PONS every day over the past week… 7. SEI research: 71% of affluent investors have an opportunity to manage more assets — SEI research notes that 71% of affluent investors have an undeveloped opportunity to have advisers manage more of their assets…
🏛️ Regulatory Policy 1. Probability of a rate hike after the PPI rises to 70% in September — After U.S. producer prices rose 5.4% year over year over 12 months, market bets on the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 bps at its September 15–16 meeting increased from about 65%… 2. PPI data adds uncertainty for the Fed’s policy meeting — Materials say the U.S. August PPI came in at 2.4% year over year, core PPI at 0.2% month over month; the report released mixed signals…
💡 Project Updates 1. Strive raises this week to buy 130+ bitcoins — BitcoinTreasuries.NET says Strive’s pre-market trading has started… 2. Solana’s daily token issuance hits 263k — Materials show Solana’s number of tokens issued in a single day reached a record 263k, reflecting that its on-chain token issuance activity was notably active that day. 3. Study cuts the benchmark for quantum resources used in bitcoin and ethereum attack scenarios — THE BLOCK says researchers have halved a quantum-resource benchmark for a key operation in attacks targeting Bitcoin and Ethereum… 4. Bonding Period 2 launches with 250BTC tied to four institutional profiles — Materials state that at launch, 250 BTC is bound across four institutional profile categories, including bitcoin-native funds, top crypto ETP issuers, and regulated financial entities… 5. Bonding Period 2 is now live — Materials show Bonding Period 2 is opening; capacity is limited and allocated in order, and institutions can register today… 6. ProphetX teams up with Agg Market to integrate Solana — ProphetX and Agg Market have partnered to bring sports prediction markets to Solana… 7. NEAR emphasizes user-owned AI infrastructure — Materials say that users and enterprises want to protect IP and sensitive data, and NEAR is building a confidential infrastructure to support users’ own AI-related needs. 8. Dolby expands OptiView platform capabilities — Dolby expanded its Dolby OptiView platform capabilities at IBC 2026 and added new features… 9. Cisco WebexOne to showcase AI workplace progress — Materials say global industry leaders will join Cisco’s WebexOne to showcase the next stage of AI-driven work…
📊 Market Snapshot: BTC $76,860 (-3.40%), funding rate 0.0080%; ETH $2,413.21 (-3.85%), funding rate -0.0021% 📍 Daily buy/sell levels: $BTC daily sell point $79,432 | daily buy point $77,401 / $ETH daily sell point $2,513.12 | daily buy point $2,430.46 / BNB daily sell point $747.98 | daily buy point $707.59
BTC closing pinned to the daily low all day—are leveraged longs still paying to stubbornly hold on?
That little bounce during the day was all given back at night. BTC probed the all-time high of 79,648, and now it’s at 77,820, down 1.88%. The price is trading right along the daily low at 77,651. This isn’t a pullback—it’s the bulls being pressed to the ground with friction right before the close. Even more ironic is the funding rate: 0.0081%—still positive. With a drop this big, leveraged longs are still paying to harden themselves—can they really hold?
Look around: BNB is down 4.62% and only has 716 left; XRP is down 3.62%. The whole market is basically pretending to look respectable with only BTC and ETH. ETH is down 1.62% to 2,461, with volume of 7.72B—way less lively than BTC’s 11.24B. Where is the so-called dip-buying support? There isn’t even a shadow of it.
The overnight script is simple: 1. 77401 is the BTC daily buy point—and tonight’s line between life and death. If it holds, at most you may see a retest before a rebound toward the 78569 axis line. If it doesn’t hold, there’s no meaningful buffer below, and the downside risk directly amplifies. 2. Don’t get excited about the bounce. The 78569 above is the axis point; 79432 is the daily sell point, and also the graveyard of today’s failed push-up—people who chased in near 79,648 during the day are lining up to learn what position management really means. 3. For ETH, watch 2430—its daily buy point. If it breaks, the all-day low at 2440 becomes essentially meaningless.
Someone asked: after dropping this much, can you buy into it? My principle is: when the bearish signals are obvious, don’t catch the falling knife with your face. Wait for 77401 to react—either volume holds above it so we can talk about repair, or after a breakdown we look to lower steps. Guessing the bottom is the hobby of believers; it isn’t trading.
During the night, keep an eye on two things: whether the funding rate turns negative (you get rebound fuel only when shorts are crowded), and the volume near 77401. Until the answer comes out, keeping your hands in check is worth more than anything.
The market is educating investors—the tuition fee will be collected as usual tonight.
The EU Passes an Authorisation Bill to Extend the Central Contact Point Mechanism to Crypto Service Providers
For a long time, the EU’s anti-money-laundering regime has had a gap: once an institution is licensed in its home country, when it carries out business across borders in another country, the host-state regulator often lacks a fixed channel for engagement. Previously, the “Central Contact Point” (CCP) mechanism applied only to electronic money institutions and payment institutions, while crypto asset service providers were excluded. This situation is now changing. At the core factual level, according to reports from multiple media outlets, on 8 September 2026 the European Commission adopted an authorisation bill that amends the authorisation regulation, extending the CCP framework from electronic money and payment institutions to crypto asset service providers (CASPs). This standard derives from Article 45(9) of the EU’s Anti-Money Laundering Directive. The bill will enter into force on the 20th day after publication in the EU Official Journal. As a preconditionary step, the European Banking Authority conducted a public consultation from 4 December 2024 to 4 February 2025, and issued its final report on 25 April 2025. Under the new rules, member-state regulatory authorities may require institutions such as crypto trading platforms that operate in their territory in the form of non-branch entities to designate a local contact person responsible for anti-money-laundering cooperation, information reporting, and assistance with enforcement. The triggering thresholds retain existing standards: having ten or more operating points in a single member state, or cumulative annual transaction value exceeding €3 million, or refusing to provide the information required by the host-state regulator. Logically, the key is to distinguish two supervisory lines. A MiCA licence addresses the authorisation question of “whether a crypto business may provide services in the EU”; the CCP addresses the enforcement question of “how the host state collaborates with institutions that are already licensed but operate across borders.” In other words, even platforms already authorised under MiCA may still be required, when setting up points across multiple member states, to appoint a local contact point separately. This is not a new licensing hurdle, but an extension of the “local, reachable, and accountable” requirements under the existing anti-money-laundering framework. The impact pathway can be observed on three levels. First, for exchanges and service providers with operations across multiple countries, compliance costs and organisational complexity will rise: they need to inventory cross-border touchpoints, assess whether the thresholds are met, and incorporate the contact-person mechanism into compliance manuals and vendor due-diligence processes. Second, smaller cross-border platforms may reconsider the input-output balance of investing in the EU market, with industry resources potentially shifting further toward large institutions with stronger compliance capabilities. Third, this move aligns with the regulatory convergence direction following the establishment of the EU’s AML authority, and the gap in anti-money-laundering standards between the crypto industry and traditional finance will continue to narrow. The “editor’s observation” portion involves speculative judgments: these rules are typical “slow variables”—they do not directly change near-term market supply and demand, but they continuously raise the institutionalisation level of the industry. For long-term allocation-focused capital, clearer rules are often seen as a neutral-to-slightly-positive factor because they reduce compliance uncertainty; for business models that rely on cross-border regulatory leniency, they create real pressure. Follow-up nodes worth tracking include the timing of publication of the bill in the Official Journal, the pace at which each member state issues implementing measures, and how leading exchanges disclose their EU compliance framework. The above is an information consolidation and editorial viewpoint and does not constitute investment advice.
TSMC's August revenue hits a record high for the month
TSMC's latest monthly data has once again brought the heat of the AI compute supply chain back to the forefront. The company announced that its net revenue for August 2026 was approximately TWD 514.806 billion, up 53.3% year over year and up 10.1% month over month. Total net revenue from January to August was about TWD 3.39 trillion, up 39.3% year over year. In addition, reports say that August's single-month revenue reached a historical high for the company and has marked a fourth consecutive month of month-over-month revenue growth. The core fact is that the growth is not simply driven by short-term order fluctuations, but is closely tied to demand for advanced-process chips brought about by global AI infrastructure buildout. The report notes that TSMC is an important chip foundry partner for companies including Nvidia and Apple. Demand for AI server processors is concentrated in advanced processes. TrendForce data shows TSMC's share of the global wafer foundry market rose to 72.5% in the second quarter, and capacity for 5nm, 4nm, and 3nm nodes is fully utilized. Company management also said it is building and equipping around 20 fabs in Taiwan, China, and overseas—significantly more than the four or five sites it has typically advanced at the same time in the past. Logically, the high revenue growth reflects the “manufacturing-side realization” after the AI industry chain moves from model competition to infrastructure expansion. However, tight supply does not necessarily mean profit pressure is absent. Evidence shows that TSMC plans to adopt High NA extreme ultraviolet lithography technology starting from 2030 for volume production in advanced processes. The price of related equipment can be as high as roughly $400 million per unit. The company also raised its 2026 capital expenditure outlook to between $60 billion and $64 billion, which means depreciation, overseas fab construction, and the ramp-up of 2nm process technology could all affect gross margin. For the crypto market, the impact pathway is more indirect. At the factual level, TSMC's data validates that AI compute demand remains strong, which may continue to support expectations for GPU, advanced packaging, wafer foundry, and data center investment. On the speculative side, this could affect market risk appetite for AI-related crypto narratives—for example, sectors like decentralized compute, AI agents, and data services may be more easily driven by broader macro technology cycles. But the revenue, demand, and value captured by these tokens themselves are not the same as order growth for semiconductor companies. The editor's observation is that TSMC's monthly revenue provides a strong signal for the AI infrastructure upcycle, but crypto investors need to distinguish between “true growth in industry demand” and “narrative spillover.” Semiconductor capacity expansion cycles are long and capital expenditures are heavy; if, going forward, growth rates, price adjustments, or profit margin expectations change, risk appetite in the related area may also fluctuate repeatedly. A more reliable angle is whether AI compute demand continues to translate into verifiable on-chain usage, rather than remaining only as a theme-driven imagination.
#TSMC's August revenue up 53.3% year over year #BTC #ETH #BNB
Don't try to look strong at midday; the rebound hasn’t regained the key levels yet
The most eye-catching hotspot in the midday chart isn’t that BTC is down -0.961%, but that BNB is smashed to -4.288%, and XRP is also down -3.295%. This isn’t the pretty talk of a “healthy pullback”; it’s risk appetite cooling down.
BTC is currently at 78,376.2. The 24-hour high is 79,737.3, the low is 77,706.1, and volume is 12.35 billion USDT. Price is stuck below the PP around 78,569.17, not even managing to stand above the midline. Yet there are still plenty of people urgently shouting that a reversal is coming—their mouths are tougher than the candles.
ETH is even more interesting: it’s at 2,477.93, nearly breathing right against PP 2,476.6. Resistance sits at 2,513.12 above, while 2,430.46 is waiting below. The funding rate is still 8.026e-05, suggesting the long-side sentiment hasn’t died, but price isn’t giving them any face. The mood is still there, but price is the one getting timid first. This kind of combination most easily “educates” anyone chasing the rally.
BNB is at 722.79. It isn’t far from S1 at 707.59. The 24-hour low at 716.3 already knocked the market’s short-term confidence once. If it continues to weaken, don’t expect altcoins to suddenly lift off as a group. If the leader has no spirit, the followers will only get even more abstract.
XRP’s funding rate is -1.81e-05. Price is 1.3882, with a low at 1.3753. S1 at 1.37 is right by its feet. Funding has become somewhat cautious, and price is grinding along right on the edge of support. If it breaks 1.37, don’t use “belief” as a stop-loss tool.
Direction: bearish bias. Until BTC reclaims 78,569.17, any rebound in the afternoon should be treated as a weak rebound. Real resistance is at 79,432.23 above—if you can’t push up there, it’s basically an “upside fakeout” trap. Support below is 77,401.03; once that’s lost, sentiment will get even uglier. For ETH, it’s fighting for 2,476.6—only a drop back toward 2,430.46 counts as setting up the next meaningful battle zone.
Market opens and turns broadly green: BTC fails to hold the 78569 pivot point—what kind of reversal are we talking about?
Overnight script was pretty straightforward: BTC at 78261, down 0.59%; ETH at 2469, down 0.98%; BNB straight -4.07%. The four major coins were all floating green, while order-calling “big V” accounts collectively played dead.
First, look at the levels. BTC’s current price is 78261, with the pivot at 78569. Price is hanging below the pivot—this isn’t strong consolidation, it’s a weak suspension. In the past 24 hours, trading volume hit $12.25B, not small, but the direction is clearly choosing to move lower. The overnight low was 77706—only about 300 bucks away from the daily buy point at 77401. Whether today can hold it will directly determine the market sentiment for the week.
Funding rates are even more interesting. BTC +0.0031%, ETH -0.0012%, nearly flat to the ground. The leverage has been washed very cleanly, suggesting this drop wasn’t triggered by a chain reaction liquidation cascade, but by active sell pressure. What does active sell pressure mean? It means that once 77401 breaks, there won’t be many stop-loss orders resting below it—so the slide could be very smooth.
On the other hand, don’t rush into pessimism. With funding so clean, the shorts are also not crowded. If it really gets smashed into the 77401 area, it may actually trigger short covering and bounce back toward the pivot at 78569—not impossible. But that’s something to consider only after it holds; if it can’t be held, don’t dream about it.
ETH is weaker: at 2469, it can’t even reach its own pivot at 2476. The real test is the daily buy point at 2430. XRP’s funding rate is -0.0117%—the short sentiment is heaviest across the whole board. If 1.37 can’t hold, the downside room still needs to be reopened.
BNB crashed from around 758 down to roughly 717 overnight, -4.07%. The drawdown is seven times BTC’s. If BNB is trading like this, either something went wrong on the news front, or someone is exiting in bulk. Taste it yourself.
Direction: data leans bearish. Since BTC is below the pivot, the intraday logic is simple—until 78569 is reclaimed, any bounce is still a weak bounce. Below, lock onto 77401; if it breaks, downside acceleration kicks in. Only holding gives you the right to talk about “repair.”
First upside resistance is 79432, the daily sell point—when it gets there, don’t get carried away.
Someone always asks, “If it drops, can we buy the dip?” My answer has always been consistent: position matters more than emotion. Above 77401 we talk support; below it we talk risk. That’s it. The market never feels kind just because you’re trapped—it only respects levels.
🔥 Major Events 1. One person sentenced to 15 years in Bitcoin theft and kidnapping case — Adam Iza was sentenced to 15 years in prison for involvement in a kidnapping plot related to the theft of a large amount of Bitcoin… 2. More than 50 BTC rescued from a vulnerable wallet — DART said it, together with independent white-hat researchers, has recovered over 50 BTC from a wallet affected by the COLDCARD entropy vulnerability… 3. DeepSeek reportedly preparing for a Sci-Tech Innovation Board IPO — Materials say insiders have confirmed that DeepSeek is preparing for an IPO on the STAR Market/Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with CITIC having moved in for due diligence…
📊 Market Data 1. U.S. spot XRP ETF net inflow of $12.285 million in a single day — SoSoValue shows that on September 9, the total net inflow for the U.S. spot XRP ETF in one day was $12.285 million… 2. U.S. spot HYPE ETF net outflow of $5.2922 million in a single day — SoSoValue shows that on September 9, the total net outflow for the U.S. spot HYPE ETF in one day was $5.2922 million… 3. Robinhood ecosystem meme coins broadly fall — GMGN data shows that major meme coins in the Robinhood ecosystem dropped across the board; PONS fell 18.6% over 24 hours… 4. Loracle’s PONS short turns profitable — Hyperbot data shows that the PONS short position held by the whale Loracle has turned from loss to profit, with unrealized gains of about $744,700… 5. Bonk Guy portfolio shrinks by about $3.5 million in 24 hours — Lookonchain monitoring says Bonk Guy’s investment portfolio shrank by about $3.5 million over the past 24 hours due to a market pullback. 6. U.S. stocks close: AI-related stocks fall broadly — MSX.COM data shows the three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower, with the VIX volatility index rising 4.71%; AI-related stocks fell across the board… 7. USD/JPY rises to 153.711 — Gate data shows USD/JPY rose 0.12% intraday to 153.711; gold prices fell to $4,401.16 per ounce…
🏛️ Regulatory Policies 1. Nvidia and Groq trading reportedly under investigation — According to two people familiar with the matter, the U.S. Department of Justice is investigating whether Nvidia attempted to evade antitrust review to secure the related deal signed with Groq last year.
💡 Project Updates 1. Ant International and others advance smart-agent business collaboration — Ant International, Mastercard, and Visa announced the launch of Know-Your-Agen… 2. AI risk viewpoints mention investment choices — A viewpoint in the materials says that if people building and training AI believe it has become an existential threat to humans, then the reasonable option is to invest… 3. Discussion of trading and block slot parameters — The materials mention that trading occupies 4kb instead of one MTU frame, and state that Slots are 200ms instead of 400ms…
📊 Market Snapshot: BTC $78,138 (-0.79%), funding rate 0.0031%; ETH $2,463.76 (-1.30%), funding rate -0.0014% 📍 Daily buy/sell points: $BTC daily sell point $79,432 | daily buy point $77,401 / $ETH daily sell point $2,513.12 | daily buy point $2,430.46 / BNB daily sell point $747.98 | daily buy point $707.59
🔥 Major Events 1. LAPTOP now suspected of coordinated rug-pulling and cash-outs; two new wallets together cashed out $600,000 — According to trader Rune’s monitoring, one new wallet received a free allocation of 4,276 LAPTOP and then sold it for roughly $400,000… 2. Bonk Guy slams LAPTOP: valuation is utterly absurd, and risks are extremely high — Bonk Guy posted a critique of the LAPTOP project, saying it appears to be driven purely by extracting value and engaging in opportunistic behavior with little understanding of the crypto industry…
📊 Market Data 1. LAPTOP price briefly dips below $5; down about 97% from its post-listing peak — According to GMGN data, the Meme coin LAPTOP associated with Hunter Biden briefly fell below $5 and is down about 97% from its highest price after listing… 2. LAPTOP continues to drop; market cap falls below $50 billion — According to GMGN data, LAPTOP’s market cap fell below $50 billion; it is currently $40.81 billion, with a 43% drop within 5 minutes… 3. A certain whale snipes LAPTOP at the opening; profit about $1 million — According to on-chain monitoring, after LAPTOP launched at 8 PM tonight, a certain whale put in $240,000 at a price of $24 to buy… 4. “P” Marshal exits all LAPTOP, netting $970,000; ROI 387.4% — According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi’s tracking, “P” Marshal fully exited about 4 minutes ago; final profit was $970,000 with a return on investment of 387.4%… 5. FOMO buys LAPTOP; an address’s $200,000 position shrinks to $3,000 — According to Lookonchain monitoring, that address withdrew $250,000 from Binance in advance… 6. LAPTOP market cap briefly slipped below $80 billion; down over 45% in 5 minutes — According to GMGN data, LAPTOP’s market cap briefly fell below $80 billion; it is now $75.05 billion… 7. Pendle: STRC peak size previously exceeded $500 million — Pendle’s team recalled that it launched the first STRC markets about 6 months ago; at the peak, more than $500 million worth of STRC was stored in Pendle… 8. A trader profits about $234,800 in PONS trades within 9 days — According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a trader bought 1.497 million PONS within 9 days…
🏛️ Regulatory Policy 1. Hyperliquid Policy Center asks the court to dismiss CME’s CFTC lawsuit — Hyperliquid Policy Center has submitted a legal brief to the U.S. Federal Court in Washington, D.C…
💡 Project Updates 1. Pendle launches tokenized stock dividend revenue market — Pendle announced that its tokenized stock dividend feature is now live, introducing… 2. Robinhood’s tokenized stock plan expands to NVDA and PFE — The post states that the next step is for NVDA and PFE to land on the Robinhood Chain… 3. Pendle enables trading tokenized stocks using PT and YT — Pendle says opportunities for stock trading are expanding, and users can buy NVDA and PFE at a discount via PT… 4. Cosmos launches a partner network to help institutional tokenization — Cosmos announced the launch of a partner network, aimed at helping financial institutions accelerate tokenization and digital-asset-related initiatives… 5. Flex and Mesh partner to provide crypto and stablecoin deposit support for enterprises — Flex announced it has teamed up with Mesh to offer services related to crypto and stablecoin deposits for business owners… 6. BTC Digital signs mining-rig custody services agreement — BTC Digital announced it has signed with Tianci Group Holding… 7. Mellow vault launches the Turtle Discover page — Mellow Protocol’s vault has launched the Turtle Discover page…
📊 Market Snapshot: BTC $79,563 (+1.51%), funding rate 0.0047%; ETH $2,510.65 (+1.60%), funding rate 0.0030% 📍 Daily buy/sell levels: $BTC daily sell point $79,401 | daily buy point $77,525 / $ETH daily sell point $2,514.91 | daily buy point $2,446.52 / BNB daily sell point $763.82 | daily buy point $739.19
Hit 77600 but couldn’t break it—turn around and touch 79401: the shorts worked for nothing today
That one long lower wick during the day is the entire plotline of today.
BTC dipped to a low of 77600.1, just one step away from the daily buy level at 77525.13. The shorts dumped all their ammunition onto that support line… and then there was no “then.” Now the price is 79302.1, up 1.134% intraday, with the tip of its nose breathing against the daily sell point at 79401.03.
The intraday high at 79737.3 was tested once and then pressed back down, which shows there’s a queue of sellers lined up above the sell level. Yet with the day’s total traded volume of 10.14B USDT smashed down, the daily buy level remained untouched by so much as a hair—what is this? The shorts went all-in with their firepower, only swapping it for one bullish candle.
Funding rate: 0.00609%. The longs didn’t even bother adding leverage—this 1.134% move is basically spot-driven. Those big V’s who blurt out “if it explodes, it must liquidate” — how hard is it to look at the data before going live?
ETH regained the 2500 integer mark, up 1.071%. Daily sell point: 2514.91. Daily buy point: 2446.52. The daytime low at 2440.22 nearly drilled through the buy level, but in the late session it was pulled back. The logic hasn’t changed: as long as BTC doesn’t lose the level, ETH will follow and drink from the same cup.
XRP is the eye-catching one today. Up 2.339% to 1.4265. It poked the intraday high at 1.4502, briefly brushing the daily sell point of 1.45, then behaved itself. For friends who chased in—first think about how far the daily buy point at 1.38 is from you.
BNB is down 0.319% to 750.56—everyone else is green, it’s the only red in the room. While others are eating, he just watches. Boring like a bowl of plain white porridge.
Pick one of three for the night session: 1) Hold above 79401.03, target 79737.3—after breaking the previous high, we can talk about a new story. 2) Get knocked back by the sell point—first watch the pivot at 78500.57. That’s tonight’s first buffer cushion. 3) If it truly turns weak, lock onto the daily buy point at 77525.13. If it breaks, I’ll change my tune the first moment—no hesitation.
Data is leaning bullish, but until 79401 holds firm, don’t treat the rebound as a reversal. In the first hourly candle after the night session opens, keep your eyes glued to the level—that’s the main force’s favorite “sneak attack” window.
XRP up 3.1% and steals the spotlight, while BTC stays “cool” around 79,401
XRP is up +3.121% in half a day, and the crowd that keeps shouting “a great new era is here” has rolled back in bulk. Your memories are shorter than a goldfish—doesn’t the scar from chasing higher highs that you were taught last time heal that fast?
BTC is at 79,136. It’s only 50 away from the intraday high of 79,186, and just one step from the daily sell point at 79,401.03. The rise of 0.574% is slow—like an elderly person taking a stroll—but the price action is grinding against the previous highs, ten times healthier than the usual jumping up and down. In the last 24 hours, turnover is 10.1 billion USDT; the volume matches the move upward, and it isn’t fake.
ETH +1.206%, at 2,508.44. The daily sell point at 2,514.91 is right overhead. Yesterday’s low at 2,440.22 and the daily buy point at 2,446.52 are below your feet. Walls on both sides—who breaks first decides.
The key is funding rates: BTC at 0.007347%, ETH at 0.01%. Price is rising, but the rate is cold—bulls aren’t even bothered to pay the premium. What does that mean? This isn’t a leverage-driven rally; it’s spot. Without overheated longs, there’s no “fuel” for a chain liquidation. This kind of climb is actually likely to go farther. When funding rockets sky-high and the whole square is cheering, then you can get nervous—no rush.
XRP at 1.4338. Daily sell point 1.45, buy point 1.38. If you’re charging in for a 3% move, ask yourself first: can you hold when it returns to 1.38? If you can’t, then the excitement at the doorstep of 1.45 has nothing to do with you.
BNB +1.228% at 755.05—steady, but there’s no story. No story means no premium. The market’s quiet, well-behaved person—holding without needing to be “exciting.”
Direction: slightly bullish. BTC needs to hold above 78,500.57 and chew through 79,401.03 to upgrade the trend. If a pullback to 77,525.13 doesn’t break, the rhythm isn’t broken. If 77,525.13 breaks, this rebound is paper-thin—wait for a deeper pit.
There’s only one retail rule: don’t crowd where it’s noisy; watch the quiet data instead. The market is educating investors—tuition is never discounted.
An overnight sell-off hit 77,600 and got snatched up in one go—shorts couldn’t even touch the daily-line buy level.
After one night, BTC is down only 0.77%, trading at 78,671.9. Really?
The overnight low was 77,600.1, and the daily buy level at 77,525.13 is right there. The bids directly took the order—when something can’t fall anymore, that’s called a washout.
The opening price is back above the pivot at 78,500.57. That’s today’s first key line.
Funding rate is 0.0065%—even longs aren’t bothered to add leverage. 24-hour spot volume is 10.1 billion USDT; volume is normal, no panic, no overheating.
ETH is even more worry-free: down just 0.097% to 2,491.76—dead-serious sideways consolidation. Overnight low 2,440.22, daily buy level 2,446.52 is steadily caught above it, with a funding rate of 0.0061%. The leader isn’t showing much enthusiasm—which actually suggests there’s no bubble.
BNB is up 1.55% to 752.56 and has reclaimed the pivot at 750.55. XRP is up 1.09% to 1.4154. Altcoins flipping green first is usually not a bad sign.
Bias: slightly bullish.
Three reasons: ① the overnight dip into the buy level got absorbed; ② price is back above the pivot; ③ funding is mild and altcoins have turned red to green. In this kind of structure, if people are still calling for a dump, they’re probably the ones who didn’t get out last week, looking for psychological compensation.
Intraday script: Above, watch 79,401.03; the overnight high is 79,476. If it shows volume and holds above 79,401, sentiment instantly flips. Below, defend 77,525.13. If the body breaks below here, short-term longs will admit they’re wrong and exit—don’t fall in love with the trend.
ETH, same reference: resistance 2,514.91, support 2,446.52. If it’s still hovering above 2,490, don’t go messing around.
Retail traders’ usual problem is always the same: they want to be fully loaded at the lowest point, they want to completely exit at the highest point, and in between they just stare blankly. When the market opens, first pin 78,500.57 and 77,525.13 onto the screen.