09/09/2026 Fundamental Analysis: Geopolitics and Macroeconomics
As I always tell you, the movement of metals—and especially gold #PAXG —is the result of institutional movement. 🐳 Geopolitical Tensions (U.S. vs. Iran): The escalation of tensions in the Middle East has reached a point of no return. Fears of blockages in the Strait of Hormuz or direct/indirect confrontations have sparked a surge in risk aversion. Institutional investors are fleeing to the ultimate safe-haven asset: gold.
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Outlook: Waiting for the CPI Report
07/09/2026
The geopolitical and macroeconomic outlook for the second week of September is shaped by the convergence of key inflation data, major central bank decisions, and diplomatic preparations ahead of the UN General Assembly.
Impact on Traditional Markets and Macroeconomics 1. Global Economy and Stock Market U.S. Stocks (S&P 500, Nasdaq): The September 11 CPI report will determine sentiment. A higher-than-expected figure will cut the odds of a dovish Fed pivot at its subsequent meeting, putting pressure on high-valuation tech stocks. If inflation is shown to be contained, equity markets will respond with a tactical rebound.
The current Solana scenario reflects selling pressure on lower timeframes, confirming weakness while the short moving average (EMA 7) remains acting as immediate dynamic resistance above the current price.
Key Market Data
Current Price: $103.76
Immediate Resistance (EMA 7 / 15m): $104.82
Projection / Key Supports (4H): $102.68 — $97.38
Early Trend: High volatility with a bearish bias on short timeframes (15m).
Price Action Reading
In 15 Minutes: The inability to break above EMA 7 ($104.82) keeps the bearish impulse active. Unless there is a close above this level with volume, the risk of a sweep into lower zones remains high.
In 4 Hours: The loss of the local structure opens the door to searching for the first relevant support at $102.68. If volatility increases and selling pressure intensifies, the next technical target to watch is in the $97.38 range.
Strategy & Risk Management
Bearish Scenario (Short / Continuation): Ongoing rejection confirmation at the EMA 7 or a breakdown of the $102.68 support with a target at $97.38. $SOL Invalidation Scenario: A strong candle close on 15m/1h above $104.82 would neutralize the immediate drop, seeking consolidation.
Capital Management: Volatile market. Keep leverage controlled (max x2 - x5) and manage a stop loss set above the EMA 7 to mitigate risks.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or an investment suggestion. Do your own research (DYOR) before trading.
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