VIIThePrince_七公子1024

Seize the momentum, follow the right path, and master the art

#SPCX was officially listed on June 12. The issue price was set at $135. At present, the tradable circulating shares within the market account for only a small portion of the total share capital—should be less than 5%.

After the second-quarter report is disclosed at the end of July, the company will begin the first round of low-cost unlocks for original shareholders’ holdings. From July to September, the unlocks will continue in multiple batches. By early September, the float can expand by nearly 9 times. The tradable chips in the market will directly increase by 9 times—are you still buying the dip??

Let me break down a few bearish catalysts you’re likely to see over the next three days. This is purely my own read of the market; it is not investment advice:

On the 14th, SK Hynix’s low-price shares from its previous private placement will have their concentrated delivery. The cost basis of this batch is around 149, and the size is large. When that happens, plenty of holders will likely choose to take profits and exit. Once selling pressure shows up, it won’t only weigh on SKHY—Micron and other storage-related leveraged products could be pulled down as well. Even the overall sentiment in the crypto market could weaken, and volatility will be amplified.

On the 15th, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Wach will go to Congress for a semiannual address. The market broadly expects the remarks to be hawkish. If expectations of tightening are reinforced, U.S. Treasury yields could easily push higher, compressing valuation multiples for growth stocks and cryptocurrencies.

On the 16th, the Bank of Korea is expected to hike rates by 25 basis points. After the hike, local market liquidity is likely to tighten, making it hard for the Korean stock market overall to perform strongly—adding another layer of pressure on the storage sector.

With three days of negative events stacking up, capital will most likely remain cautious and in watch-and-wait mode. Don’t rush to heavily bet on a rebound. For storage leverage and crypto coins with high volatility, reduce exposure as much as possible. Wait until these pieces of news have all played out and the market sentiment stabilizes before looking for opportunities. #海力士 #存储 #美联储 #加息预期 #韩股

The Bank of Korea is very likely to raise interest rates by 25bp; liquidity in Korean stocks will tighten, which will continue to drag down related SK assets. #海力士

15号 Federal Reserve testimony: market expectations are more hawkish. When US Treasury yields rise, risk assets are unlikely to have a rally #海力士

On release and shipping of the SK hynix chips worth 149 cost for No. 14; the entire memory line can easily be taken down weakly #skhy #海力士

Over the next three days, a series of bearish signals will hit one after another, and the storage sector and the crypto market face considerable short-term pressure #KORU #SOXL

#Hynix #SK rises to 170 原始配售 has 10%+ profit (allotment cost 149, premium 10%+)

After trading for a long time, you realize that making big money depends on market trends, and staying alive depends on risk control. Recently, many people see a small rebound and go all-in, ignoring the underlying macro pressure and the risks of capital outflows. It’s easy to not be able to hold up when the market pulls back.

In phases where you can’t make sense of the market or there’s a lot of disagreement, staying in cash and waiting is not missing out. Preserving your capital is what gives you a chance to wait for a clearer, more certain行情. Don’t envy others’ short-term swing gains. A stable, controllable trading pace is the key to surviving in the market long term.

So SK Hynix charges are as low as 0.52%?! The long-position trades are way too crowded—everyone knows the obvious good news—could it all be hiding something? It feels like the probability of a sharp run-up and then a pullback and liquidation tonight when it lists is too high!

Today: #SK Hailiši ADR listed on the Nasdaq; trading begins with the formal pre-opening auction at 21:30. July 9, 15:30-18:00 will publish the final offering price

#SK #海力士 ADR 发行核心供需：募资总额 280-294 亿美元，股本稀释 2.4%；短期跨市场套利抛压主导行情，长期指数被动资金存在 10 个交易日时间滞后，今日无法对冲日内卖压，不要追高

#KORU暴跌 In-depth analysis of why KORU crashed
1. The core of the collapse isn’t a crash in the Korean stock market—it’s a natural trap created by 3x daily reset leverage. Selling is forced more passively the further the price drops, and the decline gets crushed harder and harder.
2. Dual blows to valuation: the depreciation of the won plus rising U.S. Treasury yields. A KORU priced in USD has to suffer losses from both the index and the currency at the same time.
3. With a 45% position in semiconductors, any small shift in chip market sentiment can directly amplify KORU’s drawdown by three times.
4. Retail investors piled into long positions, and the crypto perpetual market’s high leverage layered on top—small pullbacks can trigger a chain reaction of liquidations, leading to a cascading stampede.
Holding KORU in a choppy market for the long term will almost certainly lose money. Volatility decay erodes the principal every day, and the crash is just the concentrated realization of losses. Leveraged ETFs are only suitable for intraday tactical trading; holding them medium-to-long term means passively bearing unlimited downside risk.

抓确定性机会，放弃模糊的反弹；
风控永远要放在行情预判前面

#KORU The stock market fluctuations in the Kimchi country are really too big🤪

Turns out you can only make money by forgetting $ZEC 🥹