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行情分析，合约现货技术分析，区块链技术分析！钉钉：msp252580
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Meme Coin Comeback! DOGE and SHIB Get Regulated Futures, Can We Still Buy the Dip?
Once mocked as a 'pure meme' cryptocurrency, now it's surprisingly entered the mainstream financial circle! DOGE (Dogecoin) and SHIB (Shiba Inu) can now be traded as regulated futures, and this wave of mainstream recognition has really raised expectations! Today, let's talk about the current situation of these two coins and see if there are any opportunities to buy the dip!
First, let's look at Dogecoin, which has been a bit sluggish recently—lying flat in the 12.5-14 cent range, down 11%-18% over the past month, which is quite frustrating. It's currently stuck at a small resistance level of 16 cents, with 18 cents being a tougher hurdle. But to be honest, once it breaks through these two levels, it could take off by 40%+! Moreover, the technical indicators are showing exhaustion, indicating oversold signals, so it might suddenly bounce back any day now. Of course, we also need to watch out for key supports at 11 cents and 10 cents; breaking those could lead to trouble.
First, let's look at Dogecoin, which has been a bit sluggish recently—lying flat in the 12.5-14 cent range, down 11%-18% over the past month, which is quite frustrating. It's currently stuck at a small resistance level of 16 cents, with 18 cents being a tougher hurdle. But to be honest, once it breaks through these two levels, it could take off by 40%+! Moreover, the technical indicators are showing exhaustion, indicating oversold signals, so it might suddenly bounce back any day now. Of course, we also need to watch out for key supports at 11 cents and 10 cents; breaking those could lead to trouble.
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Breaking! Coinbase launches compliant futures for SHIB/DOGE, institutions are flocking to layout crypto derivatives
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DOGE stands at a watershed! $0.074 life and death line, is it holding back a big move or is it cooling off?
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Why did the cryptocurrency market drop today?
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The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike storm is coming! Will cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH rise or fall next? Should retail investors lie flat or buy the dip?
This Friday afternoon (12.19) the Bank of Japan is set to announce its interest rate decision, and the market is going crazy — betting on a rate hike of 1 basis point (which is an increase of 0.25 percentage points) to 0.75%, with a probability as high as 95%! This is the highest record since 1995, and the Bank of Japan is about to completely bid farewell to the 'ultra-low interest rate lying flat mode'~
Why are they so bold? Three strong data points back them up:
Prices are skyrocketing: core CPI has exceeded the 2% target for 28 consecutive months, directly hitting 3.0% in October, making the yen in hand increasingly worthless;
Wages have also increased: nominal wages rose by 2.6% in October, higher than market expectations, and with the spiral rise of prices and wages, interest rates cannot be suppressed without a hike;
Why are they so bold? Three strong data points back them up:
Prices are skyrocketing: core CPI has exceeded the 2% target for 28 consecutive months, directly hitting 3.0% in October, making the yen in hand increasingly worthless;
Wages have also increased: nominal wages rose by 2.6% in October, higher than market expectations, and with the spiral rise of prices and wages, interest rates cannot be suppressed without a hike;
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Trump-related project splashes 120 million! USD1 going hard against USDT/PYUSD? Regulatory red lines hanging overhead
Trump's return to the White House marks one year, and his family's associated cryptocurrency project WLFI has made a big move! This Wednesday, the governance forum proposed a motion: to use 5% of the national treasury reserves (about 120 million USD) to subsidize its own stablecoin USD1, vowing to seize market share. This operation has directly focused Washington and Wall Street — it's not just a turf war in the crypto circle, but also a limit test of political influence and regulatory red lines!
Burning money to exchange for market! USD1 hard against the two giants
WLFI's calculations are ringing loud: using subsidies to exchange for liquidity, a strategy similar to the traditional tech industry's 'burning money to acquire customers'. Specifically, it will spend in three areas: providing market-making rewards for the USD1 liquidity pool, subsidizing payment companies for settlement connections, and giving cashback to cross-border remittance companies, directly targeting the stablecoin giants USDT and PayPal's PYUSD.
Burning money to exchange for market! USD1 hard against the two giants
WLFI's calculations are ringing loud: using subsidies to exchange for liquidity, a strategy similar to the traditional tech industry's 'burning money to acquire customers'. Specifically, it will spend in three areas: providing market-making rewards for the USD1 liquidity pool, subsidizing payment companies for settlement connections, and giving cashback to cross-border remittance companies, directly targeting the stablecoin giants USDT and PayPal's PYUSD.
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DOGE to drop 60%? BTC rebound can't save it! Is the 2022 collapse script about to repeat?
Analyst VisionPulsed Emergency Warning: Even if Bitcoin rebounds, Dogecoin (DOGE) could plummet to $0.05. The technical divergence + signals of historical repetition make this too dangerous!
📊 BTC has a chance of rebounding, it all depends on the 'higher lows'
BTC's daily RSI indicator is falling from overbought to oversold. In the past two months, every time this indicator 'reset', BTC made new lows. But this time is different — if the indicator reaches oversold and BTC can create 'higher lows', it would be the first time in two months and could trigger a short-term rebound.
However, don’t be blindly optimistic! BTC is currently stuck at the lower edge of the 7-8 day Gaussian channel, having stayed there for 4 weeks. In 2022, it lingered in a similar range for 63 days before breaking down. Whether it can rebound depends entirely on whether the recent lows can be held; if broken, there’s no hope.
📊 BTC has a chance of rebounding, it all depends on the 'higher lows'
BTC's daily RSI indicator is falling from overbought to oversold. In the past two months, every time this indicator 'reset', BTC made new lows. But this time is different — if the indicator reaches oversold and BTC can create 'higher lows', it would be the first time in two months and could trigger a short-term rebound.
However, don’t be blindly optimistic! BTC is currently stuck at the lower edge of the 7-8 day Gaussian channel, having stayed there for 4 weeks. In 2022, it lingered in a similar range for 63 days before breaking down. Whether it can rebound depends entirely on whether the recent lows can be held; if broken, there’s no hope.
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Can DOGE reach 1 dollar? Hope to realize the dream in 2029, currently at 0.133 dollars, focus on two key levels!
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BTC Late Night Wash Trading! 4 Hours Liquidation of 194 Million, Brother Maji Chased Up for a Week and Lost 3.4 Million
On the night of December 17, the crypto market suddenly experienced a wash trading event! Around 22:45, BTC made a sharp short-term surge, breaking through 90,000 USD, but then selling pressure hit, causing it to not only give back all its gains but also drop below 87,000 USD. ETH's price movement was synchronized, initially breaking 3,000 USD before quickly retreating, with the writing time reporting 2,850 USD.
Coingalss data shows that in the past 4 hours, the total network liquidation reached 194 million USD, with long positions liquidated at 72 million USD and short positions liquidated at 121 million USD.
Taiwan's well-known investor Brother Maji once again chased the rising market and fell into a trap. OnchainLens monitoring shows that he deposited 149904 USDC that night, opened a 40x BTC long position, a 10x HYPE long position, and increased his 25x ETH long position, with all three positions currently in a losing state.
According to htc data, this "Long Position King" has accumulated a loss of 3.4 million USD in the past week, with recent operations continuously falling behind.
On the night of December 17, the crypto market suddenly experienced a wash trading event! Around 22:45, BTC made a sharp short-term surge, breaking through 90,000 USD, but then selling pressure hit, causing it to not only give back all its gains but also drop below 87,000 USD. ETH's price movement was synchronized, initially breaking 3,000 USD before quickly retreating, with the writing time reporting 2,850 USD.
Coingalss data shows that in the past 4 hours, the total network liquidation reached 194 million USD, with long positions liquidated at 72 million USD and short positions liquidated at 121 million USD.
Taiwan's well-known investor Brother Maji once again chased the rising market and fell into a trap. OnchainLens monitoring shows that he deposited 149904 USDC that night, opened a 40x BTC long position, a 10x HYPE long position, and increased his 25x ETH long position, with all three positions currently in a losing state.
According to htc data, this "Long Position King" has accumulated a loss of 3.4 million USD in the past week, with recent operations continuously falling behind.
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Is the altcoin season over? Experts say: It hasn't ended, it will start rising in Q2 2026!
Are you about to go crazy from altcoins? BTC is charging ahead, while altcoins are lying flat in place, and many investors are anxiously stamping their feet: Is the altcoin season completely dead, or is it simply delayed?
The answer is here — multiple big names have spoken: It's not dead, it just hasn't started yet!
Four-year cycle changed to five years? The core reason for the delay has been found.
Macro expert Raoul Pal directly pointed out: Stop stubbornly clinging to the old four-year cycle; it has quietly transformed into a five-year structure!
The key reason is simple: The maturity dates of many debts from 2021-2022 were extended, leading to market liquidity being less than expected, and the altcoin rebound that was supposed to come has naturally been postponed.
The answer is here — multiple big names have spoken: It's not dead, it just hasn't started yet!
Four-year cycle changed to five years? The core reason for the delay has been found.
Macro expert Raoul Pal directly pointed out: Stop stubbornly clinging to the old four-year cycle; it has quietly transformed into a five-year structure!
The key reason is simple: The maturity dates of many debts from 2021-2022 were extended, leading to market liquidity being less than expected, and the altcoin rebound that was supposed to come has naturally been postponed.
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SHIB is not crashing! But is this the bottom? Two trends to watch closely, don't blindly bottom fish!
SHIB is finally not 'free-falling' anymore! The previous flash crash mode, where it dropped without brakes, has stopped, and the volatility has become extremely low. It appears to have stabilized, but don't rush to shout 'bottom fishing'—this can at most be called 'not crashing', and we are still far from the true bottom!
The current state of SHIB is very clear: it is not 'stronger', it is just 'not falling'. Compared to the sharp drop in October-November, the price has finally stabilized, and the selling pressure has clearly weakened, but from a technical perspective, there is still no confidence:
✅ All important moving averages are still pressing down, and the long-term moving average trend remains bearish, indicating that the downtrend has not reversed at all;
The current state of SHIB is very clear: it is not 'stronger', it is just 'not falling'. Compared to the sharp drop in October-November, the price has finally stabilized, and the selling pressure has clearly weakened, but from a technical perspective, there is still no confidence:
✅ All important moving averages are still pressing down, and the long-term moving average trend remains bearish, indicating that the downtrend has not reversed at all;
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BTC hits $88,000 and encounters resistance! Bitwise calls for a new high in 2026, is the four-year bear market curse truly ineffective?
This wave of Bitcoin operations is a bit exciting! It just broke through $87,000 last night and immediately faced pressure around $88,000. Both bulls and bears are fighting fiercely, and the market is still debating whether it will drop back to $80,000. Bitwise directly threw out a 'reassurance': the four-year bear market curse no longer works, and 2026 is expected to refresh the historical high!
📉 Four-year cycle failure? Institutional funds rewrite the rules
In the past, Bitcoin's 'script' was quite fixed: soaring after halving, then entering a bear market two years later, with no exceptions in 2014, 2018, and 2022. But Bitwise investment director Matt Hougan said this routine is now invalid!
📉 Four-year cycle failure? Institutional funds rewrite the rules
In the past, Bitcoin's 'script' was quite fixed: soaring after halving, then entering a bear market two years later, with no exceptions in 2014, 2018, and 2022. But Bitwise investment director Matt Hougan said this routine is now invalid!
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Is the market approaching the bottom? Japan's interest rate hike + CPI negative news hides opportunities! ETH rebound is imminent, and the meme coin NIGHT does not follow the drop hiding opportunities.
Recently, the crypto market has been mainly focusing on a "grinding fluctuation", but key signals have already clustered together — Japan's interest rate hike is imminent, the fear index has soared to 16, ETH's pullback is about to finish, and there are plenty of meme coins and manipulated coins hiding opportunities!
📊 Core signal of the market: The bottom is getting closer, and the bad news landing is an opportunity!
First, look at the overall market: After a sharp drop, BTC rebounded to around $87,000, with Japan's rate hikes on the 18th and 19th (over 90% probability), the market is getting closer to the bottom! The fear index is still in the "extreme fear" zone at 16, a typical window period of "others panic, I am greedy"!
📊 Core signal of the market: The bottom is getting closer, and the bad news landing is an opportunity!
First, look at the overall market: After a sharp drop, BTC rebounded to around $87,000, with Japan's rate hikes on the 18th and 19th (over 90% probability), the market is getting closer to the bottom! The fear index is still in the "extreme fear" zone at 16, a typical window period of "others panic, I am greedy"!
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DOGE drops 5.9% breaking 0.13! Holding at 0.127 dollars is the only hope for recovery, on-chain activity is cooling down
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After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, DOGE fell by 5%! $0.131 became resistance, and as long as $0.129 holds, there is hope for stability.
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LUNA drops 20%! Can it hold at 0.13 USD? Should we short now or bottom fish?
LUNA has dropped quite severely this time! It started plummeting 20.1% on Monday, hitting a low of 0.127 USD, and is now hovering around 0.13 USD. Friends who previously called for bottom fishing might be getting slapped in the face now～
Previously, there were reports saying that buying opportunities arose when LUNA held at 0.15-0.16 USD, but the recent downturn has completely wiped out bullish expectations. Although the 3-day chart still shows some bullish structure, there have been multiple attempts to break through in the past few months, but each time it couldn't hold. The long-term trend has been bearish since the crash in 2022, and it's basically impossible to return to the glory days of 80 or 100 USD.
Previously, there were reports saying that buying opportunities arose when LUNA held at 0.15-0.16 USD, but the recent downturn has completely wiped out bullish expectations. Although the 3-day chart still shows some bullish structure, there have been multiple attempts to break through in the past few months, but each time it couldn't hold. The long-term trend has been bearish since the crash in 2022, and it's basically impossible to return to the glory days of 80 or 100 USD.
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SOL This month's bottom range is locked in! 114-102 focus first, break 95 look towards around 84
SOL The overall trend is bearish: 45-day moving average death cross and opening downwards, operating below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (148.5), before breaking and stabilizing at this point, the rebound is difficult to reverse the downward trend, previously peaked only at 146 and then fell back.
Core reference for bottom fishing: The lower Bollinger Bands on the 10/15/20 days and monthly lines are concentrated in the 114-102 range, combined with the monthly EMA52 (109.5), when the 100 level is not broken, you can layout here.
Response to extreme situations: After breaking below 100, look towards 96.25-95.65; if breaking 95, the support below looks towards 86.25-84.85.
SOL The overall trend is bearish: 45-day moving average death cross and opening downwards, operating below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands (148.5), before breaking and stabilizing at this point, the rebound is difficult to reverse the downward trend, previously peaked only at 146 and then fell back.
Core reference for bottom fishing: The lower Bollinger Bands on the 10/15/20 days and monthly lines are concentrated in the 114-102 range, combined with the monthly EMA52 (109.5), when the 100 level is not broken, you can layout here.
Response to extreme situations: After breaking below 100, look towards 96.25-95.65; if breaking 95, the support below looks towards 86.25-84.85.
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Will Japan's interest rate hike not lead to a drop? You're thinking too much! The real crash is still to come. Japan was already dropping before the interest rate hike; does that mean it won't drop after the announcement?
The answer is very clear: it's basically impossible to avoid a significant drop! In the past two rate hikes, expectations warmed up first leading to a drop, and once the rate hike was announced, there was a direct crash. After a few days, there will be another wave of 'needle' style drops.
The key reason is that after the announcement of the rate hike, Japanese investors' funds will officially flow back to the local market, tightening market liquidity — this is when a real crash will be triggered, and it also presents a good opportunity for bottom fishing.
The answer is very clear: it's basically impossible to avoid a significant drop! In the past two rate hikes, expectations warmed up first leading to a drop, and once the rate hike was announced, there was a direct crash. After a few days, there will be another wave of 'needle' style drops.
The key reason is that after the announcement of the rate hike, Japanese investors' funds will officially flow back to the local market, tightening market liquidity — this is when a real crash will be triggered, and it also presents a good opportunity for bottom fishing.
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DOGE is battling at the 0.13 dollar support! 24-hour trading volume is 1.14 billion, rebound depends on whether the buying pressure can strengthen
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Is Dogecoin lying flat? Down 16% this month, can it rise to 0.33 USD in 2026?
DOGE this wave is really weak! The meme coin sector is collectively fatigued, and it is also under pressure. The viral rise has long since disappeared, and now we can only wait for a substantial rebound. Whether it can make a comeback in 2026 is still uncertain~
Currently, DOGE is hovering around 0.132 USD, with a small increase of 1% over the past 24 hours, showing no upward momentum. More concerning is that it has already dropped 6% this week, and nearly 16% throughout December. The persistent selling pressure has not stopped. After all, during a downturn in the crypto market, meme coins are always the first to be sold off, as they lack any strong logic and rely entirely on market sentiment to stay afloat~
Currently, DOGE is hovering around 0.132 USD, with a small increase of 1% over the past 24 hours, showing no upward momentum. More concerning is that it has already dropped 6% this week, and nearly 16% throughout December. The persistent selling pressure has not stopped. After all, during a downturn in the crypto market, meme coins are always the first to be sold off, as they lack any strong logic and rely entirely on market sentiment to stay afloat~
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