初瑞的日记

With a stable approach to follow the rhythm, if you keep up, you can grasp the navigation situation together!
Still hesitating and not daring to enter the market, still troubled by not understanding the navigation situation, still worried about losses, some partners have already found the way, and those who follow the rhythm have already secured their own share of the land!
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH #巨鲸动向

Congratulations on your new car in the snowy plains! 🎉
"A day in the crypto world is worth ten years in the real world" is not just talk—goals that ordinary people can only look up to can be realized here with just two transactions.
Don't just envy others enjoying the world first, bravely take the first step, and the next person to unlock their ideal life will be you! $币安人生 $BTC $ETH #Strategy增持比特币 #主流币轮动上涨

Trump's speech becomes a key catalyst for the gold market, with the logic of mid to long-term upward momentum unchanged.

Today at 10:00, Trump's national speech became a critical short-term variable for the gold market, and its impact needs to be judged in conjunction with the speech content, gold technical indicators, and market trends.

From a safe-haven perspective, if the speech mentions negative information such as geopolitical conflicts or trade frictions, market risk aversion will rise, directly pushing up gold prices and helping it to challenge historical highs; if signals of easing tensions are released, gold may face temporary pressure, but the strong support at the 4330 level will absorb selling pressure, making it difficult to change the overall rhythm.

In terms of economic policy, if the speech releases signals of fiscal easing and economic stimulus, rising inflation expectations and a weakening dollar will be double positives for gold, accelerating its breakthrough process; if strong dollar and tightening tendencies are mentioned, gold may experience a short-term pullback, but it will also become an opportunity for bargain hunting— the easing environment following Federal Reserve rate cuts determines that the mid to long-term logic for gold's price increase remains unchanged.

In addition, if the content of the speech exceeds market expectations, it will amplify gold's volatility; if it meets expectations, gold prices will quickly revert to technical indicators, continuing the trend of 'Asian and European fluctuations, U.S. market rises,' with 4330 still being an important anchor point for the short-term market.
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH

November non-farm collection rate reaches a five-year high, making this year's initial value the most reliable

In November, the U.S. non-farm collection rate approached a five-year high, leading to this non-farm initial value being referred to as "this year's most reliable initial value," with some even suggesting a "blessing in disguise."

The non-farm collection rate is a key indicator of data accuracy. The higher the collection rate, the broader the sample coverage, and the smaller the deviation between the initial value and the revised value. This new high breaks the previous trend of weakness in the collection phase, allowing investors to better assess the true state of the U.S. job market and reducing the trading risks associated with data uncertainty.

The interpretation of "blessing in disguise" stems from previous non-farm data being revised multiple times due to low collection rates. Regulatory and statistical departments have optimized the collection process and strengthened verification mechanisms, and these improvements showed results in November, shifting from the risk of data distortion to the positive outcome of a high collection rate.

This highly reliable initial value also provides solid reference for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, helping it to more accurately gauge the pace of interest rate adjustments. However, the market still needs to take a rational view, as data from a single month is difficult to reflect the overall job market. Future attention should still be paid to data revisions and changes in market dynamics. $BTC $币安人生 $ETH

On Monday during the Asian trading session, international gold prices continued their strength, attracting dip buying and rising to around $4326, setting a new high since October 21.

Market sentiment is generally bullish, primarily influenced by the dual effects of the Fed's monetary policy shift and a decline in global risk appetite.

From the perspective of monetary policy, the Fed announced last week its third interest rate cut of the year, and the last one for this year, lowering the target federal funds rate range by 25 basis points to 3.50%–3.75%.

As the trend of falling inflation gradually becomes apparent, the market has begun to price in the possibility of further rate cuts next year. A decline in interest rates means that the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets decreases, and this logic provides ongoing support for gold.

At the same time, rising macroeconomic uncertainty has also strengthened gold's safe-haven attributes. Recent sudden security incidents have triggered risk aversion in the market, with some funds flowing into gold and other safe-haven assets. In the absence of a trend-based strengthening of the dollar, the impact of these funds on gold prices is quite evident.

However, there are still differences within the Fed regarding the policy path. Some officials believe that, in the context of key economic data being delayed due to the government shutdown, further rate cuts require more confirmation;

Other officials emphasize that a sufficiently tight interest rate level should be maintained to ensure that inflationary pressures remain controlled. This has led to a contraction in market expectations for a "rapid easing cycle."

Looking ahead, the delayed release of U.S. non-farm payroll data and speeches from several Fed officials will be key factors influencing the short-term direction of gold prices. If the policy signals are hawkish, the dollar may experience a temporary rebound, thereby exerting pressure on gold. $BTC $币安人生 $ETH

On the first day of December layout, don't panic as it goes low, the turning point password has appeared! Keep up the rhythm, seize the opportunity to turn things around, limited to 5-10 spots, grab the year-end sprint position!
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH #加密市场反弹

Overall, last week was a big win for Aunt Da Bing!

Outlook for next week: Da Bing is focused on key price levels, avoid crowding in the same direction, set proper stop losses; Aunt is continuing to take it steady, ride the trend closely, and grab more!
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持

The core layout of December has officially launched. On the first day, with all lines declining, there's no need to panic; instead, it hides the key to market turning points! Follow the professional rhythm, and without getting caught up in short-term fluctuations, you can accurately capture the recovery opportunities after a sharp decline, stepping on every trading node correctly to lock in the core profits of this round of the market. Join now, and you won't miss the final sprint opportunity to reach the shore by the end of the year!
Currently offering 5 to 10 spots, those who want to keep up with the rhythm, hop on quickly!
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH #巨鲸动向

The situation is not right, let's change our perspective to turn the tide. It's not that we didn't get a big steak, after all, there's some soup to drink. This wave has also brought in a thousand or so!
$BTC $币安人生 #巨鲸动向

While others are still guessing and probing, we have already feasted on N waves! Those who keep up with the rhythm understand: in the crypto market, choosing the right direction is more important than staying up all night watching~ Have you kept up with this month's gains?
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持

Trump's speech this morning: The "policy stimulant" in the crypto circle

After Trump's speech this morning, the crypto market surged immediately: Bitcoin rose by 2.3%, $TRUMP token jumped by 8%, and Ripple followed with a 3% increase. This "policy-driven sales" has pushed the crypto market into another round of frenzy known as the "Trump cycle."

1. The "secret code" of the surge in the speech

Trump continues the "crypto-friendly" tone:

- Proposes legislation for exchanges to have "litigation-free regulation," resolving the SEC litigation issues for platforms like Coinbase;

- States that the government’s 200,000 seized Bitcoins will be "permanently banned from sale," reinforcing Bitcoin's scarcity;

- Hints that family crypto projects will connect with banks, adding value to the $TRUMP token.

2. Who is making money?

This market trend is a game of "monetizing power":

- Trump is associated with the $TRUMP token, whales preemptively positioned to earn 1.5 billion, while retail investors lose over 3.8 billion;

- BlackRock pushes crypto retirement funds through policy, raising 6.5 billion in a single month to earn management fees;

- Zhao Changpeng, who was pardoned, uses Trump's family to issue stablecoin USD1, indirectly returning to the U.S. market.

3. The risks of the frenzy: Is the bubble about to burst?

Hidden risks behind the hype:

- Trump's crypto interests are under congressional investigation, and policies could reverse at any time;

- Bitcoin's volatility has reached 42%, and a Federal Reserve rate hike could trigger a sharp decline;

- Stablecoins like USD1 have no reserve audits, with signs of potential bank run risks.

This "policy-driven sales" is merely a short-term stimulant, and in the end, it is the retail investors who believe in the "presidential endorsement" that will pay the price.
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持

The weekend's short-term surge has exploded, gaining over 3000 points in the morning. This wave is securely in the bag!
$BTC $币安人生 #加密市场反弹

The high point for the concubine is 3052, the low point is 2984, and it is currently experiencing a broad fluctuation before a decline; from the candlestick analysis, there was a "volume increase and rapid rise in the first half, but then a quick decline, with the second half fluctuating repeatedly in the 3000-3030 range, ultimately falling back to near the 3000 level, and the bulls failed to maintain the gains from the rise.

Support levels are at 2984 and 2970, resistance levels are at 3020 and 3052; in the short term, if it falls below the 2984 support, it may drop to the 2970-2950 range; if the rebound cannot break through 3020, it is likely to continue fluctuating;

Suggestion:
The concubine can look to go long near 2880-2910, targeting 3080
$ETH $Binance life #ETH巨鲸增持

The current Bitcoin is at 90585, having quickly fallen from the intraday high of 91934, breaking through the key support level of 91000, with short-term bearish forces prevailing; the volatility range is narrowing, in line with the recent characteristics of 'consolidation brewing a one-sided market.'

Support levels are at 90414 and 90000, while resistance levels are at 91000 and 91934; if the support at 90414 is broken in the short term, it may trigger stop-loss orders, dipping down to 89500-90000.

Recommendation:
Bitcoin can be bought near 88500–89000, targeting 93000.
$BTC $币安人生 #巨鲸动向

How to seize the fluctuating market conditions? Just hit the right rhythm and act when it's time to take action. From the beginning to profit-taking, we secured nearly 80 points. This wave was steady and sure!
$ETH $币安人生 #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析

Do not only pursue the short-term bubble of rapid rise, but also seize the dividends of cyclical laws. Find signals from K-line fluctuations, lay out before trend turning points, do not gamble on luck, do not rely on feelings, and use professional strategies to turn "uncertainty" into "high probability profit", so that every entry moves towards the direction of securing profits!
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析

Old Wang's "Dull Sensitivity"

Old Wang is Li Ming's colleague. He knows that Li Ming is speculating on cryptocurrency, but he has always remained unmoved. Until 2020, after hearing Li Ming's complaints once again, he did something that Li Ming thought was very "old-fashioned"—he directly went to the bank and withdrew 30,000 yuan, then bought the latest Bitcoin mining machine on the official website, which he hosted at a mining farm in Sichuan.

He doesn't look at K-line charts, doesn't care about short-term fluctuations, and even logs into the mining pool backend only once a month to check the earnings. He just knows that this machine produces a little bit of Bitcoin for him every day.

Li Ming often jokes about him: "Old Wang, you are too slow! Now everyone is playing DeFi, playing contracts, and with leverage, you can earn a year's worth of mining income in a day!"

Old Wang always chuckles with sincerity: "I don't touch what I don't understand; the machine is running, and I feel secure in my heart."

In 2021, at the peak of the bull market, the market was in a frenzy. Li Ming was chasing the new “ten-thousand-fold myth.” Meanwhile, when Bitcoin reached a price he considered “absurd,” Old Wang quietly sold all the Bitcoin he had accumulated over the past two years in batches through the mining farm’s hosting party, not only recouping the cost of the mining machine but also making a net profit equivalent to the down payment for a house in a second-tier city.

When the bear market arrived in 2022 and Li Ming was once again deeply trapped, Old Wang's mining machine was still running (with much lower efficiency), accumulating chips for the next cycle. $BTC $币安人生 $ETH #ETH走势分析

Newcomers join the team, adding new members to the family!
You are no longer fighting alone; on the journey ahead, whether facing wind and sun or overcoming difficulties, we will face it together and step onto the stage of practical combat! $BTC $币安人生 $ETH #巨鲸动向 #ETH巨鲸增持

The big pancake has steadily pocketed over 1000 points. Those who kept up with the rhythm may not have had the big steak, but at least they had a sip of soup!
$BTC $币安人生 #币安HODLer空投AT #巨鲸动向

From November 24 to 28, whether it's a pancake or a mistress, every day is a "fixed point harvest": the pancake gave a direction in the morning to take 1000+ points, in the evening orders took 2000+ points, and even directly took down 1500 points in the early morning; the mistress also jumped from 2970 to 2920, straight up by 80 points…
Once the points in the chat box are given, the market moves as expected, and even the results are "point by point increase"—while others are still guessing the market, we have already solidified the "thousand-point profit" in our daily agenda, this operational rhythm has directly turned the market into an "exclusive money printing machine"!
$BTC $币安人生 $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持