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静静看趋势

专注于币圈一、二级市场。致力于研究一级市场暴涨币种、二级市场优质潜力币。关注微博:静静看趋势
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Since mid-October, I have been talking about a full turn to bearish At that time, I said that Bitcoin would be at least 88,000 and Ethereum at 2,900 In the beginning, many people in the comments were cursing Now everything I said has come true There shouldn't be many stubborn bulls left now The recent drop is mainly due to the upcoming interest rate hike of the yen and the reduced expectations for rate cuts next year, causing liquidity panic and flight Currently, it's still safer to short on rebounds Unless there is accelerated volume If there is a pin bar on the daily chart You can quickly enter and exit to catch a rebound At other times, just blindly short on rebounds and that's it.
Since mid-October, I have been talking about a full turn to bearish
At that time, I said that Bitcoin would be at least 88,000 and Ethereum at 2,900
In the beginning, many people in the comments were cursing
Now everything I said has come true
There shouldn't be many stubborn bulls left now
The recent drop is mainly due to the upcoming interest rate hike of the yen and the reduced expectations for rate cuts next year, causing liquidity panic and flight
Currently, it's still safer to short on rebounds
Unless there is accelerated volume
If there is a pin bar on the daily chart
You can quickly enter and exit to catch a rebound
At other times, just blindly short on rebounds and that's it.
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就 #币安人生 上现货这个事,大家别再喊了,说的人越多,上的概率就越不大! 你们越多人想要它上现货,就说明在车上的散户就越多,散户越多车就越重,庄和散户本身就是交易对手,车越重就越不会出利好 如果我是交易所和庄,只会等你们都下车熬不住,甚至所有人都遗忘这个币的时候再来个突然袭击,至少拉盘成本低 币圈是一个反差性极强的行业,大部分认为概率大的事反而不容易出现,而且从来只有狗庄玩弄散户,没有散户胁迫狗庄的
#币安人生 上现货这个事,大家别再喊了,说的人越多,上的概率就越不大!

你们越多人想要它上现货,就说明在车上的散户就越多,散户越多车就越重,庄和散户本身就是交易对手,车越重就越不会出利好

如果我是交易所和庄,只会等你们都下车熬不住,甚至所有人都遗忘这个币的时候再来个突然袭击,至少拉盘成本低

币圈是一个反差性极强的行业,大部分认为概率大的事反而不容易出现,而且从来只有狗庄玩弄散户,没有散户胁迫狗庄的
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这次币安官方层面的正式曝光“上币中介”以及一姐的有偿征集相关欺诈人员的犯罪证据 应该不少被坑过的老板都开始含泪整理材料,揭发骗子的同时,看看能不能回回血了...
这次币安官方层面的正式曝光“上币中介”以及一姐的有偿征集相关欺诈人员的犯罪证据

应该不少被坑过的老板都开始含泪整理材料,揭发骗子的同时,看看能不能回回血了...
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sol本月抄底范围锁定: 首先定一个“顶”:看45日线级别,死叉、双线开口往下,这决定了它的大趋势是空势。目前处于boll中轨下方一点点,它的中轨是148.5。为什么这么长时间sol怎么反弹都突破不了148.5,最高到146就止步不前?就是这个原因。未来只有148.5被突破并站稳,大趋势才会反转为看多做多趋势。 sol目前运行在10、15、20日和月线boll中下轨之间,它们的boll下轨均在114-102,这个范围可以作为抄底的参考之一。 同时10、15、20日ema7-30全部被跌穿,没有支撑。月线ema52的价格是109.5。 所以100关口不破前的抄底范围就是114-102之间。 考虑到极端情况下扎大针可能会让100虚破,100虚破后的点位是96.25-95.65。如果跌破95就属于实破,那么就要考虑最低到86.25-84.85附近。
sol本月抄底范围锁定:

首先定一个“顶”:看45日线级别,死叉、双线开口往下,这决定了它的大趋势是空势。目前处于boll中轨下方一点点,它的中轨是148.5。为什么这么长时间sol怎么反弹都突破不了148.5,最高到146就止步不前?就是这个原因。未来只有148.5被突破并站稳,大趋势才会反转为看多做多趋势。

sol目前运行在10、15、20日和月线boll中下轨之间,它们的boll下轨均在114-102,这个范围可以作为抄底的参考之一。

同时10、15、20日ema7-30全部被跌穿,没有支撑。月线ema52的价格是109.5。

所以100关口不破前的抄底范围就是114-102之间。

考虑到极端情况下扎大针可能会让100虚破,100虚破后的点位是96.25-95.65。如果跌破95就属于实破,那么就要考虑最低到86.25-84.85附近。
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普通人最大的财务误区 不是不会赚钱,而是搞错了顺序 你以为:高收入 → 储蓄 → 投资 → 财务自由 实际是:低欲望 → 高储蓄率 → 投资本金 → 更多选择权 → 心态自由 穷的不是钱包,是时间和选择 少买一个最新款手机 不会改变生活 但用它换来的存款 能让你在老板无理时 多一份说不的底气 自由的第一步 往往是学会对消费主义说不
普通人最大的财务误区
不是不会赚钱,而是搞错了顺序

你以为:高收入 → 储蓄 → 投资 → 财务自由

实际是:低欲望 → 高储蓄率 → 投资本金 → 更多选择权 → 心态自由

穷的不是钱包,是时间和选择
少买一个最新款手机
不会改变生活

但用它换来的存款
能让你在老板无理时
多一份说不的底气

自由的第一步
往往是学会对消费主义说不
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曾经的传奇交易员纷纷爆仓, 集体爆仓了吗? 菊花爆满山了, 请问你后悔来币圈吗?
曾经的传奇交易员纷纷爆仓,

集体爆仓了吗?

菊花爆满山了,

请问你后悔来币圈吗?
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一个悲伤的故事,10·11内幕巨鲸最近一周亏损$5,900万,总盈利从12月12日的 $1.1亿,回撤至今日只有 $4,500万。 目前该地址持有: 价值 $5.57亿的 $ETH多单,均价 $3,167,亏损$4700万; 价值 $8,500万的 $BTC多单,均价 $91,506,亏损$500万; 价值 $3,100万的 $SOL多单,均价 $137.5,亏损$280万。 想到一个段子,如果你最近生活过的太幸福,可以买 $ETH ,过段时间你会惊奇的发现,他影响你生活了。
一个悲伤的故事,10·11内幕巨鲸最近一周亏损$5,900万,总盈利从12月12日的 $1.1亿,回撤至今日只有 $4,500万。

目前该地址持有:
价值 $5.57亿的 $ETH多单,均价 $3,167,亏损$4700万;
价值 $8,500万的 $BTC多单,均价 $91,506,亏损$500万;
价值 $3,100万的 $SOL多单,均价 $137.5,亏损$280万。

想到一个段子,如果你最近生活过的太幸福,可以买 $ETH ,过段时间你会惊奇的发现,他影响你生活了。
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Web3 人才流向 AI? 我觉得各位可能高估了自己 在我看来Web3 人才 Web3AI他妈的都是搞诈骗的 有个鸡毛的人才 有也是街溜子 Web3 人才=诈骗人才
Web3 人才流向 AI?
我觉得各位可能高估了自己
在我看来Web3 人才
Web3AI他妈的都是搞诈骗的
有个鸡毛的人才
有也是街溜子
Web3 人才=诈骗人才
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#ETH Bullish near 3100 Stop loss at 3080 Take profit at 3120, near 3150 (short term) #ETH Bullish in the 3090-3110 range Stop loss at 3020 Take profit at 3150, 3200, near 3250 (intraday trend)
#ETH
Bullish near 3100
Stop loss at 3080
Take profit at 3120, near 3150 (short term)

#ETH
Bullish in the 3090-3110 range
Stop loss at 3020
Take profit at 3150, 3200, near 3250 (intraday trend)
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#rave RAVE has shown a significant buying support in the range of 0.27–0.28 after experiencing a short-term rapid pullback. The short-term trend is gradually stabilizing, entering a consolidation and recovery phase. From the market performance, the selling pressure below has been somewhat released, and the price has repeatedly tested this support area without further decline, indicating a weakening of short-term bearish forces. Attention should be paid to the range of 0.305–0.318 above, as this area overlaps with the previous high transaction zone and resistance. If it can break through this position effectively with accompanying trading volume, the price is expected to further approach the range of 0.36–0.38; conversely, if the rebound momentum is insufficient, the market may continue a range-bound oscillation pattern. In terms of operation, aggressive investors may consider gradually positioning with light positions near 0.28, setting stop-loss orders below 0.264. A more cautious strategy would be to wait for the price to break through the resistance at 0.318 with increased volume before looking for opportunities to follow up.
#rave
RAVE has shown a significant buying support in the range of 0.27–0.28 after experiencing a short-term rapid pullback. The short-term trend is gradually stabilizing, entering a consolidation and recovery phase. From the market performance, the selling pressure below has been somewhat released, and the price has repeatedly tested this support area without further decline, indicating a weakening of short-term bearish forces.
Attention should be paid to the range of 0.305–0.318 above, as this area overlaps with the previous high transaction zone and resistance. If it can break through this position effectively with accompanying trading volume, the price is expected to further approach the range of 0.36–0.38; conversely, if the rebound momentum is insufficient, the market may continue a range-bound oscillation pattern.
In terms of operation, aggressive investors may consider gradually positioning with light positions near 0.28, setting stop-loss orders below 0.264. A more cautious strategy would be to wait for the price to break through the resistance at 0.318 with increased volume before looking for opportunities to follow up.
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[Short Selling ETH Profit $24.48 Million Then Turning to Long Position by Whales/Institutions] After 23 days, they continued to purchase 38,576 ETH ($119 million). In a span of 40 days, they accumulated a total of 528,000 ETH ($1.723 billion), with an average price of $3,261, currently facing a floating loss of $105.7 million. They purchased these ETH using borrowing leverage through Aave: borrowed 750 million U against collateralized ETH from Aave, nearly two times leverage.
[Short Selling ETH Profit $24.48 Million Then Turning to Long Position by Whales/Institutions] After 23 days, they continued to purchase 38,576 ETH ($119 million).

In a span of 40 days, they accumulated a total of 528,000 ETH ($1.723 billion), with an average price of $3,261, currently facing a floating loss of $105.7 million.
They purchased these ETH using borrowing leverage through Aave: borrowed 750 million U against collateralized ETH from Aave, nearly two times leverage.
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Rest when you don't understand! Don't push yourself for no reason. Right now, being alive is what you should focus on. Only by being alive can you hope to see the dawn come. Perhaps making money is just a moment away, but you have been so busy that you missed it! Therefore, patience is a very important process. Are you patient enough?
Rest when you don't understand!

Don't push yourself for no reason. Right now, being alive is what you should focus on. Only by being alive can you hope to see the dawn come. Perhaps making money is just a moment away, but you have been so busy that you missed it!

Therefore, patience is a very important process. Are you patient enough?
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Can Dogecoin hold on? Key bearish signals emerge, will the 'meme king' fall back to its starting point?After the Dogecoin to USD exchange rate fell below the $0.1420 region, it began a new round of decline. Dogecoin is currently consolidating its losses and may face resistance around $0.1440. DOGE price fell below $0.1420, beginning a new round of decline. The current price is below the $0.1420 level and the 100-hour simple moving average. On the DOGE/USD hourly chart, a key downward trend line is forming, with resistance at $0.1440 (data source: Kraken). If the price remains below $0.1420 and $0.1440, the downward trend may expand.

Can Dogecoin hold on? Key bearish signals emerge, will the 'meme king' fall back to its starting point?

After the Dogecoin to USD exchange rate fell below the $0.1420 region, it began a new round of decline. Dogecoin is currently consolidating its losses and may face resistance around $0.1440.
DOGE price fell below $0.1420, beginning a new round of decline.
The current price is below the $0.1420 level and the 100-hour simple moving average.
On the DOGE/USD hourly chart, a key downward trend line is forming, with resistance at $0.1440 (data source: Kraken).
If the price remains below $0.1420 and $0.1440, the downward trend may expand.
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In the past, I always thought I had to maintain effective output every day I unconsciously set a plan for myself Either I had to post money-making content every day Or I had to share useful tutorials Later on, I started to do more creative things, incorporating abstraction to engage with human nature To test the extent of my own traffic I realized that it was actually all about satisfying my own inner desires Previously, when I had fewer followers, I posted things that motivated me to pursue personal growth Now that I have basically settled into a routine, the market isn't as good, and I have less desire to share It's better to be more casual; if I want to output, I will, and if I want to criticize someone, I will Online, I engage in abstract humor, and offline, I am generous when I meet people Distinguish between what is real and what is fake, and play it cool.
In the past, I always thought I had to maintain effective output every day
I unconsciously set a plan for myself

Either I had to post money-making content every day
Or I had to share useful tutorials

Later on, I started to do more creative things, incorporating abstraction to engage with human nature
To test the extent of my own traffic

I realized that it was actually all about satisfying my own inner desires

Previously, when I had fewer followers, I posted things that motivated me to pursue personal growth

Now that I have basically settled into a routine, the market isn't as good, and I have less desire to share

It's better to be more casual; if I want to output, I will, and if I want to criticize someone, I will
Online, I engage in abstract humor, and offline, I am generous when I meet people

Distinguish between what is real and what is fake, and play it cool.
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Encryption Fill-in-the-Blank Questions: What city is it now ( )? 1. Bull Market 2. Bear Market 3. Monkey Market What division is it now ( )? 1. Bronze Division 2. Diamond Division 3. King Division What mode is it now ( )? 1. Heaven Mode 2. Hell Mode 3. Easy Money Mode Please fill in the blanks with the correct answers!
Encryption Fill-in-the-Blank Questions:

What city is it now ( )?
1. Bull Market
2. Bear Market
3. Monkey Market

What division is it now ( )?
1. Bronze Division
2. Diamond Division
3. King Division

What mode is it now ( )?
1. Heaven Mode
2. Hell Mode
3. Easy Money Mode

Please fill in the blanks with the correct answers!
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In fact, the sentiment of BSC has also reached a critical point; the market is not short of money, it is definitely confidence. I heard they have gone to Sol again, but for me, past, present, and future, I only love BSC the most, using Binance Wallet to engage with BSC meme.
In fact, the sentiment of BSC has also reached a critical point; the market is not short of money, it is definitely confidence.

I heard they have gone to Sol again, but for me, past, present, and future, I only love BSC the most, using Binance Wallet to engage with BSC meme.
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It seems like every time there is a rate cut, it goes like this: a surge beforehand, and when it's actually announced, it basically drops; this time is no exception. Yesterday, $btc was directly at over 94000 just 20 minutes before the announcement, and then it slowly dropped when it was announced. Today, it has even dropped to the 8s. Watching the rebound seems quite powerless; as a super bull, I can only continue to wait. $Plume now has 5 nest vaults on sol, and the apr is quite high. Deposit stablecoins, convert them into yield-bearing tokens, and just hold them to earn apr. However, the redemption time for nests is generally quite long. $Stable hasn't announced any major exchanges since the tge, but today it announced that Han 2 has gone up a bit and now it's down again. At this point, it's hard to go long, and it's hard to go short; it's not fun. Msx currently has a Christmas event where new registered users can enter a lottery if their first spot trade exceeds 100u. I've heard that you can win an iPhone 17 pro. I heard a long time ago that there would be a tge in December, but so far, I haven't seen any news. I also hope to receive some airdrop from the m beans I exchanged with liquidation. It's another rest time on-chain.
It seems like every time there is a rate cut, it goes like this: a surge beforehand, and when it's actually announced, it basically drops; this time is no exception. Yesterday, $btc was directly at over 94000 just 20 minutes before the announcement, and then it slowly dropped when it was announced. Today, it has even dropped to the 8s. Watching the rebound seems quite powerless; as a super bull, I can only continue to wait.

$Plume now has 5 nest vaults on sol, and the apr is quite high. Deposit stablecoins, convert them into yield-bearing tokens, and just hold them to earn apr. However, the redemption time for nests is generally quite long.

$Stable hasn't announced any major exchanges since the tge, but today it announced that Han 2 has gone up a bit and now it's down again. At this point, it's hard to go long, and it's hard to go short; it's not fun.

Msx currently has a Christmas event where new registered users can enter a lottery if their first spot trade exceeds 100u. I've heard that you can win an iPhone 17 pro. I heard a long time ago that there would be a tge in December, but so far, I haven't seen any news. I also hope to receive some airdrop from the m beans I exchanged with liquidation.

It's another rest time on-chain.
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Dogecoin on the brink! Break this key price level, is the 100% surge dream shattered?Before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision was announced, the market continued to rebound, and here are the reasons why the price forecast for Dogecoin looks more optimistic. In the past 24 hours, the price of Dogecoin has risen by 4%, reaching $0.1464, due to a rising trend in the cryptocurrency market ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision today. Despite the rebound, Dogecoin (DOGE) has still fallen by 2.5% over the week and 19% over the month, while major meme coins have dropped by 64% in the past year. However, it bounced back and broke through the crucial support level of $0.130, indicating the possibility of a sustained upward trend, especially in the context of a Federal Reserve rate cut.

Dogecoin on the brink! Break this key price level, is the 100% surge dream shattered?

Before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision was announced, the market continued to rebound, and here are the reasons why the price forecast for Dogecoin looks more optimistic.
In the past 24 hours, the price of Dogecoin has risen by 4%, reaching $0.1464, due to a rising trend in the cryptocurrency market ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision today.
Despite the rebound, Dogecoin (DOGE) has still fallen by 2.5% over the week and 19% over the month, while major meme coins have dropped by 64% in the past year.
However, it bounced back and broke through the crucial support level of $0.130, indicating the possibility of a sustained upward trend, especially in the context of a Federal Reserve rate cut.
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The current market can be described as the most useless among the useless, and the right-side faction is shaking their heads. It can't go up or down, just oscillating between 85K and 95K. The structure was the same from March to May this year, but back then the choice was to go up; this time it's more dangerous. I personally expect the turning point window to be around January 2026. It depends on whether it breaks the level and then pulls back, or goes sideways and then pulls directly? Let's wait for a big wave before chasing.
The current market can be described as the most useless among the useless, and the right-side faction is shaking their heads. It can't go up or down, just oscillating between 85K and 95K.

The structure was the same from March to May this year, but back then the choice was to go up; this time it's more dangerous.

I personally expect the turning point window to be around January 2026. It depends on whether it breaks the level and then pulls back, or goes sideways and then pulls directly?

Let's wait for a big wave before chasing.
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The Federal Reserve will provide its last answer of the year in the early morning. The market has already determined a 25 basis point rate cut - with a probability of 89.4%. Both smart money and retail investors are waiting for the same thing. In fact, everyone has a sense of whether there will be a rate cut; the key is how the expectations will be mapped out after the cut. If it's just a routine 25 basis point cut, accompanied by a roadmap indicating no further cuts expected next year, the market is likely to turn directly downward afterwards.
The Federal Reserve will provide its last answer of the year in the early morning.

The market has already determined a 25 basis point rate cut - with a probability of 89.4%. Both smart money and retail investors are waiting for the same thing.

In fact, everyone has a sense of whether there will be a rate cut; the key is how the expectations will be mapped out after the cut.

If it's just a routine 25 basis point cut, accompanied by a roadmap indicating no further cuts expected next year, the market is likely to turn directly downward afterwards.
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