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链客-拾鑫

预警趋势转向;看懂聪明钱动向:在波动中建立确定性。
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Silver continues to reach new highs! This may just be the beginning!
Silver continues to reach new highs! This may just be the beginning!
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Bulk buying of spot goods, looking for a rebound at the weekly level, and the bear market does not miss opportunities. The interest rate hike in Japan has landed, and the bad news has turned into good news, in line with the expectations of the daily report from the day before yesterday. However, the market remains weak, with sharp fluctuations in prices, making contract operations extremely difficult. But one thing is clear: the weekly level rebound will eventually come, it may be late, but it will not be absent. Currently, there are likely two types of trends: first, to test the bottom again, creating the 5th wave of the 4-hour decline, reaching a new low, and then starting a rebound, forming an abc wave (i.e., the weekly b wave), with a target of 90,000-100,000, followed by a continued decline, with a first target of 70,000-80,000. Direct rebound, forming an abc wave (weekly b wave), target 90,000-100,000, then retreating, with a first target of 70,000-80,000. The common point of both trends is: there will be a noticeable b wave rebound (in the range of 94,500-107,000-104,000). The difference is that the first type is to drop first and then rise and drop again, while the second type is to rise first and then fall.
Bulk buying of spot goods, looking for a rebound at the weekly level, and the bear market does not miss opportunities.

The interest rate hike in Japan has landed, and the bad news has turned into good news, in line with the expectations of the daily report from the day before yesterday.

However, the market remains weak, with sharp fluctuations in prices, making contract operations extremely difficult. But one thing is clear: the weekly level rebound will eventually come, it may be late, but it will not be absent.

Currently, there are likely two types of trends: first, to test the bottom again, creating the 5th wave of the 4-hour decline, reaching a new low, and then starting a rebound, forming an abc wave (i.e., the weekly b wave), with a target of 90,000-100,000, followed by a continued decline, with a first target of 70,000-80,000.

Direct rebound, forming an abc wave (weekly b wave), target 90,000-100,000, then retreating, with a first target of 70,000-80,000.

The common point of both trends is: there will be a noticeable b wave rebound (in the range of 94,500-107,000-104,000).

The difference is that the first type is to drop first and then rise and drop again, while the second type is to rise first and then fall.
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If you could go back in time, which coin would you choose? I flipped through this picture, 70% of the coins have been bought by Jieni Jun. But those that have survived until now, actually just a few are left. The only one designated to traverse bull and bear markets is $BTC. #比特币流动性
If you could go back in time,
which coin would you choose?

I flipped through this picture,
70% of the coins have been bought by Jieni Jun.

But those that have survived until now,
actually just a few are left.

The only one designated to traverse bull and bear markets is $BTC. #比特币流动性
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#USDT Don't directly copy the address from the most recent transaction for your transfer... Today, another deep lesson: a whale/institution lost 50 million USDT due to a phishing attack with a similar address... 1⃣ 10 hours ago, he withdrew 50 million USDT from Binance and then tested transferring 50 USDT to the address he planned to send to. 2⃣ Here comes the key point: the phisher generated a similar address with the first and last 3 characters matching and transferred 0.005 USDT to him. When he made the official transfer, he likely copied the address directly from the recent transaction record, and thus all 50 million USDT was transferred into the similar address generated by the phisher... 3⃣ The phisher quickly exchanged this 50 million USDT for DAI (to prevent freezing), and then bought a total of 16,624 ETH. These ETH were then completely laundered through Tornado. Phished whale/institution address: 0xcB80784ef74C98A89b6Ab8D96ebE890859600819 Phisher address: 0xBaFF2F13638C04B10F8119760B2D2aE86b08f8b5 Bitter lessons: 1⃣ Never directly copy the address from the recent transaction record for your transfer, as address poisoning attacks are quite rampant. Whenever you make a random transfer on the chain, phishers will immediately generate N similar addresses to carry out dust poisoning against you. Copying addresses from recent transactions makes it too easy to fall into a trap. 2⃣ When confirming addresses, never just look at the first and last few characters; generating an address with the first and last few characters matching is incredibly easy.
#USDT Don't directly copy the address from the most recent transaction for your transfer... Today, another deep lesson: a whale/institution lost 50 million USDT due to a phishing attack with a similar address...

1⃣
10 hours ago, he withdrew 50 million USDT from Binance and then tested transferring 50 USDT to the address he planned to send to.

2⃣
Here comes the key point: the phisher generated a similar address with the first and last 3 characters matching and transferred 0.005 USDT to him. When he made the official transfer, he likely copied the address directly from the recent transaction record, and thus all 50 million USDT was transferred into the similar address generated by the phisher...

3⃣
The phisher quickly exchanged this 50 million USDT for DAI (to prevent freezing), and then bought a total of 16,624 ETH. These ETH were then completely laundered through Tornado.

Phished whale/institution address: 0xcB80784ef74C98A89b6Ab8D96ebE890859600819
Phisher address: 0xBaFF2F13638C04B10F8119760B2D2aE86b08f8b5

Bitter lessons:

1⃣
Never directly copy the address from the recent transaction record for your transfer, as address poisoning attacks are quite rampant. Whenever you make a random transfer on the chain, phishers will immediately generate N similar addresses to carry out dust poisoning against you. Copying addresses from recent transactions makes it too easy to fall into a trap.

2⃣
When confirming addresses, never just look at the first and last few characters; generating an address with the first and last few characters matching is incredibly easy.
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Information: The U.S. Treasury repurchased $2 billion of its own debt this week, bringing the total repurchase amount close to $6 billion. The U.S. government has already repurchased $6 billion in Treasury bonds this week. I remember it was said that $40 billion would be repurchased this month? It feels like the pace of liquidity injection will accelerate later.
Information: The U.S. Treasury repurchased $2 billion of its own debt this week, bringing the total repurchase amount close to $6 billion.

The U.S. government has already repurchased $6 billion in Treasury bonds this week.

I remember it was said that $40 billion would be repurchased this month?

It feels like the pace of liquidity injection will accelerate later.
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Majik has accumulated a loss of 23 million US dollars after losing for so long. The Cream he first issued has far exceeded this amount, so there is no need to worry about him; he is really just spending.
Majik has accumulated a loss of 23 million US dollars after losing for so long. The Cream he first issued has far exceeded this amount, so there is no need to worry about him; he is really just spending.
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The pancake has been continuous for a week, every day at the opening time of the US stock market, pulling a needle and then smashing the box all night long...... What kind of heavenly rule has been violated?
The pancake has been continuous for a week, every day at the opening time of the US stock market, pulling a needle and then smashing the box all night long......

What kind of heavenly rule has been violated?
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Why does BCH continue to outperform BTC? It's my fault, I should have just not shorted, as soon as I did, it went up Next door are all short sellers, they are borrowing coins to short sell Holding the position #BCHUSD
Why does BCH continue to outperform BTC?

It's my fault, I should have just not shorted, as soon as I did, it went up

Next door are all short sellers, they are borrowing coins to short sell

Holding the position
#BCHUSD
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The pigeon trader has published a lengthy opinion analysis He believes that altcoins have fallen to the 5th stage, with no further decline possible, and may experience an oversold rebound Meanwhile, mainstream coins, BTC, ETH, SOL have not finished declining They are still in the fourth stage It is expected that the decline will end in early 2026, starting a rebound #ETH走势分析 #BTC
The pigeon trader has published a lengthy opinion analysis

He believes that altcoins have fallen to the 5th stage, with no further decline possible, and may experience an oversold rebound

Meanwhile, mainstream coins, BTC, ETH, SOL have not finished declining

They are still in the fourth stage

It is expected that the decline will end in early 2026, starting a rebound #ETH走势分析 #BTC
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How to solve this 😂
How to solve this 😂
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Seeing the news about $ZKP being listed on @binancezh made me remember that I invested in this thing. The current price is $0.14, FDV is $140 million. What’s frustrating is that the cost for the new investment was FDV $100 million, corresponding to a price of $0.1, and only 50% was unlocked at the opening. It will take $0.2 to break even. With this kind of decline, it might just be a matter of time before it breaks. Thinking back to when I staked a bunch of $KAITO for the new investment, it also got halved, and I regret it, really regret it. #bnb 😭
Seeing the news about $ZKP being listed on @binancezh made me remember that I invested in this thing. The current price is $0.14, FDV is $140 million.

What’s frustrating is that the cost for the new investment was FDV $100 million, corresponding to a price of $0.1, and only 50% was unlocked at the opening. It will take $0.2 to break even.

With this kind of decline, it might just be a matter of time before it breaks.

Thinking back to when I staked a bunch of $KAITO for the new investment, it also got halved, and I regret it, really regret it. #bnb
😭
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1011 insiders' giant whale floating loss of 7kw. Yi Lihua's frequency of calls is getting higher and higher, obviously in a hurry. With the year-end approaching, what about the 7000 USD ETH that Tom Lee mentioned? CZ speaks nonsense with his eyes wide open; he also said that the super cycle was coming last time. 🤣 Standard Chartered Bank and JPMorgan have also remained silent. All kinds of KOLs have gone from calling for massive liquidity and eternal bulls to gradually softening their tone now. And I, your friend, am still holding onto altcoin long positions, dreaming sweet dreams.
1011 insiders' giant whale floating loss of 7kw.

Yi Lihua's frequency of calls is getting higher and higher, obviously in a hurry.

With the year-end approaching, what about the 7000 USD ETH that Tom Lee mentioned?

CZ speaks nonsense with his eyes wide open; he also said that the super cycle was coming last time.
🤣

Standard Chartered Bank and JPMorgan have also remained silent.

All kinds of KOLs have gone from calling for massive liquidity and eternal bulls to gradually softening their tone now.

And I, your friend, am still holding onto altcoin long positions, dreaming sweet dreams.
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Bearish
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After Japan raised interest rates, it feels like the negative effects have been fully realized, and the market has improved. Recently, big players have started buying cryptocurrencies frequently from Binance again. Today, three major whales bought ETH and have already transferred it to wallets, totaling 23.46 million dollars. (0xcED2...C557) withdrew 3504 ETH (10.24 million dollars) and 2135 BNB (1.79 million dollars). (0x7798...3703) withdrew 2656 ETH (7.53 million dollars). (0xbE38...A42a) withdrew 2008 ETH (5.69 million dollars).#ETH
After Japan raised interest rates, it feels like the negative effects have been fully realized, and the market has improved.

Recently, big players have started buying cryptocurrencies frequently from Binance again.

Today, three major whales bought ETH and have already transferred it to wallets, totaling 23.46 million dollars.

(0xcED2...C557) withdrew 3504 ETH (10.24 million dollars) and 2135 BNB (1.79 million dollars).

(0x7798...3703) withdrew 2656 ETH (7.53 million dollars).

(0xbE38...A42a) withdrew 2008 ETH (5.69 million dollars).#ETH
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Bullish
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#BTC you can't escape in the end 🤣🤣🤣 Last night didn't let go. Today is definitely not going to let go.
#BTC you can't escape in the end 🤣🤣🤣
Last night didn't let go. Today is definitely not going to let go.
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In the middle of the night, I got up to pee and casually placed an order, making 700 bucks in hand, such lavish wealth. #ETH
In the middle of the night, I got up to pee and casually placed an order, making 700 bucks in hand, such lavish wealth. #ETH
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Dogecoin has indeed significantly reduced the number of federal government employees. #DOGE
Dogecoin has indeed significantly reduced the number of federal government employees. #DOGE
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BTC 4H In a complex oscillating downward structure Zooming in a bit to determine the direction Subjectively, I believe it is still in a downward trend It has started to show characteristics of converging oscillation Personally, I still insist on shorting on rebounds If going long, I will focus on the key support at 82k and the false breakdown at 79K, two key price ranges.
BTC 4H
In a complex oscillating downward structure
Zooming in a bit to determine the direction
Subjectively, I believe it is still in a downward trend
It has started to show characteristics of converging oscillation
Personally, I still insist on shorting on rebounds
If going long, I will focus on the key support at 82k and the false breakdown at 79K, two key price ranges.
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This ridiculous market is a difficult-to-describe tumultuous waste of time. Bitcoin has been swaying in the 85k-87k range for a day, pulling up to around 89k in the morning, only to be ruthlessly smashed back down below 86k. Trading volume is low, with sporadic but ongoing liquidations in leveraged positions, and the Fear & Greed Index remains in the extreme fear zone at 17. ETH is even worse, struggling around 2800 dollars, altcoins are largely in the red, Layer2 and meme coins are bleeding heavily. Why is it performing so poorly? The Bank of Japan just raised interest rates by 25bp, and some yen carry trades have been closed, causing risk assets to take a hit. Next week is Christmas + options expiration (with 2.3 billion dollars of open interest on Deribit), everyone is reducing positions for risk management, and no one dares to heavily bet on a rebound. Institutions are bloodsucking: small inflows into ETFs, but retail investors and those using leverage are bleeding out. Hardcore players like MSTR continue to accumulate, but overall market confidence has shattered. From the 126k ATH, there has been a 32% correction, and now no one dares to say "the bull market isn't over," with more people discussing "is the four-cycle about to break?". All the classic symptoms of the late stage of this bull market are present - those shouting HODL the loudest are actually ready to sell; bulls are waiting for "the last explosive surge to escape the peak," while bears are waiting for "confirmation of a bear market to add positions." The result is a market that resembles a indecisive leeks, swaying in the wind. Short-term: don’t expect a Christmas rally, if 85k can’t hold then look for 80k as the next support level. #ETH走势分析
This ridiculous market is a difficult-to-describe tumultuous waste of time.

Bitcoin has been swaying in the 85k-87k range for a day, pulling up to around 89k in the morning, only to be ruthlessly smashed back down below 86k. Trading volume is low, with sporadic but ongoing liquidations in leveraged positions, and the Fear & Greed Index remains in the extreme fear zone at 17.

ETH is even worse, struggling around 2800 dollars, altcoins are largely in the red, Layer2 and meme coins are bleeding heavily. Why is it performing so poorly? The Bank of Japan just raised interest rates by 25bp, and some yen carry trades have been closed, causing risk assets to take a hit.

Next week is Christmas + options expiration (with 2.3 billion dollars of open interest on Deribit), everyone is reducing positions for risk management, and no one dares to heavily bet on a rebound. Institutions are bloodsucking: small inflows into ETFs, but retail investors and those using leverage are bleeding out.

Hardcore players like MSTR continue to accumulate, but overall market confidence has shattered. From the 126k ATH, there has been a 32% correction, and now no one dares to say "the bull market isn't over," with more people discussing "is the four-cycle about to break?".

All the classic symptoms of the late stage of this bull market are present - those shouting HODL the loudest are actually ready to sell; bulls are waiting for "the last explosive surge to escape the peak," while bears are waiting for "confirmation of a bear market to add positions."

The result is a market that resembles a indecisive leeks, swaying in the wind. Short-term: don’t expect a Christmas rally, if 85k can’t hold then look for 80k as the next support level. #ETH走势分析
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Today's most shocking data: Excluding the 10 worst trading days, the S&P 500 Index has risen by 6400% since 1995. If we exclude the 10 best trading days, the return during the same period would be +1200%, which is 5.3 times less than the former. In contrast, the total return of the index is +2,600%, which is less than half of the return generated after removing the worst-performing days. In 2008, this divergence intensified, as the market experienced 5 of the 10 worst trading days since 1995. In 2020, this gap widened further, with the S&P 500 Index experiencing 3 of the worst trading days in history. Just a few key days of performance can determine the results for decades to come.
Today's most shocking data:

Excluding the 10 worst trading days, the S&P 500 Index has risen by 6400% since 1995.

If we exclude the 10 best trading days, the return during the same period would be +1200%, which is 5.3 times less than the former.

In contrast, the total return of the index is +2,600%, which is less than half of the return generated after removing the worst-performing days.

In 2008, this divergence intensified, as the market experienced 5 of the 10 worst trading days since 1995.

In 2020, this gap widened further, with the S&P 500 Index experiencing 3 of the worst trading days in history.

Just a few key days of performance can determine the results for decades to come.
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When I was young, I watched Huang Rong design schemes against Ouyang Feng First, she tricked Ouyang Feng into falling into an ambush pit Then water was poured in to freeze and trap Ouyang Feng Ouyang Feng fell into the pit a second time in the same way And was frozen in the same pit At that time, I thought what a fool Ouyang Feng was How could a person be so stupid Brave but without strategy, haha The boomerang has come back, huh How many times have you jumped into the same pit? I've already done it more than five times How can a person be so foolish?
When I was young, I watched Huang Rong design schemes against Ouyang Feng
First, she tricked Ouyang Feng into falling into an ambush pit
Then water was poured in to freeze and trap Ouyang Feng
Ouyang Feng fell into the pit a second time in the same way
And was frozen in the same pit

At that time, I thought what a fool Ouyang Feng was
How could a person be so stupid
Brave but without strategy, haha
The boomerang has come back, huh
How many times have you jumped into the same pit?
I've already done it more than five times
How can a person be so foolish?
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