我有故事你有币吗

A couple of days ago, I came across an introduction to $Aif, and my first reaction was:
"Isn't this just an entire AI operations team assigned to a Meme coin?"

For projects that haven't launched yet, I usually keep an "observation log":

First impression: What problem is it solving?

Second impression: Is the team being overly optimistic?

Third impression: Is the community seriously discussing the mechanisms, or are they just fantasizing about getting rich overnight after the launch?

When the day of the actual launch arrives, looking back at this log,
You'll find that many pitfalls were actually hinted at in the text before the launch; it’s just that you didn’t understand them at the time.
#Aif

【Story Five: How will you write yourself into your story this week?】
On Sunday nights, I have a habit of doing one thing:
It's not to look at the K line, but to write a sentence to my future self for this week.
Sometimes it's:

"This week, you at least learned to stop losses according to plan."
Sometimes it's:

"This week, you were once again led by your emotions."

Trading records are numbers,
but what really changes you are the stories behind these little sentences.
If you were to give yourself a score for this week, what would you give?
Feel free to write a sentence in the comments,
Looking back in the future will be very interesting.
#Weekly Summary #Written to Myself

Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Don't Just Focus on the 1-Minute Chart for Excitement
If you often feel like you’re being “played by the market,” it’s likely because you’re only using one timeframe to analyze.
My own habit is to use “multiple timeframe analysis”:
Daily / 4 hours: Determine the overall direction
Is it an uptrend, downtrend, or clearly ranging?
If the daily is repeatedly being blocked below key resistance, I won’t forcefully look for long opportunities on the 5-minute chart.
1 hour: Look for structure & key levels
Previous highs / previous lows / support / resistance / important volume concentrated areas
Mark the areas of “only test with a small position” and “can go heavier here.”
15 minutes / 5 minutes: Execution & precise entry
Wait for the price to reach key areas, then use smaller timeframes to see:
Are there signals like increased volume, false breakouts, or sharp moves?
Don’t chase trades in the “air zone.”
The essence of multiple timeframes is to break it down into one phrase:
“Get the overall direction right, find good levels on smaller timeframes.”
📌 If you often get emotionally affected by just a few candles on the 1-minute chart, you might want to try:
First, zoom out the chart a bit, use a higher timeframe to reduce the “noise.”

【Story 4: Missing a Big Ship】
There was a time when a certain mainstream coin was rising all the way.
I saw it go from 20 dollars to 50, from 50 to 80,
every time I told myself: "Wait for a little pullback before getting in."
As you can guess:
it shot straight up to a price far beyond my imagination,
and I didn't buy a single one from start to finish.
This used to make me very upset,
but now I think —
missing a ship is always better than getting on a broken ship.
The market always has the next bus; what we need to learn is:
don't lose the courage to get back in just because of a missed opportunity.

What really opens the gap is the 'Review Habit'
Many people feel that they lack 'talent', but most of the problems I see are not about talent, but about —
not reviewing.
My own review template is very simple; you can copy it directly:
What trades did I make today?
Currency / Direction / Opening Reason / Stop Loss Position / Actual Result
Especially note: Was this reason clearly written at the time, or was it only 'supplemented' afterwards?
What type of loss order is it?
Normal strategy loss (acceptable)
Emotional order: chasing up, betting on news, adding to a losing position
Execution problem: not stopping loss when it should, not taking profit when it should
What would happen if all emotional orders were deleted?
Many people's 'crash points' are actually concentrated in just a few emotional outbursts.
Write a suggestion for improvement to 'tomorrow's self'
Don’t write grand theories, just one key point, for example:
'Tomorrow I can only act on the varieties for which I have planned in advance.'
If you persist for 1–3 months, you will find:
Your strategy may not have changed much, but the 'person executing it' is no longer the same you.

【Story Three: From a dozen trades a day to one or two trades a day】
At first, my trading style was——
Seeing volatility made me want to click, trading a dozen times a day, winning and losing very quickly.
Later, when I reviewed my records, I discovered:
The ones that really made money were only a very few;
The majority were just gradually eating away at those profits.
Now I've changed:
I only allow myself to make 1–3 trades a day,
But each trade must have a clear plan and exit conditions.
The turning point in the story is not a sudden wealth,
But the day you decide to take fewer actions.
#Trading Frequency #成长转折

Profit and Loss Ratio > Win Rate: Many people have got it wrong
Many people like to ask: "Teacher, what is the win rate of your strategy?"
I am more concerned about: the profit and loss ratio.
There is a simple formula that I suggest you remember:
Expected Return = Win Rate × Average Profit - Loss Rate × Average Loss
Let me give a very simple example (just for illustration, not advice):
The win rate is only 40%, but:
Each loss -1R
Each profit +3R
Expected = 0.4×3 - 0.6×1 = 1.2 - 0.6 = +0.6R (still making money in the long run)
Conversely:
Win rate 70%, but
Take profit +1R, stop loss -2R
Expected = 0.7×1 - 0.3×2 = 0.7 - 0.6 = +0.1R (slight execution issues turn negative)
So when I design a strategy, I will prioritize these few things:
Can I achieve "small losses, large profits" instead of the opposite?
Is the stop loss fixed and executable, rather than "going by feeling"?
When a big market movement comes, can I let profitable positions run as far as possible?
📌 Do not be fooled by gimmicks like "90% win rate" anymore.
In the highly volatile market of cryptocurrency, a healthy profit and loss ratio + stable execution is much more important than an inflated win rate.

Previously, there was a private message from a junior student.
He said he had saved up his living expenses for a few months, and heard from a friend that a certain coin was about to "take off,"
so he bought it all at once, and as a result, it dropped 40% in two days.
He asked me: "Brother, should I borrow a little more to average down?"
At that moment, I really wanted to reach through the screen and grab his phone.
Everyone wants to use a small amount of money to change their fate,
but the reality is: those who gamble their living expenses,
many can't even manage the basic act of 'staying alive.'
#Living expenses cannot be gambled #真事

During the period of sideways fluctuations, use "range + grid thinking" to reduce emotional volatility.
When the market is not trending, many people are most likely to be confused—frequently stop-loss being hit while going back and forth.

In this case, I switch to "range trading + grid thinking".

How to do it?

First, confirm it is a fluctuation rather than a trend.

The price repeatedly encounters resistance near the same high and stabilizes near the same low;

Indicators and moving averages are all intertwined with no clear direction.
Draw the upper and lower bounds of the range.
The upper side serves as a potential area for reducing positions/shorting;
The lower side serves as a potential area for adding positions/replenishing.
Only act near these two areas, and avoid taking action in the middle zone as much as possible.
Enter and exit in batches instead of all at once.
Adding positions: place 2–3 batch orders near the lower bound;
Reducing positions: take profit in 2–3 batch orders near the upper bound.
If the range is effectively broken with increased volume, stop the grid approach and switch back to the trend strategy.
The benefits of this approach:
You do not need to "precisely predict tops and bottoms";
Use mechanized batching to replace emotional "all-in and all-out".
Remember: The goal during the fluctuation period is not to take a big profit all at once, but to steadily grind out profits + wait for the next round of trends.

The first time I received a liquidation text message, I was actually confused.
The night before, I was still bragging in the group: "This wave will definitely double",
But when I woke up, my account was cleared, and I didn't even understand how it happened.
After that, I began to seriously study:
What is leverage, what is margin, what is the liquidation price.
It's a bit ridiculous, but for many, their trading enlightenment comes from a liquidation reminder.
If you haven't experienced it yet, I hope you're the kind of person who can learn from others' stories.

A basic strategy for 'trend following' that even a beginner can execute

Today, I will share an idea that is most suitable for office workers/beginners: trend trading + wait for confirmation before entering the market.

Core idea:

First, define the trend

It can be simply defined as: when the price stays above key moving averages (such as the 50/100 moving averages) on the 4-hour level, it is considered bullish; conversely, it is bearish.
Do not try to pick bottoms and tops every day, but rather accept 'mid-term profits'.
Only look for positions during corrections
When the trend is upward, wait for the price to retrace to previous highs/support areas + reduced trading volume, then consider entering long.
When the trend is downward, wait for the price to rebound to previous lows/resistance areas + lack of volume in the rise, then consider entering short.
Stop losses are always outside the structure
For long positions, place the stop loss a safe distance below the support level;
For short positions, place the stop loss above the resistance level.
As long as the structure is broken, accept the stop loss, rather than saying 'let's wait a bit longer'.

This strategy has a characteristic: there are not many signals, but the win rate is relatively stable, and it is friendly to psychology.

You don’t need to look at the 1-minute chart every day; just develop the habit of: following the trend + waiting for a pullback + using stop losses.

First talk about risk control, then talk about making money: my underlying trading logic

Many people engage in contracts, and the first question is: "How many times can it multiply?"

My logic is exactly the opposite: first think about "how to survive," and then think about "how to earn more."

I have only three personal principles:

Single loss not exceeding 1%–2% of total funds

Whether it is BTC, ETH, or altcoins, as long as I haven't thought about the stop-loss price and the maximum loss limit before entering the market, I won't place that order.

Always calculate the "worst-case scenario" first

Price spikes, false breakouts, and sudden volume increases are all part of the daily routine.

Ask yourself:
"If I hit the stop-loss, can I calmly accept this loss?"

Strategies can lose, but execution cannot be chaotic

Many accounts don't fail because of market conditions, but because of "temporary leverage, temporary stop-loss changes, and emotional chasing of orders."

📌 Remember this sentence:

Controlling drawdowns is the prerequisite for all profit curves.
If you agree with this way of thinking, you can save it; I will gradually break down my trading model later.

Today's hot topic on Binance Square #加密市场回调 actually reflects a normal correction after a rapid upward surge. After reaching a new high, Bitcoin's short-term decline has widened, leading Ethereum and mainstream altcoins to collectively retreat, causing a significant shrinkage in overall market capitalization in a short time, with leveraged funds being concentrated and liquidated, and sentiment swiftly shifting from 'only discussing bull markets' to 'first preserving profits'.
This round of adjustment has roughly three reasons: first, the macro environment has turned cautious, with global risk assets generally under pressure, and funds retreating from high-risk markets; second, the previous price increase was too large, the technical indicators were obviously overbought, and some institutions took profits at high levels, actively creating a 'healthy reshuffle'; third, leverage in the contract market has been accumulated over a long time, and once prices reverse, it can amplify declines, triggering a chain of liquidations and further intensifying volatility.
For ordinary investors, the more important question is not 'why is the market falling', but 'what should I do'. If you are optimistic in the long term and have a reasonable position, fluctuations of 10%-30% are mostly just a 'halftime break' in a bull market; but if you are fully invested, frequently chasing highs and cutting losses, each adjustment could turn into a disaster for your account.
A correction is not the end of a bull market, but rather a process of capital turnover. Being able to hold onto your capital and optimize your position structure during fluctuations is more important than just watching the K-line.
The above content is only a personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice.

【Major Positive Development】
At the latest congressional hearing, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell clearly stated that the Federal Reserve does not oppose U.S. banks providing services to cryptocurrency companies and investors, as long as they comply with existing risk management and consumer protection requirements. At the same time, the Federal Reserve has removed "reputational risk" from the bank regulatory manual, reducing the space for blanket refusals of crypto businesses due to "image issues."
This means:
Compliant banks can more boldly provide accounts, clearing, and custody services for exchanges, custodians, funds, and more;
The long-standing pressure of "de-banking" on the crypto industry is expected to ease, further bridging traditional finance and the crypto world;
The compliant channels for institutional funds entering the crypto market are being formally confirmed, which is favorable for the adoption and liquidity of mainstream assets like Bitcoin in the medium to long term.
The regulators have not given a "red light" to crypto; rather, after clarifying the rules, they have sent a signal of "what can be done." Do you think this is one of the key catalysts for the next market cycle?

No strategy can guarantee profits; it only provides a structured intraday plan for yourself. If the day is set for a high, outline three levels of resistance: those willing to take risks can short with a light position at the first level, and then assess the upward momentum at the second and third levels to decide whether to add to the short or reduce the position; the more cautious can directly wait for the second or third levels, using small stop losses. Highs and lows cannot be accurately predicted, so one can only refer to historical trends to deduce which areas are more likely to experience renewed pressure or stop declines. Do not make random trades in the middle of the range. Technical analysis and candlestick patterns can become ineffective in the face of news; one should neither fully trust nor completely ignore them. Writing daily market analyses is meant to help everyone make more informed predictions about key levels rather than jumping in with a single sentence. The content is merely opinions and numbers; entering the market is a decision made with real money. First, establish your own logic and risk control, then consider whether to reference others, and observe long-term whether their entries and exits are transparent and whether their profit-taking and stop-loss strategies are executed. Each trade is an experiment; control your position size, accept stop losses, and surviving in the market for a long time is more important than occasional windfalls.

$GIGGLE Total supply of 1 million pieces, market value of $133 million, the trading volume of this coin is not bad,
From a long-term investment perspective, a price of $1000 or more, with the market value reaching 1 billion, should not be a big problem.

"The 'standstill' has really caused a stir, leading to fluctuations in the market these days, and it still hasn't provided a specific direction! However, it can be generally seen that the market is in a state of oscillating downward, with white boards rebounding and evening boards declining! Whether it can drop tonight remains uncertain!
Regarding the current market, I still hold the idea of looking for high positions to short; not to mention whether it will test the bottom again near 98000, another retest shouldn't be a big problem! Then we will observe the breakout situation to consider whether to reverse!"