0xLuise
🎩加密的圆舞者｜长期市场投研分析｜一、二级市场｜空投分享｜分享最新币圈撸毛图文教程｜欢迎交流成长 | 可加广场好呀交流；推：@NMovius5367
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[In-depth on the new Alpha rules] Side A is 'heaven', Side B is 'wear and tear'! Do you really understand the duality of the new rules?
Brothers, regarding the new Alpha rules of $PIGGY , the square is basically divided into two factions:
Side A (cheering faction): 'Great! The scripts are gone! High scores first, it's fair!'
Side B (awakened faction): 'Fair my foot! Isn't this just forcing people to 'roll' in trading volume?'
Both sides are not wrong. This is a 'fundamental philosophical shift' that is both 'heaven' and 'hell' for different groups of people. You must understand its duality in order to decide whether to 'get in the game' or 'lie flat'.
(There are shortcomings and viewpoints in the article, please feel free to add in the comments)
Side A (cheering faction): 'Great! The scripts are gone! High scores first, it's fair!'
Side B (awakened faction): 'Fair my foot! Isn't this just forcing people to 'roll' in trading volume?'
Both sides are not wrong. This is a 'fundamental philosophical shift' that is both 'heaven' and 'hell' for different groups of people. You must understand its duality in order to decide whether to 'get in the game' or 'lie flat'.
(There are shortcomings and viewpoints in the article, please feel free to add in the comments)
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Binance Official Chat Room: 币安王牌KOL聊天室，点击进群
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The Battle of December FOMC: Is the Fed's interest rate cut a foregone conclusion? The macro and regulatory dual variation behind BTC's return to 93,000
The last Federal Reserve meeting (FOMC) of 2025 will be held from December 9 to 10. This is not only the focus of traditional financial markets but also a key point for whether the cryptocurrency market can break through consolidation by the end of the year.
As Bitcoin (BTC) returns above $93,400 and Ethereum (ETH) breaks through $3,200, the market seems to have priced in the favorable 'interest rate cut' in advance. However, beneath the optimism, fiscal expansion and tariff policies represented by (a big and beautiful bill) (OBBBA) are laying the groundwork for the liquidity environment in 2026.
The following is a deep analysis of the impact of this meeting on the cryptocurrency market:
As Bitcoin (BTC) returns above $93,400 and Ethereum (ETH) breaks through $3,200, the market seems to have priced in the favorable 'interest rate cut' in advance. However, beneath the optimism, fiscal expansion and tariff policies represented by (a big and beautiful bill) (OBBBA) are laying the groundwork for the liquidity environment in 2026.
The following is a deep analysis of the impact of this meeting on the cryptocurrency market:
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Don't just look at others in Dubai😘😘, I'm sending everyone red envelopes for comfort
Is there anyone who likes $PEPE ? Preparing a big one $PEPE for everyone🧧
Everyone gets 🎉
Follow➕666
Reply: 666
#BinanceSquareFamily $BTC #ETH
Is there anyone who likes $PEPE ? Preparing a big one $PEPE for everyone🧧
Everyone gets 🎉
Follow➕666
Reply: 666
#BinanceSquareFamily $BTC #ETH
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Retail investors are cutting losses, but Wall Street is stirring things up on SUI?
$BTC $ETH $SUI
The panic index this morning is 25 (panic)!
What is the market afraid of? Where are the opportunities hidden?
1️⃣ Macro Ghost Story: Good news turned into bad news
Last night, the number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. dropped to 191,000, a three-year low!
Awkward: Everyone was hoping for a slight economic downturn to lower interest rates, but with such strong employment data, the Fed has fewer reasons to cut rates. This is why Bitcoin can't get a break.
Tonight's showdown: Everyone is waiting for tonight's PCE data! This is the final arbiter of inflation. Before the data comes out, keep your hands steady, don't make any moves!
The panic index this morning is 25 (panic)!
What is the market afraid of? Where are the opportunities hidden?
1️⃣ Macro Ghost Story: Good news turned into bad news
Last night, the number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. dropped to 191,000, a three-year low!
Awkward: Everyone was hoping for a slight economic downturn to lower interest rates, but with such strong employment data, the Fed has fewer reasons to cut rates. This is why Bitcoin can't get a break.
Tonight's showdown: Everyone is waiting for tonight's PCE data! This is the final arbiter of inflation. Before the data comes out, keep your hands steady, don't make any moves!
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Ethereum violently surged, main players are frantically buying! 12.4 Morning Report
$BTC $ETH $SOL
ETF Capital Flow: Daily net inflow exceeds 1.1 billion USD!
This is a new high in 7 weeks! Institutional funds led by BlackRock are aggressively buying into distressed assets.
Fear and Greed Index: 27 (Fear)
Three core positives (don't be misled by noise)
1. 🇺🇸 Macro Shock: ADP Employment 'Cold Surprise'
Last night, the 'little non-farm' ADP data was released, showing an unexpected decrease of 32,000 jobs (the lowest since March 2023).
Interpretation: Is the ghost story of economic recession coming again? Bad news is good news! This has directly cornered the Federal Reserve, raising rate cut expectations instantly, and the liquidity gates must be opened!
ETF Capital Flow: Daily net inflow exceeds 1.1 billion USD!
This is a new high in 7 weeks! Institutional funds led by BlackRock are aggressively buying into distressed assets.
Fear and Greed Index: 27 (Fear)
Three core positives (don't be misled by noise)
1. 🇺🇸 Macro Shock: ADP Employment 'Cold Surprise'
Last night, the 'little non-farm' ADP data was released, showing an unexpected decrease of 32,000 jobs (the lowest since March 2023).
Interpretation: Is the ghost story of economic recession coming again? Bad news is good news! This has directly cornered the Federal Reserve, raising rate cut expectations instantly, and the liquidity gates must be opened!
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Macro Warning: $26 billion 'lifeline' urgently needed! Liquidity alarm sounded, hidden bomb behind the rebound?
Don't be blinded by the rebound in the market! Although the market is cheering for the 'QT (tapering) stop', the underlying data from the Federal Reserve is flashing red lights. On December 1st, the usage of the Standing Repo Facility (SRF) surged to $26 billion, the second highest since 2020! This means that the 'veins' of the financial system are becoming clogged, and the truth is that there is a lack of money.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Data deep dive: The 'water shortage' crisis beneath the surface prosperity
1. What does the $26 billion SRF usage mean?
According to data from Wall Street, the SRF (Standing Repo Facility) is the 'emergency room' for financial institutions. Institutions only run to the Federal Reserve to exchange cash for Treasury bonds when they cannot borrow money in the market.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
Data deep dive: The 'water shortage' crisis beneath the surface prosperity
1. What does the $26 billion SRF usage mean?
According to data from Wall Street, the SRF (Standing Repo Facility) is the 'emergency room' for financial institutions. Institutions only run to the Federal Reserve to exchange cash for Treasury bonds when they cannot borrow money in the market.
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Deep V Reversal Established! BTC Hits 93k, Institutions 'Show Cards' to Enter
Today's Sentiment: Extreme Fear (22)
Although the fear index remains low, this is often a typical characteristic of market bottoming. The market has already reacted and has exhibited a textbook-level 'deep V' reversal.
💡 Core Logic:
Panic positions have been cleared, institutional funds are taking over. Yesterday's sharp drop has become a golden pit, and with Trump hinting at the new Fed leader and the easing of traditional bank policies, macro liquidity expectations are rapidly improving.
🚨 Overnight Heavyweight: 3 Major Signals Impacting Trends
1. 🇺🇸 Fed's 'Dovish' Expectations Heat Up
Trump clearly hints that Kevin Hassett will take over as Fed Chair.
Although the fear index remains low, this is often a typical characteristic of market bottoming. The market has already reacted and has exhibited a textbook-level 'deep V' reversal.
💡 Core Logic:
Panic positions have been cleared, institutional funds are taking over. Yesterday's sharp drop has become a golden pit, and with Trump hinting at the new Fed leader and the easing of traditional bank policies, macro liquidity expectations are rapidly improving.
🚨 Overnight Heavyweight: 3 Major Signals Impacting Trends
1. 🇺🇸 Fed's 'Dovish' Expectations Heat Up
Trump clearly hints that Kevin Hassett will take over as Fed Chair.
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$BTC The fourth wave is suitable for reminding for many days, pay attention to the pressure level above, gradually reduce positions and short, starting short from 91k. Last night it directly hit my take profit line, the small position I opened at noon yesterday to bet on a rebound, I forgot to set a take profit order, it hit my stop loss (a lesson to learn) 😅
Currently, Bitcoin continues to look bearish, open interest is diverging from the price, and the price still has a rebound to go.
The resistance level is 88k. I personally operate looking for more starting with 7, betting on a strong rebound.
$ETH short support 2770 short resistance 2826.
Welcome to the chat room for communication
#加密市场回调 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #BTC
Currently, Bitcoin continues to look bearish, open interest is diverging from the price, and the price still has a rebound to go.
The resistance level is 88k. I personally operate looking for more starting with 7, betting on a strong rebound.
$ETH short support 2770 short resistance 2826.
Welcome to the chat room for communication
#加密市场回调 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #BTC
$BTC Market Interpretation: Is 80,600 the Bottom of the Current Phase? The 'Script' of the Fourth Wave Rebound is Unfolding!
The market trend has become very clear. The current situation fully conforms to the structure of a 'fourth wave rebound'.
Why do I say this?
Daily Level: The drop from 120,000 to 80,000 was the most brutal third wave. Now, with a spike down to 80,600 dollars and a rebound, it indicates that the bearish momentum has temporarily exhausted, and the main force has begun to enter for a rebound repair.
Short-Term Structure: At the 15-minute level, Bitcoin is holding steady above 87,000. This sideways movement that 'can't go down' is building up strength to attack higher resistance levels.
What's next? (Script Prediction)
If we follow the standard four-wave model:
Short-Term Target: First look at the range of 90,000-92,000. This area was previously a dense accumulation zone, and it is also the watershed for bulls and bears.
Extreme Rebound: It might induce a spike to around 95,000.
Final Outcome: Remember, after the fourth wave is completed, there is usually a fifth wave decline waiting. So this rebound is for you to recover losses, not for you to go all in aiming for 150,000!
Operational Thinking:
Take the body of the fish, discard the tail. Since we are certain it is a fourth wave rebound, spot trading can be held, and contracts can be shorted on dips. But once it surpasses 92,000, you should start taking profits in batches and even prepare to set up short positions for the fifth wave.
Do you think this fourth wave rebound can reach the 100,000 mark? Or will it turn down at 92,000? Leave your points in the comments!
Come to the chat room to learn together
#加密市场观察 #BTC #BTC走势分析
The market trend has become very clear. The current situation fully conforms to the structure of a 'fourth wave rebound'.
Why do I say this?
Daily Level: The drop from 120,000 to 80,000 was the most brutal third wave. Now, with a spike down to 80,600 dollars and a rebound, it indicates that the bearish momentum has temporarily exhausted, and the main force has begun to enter for a rebound repair.
Short-Term Structure: At the 15-minute level, Bitcoin is holding steady above 87,000. This sideways movement that 'can't go down' is building up strength to attack higher resistance levels.
What's next? (Script Prediction)
If we follow the standard four-wave model:
Short-Term Target: First look at the range of 90,000-92,000. This area was previously a dense accumulation zone, and it is also the watershed for bulls and bears.
Extreme Rebound: It might induce a spike to around 95,000.
Final Outcome: Remember, after the fourth wave is completed, there is usually a fifth wave decline waiting. So this rebound is for you to recover losses, not for you to go all in aiming for 150,000!
Operational Thinking:
Take the body of the fish, discard the tail. Since we are certain it is a fourth wave rebound, spot trading can be held, and contracts can be shorted on dips. But once it surpasses 92,000, you should start taking profits in batches and even prepare to set up short positions for the fifth wave.
Do you think this fourth wave rebound can reach the 100,000 mark? Or will it turn down at 92,000? Leave your points in the comments!
Come to the chat room to learn together
#加密市场观察 #BTC #BTC走势分析
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Vanguard turns back, will the bull return quickly? Panic index 16
🔥 Today's sentiment: Extreme Panic (Index 16)
📉 BTC: $86,720 | ETH: $2,805
💡 Core logic:
The panic index plummeted to 16 (recent new low), with bloodshed in the market. However, the fundamentals welcome an epic reversal: Vanguard allows trading of crypto ETFs! Once the largest 'anti-crypto' giant has turned its back, coupled with the listing of Grayscale LINK ETF. This is not a bear market; it is clearly institutions cleaning leverage amid panic sentiment to make room for new funds to enter!
🚨 Overnight heavy news: 3 major shifts in capital
1. 🇺🇸 Wall Street giant 'surrender': Vanguard opens the floodgates
📉 BTC: $86,720 | ETH: $2,805
💡 Core logic:
The panic index plummeted to 16 (recent new low), with bloodshed in the market. However, the fundamentals welcome an epic reversal: Vanguard allows trading of crypto ETFs! Once the largest 'anti-crypto' giant has turned its back, coupled with the listing of Grayscale LINK ETF. This is not a bear market; it is clearly institutions cleaning leverage amid panic sentiment to make room for new funds to enter!
🚨 Overnight heavy news: 3 major shifts in capital
1. 🇺🇸 Wall Street giant 'surrender': Vanguard opens the floodgates
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Airdrop $RLS Points ≥ 242 Time 19:00 63,000 copies
Total 10 billion, initial circulation 15%, pre-market price 0.035, pool price 0.06
Introduction: Rayls is an EVM-compatible blockchain ecosystem that provides enterprise-level privacy, scalability, interoperability, and decentralization, using central bank digital currencies to simplify cross-border foreign exchange and internal institutional payments.
The market is not good today, it may be halved before the market opens, currently the number of alpha participants is basically fluctuating around 320,000 with a variation of 20,000 people.
#ALPHA #加密市场观察 #空投分享 #撸毛教程
Total 10 billion, initial circulation 15%, pre-market price 0.035, pool price 0.06
Introduction: Rayls is an EVM-compatible blockchain ecosystem that provides enterprise-level privacy, scalability, interoperability, and decentralization, using central bank digital currencies to simplify cross-border foreign exchange and internal institutional payments.
The market is not good today, it may be halved before the market opens, currently the number of alpha participants is basically fluctuating around 320,000 with a variation of 20,000 people.
#ALPHA #加密市场观察 #空投分享 #撸毛教程
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14 ministries join forces + Order No. 11 implemented! Is it 'strict crackdown' or 'cycle'? The survival guide for the crypto community in 2026
The community exploded over the weekend; everyone was bombarded with news of the '14 ministries joint meeting' and the central bank's latest 'Order No. 11.' Some shouted '94 replay,' while others quickly sold U at low prices overnight.
As an old veteran in the crypto space, I want to say: Don't panic, first understand the underlying logic. Panic often comes from the unknown, and real Alpha is often hidden in information asymmetry.
Today, let's peel away the so-called “terrorist disguise” of these policies and see what it really means for ordinary traders.
1. The regulatory “four-year cycle theory”: The central bank understands BTC the best?
As an old veteran in the crypto space, I want to say: Don't panic, first understand the underlying logic. Panic often comes from the unknown, and real Alpha is often hidden in information asymmetry.
Today, let's peel away the so-called “terrorist disguise” of these policies and see what it really means for ordinary traders.
1. The regulatory “four-year cycle theory”: The central bank understands BTC the best?
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$BTC Is there anyone who followed me to short? Now I'm betting on a rebound with a small position, and have set profit-taking and stop-loss.
$ZEC I really made a lot of money, shorted from a high position until now.
$ETH
Follow me, see you in the chat room.
$ZEC I really made a lot of money, shorted from a high position until now.
$ETH
Follow me, see you in the chat room.
$BTC A few days ago, it was said that 8.4-8.65w was heavily involved, and now most positions are starting to take profit.
$ETH is roughly the same.
$TAC is pure money giving; I just saw it late yesterday, saw it and opened an order in seconds, and friends in the group also benefited.
#zec , short position, can gradually take profit as it falls.
$ETH is roughly the same.
$TAC is pure money giving; I just saw it late yesterday, saw it and opened an order in seconds, and friends in the group also benefited.
#zec , short position, can gradually take profit as it falls.
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On-chain Morning Report: Is the 'golden pit' under extreme fear or the 'escape door'?
Today's sentiment: Extreme Fear (Index 20)
BTC: $86,700 (-4.12%) | ETH: $2,840 (-5.67%)
Core viewpoint:
The market accelerated its decline in the morning, with BTC falling below 90,000 and approaching 86,000, while ETH dropped below 2,900. BlackRock saw record outflows combined with macro uncertainties, and the market is experiencing the 'darkest moment before dawn'. But remember: a fear index below 20 is often an excellent window for phased entry.
Overnight heavy news: 4 major signals affecting your wallet
1. 🇺🇸 The suspense surrounding the 'leader' of the Federal Reserve is about to be unveiled
Trump reveals he has finalized the candidate for Federal Reserve Chairman! The market is betting on an official announcement in the next two days.
BTC: $86,700 (-4.12%) | ETH: $2,840 (-5.67%)
Core viewpoint:
The market accelerated its decline in the morning, with BTC falling below 90,000 and approaching 86,000, while ETH dropped below 2,900. BlackRock saw record outflows combined with macro uncertainties, and the market is experiencing the 'darkest moment before dawn'. But remember: a fear index below 20 is often an excellent window for phased entry.
Overnight heavy news: 4 major signals affecting your wallet
1. 🇺🇸 The suspense surrounding the 'leader' of the Federal Reserve is about to be unveiled
Trump reveals he has finalized the candidate for Federal Reserve Chairman! The market is betting on an official announcement in the next two days.
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[In-depth] Behind Bitcoin's drop below $100,000: Why can't "money printing" save this market?
The major correction at the end of 2025 has left many people confused: Clearly, global M2 is rising, clearly, Trump is shouting loudly to buy, so why has the crypto circle still collapsed? This article breaks down the overlooked "lag effect" and the deadly strangulation of the strong dollar cycle.
In the past few weeks, the crypto market has experienced a thrilling "trillion-dollar reshuffle." Bitcoin has fallen from its historical high of $126,000, and altcoins have suffered greatly.
Many brothers in the square asked: "Wasn't it said that macroeconomic easing was happening? Wasn't it said that Trump is the crypto president? Why is the market still falling?"
In the past few weeks, the crypto market has experienced a thrilling "trillion-dollar reshuffle." Bitcoin has fallen from its historical high of $126,000, and altcoins have suffered greatly.
Many brothers in the square asked: "Wasn't it said that macroeconomic easing was happening? Wasn't it said that Trump is the crypto president? Why is the market still falling?"
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It seems that yesterday's high-scoring Big Mao still attracted another group of people's attention
The number of Alpha continues to grow
📅 Today's ALPHA Dispatch (Like + Follow)
1️⃣ Today at 16:00, Old Mao's surprise attack
$Unknown Score ≥ 252 （$Estimated 20-40u）
It seems that yesterday's high-scoring Big Mao $GUA still attracted another group of people's attention
It seems that the score still cannot go down, let's continue with 2+15 to keep the number
2️⃣ Tomorrow's Airdrop Preview (Estimated 17:00-20:00)
$GAIX Specific score amount to be determined
Image: A decentralized creative AI agent dedicated to establishing a new paradigm for on-chain visual creation, copyright ownership, and revenue sharing. Each image is an asset, each call is a collaboration, and each share generates revenue.
The surge in new users may lead to increased competition, and airdrop allocation may decrease
Focus on brushing scores primarily on $TIMI , with alternatives $BAY (Note that the 4x is about to end, fluctuations may be significant)
Wallet binding upgrade up to 30%, currently 601 people have bound my invitation. After successful binding, a 30% automatic return, brushing alpha can also return, brothers who haven't filled can fill in mine. I will keep upgrading as long as I can upgrade; those who have bound before have automatically upgraded to 30%. (If you want to know about fee reductions, you can come to the Binance chat room)
1. Open the wallet page
2. Click on the second invite friends button on the right
3. Click to enter the invitation code, transaction fee deduction of 30%
4. Enter the invitation code and confirm.
For brushing Mao, find me, follow @0xLuise ! If you have questions, leave a message, I will reply to all I see.
#ALPHA #ALPHA🔥 #空投分享 #撸毛教程
The number of Alpha continues to grow
📅 Today's ALPHA Dispatch (Like + Follow)
1️⃣ Today at 16:00, Old Mao's surprise attack
$Unknown Score ≥ 252 （$Estimated 20-40u）
It seems that yesterday's high-scoring Big Mao $GUA still attracted another group of people's attention
It seems that the score still cannot go down, let's continue with 2+15 to keep the number
2️⃣ Tomorrow's Airdrop Preview (Estimated 17:00-20:00)
$GAIX Specific score amount to be determined
Image: A decentralized creative AI agent dedicated to establishing a new paradigm for on-chain visual creation, copyright ownership, and revenue sharing. Each image is an asset, each call is a collaboration, and each share generates revenue.
The surge in new users may lead to increased competition, and airdrop allocation may decrease
Focus on brushing scores primarily on $TIMI , with alternatives $BAY (Note that the 4x is about to end, fluctuations may be significant)
Wallet binding upgrade up to 30%, currently 601 people have bound my invitation. After successful binding, a 30% automatic return, brushing alpha can also return, brothers who haven't filled can fill in mine. I will keep upgrading as long as I can upgrade; those who have bound before have automatically upgraded to 30%. (If you want to know about fee reductions, you can come to the Binance chat room)
1. Open the wallet page
2. Click on the second invite friends button on the right
3. Click to enter the invitation code, transaction fee deduction of 30%
4. Enter the invitation code and confirm.
For brushing Mao, find me, follow @0xLuise ! If you have questions, leave a message, I will reply to all I see.
#ALPHA #ALPHA🔥 #空投分享 #撸毛教程
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Why is everyone afraid while Bitcoin stands firm at 90,000? 11.28
Today's Market Sentiment
Fear and Greed Index: 20 (Extreme Fear) 📉
🚨 Today's Hardcore Intel
1. 💵 Funding Situation 'Clear as Day':
Don't be fooled by everyone shouting about a drop; Tether and Circle, these two money printers, have never stopped! Since 10.11, they have cumulatively issued $17.25 billion in stablecoins.
Uncle San's Interpretation: The market is fundamentally not lacking in money, but in confidence. As long as this money does not withdraw, the basis for a big drop will not be on the bear side. Tether still holds 116 tons of gold, which is a deeper moat than anyone else.
2. 🐳 Institutional Actions 'Long and Short Combat':
Fear and Greed Index: 20 (Extreme Fear) 📉
🚨 Today's Hardcore Intel
1. 💵 Funding Situation 'Clear as Day':
Don't be fooled by everyone shouting about a drop; Tether and Circle, these two money printers, have never stopped! Since 10.11, they have cumulatively issued $17.25 billion in stablecoins.
Uncle San's Interpretation: The market is fundamentally not lacking in money, but in confidence. As long as this money does not withdraw, the basis for a big drop will not be on the bear side. Tether still holds 116 tons of gold, which is a deeper moat than anyone else.
2. 🐳 Institutional Actions 'Long and Short Combat':
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99% of people overlook Binance's 'God-level Indicator': Teach you to see through the main force's movements at a glance!
Brothers, are you still only looking at K-lines when trading coins? 🧐
In fact, there is a very important data indicator hidden in the Binance App that many people have not noticed, but it serves as a 'perspective lens' to capture the main force's movements.
Today, let's delve into this indicator—【On-site Position Concentration】.
1️⃣ How to interpret this indicator?
Just click on any coin in Binance Spot, and you can find it in the 【Token Information】 section.
The value range is 0-100, and the logic is very simple and straightforward:
📈 The higher the value → The more concentrated the chips, indicating that the main force/big players hold a lot of assets (highly controlled).
In fact, there is a very important data indicator hidden in the Binance App that many people have not noticed, but it serves as a 'perspective lens' to capture the main force's movements.
Today, let's delve into this indicator—【On-site Position Concentration】.
1️⃣ How to interpret this indicator?
Just click on any coin in Binance Spot, and you can find it in the 【Token Information】 section.
The value range is 0-100, and the logic is very simple and straightforward:
📈 The higher the value → The more concentrated the chips, indicating that the main force/big players hold a lot of assets (highly controlled).
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