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$ETH $ZEC Cryptocurrency Night Owl: What We Wait For Is Never the K-Line, But the Dawn

The K-line chart at three in the morning, like your bloodshot eyes, is full of unwillingness.

You stare at the downward green bar of ZEC, recalling the highs you once chased, and you remember the determination when buying the dip. You've calculated the support levels, watched the funding rates, and hoped for a big bullish candle to rise, only to be met with repeated fluctuations and declines.

In the world of cryptocurrency, there is no such thing as smooth sailing. Some make quick money through luck, only to lose it back through skill; some cling to their beliefs while trading but are suffocated by regulations and the market. We often say, "When others are fearful, I am greedy," but when the account turns a sea of red, who can remain calm?

You know the risks, but you just can't bear to leave the game. Those nights spent staring at the charts, those mornings of repeated analysis, those moments of arguing long or short with friends have long become an obsession etched into your bones.

In fact, what we wait for is never a singular bullish candle, nor a sudden surge at a specific point, but the confidence gained from surviving the harsh winter and the determination to hold on until the trend reverses.

Don't rush, before the wind comes, first steady yourself.

$ZEC ZEC is under short-term pressure and fluctuating, with ample liquidity. The technical perspective shows bearish dominance but has not reached an extreme. Support and resistance levels are clear to rely on. Additionally, the foundation of established privacy coins is still there, and regulatory pressures along with BTC siphoning remain the two main pressures at present. For short-term trading, light positions can be entered and exited quickly, buying in batches at 370-375 to watch for 400. For medium-term, patiently wait for a breakout and stabilization signal at 400, or consider re-entering near 350. Market fluctuations are normal; rationally view ZEC's short-term adjustments and long-term potential.

$PIPPIN In the past couple of days, the sell-off has completely calmed down. The big players have long cleared their positions, and now the chances of a bullish opportunity are increasing! Right now, the bears still have quite a few chips in hand; as long as the main force dares to push, a wave of concentrated liquidations will definitely happen!

On-chain data doesn't lie; funds are secretly flowing in, and the main players are clearly laying out their plans quietly. However, the funding rate is still showing a negative number, indicating that the market players are still a bit cautious about the future. At this point in time, the quality altcoin sector might still be able to make another push!

Lastly, a reminder: don't blindly follow the crowd for short-term operations and take profits; you need to assess how much risk you can handle. The market changes faster than flipping a book; hitting the right entry and exit points is the key!

$PIPPIN
The recent market crash has essentially come to an end, and large players have completed their selling actions, significantly increasing the probability of price rising in the future. Currently, short positions remain relatively abundant, and if the main force starts to push prices up, it is highly likely to trigger a concentrated liquidation event.

From on-chain data observation, funds are continuously flowing in, and there are clear signs of large capital repositioning. It is worth noting that the funding rate is still in the negative range, reflecting the market's cautious attitude towards future trends. Within this time window, high-quality altcoin sectors may be poised for a new round of investment opportunities.

The formulation of short-term operations and profit-taking strategies needs to be closely tied to one's risk tolerance. The current market volatility is accelerating, and accurately controlling entry and exit points is the key to profitability.

$ACT Can this opportunity be seized? (30 seconds to understand)
The Act coin on the Solana chain has fluctuated again! It’s now $0.0213, with a slight increase of 2.4% in 24 hours, but the volatility exceeds 11%. It seems to have rebounded but actually hides pitfalls!
This coin is based on AI + Meme concepts and is purely community-driven. It previously surged on Binance but has now dropped 97% from its peak, and in the past three months, it has fallen another 45%. Long-term, it’s just in a state of stagnation!
The 24-hour trading volume is only 120,000, and the liquidity is ridiculously poor, making it easy to slip on buy and sell! The technical indicators are not promising either, with RSI and MACD showing neutral signals, and it’s stuck in a fluctuating range of 0.019-0.022, unable to break through without volume!
With no solid fundamentals, it will definitely lead the decline when the market drops, and it’s purely a game for short-term players to enter and exit quickly!

If you find this useful, please like and follow for real-time updates! Should we seize this opportunity? Which price level do you want to wait for? Let’s discuss in the comments～

$BTC
BTC is fluctuating around $87,000, having tested the $85,000-$86,000 support three times without breaking it, but still below the descending trend line since October, with no clear reversal signals. Technically, the daily RSI has shown a bullish divergence, and the downward momentum is weakening, but both the weekly and daily moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, severely limiting the rebound strength. Market sentiment is quite weak, with nearly $750 million in long positions being liquidated, and the derivatives market is cautiously observing; the once-reliable "lifeline" of ETF inflows hasn't increased significantly, lacking strong support for an upward move.
Confirming the bottom requires meeting three hardcore conditions: first, stabilizing above the $94,000-$95,000 descending trend line; second, the daily and weekly charts need to show a volume-backed reversal pattern; third, weekly ETF inflows must remain stable and exceed $100 million.

The subsequent market scenario divides into two scripts: Optimistic: BTC holds above the $85,000 support and breaks through $94,000, confirming the bottom allows for light positions to follow, targeting $98,000-$100,000; Pessimistic: if it breaks below the $85,000 support, it is highly likely to drop into the $80,000-$82,000 range.

#美国讨论BTC战略储备 $PIPPIN $PIPPIN Insiders control 80% of the supply, making it too small and easily manipulated or subject to extreme fluctuations. There is no fundamental support; the surge relies entirely on emotion and control, with volatility comparable to a roller coaster. Earning is luck, losing is the norm, just treat it as entertainment and don't take it seriously.

$GUN Deep overbought, concentrated chips, high volatility, high pullback risk. No substantial profit support, relying solely on the chain game ecosystem.

Support 0.012

Resistance 0.020-0.023
MACD high position turning point, volume has not followed, short-term caution against chasing highs.

$PIPPIN is a meme coin on the Solana chain, experiencing a short-term surge but highly controlled and overbought, with extremely high risks, suitable only for very light speculative positions.
The 7-day increase exceeds 160%, insiders control about 80% of the supply, with a very small circulation, making it easy to manipulate prices and experience extreme volatility.

• Support: $0.32 (short-term lifeline), $0.28 (medium-term strong support)

• Resistance: $0.40 (intraday bullish-bearish line), $0.453 (previous high strong resistance)

Severe control, no substantial fundamentals, purely driven by emotions, may crash at any time, overbought + controlled, poor risk-reward ratio.

PIPPIN has no fundamental support, the surge relies entirely on emotions and control, with volatility comparable to a roller coaster. Making a profit is luck, losing is the norm, treat it as entertainment, don't take it seriously.

$OM
The "Compliance + RWA" of OM is a core highlight, but the progress of implementation, regulatory changes, and whale selling pressure are all potential risks.

$EPIC Caution: From NFT to RWA: Epic Chain's Comeback Story

Epic Chain, formerly known as Ethernity Chain, was renamed after a community vote and has shifted from the NFT sector to the RWA field, targeting a $50 trillion blue ocean market.

As an RWA Layer 2 solution, it integrates Ethereum EVM and XRP Ledger technology to achieve rapid settlement in 3-5 seconds, with transaction fees as low as $0.0001, assisting in bringing real assets like real estate and commodities on-chain; its no-code toolkit supports institutions and teams in issuing RWA tokens, asset fragmentation, and DeFi integration, allowing users to earn XRP-related income.

The EPIC token is of ERC-20 type, with a total circulation of 30 million tokens, used for governance, staking, and transaction fee payments, currently valued at $15.64 million, ranking at 1251, with small market cap associated with high volatility and liquidity risks.

As of 2025-12-17 13:00 (UTC+8), the EPIC price is $0.523, up 8.90% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of about $2.1 million; technically, the RSI has touched the overbought line and is retreating, indicating short-term pullback risks, with support levels at $0.485/$0.46 and resistance levels at $0.505/$0.54.

In terms of operations, if it stabilizes above $0.505, it is advisable to take a small position (≤20%), with a stop loss below $0.48; for medium to long-term, it is recommended to reassess in the $0.45-$0.47 range.

Key points to avoid pitfalls: verify contract addresses, stay away from 'zombie coins' like EPL, ELP; position should not exceed 5% of total assets, use spare money to participate; closely monitor the project's RWA implementation, regulatory compliance, and technological stability progress.

Epic Chain's transformation ideas are impressive, but uncertainties remain for small market cap projects, and future value is yet to be tested.

$FORM If it can't go down, it will continue to rise

$USTC USTC Magical Life: From a $18 billion market cap stablecoin giant to a $0.01 "fairy coin"! Algorithm collapse + no anchoring + low liquidity, a gambler's heartbeat game, proceed with caution!

Don't dream of USTC returning to $1! It is now a speculative coin supported only by community loyalty and upgrade rumors, with high inflation risks, poor liquidity; it's fine for small play money, but heavy investment could lead to pitfalls!

Can USTC make a comeback? Difficult! It has fallen over 99% from its peak, struggling on second-tier exchanges, with ecological implementation at a snail's pace. The low entry barrier is tempting, but the structural flaws are significant pitfalls; the survival rule in the crypto world: recognize the risks, don't be greedy!

Crypto melodrama: USTC has fallen from the three giants of stablecoins to a speculative target of the "dream of restoration." In the short term, it relies on news to drive impulses, but long-term structural issues are hard to resolve; it's all about the thrill, approach with caution!

$FORM high-quality targets, can find a position to enter. 1. Crypto transformation king FORM: from GameFi veteran BNX to a versatile player in the Web3 ecosystem, meme issuance + IGO + DeFi + governance all handled, backed by Binance + no additional issuance and no private placement, this comeback has something going on!

2. FORM's comeback story: backed by BNB Chain, four major modules solidifying the ecological closed loop, 24h increase of 38.81%, trading volume skyrocketing! Seize the IGO and DeFi upgrade dividends, beware of volatility risks in small and medium market caps～

3. How appealing is FORM with no additional issuance and no private placement? GameFi transforming into Web3 king, Chinese community accounts for over 40%, ecological synergy is in a positive cycle, looking long-term is promising!

4. Taking a poor hand in GameFi and turning it into a Web3 ace, that's FORM! No barrier to issuing meme coins, staking to grab IGO spots, though fluctuations are large, opportunities are abundant, those who understand are already researching～

$BTC $XRP The strong U.S. non-farm data trading insights

The core gap in trading has never been in methodology, but in execution and risk management.

The root of most traders' losses lies in the imbalance of position allocation: aggressive full positions can lead to liquidation, while overly conservative positions can miss opportunities. Behind this is a scientific allocation logic.

A reliable position management system must anchor on three points: dynamically adjusting positions according to account risk tolerance, building positions in batches to hedge entry risks, and setting stop-loss and take-profit points in advance. This method has been validated through multiple market cycles.

Taking the unexpected strength of this non-farm data as an example, many either blindly increase positions or panic sell. Rational operations should rely on a judgment framework: analyzing whether the data is a signal of policy shift or cyclic volatility, and judging whether the current price has digested the good news. Systematic decision-making is much more profitable than emotional trading.

Trend recognition is similar; relying solely on one or two indicators can easily lead to false breakouts. It is necessary to combine volume, structure, and cyclical multi-dimensional verification. Refining this judgment ability is the core "hard currency" of trading.#美国非农数据超预期

$BTC $ETH Cryptocurrency Market Bottom-Fishing Strategy (Simplified Version)

Core Conclusion: Bottom not confirmed, currently in the bottom building phase; gradually allocate BTC/ETH in spot, closely monitor support and signals, and temporarily observe altcoins.

I. Market Direction

1. Bottoming Phase: BTC/ETH is oscillating in the key support range with low volatility and reduced volume, no bottoming signal has appeared.

2. Core Assets: BTC (Institutional ETF support), ETH (Fusaka upgrade benefits) serve as barometers for market trends.

II. Key Support/Resistance and Risks
Currency Support Level Break Below Resistance Level Risk Warning
BTC 85000-86000$ 81000-74000$ 92000-94000$ -
ETH 2800-3000$ - 3500$ 2.2 million coins to be unlocked, beware of selling pressure

III. Entry Signals (Must meet all criteria)

1. BTC/ETH funding rate turns positive;

2. Continuous net inflow of whale holdings;

3. BTC stabilizes above 94000 or ETH stabilizes above 3200.

IV. Gradual Accumulation Strategy

1. Position Allocation: 10%→10%→20%→20%→30%, add once every 5%-10% drop, total position not exceeding 30%-50% of principal.

2. Accumulation Nodes

◦ BTC: 87000→82000→77000→72000→67000$

◦ ETH: 2900→2700→2500→2300→2100$

V. Altcoin Strategy

1. Current Risk: The top 10 currencies account for 94% of the market value, altcoin liquidity is poor, easily drained by mainstream coin trends.

2. Entry Timing: Wait for mainstream coins to break through the consolidation range and for market sentiment to improve, then cautiously test head altcoins (such as SOL/ADA) with small positions.

VI. Risk Control Rules

1. Single currency position not exceeding 20%, BTC+ETH proportion ≥ 80%;

2. Retain 30%-50% cash to cope with extreme declines;

3. If BTC falls below 74000 or ETH falls below 2500, decisively reduce positions to below 10%.

$BTC $ETH $APT The cryptocurrency market collectively 'lies flat': 75 out of the top 100 coins have fallen below key moving averages, with Bitcoin leading the plunge.

To describe the recent atmosphere in the cryptocurrency market, it can be summed up as 'a sea of green looking towards money, with players in the coin circle collectively sighing.' CoinDesk's analytical data has poured cold water on the market: among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, a staggering 75 have fallen below the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. This is akin to having 75 out of the top 100 students in a class failing to pass, showcasing the extent of weakness in the digital asset market.

Even 'top students' like Ethereum and Solana have not escaped unscathed, as they too have fallen below key moving averages. These major coins account for 78% of the $3 trillion market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market, which is analogous to a large group collectively dropping the ball, making it hard for market sentiment to be positive. The root cause can be traced back to Bitcoin, the 'big brother' of the coin circle, which has plummeted from a historical high of over $126,000 at the beginning of October to $87,000, truly leading the plunge and directly causing a collapse in the market's capital flow. What was once considered the 'pillar of the coin circle' has now become a 'burden'.

Interestingly, the adjacent Nasdaq 100 index has only 29 stocks exhibiting similar weakness, with tech stocks at least maintaining some market breadth. In contrast, the cryptocurrency market is simply 'a sight too painful to behold.' It’s worth noting that Bitcoin usually has a tight correlation with the Nasdaq, but during a bear market, its downward fluctuations can escalate, showcasing a 'faster decline.'

What’s even more concerning is that currently, only 8 cryptocurrencies are showing oversold conditions on the relative strength index. Coins like PI and APT are among the few that seem to have 'hit the bottom', while the majority of other tokens appear to be 'running wildly downwards', not even close to hitting the brakes. Analysts openly state that the cryptocurrency market is likely to continue 'moving under pressure' in the short term, and players in the coin circle will probably need to tighten their wallets for a while longer.