币圈大太子

How much have you missed out on in the past half month? Steadily with the prince's brothers, the highest profit was 6 times, and the one with the most profit reached 15,000 U last night, peaking at 50,000 U. The prince emphasized medium-term spot trading last month and informed you of the outcome of short-term trading. Most of the brothers were eager to make quick money last month; now, compared to those in short-term trading, look at how much profit the brothers on the prince's medium-term spot trading team have made. They have steadily won at the starting line, while those who play short-term are nervously facing zero. For those people, it’s a question of whether they are even alive, and this is before the market has even started, as the prince said. The current starting amount and the plan to use five times the funds next month to exchange for the space below is already a bit late; the bottom weekly price keeps rising, one is 10 times and another is 50 times. In the cryptocurrency world, a day is like ten years in the human world. The prince led you from Ethereum at 2,250, and it only took 15 days. The prince has achieved 20 consecutive victories in short-term trading, and the doubling in the private domain from half a month ago also took only 10 days. Currently, the brothers on the team who started following 15 days ago have basically made around double the profit, with the highest being 6 times, steady and secure. While outside there is a chorus of wailing, with contract liquidation, missed opportunities, chasing highs, and being shaken off the bus, buying trash coins, all risks abound. At the moment when the bull market is roaring, the prince is a safe barrier, and medium-term spot trading is rushing towards 50 times. Completing one major upward wave after another.

Not every trade I lead will make money. For example, if a coin rises 50 times or 100 times, you might still be losing money, and the reason lies in cognitive issues. Just like the 500,000 U trade I led at the beginning of 2024 with a 17 times return on Pepe, out of 170 people who followed the trade, 80 lost money, half made about 1 time profit and left, while the other half broke even, only 7 people achieved over 5 times profit. Therefore, if you are not someone with understanding and composure, and if you lack either of these, I advise you not to follow me, because if you do, you will definitely lose money. My actual trades and the coins I buy are shared daily through videos with the brothers. If you are still like a headless fly relying on my performance, I assure you that you won't find anyone else in the Chinese-speaking world who can lead you to profit. I shared a video about medium-term thinking a couple of days ago!

How has history unfolded?
ETH went from 1400 to 5000 back in the day, which was an independent market trend following the BTC correction.

Shitcoins are called shitcoins because they love to give you no face with their ups and downs, love to sneak attack, love to deceive you, and love to shake you off.

They are always benchmarked against Bitcoin at 45,000—50,000 USD, not the 120,000 BTC you fantasize about in your mind.

So what you see now is the most classic scene in the main player’s script.

Shaking people off. Continuously shaking people off. Desperately shaking people off.

Why have shitcoins been fluctuating crazily these days? Because the main players know that retail investors are most likely to make two fatal mistakes at this time:
1: Those who sold at the bottom are now unable to resist chasing the high after seeing the gain leaderboard.

2: Jumping between long and short positions repeatedly, thinking they can catch every fluctuation.

3: Wanting to dodge every correction and catch every rise is essentially gambling.

This is also why retail investors overall lose money after every bull market ends. A bull market relies not on speed, not on luck, but on risk avoidance + holding the main upward trend.

The prince has always said, you can make big money not because you catch a lot, but because you "make fewer mistakes."

When selecting targets, you need to look at strength and weakness structure, stability, explosiveness, persistence, and the number of times the main player exits (the fewer, the fiercer).

Eating a stable segment in the main upward trend is already much better than 90% of people. Standing on the path of the main upward trend in advance, instead of chasing the market.

Now many people still cannot understand that the Federal Reserve has reached a stage where it must prepare the narrative for the next round of liquidity.
It won't be directly called QE, but it will have a different name and packaging, with the same effect.

Starting from December 1, the Federal Reserve has quietly stopped reducing its balance sheet, changing MBS principal investments to short-term Treasury bills and directly rolling over maturing government bonds. The New York Fed has also made it clear: starting in December, it will continue to buy short-term bonds in the secondary market and will announce arrangements monthly. Isn't this QE? Not in name, but in action.

The FOMC also mentioned that increasing the proportion of Treasury bills would make reserve management more flexible; Williams was even more direct: once it is confirmed that reserves are 'sufficient', the next step is gradual asset purchases.

So in the coming months, what the market is most concerned about is not whether there will be QE, but RMP, reserve management-type purchases. The official narrative is to maintain system stability and passively buy a bit of short-term debt, but the result is: creating dollars out of thin air, buying bonds, increasing the money in the market, and expanding the balance sheet.

The logic is very simple: whether the name is QE or not is not important; what matters is whether the money has been released. As long as the Federal Reserve starts buying, liquidity will increase, and risk assets will always be the most sensitive.

So this current wave of market activity has not truly begun yet!

How are our arrangements for next week?

Monday QE starts
Tuesday Inflation expectations
Wednesday Federal Reserve interest rate cut
Thursday Federal Reserve balance sheet release
Friday Jerome Powell resigns

Recently, someone mistook a KOL named 'Hmm' (whom others call the Prince of Binance) for me,

The Prince himself is 1.8 meters tall, 150 pounds, 🤣 the one with eight-pack abs is the real big prince of the crypto circle. You can tell the Prince's modeling skills just by looking at the girls in the passenger seat.

The immortal points the way, many coins can no longer hold back, a 15-minute candlestick repairs the weekly line. (Image 4) Many technical analysts like to look at candlesticks; if you invert the candlestick, what do you think they would do? (Do not buy the coins in the picture; just take screenshots as an example)

The script of the altcoin market that the prince mentioned before is happening. Some coins are now priced higher than they were when Bitcoin was at 120,000. In previous live broadcasts, it was reminded that there is no need to wait for Bitcoin to reach 120,000 for altcoins to rise. Every major correction of Bitcoin is a moment of market capital restructuring. Moreover, the reason why altcoins are called altcoins is that they rise and fall unexpectedly. Didn't Ethereum go from 1400 to 5000 after Bitcoin's decline, creating an independent market? Altcoins have always been benchmarked against Bitcoin at 40,000 to 50,000 USD. Moreover, now is the best time for other altcoins to throw people off the bus because some retail investors see certain coins on the rise and like to cut losses at the bottom and chase highs, going long and short. Why do retail investors always lose money after each bull market? The main point of a bull market is to avoid risk. If you want to catch every market fluctuation and every rise in rankings, avoiding every drop, it's essentially gambling. Long-term tracking, catching a wave of a major surge, selecting strong coins with good stability, explosiveness, continuity, and strong exit frequency, and then responding to changes without changing is the most difficult! Only after experiencing complexity can one qualify for simplicity.

In fact, the trend of Bitcoin is highly correlated with gold, or even identical; the most powerful main upward wave of Bitcoin has not yet begun.

The bull market is the most intense. For more than four years, the main forces have been washing and exhausting, grinding people's hearts to a point of disbelief, fear, and inability to act. Just when everyone becomes numb, the main upward wave suddenly rises, giving no opportunity to board.

Its characteristics are three points: steep trend, shallow pullback, and increasing disbelief as it rises. The main force strikes when people are most hesitant, and lifts when people are most fearful, allowing doubters to remain doubtful and those who exit to never catch up.

The later the bull market, the crazier it gets; the closer it gets to the end, the more linear it becomes.

The mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto era whale just purchased 5000 BTC, worth approximately 460 million USD.

This wallet can perfectly predict the bottom every time it drops.

The Federal Reserve has ended QT, and previously, Fed officials sent strong signals that the expansion of the balance sheet is not far off. Some institutions predict that the Federal Reserve may announce the active management of reserve purchases (RMP) at the interest rate meeting as early as next week, with monthly purchases of short-term U.S. Treasuries of about $20 billion. The key point is that the Federal Reserve has already taken this action; the funding injected by the Fed in early December is the largest scale of liquidity injection since the pandemic in 2020, and once it starts, it will not stop. It's just like lowering or raising interest rates.

Since October 11, the market has been like being pressed down and rubbed into the ground; for twenty-nine days in a month, there has been fear and extreme fear, a span that is rare in history. Many people think fear is a bad thing, but looking at it from the other side, what does long-term fear mean? It means the main force is grinding retail investors' emotions to the thinnest point, to the point where they doubt their lives, to the point where they don't even dare to believe in a rebound. Fear is not the end; it is the accelerated redistribution of chips. This time, the plunge is obviously more panic-inducing than the previous two Bitcoin corrections of 30%, with a longer washout period, more extended fear, and an even stronger explosion to come.

Many people ask, why has the USDT exchange rate dropped in the last two days?
This is not a bad thing; it's a good thing.

When U drops, coins rise.
This is a historical pattern that won't change.

Before every major market surge, the foreign exchange pool will loosen up a bit.
U essentially represents the 'chip price' of the trading pool; when it is weak, it indicates that people are scrambling for coins, not U.
If you look back at 2017 and 2021, before every major upward wave, U has shown such 'slight declines'.
It's not a decoupling; the market is exchanging U for coins, and both interest rate cuts and halting balance sheet reduction have a significant impact on U. When U circulates more, it indicates that it is not valuable; if U circulates less, then interest rates will definitely be high. A high circulation indicates good liquidity, and strong liquidity equals a rise.

At first, I thought it was finance, but after studying finance, I found it was economics. After studying economics, I discovered it was politics. After researching politics, I found it was history. After studying history, I discovered it was philosophy. After researching philosophy, I found it was human nature. After studying human nature, I discovered the laws. After studying the laws, I discovered causality. After studying causality, I found samsara. After researching samsara, I discovered impermanence. After studying impermanence, I found emptiness.

I can't imagine what kind of person the people who don't leave the circle in this wave will become in the next four years. Four years, the entire industry will have undergone tremendous changes. Those who don't leave in Q1, or those who aren't qualified to leave in Q1, will face four years of continuous blows. Only those who enter early are qualified to leave early!

Entering early is a qualification
Leaving early is a right

Four years, brothers,
How many rounds will the industry turn?
From on-chain to regulation, from application to narrative, from projects to leading firms,
Even the wallets you commonly use, the platforms you frequently browse, and the KOLs you follow may all be replaced by batches after four years 😂

First, the Federal Reserve suddenly injected 13.5 billion dollars, the largest monetary easing since the pandemic in 2020, then Musk made a statement, followed by CZ, He Yi. The macroeconomic indicators are aiming for new highs, while retail investors are still engaged in short-term speculation.