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Why should you open a commission rebate?

1. When your position is profitable, the rebate is another part of your earnings.

2. When your position breaks even, the rebate is your profit.

3. When your position incurs a loss or is liquidated, the rebate can help you recover and start over.

Many brothers think that a few hundred or a few thousand U is not worth opening; that is because you do not understand the calculation standard for fees. Fees are never calculated based on your principal but rather on the position after leverage.

For example, with 1000 U you open 100x, at this point, the position for calculating the fee is 10 WU, and opening a position will definitely lead to closing it, so this order incurs at least 20 WU in fees. The fee on Binance is 0.1%. For example, if you open a position of 5 ETH, the fees for the round trip is 18 U. Do not underestimate the rebate; every month, you can save a few meals at Haidilao, or save tens of thousands, even hundreds of thousands. This money is the capital for our resurgence in difficult times.

To put it bluntly, if you do not have a rebate, it is equivalent to giving away money that originally belonged to you to the platform.

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The trend of gold is still in a downward phase. Worsh clearly maintains the PCE inflation target of 2%, and there is a 60% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates in September.

Support: the psychological level around 4400. Below that, watch 4370 and 4300–4320.
Resistance: 4500, 4600–4650 USD, and further up around 4700 USD.

After the September FOMC meeting, subsequent inflation/employment data will be the key catalysts. If inflation remains stubborn or the Fed turns more hawkish, gold may continue to face pressure and trade in a range. If the data softens or expectations for a more accommodative policy rise, gold could potentially move back upward.

In the short term, as long as price stays below 4480, the bearish view remains. The downside support at 4260—your previous trade has already been closed for profit. Continue to wait for an appropriate opportunity to short again.

$BTC
Yesterday I chased a breakout at 78.4k. In the morning I woke up and cut it at break-even with a stop-loss to protect my capital.

Luckily, recently I’ve formed the habit of setting a break-even stop once I’m in profit. Otherwise, in the morning I would’ve checked the position and seen the floating P/L shoot up—my “blood pressure” would’ve been through the roof. The trade was originally going quite well; it even reached a high of 79.4k. I thought that on Monday there would likely be more upside, so I felt at ease and went to sleep.

Right now the price is still consolidating around 78k, and it’s at a key resistance/pressure level. If it wants to continue rising, it needs bigger capital to join in. It may play out as an upward continuation/relief rally, but my idea is still to focus on going short from the high. A more ideal entry point would be around 78.5–79k.

$BTC I thought liquidity was back; even on weekends there would be larger fluctuations.
After watching for two days, it’s exactly the same as before—no movement at all. Prices have been hovering around 78k. From the data, it doesn’t look like spot capital has increased much; it’s mostly the contracts that are adding positions.

The long side’s open interest has risen. Focus on whether there’s a breakout at 78.5k. If it holds—stay long; if it stabilizes at 78.4k, add longs. Targets are 80.4k / 81.5k. If it fails to hold, be at ease and short instead. Down below, 75k–74k is still likely to be tested.

Without ETF support, retail capital simply can’t move the market. Instead, some small-cap altcoins are taking off—mostly on BSC. It’s time to put your attention on small-cap altcoins.

In 4600, you should have told everyone that gold is going to fall; many people still don’t know why it’s falling?

Technically speaking, the 4-hour and even the daily charts show signs of an uptrend losing momentum.

Also, there was what Waller said last night.

Inflation is still on the high side: PCE is about 3.7%, and the 2% goal is described as “firm and fixed.”
It means that if inflation doesn’t fall quickly enough, “we still have work to do.”
Based on that, the market raised the probability of a September rate hike (roughly from 35% to around 58%).

This trigger fully ignited gold’s rapid sell-off. The stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields mean gold will naturally fall—and I also told you in advance that gold would fall! I didn’t short it at the very highest point, but at least 4600 was a reminder that gold is going to fall!

Want to know what gold will do next? Like and comment

Gold will arrive at its target immediately; everything is contained in silence

NVIDIA reported its Q2 results for fiscal year 2027 (as of July 26). Overall performance beat expectations, and it also provided guidance for longer-term growth that was stronger than the market had expected.

Revenue was $96.2 billion, up 106% year over year and up 18% quarter over quarter, exceeding market expectations of about $92.2 billion.

Data center revenue was $89.0 billion, up 117% year over year, accounting for about 92% of total revenue.

Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $2.22, above the expected $2.10.

Gross margin was 75.0%.

Third-quarter revenue guidance was $108.0 billion (±2%), above the market consensus of $104.0–$105.0 billion. After the news broke, storage names (Micron, SanDisk, SK hynix, etc.) rose about 3–4%, while optical/communications names such as Lumentum saw larger gains. Of course, it also boosted crypto markets, but I still maintain my own view: this is just consolidation. It keeps sending long/short signals back and forth, and if you’re not careful, you could get wiped out completely.

Long liquidation prices: 77.5k–55k. Short liquidation prices: 79.5k–80.5k

Gold is also about to not hold up anymore; first priority is to look at 4480

The two zeros I shouted about in the group yesterday: a SOL with 101 zeros, and gold with 4626 zeros.

Gold is now slightly in profit—SOL, just now I checked, it has already hit my take-profit.

I think it still has to drop. Continue shorting the copy/trap (shan zhai).

A really disgusting consolidation market. There’s no big volatility—it's just been oscillating around 79k.

Alright, it’s time again for the idiots on both sides to exchange insults. Also, one more thing: right now, short positions are far more than long positions. In this kind of situation, it’s very easy for a single upward spike to sweep out the short-side users, and then price drops again.

Just now I took another look at the market. Personally, I think there will be a wave of downside pullback in the short term. This pullback is not for anything else—it’s just to enable the market to rise again.

The purpose is to clear out high-leverage users in the market. When the “car is too heavy,” the cost to pull it up is too high. Yesterday afternoon, I opened a bit of a trade long BTC and alts. The altcoin pullback is still manageable. Most altcoins are bought by retail investors. During sell-offs, they will definitely run faster than others. $BTC has always been bought by the regular forces. If you want it to come down, you need to sell large amounts of coins.

At 79–80k, it still needs to consolidate for a while to absorb a large number of both long and short counterparty orders. Right now, the total open interest in futures contracts is 56.9 billion. Next time, at the very least, the total futures open interest needs to be cleared down to 52 billion.

The short positions have risen again. Most of the liquidation exposure is concentrated around 82k; only a small amount is at 84k.

From the daily chart, the move from 65k to 80k has already completed a 0.886 retracement/extension. The current capital is being quite rational. From above 78k, the futures contract trading volume is far greater than the spot trading volume. During a clearly rising process, this is a very unhealthy sign—it's very likely to see a scenario where price shoots upward with a quick upward spike and then drops rapidly.

Even retail traders, at the current price, will find shorting to be definitely more favorable than going long. The key resistance level above is very clear. If it drops to 76k, then get in—!

I see that many people are thinking about shorting, but the key is that this market consolidates and then makes new highs. If you don’t take profit on the short in time, you get stuck in losses. After getting trapped a few times, the principal gets worn down and it’s gone.

The focus for shorting is to watch the 82.5k and 84.4k levels. There is room to short at these two points. As for when the rise will finally top out—nobody can say for sure. Maybe you can short all the way to the top. After all, since the 17th, ETFs have all been seeing net inflows.

$BTC This morning I saw 80k, and in just 8 days I fully recovered all the prior 58 days of decline. And the bottom shows a complete surge in volume. Here, “surge in volume” means the spot market’s buying power is completely greater than the contract market’s buying power. The pullbacks you see are completely due to retail traders who can’t hold selling—not institutions selling. Earlier I even told my friend that this kind of market looks a bit like the rally in April: once it starts going up, it won’t give you any opportunity to get onboard. $BTC
The most critical resistance on the daily timeframe is at 84.4k.

At first, people thought it was just a normal rebound… and they hit the short-selling button.

Gold is making solid calls all day. Friends who are following can first set your target at 4300-4180-4000. I’m planning to trade a portion around 4280.

Gold has also been shorted. Next, we’ll look for an opportunity to short.
$BTC $ETH

How can you make small funds bigger?

1, Spot the right market trend and go all-in with a heavy position. If you’re right and your account multiplies by a few times, great. If you’re wrong, start over.
2, Trade short-term swings every day with a small-position approach. Make a profit of about 800–1,100 USDT (U) and close the trade; if you lose about 800–1,100 U, cut the loss. The advantage is that if you play like this for a month, you won’t lose everything. The downside is you can only make small money—you won’t be able to make big money.

The simplest method is: use a small position every day to trade swings. When you encounter a setup where you can be at least 80% sure about the outcome, go all-in with a heavy position! That’s how you earn big. Otherwise, it’s like a caged canary—you’ll never escape your fixed thinking.

Gold rose to a price of 4452 this morning. I was just off by a little from the buy order at 4500. When I got up at noon, I saw the price had already come down, but I still opened one more position. The sell orders above 4500 haven’t been canceled yet.

Right now, I’m just waiting for either gold to rise and have my order filled to bring my average cost down, or to wait until it breaks below 4300—I’ll add more to my position!

Tonight the CPI data will be released, and the market seems as if someone has hit the stop button—it has been consolidating

Previous value 3.5%, forecast 3.4%. This CPI will have a major impact on expectations for the Fed’s September policy. Currently, the market’s probability of a rate hike in September is roughly around 50%. If the data comes in as expected or below expectations (especially if the core month-on-month figure is weak), it may further reduce the rate-hike bets. If it is higher than expected, it could reignite hawkish discussions

Gold is also nearly at the end of its rebound—preparing to short at 4500

I’ve noticed many people find resonance in this article. Let me explain to everyone how to become a trader.

If all the following conditions can be met, don’t rush to quit your current job yet. Only consider resigning once your trading income can fully cover your job income—and even exceed expectations.

The path to trading doesn’t really have much to do with whether you majored in finance. Everyone can open the platform and choose to go long or short. The key difference is this: one side thoroughly understands financial knowledge, while the other has no financial knowledge at all. The difference between them is simply how fast they lose.

I strongly advise everyone to cultivate your own trading logic before you start trading.
Don’t blindly react—don’t see the market rising and automatically think it will keep going up, and don’t see it falling and rush to go short. For example, during a period of rapid upward movement, if you can stay calm and think through whether this rally is the main wave, or whether the main players are pushing up to trap people. The reason most retail traders do poorly is that they can’t control their emotions.

If you completely don’t understand trading, you can go on YouTube to watch analyses from other finance bloggers. At the very least, you’ll gain an understanding of that day’s market. When you don’t have trading opportunities, learn the financial market (price action). You don’t need to learn too much—focus on mastering one skill. I’ve seen people who learned naked candlesticks, harmonic patterns, charts, and Chan theory—and the result was that they learned everything but nothing deeply; they ended up being good at nothing.

First practice hard skills, then cultivate your mindset. At the beginning, it’s impossible to say that you’re already cultivating your mindset. I’ve seen too many people die by their mindset—including myself. When trading, not setting a stop-loss, stubbornly holding on because you think it will come back—this is pushing yourself step by step toward the abyss.

Wait until you can handle times when the market becomes extremely volatile, when your account swings dramatically up and down. Then you can hold your nerve, stay calm, analyze the market, and execute your own strategy—not be led around by the market like a puppet.