BUY valid on TF 1H if: 1. Price breaks out and closes 1 candle 1H above 0.185 (Fibo 0.618). 2. Volume increases. 3. Retest does not break back down.
→ If those conditions occur, potential target to 0.198 – 0.209.
SELL valid on TF 1H if: 1. Price rises to the area 0.183–0.185 but rejects with a long wick. 2. 1H candle closes strongly bearish. 3. No breakout of the channel.
The most likely direction NEXT (technical probability)
🎯 80% probability: up towards 0.2000 – 0.2180
Reasons: • Price is held at the upper line of the down channel → ready to break • The pattern formed resembles a bull flag • The larger trend is still upward • Sell volume is decreasing
⚠️ 20% probability: retest down first
Usually drops to: • 0.1900 or • 0.1850 (strong support)
Only after that, it will bounce back up again.
🥳Most Accurate Conclusion
➡️ The next market direction has a greater potential for UP. But a safe entry is after:
✔ CLOSE candle 15m/1h above 0.2000 – 0.2030
Because that is a valid breakout from the correction channel.