李凯论趋势

Although the afternoon market has entered a phase of pullback, the Bollinger Bands have not expanded in sync with the decline; instead, they continue to narrow steadily, highlighting that the current adjustment is a typical technical energy accumulation market. The core logic lies in digesting floating capital through fluctuations and consolidating the bottom support to lay the foundation for the next round of strong upward movement. From the structural analysis of the market, although the daily level is suppressed by the middle and upper bands of the Bollinger Bands, the bearish momentum has gradually weakened after continuous declines, and the core trend of rising lows has not been broken, indicating that the foundation for market rebound still exists. The four-hour level is in a narrowing consolidation phase, with the continuously appearing doji candlesticks reflecting a balance of bullish and bearish forces. The short-term adjustment is essentially a buildup of strength for future market movements. The continued narrowing of the Bollinger Bands usually indicates that the market is about to enter a directional breakout window, and the multiple layers of dense support below the current price are effective, with the probability of an upward breakout continuously rising. Combined with the market rule of 'extreme conditions will reverse,' a phase of strong rebound market is approaching. The evening operation strategy is clear: it is recommended to maintain a firm layout for long positions and to have patience in holding positions while waiting for the trend to realize.

The technical dimension shows that the current market pullback is a healthy correction after a rapid upward trend earlier, and it has not yet formed a signal for a trend reversal. From the perspective of volume structure, the downward momentum is gradually weakening, and the key support area is approaching. This characteristic usually corresponds to a phase where the market's bullish forces regroup and prepare for the next upward attack.

Based on comprehensive multi-dimensional technical logic assessment, the probability of the price forming effective defense near the key moving average system and previous support zone continues to rise. In terms of evening trading strategy, it is recommended to focus on opportunities to build positions in batches after the price retraces to the lower support area, waiting patiently for clear signals of market stabilization and strengthening (such as bullish engulfing patterns, volume recovery, etc.) before intervening. The lower support structure is solid, and this pullback may provide a more cost-effective entry opportunity for medium to long-term investors. $BTC $ETH

Observing the current market structure, the tug-of-war between bulls and bears at the daily level continues in a seesaw pattern. After the price once again tested the upper resistance zone, although no effective breakthrough was achieved, this pressure zone has undergone substantial testing, and the market overall shows a relatively strong oscillating pattern. The four-hour level has consecutively closed three structurally neat bullish candles, and the 91600 area has established phase support, with the price repeatedly receiving effective support in this zone, exhibiting technical characteristics of a slowing downtrend and gradually accumulating rebound momentum. Although the current trend has not yet formed a clear trend reversal signal, the bearish selling pressure has shown significant reduction. $BTC $ETH

Daily Level: After the price has closed positively for two consecutive trading days, it has successfully stabilized above the MA5 and MA10 short-term moving averages, indicating a technical pattern of stabilization and rebound. The core resistance above focuses on the MA30 moving average (around the key level of 9.4). If an effective breakthrough can be achieved and the closing price stabilizes at this level, it will confirm the continuation of the short-term rebound trend, opening up further upward space.

Bitcoin: It is recommended to position long orders around the range of 92800-92500, with a target towards 94500.

Ethereum: It is recommended to position long orders around the range of 3170-31500, with a target towards 3280$BTC $ETH .

Price synchronization has shown two consecutive increases, and the Bollinger Bands continue to expand, indicating that the upward space will further open up. The current high-level oscillation trend is essentially a consolidation process before a new round of increases, and it is not a signal of exhausted bullish momentum; the short-term strong pattern remains unchanged. $BTC $ETH

The price has achieved a two consecutive阳突破布林带中轨, and has completed effective stabilization above the中轨, showing strong characteristics in the technical structure. The RSI indicator's three lines are synchronously diverging upwards, visually confirming the continuous strengthening of short-term bullish momentum; the MACD indicator formed a golden cross and continues to extend upwards, further confirming the market pattern dominated by short-term bulls, with an overall trend leaning towards strong operation.

Recently, the volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has significantly expanded, and market sentiment has gradually warmed up after a deep correction in the early stages. Bearish momentum continues to weaken, and the expectation of a significant downturn has further decreased. The trend itself has rhythmic adjustment characteristics; the pullback during the rising cycle is essentially a process of bulls accumulating strength, laying the groundwork for subsequent upward attacks.

Current technical structure shows that the strength of price recovery continues to increase, and the bulls are gradually regaining control of the market initiative. Future trends need to focus on the sustainability of bullish volume breakthroughs. If the price can stabilize effectively at key positions, it is expected to open further upward space.

In terms of short-term trading strategy, it is recommended to gradually build long positions when the price pulls back to confirm support levels, adhering to the principle of following the trend to seize trading opportunities brought by the strengthening market structure. Overall, the market has initially shown signs of strengthening, and the probability of a rebound is continuously increasing. $BTC $ETH

The current cryptocurrency market has overall entered a phase of momentum consolidation and accumulation, and it still needs to go through a repair adjustment cycle in the short term. From the hourly trend perspective, Bitcoin is currently operating below the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. Although the chart shows a bullish engulfing pattern, the bearish pressure is significant—each round of bullish rebound momentum is quickly absorbed by bearish candlesticks, reflecting the continuous exhaustion of bullish strength during the short-term rebound repair process. Combining the technical structure, the current price is in the rising area after the secondary bottoming out in the previous phase, and there is strong resistance above, which also provides technical support for the continuation of the subsequent bearish trend. In conclusion, the afternoon trading strategy can maintain a bearish outlook, focusing on the effectiveness of the key support level below.

Bitcoin: It is recommended to set up long positions near the 93000-92800 range, aiming for 94500.

Ethereum: It is recommended to set up short positions near the 3200-3180 range, aiming for 3280.

$BTC $ETH

The rebound trend has been initiated, with clear and effective bottom reversal signals. From a technical perspective, the lower Bollinger Band has turned upward, formally confirming the bottom stabilization pattern; the KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross at a low position and continues to diverge upwards, with bullish momentum showing signs of accelerated release. Currently, the short-term rebound momentum and market comparison trend are forming a positive resonance, further reinforcing the certainty of the upward trend.

Observing the hourly chart, although the MACD indicator's bearish volume bar has shown slight expansion, the effective compression of the Bollinger Band convergence pattern has limited the downward space. Coupled with the strong support formed by the previous single needle bottom reversal pattern, bullish momentum has accumulated sufficiently, providing a solid foundation for future upward attacks.

Considering multiple time period technical signals, the core trading strategy should focus on low buys, suggesting to take advantage of key support levels to arrange long positions, while simultaneously managing positions and risk control.

The daily level has initiated a rebound trend after a four-day decline adjustment, with clear and effective bottom reversal signals. On the technical front, the lower Bollinger Band has turned upward, officially confirming the stabilization pattern at the bottom; the KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross at a low level and continues to diverge upward, with bullish momentum accelerating. The current short-term rebound momentum resonates positively with the market price trend, further reinforcing the certainty of the upward trend.

Observing the hourly level, although the MACD indicator's bearish volume column has shown slight expansion, the effective compression of the downward space by the Bollinger Band contraction shape is significant. Coupled with the strong support formed by the previous single needle bottom reversal pattern, the bulls have completed sufficient momentum accumulation, providing a solid foundation for further upward attacks.

Considering multiple technical signals across timeframes, the core trading strategy focuses on buying low, $BTC

After a four-day decline at the daily level, a rebound trend has now been initiated, with the lower Bollinger Band turning upward, formally confirming a bottom stabilization signal; the KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross at a low level and continues to diverge upwards, with short-term rebound momentum creating a positive resonance with market price trends, significantly enhancing the certainty of the upward trend. From the hourly perspective, although the MACD indicator shows a slight expansion of bearish volume, the effective contraction of the Bollinger Band limits the downside space, combined with the strong support formed by a previous single needle bottom reversal pattern, the market has ample upward momentum reserves, and the short-term pullback risk is limited. Considering multiple time frame technical signals, the recommendation for operations in the early morning is to continue the core idea of buying on dips, $BTC $ETH

Based on the analysis of the current market structure, the daily level shows a two consecutive bullish breakout pattern, and the price has successfully risen above the key position of the middle Bollinger Band, continuously pushing towards the upper Bollinger Band. Overall, it has established a healthy and steady upward pattern. Although the bullish candlestick has a certain length of upper shadow, reflecting the presence of temporary resistance above in the short term, the daily level moving average system presents a standard bullish arrangement, and the overall indicators remain strong, laying a solid foundation for the continuation of the bullish trend. Switching to the four-hour level observation, the price entered a high-level consolidation phase after testing the upper Bollinger Band resistance. During this time, although the bullish volume showed a temporary slowdown, the bearish pullback was also limited, with the support structure below being more solid compared to the selling pressure above, and the market overall remains in a bullish-dominated oscillating upward rhythm. In summary, based on multiple timeframe technical signals, in the absence of substantial reversal signals in the trend, the midnight trading strategy suggests continuing with a core approach of low bullish positions.

From the four-hour level, the price has entered a high-level consolidation phase after testing the upper Bollinger Band resistance. Although the bullish momentum has slowed compared to previous periods, there has not been effective selling pressure during the bearish pullback, and the support below remains relatively strong, with the overall market's willingness to sell not dominating. Considering the characteristics of multiple time frames in technical aspects, as long as there is no substantial reversal signal in the trend, the midnight trading strategy still suggests adhering to the core idea of going long at low levels, $BTC $ETH

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The current market shows that after a four-day adjustment with falling prices, the daily-level price has achieved a two-day rebound. The lower Bollinger Band has shown initial signs of turning upwards, and the overall trend has completed a structural shift from weak to strong. The KDJ indicator maintains a short-term golden cross upward trend, continuously strengthening the technical expectation for further price increases. The intraday dip yesterday can be defined as effective washing and a confirmation action, followed by a strong rebound in prices that not only recaptured most of the intraday losses but also formed a classic 'single needle bottom' bullish pattern on the hourly chart, providing ample upward momentum for subsequent trends. It is recommended to focus on buying on dips as the core operational strategy at midnight. $BTC $ETH

The bullish trend structure of Bitcoin in the four-hour cycle remains intact. After the price broke through the previous key resistance level, it has steadily stood above the Bollinger middle band and the moving average group (MA5/MA10/MA20), operating within a standard upward channel. Recently, the K-line has entered a high-level consolidation phase, with the entity amplitude narrowing but the lower shadow line showing significant support signals, indicating normal profit-taking digestion within an upward trend, not a trend reversal signal. The current moving average system shows a bullish arrangement and continues to diverge upwards, with reasonable volume support, and the market pattern dominated by bulls has not fundamentally changed. $BTC $ETH

The four-hour level trend shows clear positive signals: after the price stabilizes at key support levels, it initiates a coherent and expanding upward trend, with a full-bodied bullish candlestick and excellent volume-price coordination. There are no signs of stagnation or reversal yet, and the short-term bullish trend remains steady, with expectations for further upward momentum after some consolidation.

In terms of overall technical performance, the current market bullish structure is solid, and the core operating strategy suggests focusing on establishing long positions on dips. Key attention should be paid to stabilization signals during the pullback process, with opportunities to intervene in key support areas and seize the upward rhythm; at the same time, it is necessary to strengthen position management, set reasonable risk control parameters, and steadily expand profit space as the trend continues. The night market is expected to maintain a relatively strong oscillating pattern, and opportunities for phased entry can be captured after pullbacks. $BTC $ETH

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From the perspective of momentum, after the 4-hour MACD golden cross, there has been a continuous increase in volume, and the RSI is in the strong range of 60-70 without being overbought. Combined with the volume-price structure of increasing volume and decreasing volume pullbacks, it shows that the market's buying power is solid, and there is still upward momentum building. The key support has moved up to the 92500-92800 area, with strong support at 91500-92000. If the price shows a stabilization signal near 92800, it can be seen as an opportunity for bulls to re-enter. The short-term target above looks towards the 94500-95000 area, and if it stabilizes, the mid-term space is expected to open further. In terms of operation, it is advisable to focus on opportunities for staggered layouts after pullbacks, while also paying attention to the potential for increased volatility after continuous surges, and to strictly control risk. $BTC $ETH

Switching to a 4-hour cycle observation, the asset has shown a coherent upward trend after previously identified support levels: K-line continuously closing with strong bullish candles, and the intraday pullback amplitudes remain within a limited range, with no clear reversal signals yet, highlighting the current bulls' absolute control over market rhythm.

As market sentiment gradually warms up, the enthusiasm for capital participation continues to rise, laying a solid foundation for further upward price expansion. In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a bullish outlook, relying on short-term moving averages as a defense and seizing opportunities for trend-following layouts. $BTC $ETH