男神讲趋势

Family, who understands! The Federal Reserve's Christmas show is even more thrilling than the end-of-year dogecoin market, Powell came on stage with a 'dovish red envelope,' then turned around and revealed an 'hawkish dagger,' and finally tossed in a $40 billion 'surprise gift package,' directly turning the crypto market's candlestick chart into something resembling an electrocardiogram, with both bulls and bears cursing in the comments section until the CPU burned out.
First, let's highlight for new fans: don't just focus on the 25 basis points cut and shout 'bull market, hurry back'; this tactic is called 'offering warmth on the surface while stabbing in the back.' Old Powell smiled like Santa Claus at the press conference, saying 'focus on economic resilience,' but when the dot plot was released, the number of rate cuts for next year was directly halved. How is this operation different from some project parties drawing a pie and then secretly pulling the pool? Even more outrageous is that $40 billion expansion of the balance sheet, which came more suddenly than the temporary suspension notice from the exchange. Many thought it was a signal to ease, and overnight they added leverage, not knowing that it was all traps.

"Interest rate hike = crypto crash"? Last time the Federal Reserve raised rates, many friends' screens went directly from "Bull Market Champagne" to "Green Screen Great Curse"; Bitcoin dropped straight from 65,000 to 50,000, and Ethereum was even worse, breaking the 3,000 mark and plunging directly below 2,000. At that time, the community was in an uproar, with some sharing the "Rooftop Queue" meme and others changing their IDs overnight to "Crypto Refugees."
But today I put it this way: This time the interest rate hike script has already been secretly changed. If you still hold onto the panic mentality from last time and cut losses, you are likely to be handing out chips at the foot of the mountain. As someone who has been watching the crypto market for five years, I'll share two real points today; these two key changes are the core that determines the market direction.

Does anyone understand! Comrade Zhuan Jianguo's obsession with interest rate cuts just became a hot topic, only to be doused with a bucket of ice water by his own people, and at the level of boiling water!
A few days ago, there were rumors with details that he personally appointed Hassett as the Chief Economic Adviser in the White House to take over the Federal Reserve, waiting for this 'insider' to take office and immediately open a big package of interest rate cuts. As a result, Hassett directly confronted on camera: 'Even if I sit in that position, the President's words would at most be a reference, whether to listen or not depends on our professional judgment.' Translated, it means: You can rest assured to be an advisor, but you cannot temporarily enter the decision-making room.

Family, who understands it! After the Federal Reserve's long-awaited 'interest rate cut package' was released three times, the market didn't soar like it was hyped up, but instead took a big tumble. How many bottom-fishing players had their mindset shattered by this move of 'good news turning bad'?
As a veteran who has been watching the market for 8 years, I've said it before: don't blindly trust the 'edict' of the Federal Reserve. The waters of the crypto market are deeper than the tie of the Fed Chair. This drop seems unexpected, but it actually hides two unavoidable logics. Let me clarify it for you; it's all solid information.

When you open the market software, are you feeling emo? Looking at a screen full of 'interest rate cut countdown' posts makes you dizzy? Wake up, my friend, the 'saving grace' you have been longing for might have already been tossed into the trash by the Federal Reserve. Today, let me speak frankly: don't bet on the central bank easing this round of market conditions, otherwise it's highly likely to be 'a futile effort like drawing water with a bamboo basket'.
The hottest topic in the circle recently, apart from the fake breakout of a certain mainstream coin, is 'when will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates'. Some people are calculating probabilities using the forward dot plot, while others are hanging on every word Powell says, as if the next bull market depends entirely on the Federal Reserve opening the floodgates. But as someone who has been watching Federal Reserve policy for eight years, I have to pour cold water on this: the so-called 'interest rate cut expectations' are more like 'bedtime stories' made up by the circle.

To my friends still sleeping, hurry up and get up! I’m not exaggerating; the volume of the Federal Reserve's “dove call” has even woken up the dogs in the adjacent crypto circle. Could it be that the long-dormant crypto market is really about to be ignited by this signal? 💥
First, let’s get to the hard facts. The latest CME interest rate futures data has just been released: the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rates unchanged next January has surged to over 75%. Seeing this data almost made me laugh out loud; is it possible that the recent surge in the market wasn’t just random speculation, but rather an early indication of the Federal Reserve’s pulse?
The real key lies in that midnight 'calming pill'—Federal Reserve bigwig Williams made a statement in the dead of night, directly clarifying: 'Discussing interest rate cuts now is essentially paving the way for policy planning in 2026, and the cooling labor market is the clearest signal light.' Translated into plain language, this means: the interest rate hike cycle is completely over, and now we just wait for economic data to give the green light for rate cuts. For the crypto market, this is like loosening the tight funding chain; after all, in a low-interest-rate environment, profit-seeking funds will always flow towards high-elasticity assets, and the crypto field has always been a 'happy home' for such funds.

Family, who understands! Yesterday's K-line chart in the crypto world changed faster than my ex-girlfriend's face; one second it was hovering around 88,000, and the next second it was in 'free fall', with a single-day drop of 2.48%. Opening the trading software, the screen was filled with 'liquidation notifications' denser than Double Eleven orders. Over 110,000 brothers were 'swept out' by the market overnight, and 270 million dollars evaporated faster than ice pops in the summer. This is not a correction; it's clearly a crypto version of the 'Titanic' sinking!
As a veteran who has been in the industry for five years, I stayed up all night uncovering the root of this crash. Stop blaming the 'big players' for controlling the market; this storm eye isn't in the crypto world at all. The folks at the Federal Reserve are starting to 'hawk' again, and Powell's speech was filled with more hidden knives than a Swiss Army knife. The once-hot expectation of a rate cut in January has been mercilessly brought back to reality by CME data, with the probability now a pitiful 24.4%. You have to understand, the good days in the crypto market over the past two years have been fed by the Federal Reserve's liquidity. Now that the liquidity feast is abruptly halted, it's like suddenly pulling the handbrake on a speeding car; it's a miracle if it doesn't flip.

"Woke up this morning and my wallet is missing a Tesla"—this is the most heart-wrenching complaint in the crypto group today. The 'sudden blow' on December 15, 2025, left speculators still dreaming of doubling for Christmas stunned: the leading coin plunged past the 88,000 mark in a single day, with a drop of 2.48%. Dogecoin and similar smaller coins dropped directly below 3.6%, leading to 115,700 people being liquidated overnight, with 270 million evaporating faster than boiling water.
As an old hand monitoring the market for five years, I have to say this wave is really not a 'ghost story', but rather a typical 'macro kill'. Many people are cursing the operators while staring at the K-line, but they haven't noticed that the eye of the storm has long been out of the crypto world. Recently, several big shots at the Federal Reserve have collectively 'turned hawkish', and Powell's words at the hearing were laced with daggers. Once the CME data came out, the probability of a rate cut in January was directly slashed from the previous 50% to 24.4%. What does this mean? The 'cheap money' that was supporting the market is about to be cut off. The liquidity feast can dissipate just like that, as if you were throwing a party and suddenly the power was cut off.

Family members, who understands! ZEC has been like it's been put on pause these past two days, hovering around $400, with hardly any decent fluctuations. But if you let this surface calm deceive you, your wallet could be in jeopardy. The giant whales on the chain have already gone crazy; this market is not laid back at all, it’s the calm before the storm!
Whale movements are more accurate than candlesticks! The short positions have turned bloody in battle
Don’t just stare at the market, on-chain data is the real news. Today, a few addresses causing a stir in the circle, I’ve dug them out to share with everyone, each one hiding market signals:

"Meme coins are dead, SHIB won't last until 2026"—recently, the voices of pessimism in the crypto world are louder than the music from the square dance downstairs. But as someone who has been in the crypto market for eight years, witnessing Dogecoin rise from a few cents to over a dollar, and having stumbled into countless scams, I just want to say: don't rush to reach a conclusion; this 'Shiba Inu' still has a steady heartbeat.
Don't rush to criticize me on the platform; let's let the data speak for itself. After all, in the crypto world, emotions are the devil, and data is the mirror that reveals the truth.
1. How tragic is the situation? It's so bad that even my mother wouldn't recognize it.
To be honest, the current price of SHIB is indeed tragic. The latest market data from October 2025 shows that its price has dropped to $0.00001013, which is a direct halving from the peak in 2024, a drop of a full 78%; compared to the historical peak from back then, it has fallen over 88%, meaning if you invested 100,000 back then, you now only have a little over 10,000. Anyone would slam the table and curse.

Don't scroll away! The crypto circle has a sleepless night tonight, the juicy information just caught can drop your jaw: a group of mysterious whales is teaming up to 'hunt' ZEC, with hundreds of millions in short positions crashing the market, even the air is filled with the gunpowder smell of long and short battles! The chatter in the community has reached a fever pitch, with some clearing their positions overnight shouting 'running is the right choice,' while others are holding onto their wallets waiting to bottom fish at the 'golden pit.' Take my advice: this market trend isn’t about betting on size; understanding the underlying principles is key to not getting chopped up!
First, let's break down the core details of this wave of short positions; this is the key to judging the market. Two large short positions that surfaced in the market can be considered 'textbook operations': one precisely entered at $400, while the other followed at the $410 level, but the liquidation lines diverged, with one set at $615 and the other directly at $810. Just looking at these data points, veterans can taste the flavor: the whales are making their calculations sound loudly.

Dear crypto friends, I am Old Lin, who has been deeply involved in the crypto market for six years! Today, I must remind everyone that on the UNI candlestick chart, there is a giant whale 'distorted by losses' lying there. If it moves even a little, the entire market will shake three times. The latest data is heart-wrenching: a big player went all in on UNI on the day of the positive news in November, and now they are facing a direct loss of 580%, with 1.93 million dollars going down the drain, making them the most tragic 'bag holder' in the bullish camp. Don't rush to scroll away, in the next three minutes, Old Lin will explain why this heavily trapped giant whale has become the 'roadblock' on UNI's rebound path.

A few days ago, a new fan sent me a screenshot: "Ah Zhe, look at SHIB dropping like a Shiba Inu soaked in rain. Shouldn't we clear out all that stuff in our wallets?" When I looked, the price was indeed tragic, almost down ninety percent from its glorious moments in 2021, not even reaching last year's high points. But if you only look at the candlestick chart and shout, "Meme coins are dead," then you really underestimate the complexity of the crypto market.
As someone who has been watching on-chain data for three years, I’m going to share some real insights today: Behind those "bad news" that make you panic and want to cut losses, there are three key signals that could rewrite SHIB's fate.

Don't swipe away! Friends who open the market software now are witnessing not ordinary fluctuations, but the most exciting 'real-life gambling' in the crypto circle this year. The big boss is holding 11,920,000 USD, pinning himself on the death line of ETH at 3083 USD, while the entire market acts as the referee!
This morning's market plunge probably made many people throw up their breakfast. Amid cries of 'it's over, it's over,' the big boss suddenly performed an operation: within an hour, he poured tens of millions into long positions and publicly revealed his 'safety line' at 3083 USD. If it breaks, he will liquidate immediately. This operation is crazier than bungee jumping without a safety harness.

This morning, when you opened the market software, did you take a sharp breath? Are the long positions in your hand as cold as ice cubes just taken out of the fridge?
Don't panic, first give the old fans a like. Yesterday, I repeatedly emphasized that the rebound during the day was purely a 'paper tiger'. It looks fierce but lacks real strength, and the US market will definitely face heavy blows. Sure enough, ETH directly broke through the 3000 mark last night, with a minimum drop to 2890, perfectly fulfilling the prediction. Now, some people must be sweating: is this going to drop directly through the floor, or can we wait for a counterattack? As an analyst who has been in the industry for five years, I'll make it clear today and guide you through tonight's key battle.

“The account can refine oil, getting up at three in the morning to supplement the margin” In today’s crypto circle, half the people are probably cursing, while the other half are secretly delighted. When BTC fell below 86,000 and ETH broke through 3,000, my retail fan group on my phone exploded with screenshots all showing 'one-click liquidation' operation records. But as a veteran who has been watching the market for five years, I dare say: those who cut losses now will cry tomorrow when chasing high prices.
First, let’s pour a bucket of 'cold water' on everyone and take a look at the real data at the moment, don’t be misled by the panic in the group:
Bitcoin: Current price 85,890 USD, down more than 4 points in 10 hours, the support level of 85,000 has indeed been broken, but the RSI indicator has already dropped below 30, which is technically called 'oversold to the bone', just like a strong man being pressed down and beaten, his strength has long been exhausted.

Family! The "deep water bomb" that just exploded on-chain, if you haven't seen it, quickly sit tight and hold on. A few days ago, the mysterious giant whale was frantically shorting ETH, and today they directly staged a "limit turn to pick someone up", the operation was so impressive that I spilled my coffee!
Let's get to the hard data, this is not hearsay: just 3 hours ago, on-chain addresses clearly showed that this person, who had borrowed 66,000 ETH to short, suddenly turned their guns around. After pulling out 85 million stablecoins from a decentralized lending platform, they rushed to the trading platform and immediately swept away 38,000 ETH. At current prices, this move directly cost nearly 1.2 billion RMB!

Don't swipe away! If you're holding a monthly salary of several thousand and drooling over the K-line on your phone screen, thinking that the crypto world is a 'cash machine' that can change your fate, then this article might help you lose less than a car, or even preserve your family's harmony. As a 'veteran' who has been rolling in this circle for eight years, I will introduce myself: I used to count every penny even when buying milk tea, and now I rely on trading for a decent living. However, the bloody history of this journey could fill a book (Encyclopedia of Pit Avoidance in the Crypto World).
The story begins in 2017, when I was still a worker squeezing into the subway every day, with a monthly salary of 5500. After deducting rent and food expenses, the remaining money was barely enough to hesitate over buying a new piece of clothing. Seeing others around me achieving 'fruit freedom' with 'pomelos', I was so envious that I couldn't sleep. I immediately decided: I would invest every month when I got my salary, not believing I couldn't make it through. Looking back now, I realize I was as naive as a three-year-old, thinking that as long as I 'persevered', I could win, but I hadn't even read a single page of the project's white paper completely. In the end, it was naturally a 'fruitless endeavor', and the money I invested had almost vanished without a trace.

To be honest, every time I see someone posting screenshots of 'doubling their investment in three months,' I want to laugh. That's not skill; it's luck hitting them in the face. But if you've been in this circle for over a year and your account hasn't seen the shadow of 500,000, especially after experiencing continuous losses and wanting to smash your computer while staring at the candlesticks, if you dare to read this heartfelt article and follow it, you will definitely laugh out loud next time you review. Let's get straight to the point and discuss how to adjust your mindset after the most frustrating part of trading mainstream assets like ETH: 'How to regain your mindset after consecutive losses.'
I had a dark history two years ago: I hit stop-loss four times in a row on ETH, and during the last closing, my hands were shaking, watching my account shrink, and all I could think was, 'Has my trading system failed?' 'Will opening a position again be even worse?' Later, while drinking with a friend who does quantitative trading on Wall Street, I realized that no one in this industry can win all the time. Even top traders have a win rate just above 40%, but they can still profit by a 3:1 risk-reward ratio. The core of it is not treating stop-loss as a failure.

A few days ago, I saw someone in the community crying out: 'I got up at 3 AM to chase the rise, and by dawn I was trapped. Is this crypto world specially designed to harvest champions like me who stay up late?' This statement hit me right in the pain points from three years ago. Back then, I also watched the market at midnight, cut losses in the morning, and chased highs in the afternoon. By the end of the month, when I calculated, my capital had shrunk faster than a waterfall.
Later, after much pain, I dug out over 200 records of losses and repeatedly reviewed them. I finally figured out a set of operating logic that is 'stupid to the extreme' yet absurdly stable. It's not some profound candlestick theory, just following market sentiment and timing. Now, I wake up at 9 AM to glance at the market and set an alarm at 3 PM to make decisions, which has surprisingly raised my win rate to nearly 100%. Today, I am sharing my 8 ironclad rules, all of which are practical tips that you can directly copy.