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San W
917 Posts

San W

🌐 Web3 & BTC BNB ASTER爱好者 | 🚀 投资哲学 & 自我成长 | 分享最新行业动态与个人见解 | 长期主义者 | 共同成长
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On the way to the top, every uptrend is likely to be followed by a pullback. Use this time to your advantage and accumulate more chips to make it more beneficial to you. #BTC #ETH. $BTC $ETH
On the way to the top, every uptrend is likely to be followed by a pullback. Use this time to your advantage and accumulate more chips to make it more beneficial to you.
#BTC #ETH. $BTC $ETH
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Bearish
This is not the most comfortable bottom-picking entry point yet. $PONS {future}(PONSUSDT) It’s still in a downtrend. Either wait for it to go even lower, around 0.40 or even 0.35, or wait for it to break back above 0.50 and confirm.
This is not the most comfortable bottom-picking entry point yet.
$PONS
It’s still in a downtrend.
Either wait for it to go even lower, around 0.40 or even 0.35,
or wait for it to break back above 0.50 and confirm.
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$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) This is a very standard range-bound oscillation right now. $82.8K: Support below $87.4K: Resistance above Current price is around $84.6K, basically in the middle of the range. So at this level, I have no particular desire to take action. Only a breakout above $87.4K would count as a true strengthening, and only a drop below $82.8K would count as the structure turning weaker. Before that happens, we should just continue to expect the range to hold.⛰️ Not investment or trading advice.
$BTC
This is a very standard range-bound oscillation right now.
$82.8K: Support below
$87.4K: Resistance above
Current price is around $84.6K,
basically in the middle of the range.
So at this level, I have no particular desire to take action.
Only a breakout above $87.4K would count as a true strengthening,
and only a drop below $82.8K would count as the structure turning weaker.
Before that happens,
we should just continue to expect the range to hold.⛰️
Not investment or trading advice.
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$SOL {future}(SOLUSDT) It’s getting clearer hour by hour. Right now, it’s a choppy trading range: $116.7–117.3: Key support $120.2: Short-term strength/weakness line $122–125: Core resistance MACD is almost flat, so the market is still waiting for direction. I’m not in a hurry to guess. If 117 holds, it should keep ranging; if 120 turns back up, it starts to strengthen; only a real breakout above 125 will mark a new trend. $SOL ⛰️ Not investment advice.
$SOL
It’s getting clearer hour by hour.

Right now, it’s a choppy trading range:
$116.7–117.3: Key support
$120.2: Short-term strength/weakness line
$122–125: Core resistance
MACD is almost flat,
so the market is still waiting for direction.
I’m not in a hurry to guess.
If 117 holds, it should keep ranging;
if 120 turns back up, it starts to strengthen;
only a real breakout above 125 will mark a new trend.

$SOL ⛰️
Not investment advice.
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$PONS 4 hours has already fallen below the key support $0.4967 Once this level breaks, the old support will instead turn into resistance. Right now, first look around $0.43 to see if there’s any follow-through/support, then further down is the $0.40 psychological round number. The MACD remains somewhat weak, so I won’t rush to guess the bottom. Before price reclaims 0.50, I’ll look at it according to the weak structure. This does not constitute investment trading advice. $PONS {future}(PONSUSDT)
$PONS 4 hours has already fallen below the key support $0.4967
Once this level breaks,
the old support will instead turn into resistance.

Right now, first look around $0.43 to see if there’s any follow-through/support,
then further down is the $0.40 psychological round number.

The MACD remains somewhat weak,
so I won’t rush to guess the bottom.
Before price reclaims 0.50, I’ll look at it according to the weak structure.

This does not constitute investment trading advice. $PONS
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$BP 4 hours I’m mainly watching two supports right now: $1.28–1.32: short-term support $1.20–1.21: core support Both of these zones have recently shown clear orderflow/support. Above, around $1.75, there is still the prior high resistance. Only if it truly breaks through and holds, can we consider that space to reopen. For now, it’s more like consolidation within a broad range. As long as support doesn’t break, the structure is still intact. $BP ⛰️ Not investment/trading advice.
$BP 4 hours I’m mainly watching two supports right now:
$1.28–1.32: short-term support
$1.20–1.21: core support
Both of these zones have recently shown clear orderflow/support.
Above, around $1.75, there is still the prior high resistance.
Only if it truly breaks through and holds, can we consider that space to reopen.
For now, it’s more like consolidation within a broad range.
As long as support doesn’t break, the structure is still intact.
$BP ⛰️
Not investment/trading advice.
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Amazon is reportedly studying a way to hand approximately $8 billion worth of NVDA Blackwell chips to outside investors, then rent them back for continued use. I actually find this data interesting. It’s not that AI demand isn’t there, but that AI CapEx has grown so large that even technology giants are starting to explore new financing methods. $NVDAB Next, what really needs to be tested isn’t demand, but how long this kind of demand can last. {spot}(NVDABUSDT)
Amazon is reportedly studying a way to hand approximately $8 billion worth of NVDA Blackwell chips to outside investors, then rent them back for continued use.

I actually find this data interesting.

It’s not that AI demand isn’t there,

but that AI CapEx has grown so large that even technology giants are starting to explore new financing methods.

$NVDAB Next, what really needs to be tested isn’t demand,

but how long this kind of demand can last.
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Congratulations $NVDAB NVDA, the stock price hits a new all-time high. I’m bullish on the long-term demand for AI computing power, but a new high isn’t a reason to stop researching. Next, keep watching: can the spending from major customers continue to translate into NVIDIA’s orders and profits?⛰️ {spot}(NVDABUSDT)
Congratulations $NVDAB NVDA, the stock price hits a new all-time high.

I’m bullish on the long-term demand for AI computing power, but a new high isn’t a reason to stop researching.

Next, keep watching: can the spending from major customers continue to translate into NVIDIA’s orders and profits?⛰️
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Partly True
$DOGE and $NKE, if you held them in the past 5 years. The Yangtze River pushes the waves behind, bringing on the new. It seems that $DOGE and $NIKE have little to do with each other, yet this chart reminds me: whether it’s crypto assets or consumer brands, past hype can’t guarantee future returns. When a new paradigm emerges, long-term holding still needs long-term validation.⛰️
$DOGE and $NKE, if you held them in the past 5 years.

The Yangtze River pushes the waves behind, bringing on the new.

It seems that $DOGE and $NIKE have little to do with each other, yet this chart reminds me: whether it’s crypto assets or consumer brands, past hype can’t guarantee future returns.

When a new paradigm emerges, long-term holding still needs long-term validation.⛰️
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Recently I’ve been looking at $MON . There’s a time point you need to remember in advance: On November 24, a large unlock is scheduled. Right now, MON’s circulating supply is only about 11.8 billion coins. As for the team, investors, and other holders, their tokens will begin entering the unlock phase. So when you look at MON now, don’t just focus on the circulating market cap of around $400 million— also look at FDV + Unlock. For coins with low circulating supply, unlocks are always a hurdle you can’t get around. {future}(MONUSDT)
Recently I’ve been looking at $MON .

There’s a time point you need to remember in advance:

On November 24, a large unlock is scheduled.

Right now, MON’s circulating supply is only about 11.8 billion coins.
As for the team, investors, and other holders, their tokens will begin entering the unlock phase.

So when you look at MON now,
don’t just focus on the circulating market cap of around $400 million—
also look at FDV + Unlock.

For coins with low circulating supply, unlocks are always a hurdle you can’t get around.
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AI market trends are no longer just those of $NVDAB . GPU → HBM → Network → Optical interconnect → Data centers. AI capex is continuously expanding outward across the industrial chain. So when I look at semiconductors, more than the stock price, I focus on whether the industry’s profits can keep growing. So far, demand is still there. {spot}(NVDABUSDT)
AI market trends are no longer just those of $NVDAB .

GPU → HBM → Network → Optical interconnect → Data centers.

AI capex is continuously expanding outward across the industrial chain.

So when I look at semiconductors,

more than the stock price, I focus on whether the industry’s profits can keep growing.

So far, demand is still there.
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The market has been pretty interesting lately: AI fundamentals are strong, And so are U.S. Treasury yields. One is responsible for lifting valuations, The other is responsible for putting pressure on valuations. So recently when I look at $NVDA, $AMD, and $BTC, my first instinct is to look at the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. As long as rates don’t come down, Risk-on won’t feel especially comfortable.$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
The market has been pretty interesting lately:

AI fundamentals are strong,
And so are U.S. Treasury yields.

One is responsible for lifting valuations,

The other is responsible for putting pressure on valuations.

So recently when I look at $NVDA, $AMD, and $BTC ,

my first instinct is to look at the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield.

As long as rates don’t come down, Risk-on won’t feel especially comfortable.$BTC
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Bearish
BTC surged to $85,500 yesterday, but it quickly fell back into the $82K–85K range. The cooling of PCE is good news, but Treasury yields haven’t come down. So my view hasn’t changed: Only when ETF inflows continue + Treasury yields fall at the same time would I feel comfortable increasing my risk exposure.#通胀 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC surged to $85,500 yesterday,

but it quickly fell back into the $82K–85K range.

The cooling of PCE is good news,

but Treasury yields haven’t come down.

So my view hasn’t changed:

Only when ETF inflows continue + Treasury yields fall at the same time

would I feel comfortable increasing my risk exposure.#通胀 $BTC
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$PONS {future}(PONSUSDT) The 4-hour trend has now reached a critical position. The current downward trendline is hovering around $0.54–0.55, and the key support below is still around $0.50. The MACD has started to recover, but we still can’t say it has reversed. I only look at two signals: Don’t break 0.50, can 0.55 break out with volume. Once it moves above 0.55, this round of the downward structure will truly begin to change. If it breaks below 0.50, we need to reassess. $PONS ⛰️ Not investment advice.
$PONS
The 4-hour trend has now reached a critical position.
The current downward trendline is hovering around $0.54–0.55,
and the key support below is still around $0.50.
The MACD has started to recover,
but we still can’t say it has reversed.
I only look at two signals:
Don’t break 0.50,
can 0.55 break out with volume.
Once it moves above 0.55,
this round of the downward structure will truly begin to change.
If it breaks below 0.50,
we need to reassess.
$PONS ⛰️
Not investment advice.
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$UNI {future}(UNIUSDT) I 4 hours — now it’s getting closer to a direction choice. The $8.51 below is still the key support, and the $9.05–9.15 above is resistance along the downtrend line. The MACD is starting to turn—after the histogram just flipped positive, it indicates that near-term selling pressure is weakening. But for a real turnaround, you still need to see whether it can break above the $9.1 area with strong volume. If $8.51 holds, continue to monitor. Only if $9.1 breaks through will the structure start looking good. $UNI ⛰️ Not investment or trading advice.
$UNI
I 4 hours — now it’s getting closer to a direction choice.
The $8.51 below is still the key support,
and the $9.05–9.15 above is resistance along the downtrend line.
The MACD is starting to turn—after the histogram just flipped positive,
it indicates that near-term selling pressure is weakening.
But for a real turnaround,
you still need to see whether it can break above the $9.1 area with strong volume.
If $8.51 holds, continue to monitor.
Only if $9.1 breaks through will the structure start looking good.
$UNI ⛰️
Not investment or trading advice.
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Partly True
$QQQ still went and touched the previous high around 748, and then got pushed back down again. The pressure at this level is still very obvious. For now, on the short term I only look at two things: whether it can reclaim and stay above 740, and whether the previous high at 748 can truly break through. Until it breaks through, I’m more willing to treat it as a high-level range-bound consolidation. It doesn’t count as a breakout just because you’ve seen the prior high. Only a confirmed hold counts. $QQQB {spot}(QQQBUSDT) ⛰️ Not an investment trading recommendation.
$QQQ still went and touched the previous high around 748, and then got pushed back down again.
The pressure at this level is still very obvious.
For now, on the short term I only look at two things:
whether it can reclaim and stay above 740,
and whether the previous high at 748 can truly break through.
Until it breaks through,
I’m more willing to treat it as a high-level range-bound consolidation.
It doesn’t count as a breakout just because you’ve seen the prior high.
Only a confirmed hold counts.
$QQQB
⛰️
Not an investment trading recommendation.
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Bearish
$MET 4 hours of this pullback—it's already come to a relatively critical level. After the earlier surge from $0.1935 → $0.4129, we’re now retesting and bouncing off the Fibonacci support. I’m mainly watching two levels: 0.618: around $0.277 0.786: around $0.240 Right now the price is still around $0.32. The short-term momentum has weakened, but it hasn’t reached the truly deep support zone yet. So my approach is very simple: Don’t chase the dip—wait for the retracement to reach the key levels and see how buyers step in. If $0.277 can’t hold, then the next target is around $0.24. $MET {future}(METUSDT) ⛰️ Not investment/trading advice.
$MET 4 hours of this pullback—it's already come to a relatively critical level.
After the earlier surge from $0.1935 → $0.4129,
we’re now retesting and bouncing off the Fibonacci support.

I’m mainly watching two levels:
0.618: around $0.277
0.786: around $0.240

Right now the price is still around $0.32.
The short-term momentum has weakened, but it hasn’t reached the truly deep support zone yet.

So my approach is very simple:
Don’t chase the dip—wait for the retracement to reach the key levels and see how buyers step in.

If $0.277 can’t hold,
then the next target is around $0.24.
$MET
⛰️
Not investment/trading advice.
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$UNI This short-term move has clearly weakened. On the 1-hour timeframe, the price has broken below the rising trendline, and the MACD is also continuing to weaken. What I care about most now isn’t how much the rebound will be, but whether the 4-hour timeframe can hold around $8.5. This level has seen support multiple times before, and it’s also the key support I’ve been watching. If $8.5 holds, there’s a chance for the structure to repair. If $8.5 breaks down, then we need to reassess. $UNI {future}(UNIUSDT) This does not constitute investment advice.
$UNI This short-term move has clearly weakened.
On the 1-hour timeframe, the price has broken below the rising trendline,
and the MACD is also continuing to weaken.
What I care about most now isn’t how much the rebound will be,
but whether the 4-hour timeframe can hold around $8.5.
This level has seen support multiple times before,
and it’s also the key support I’ve been watching.
If $8.5 holds, there’s a chance for the structure to repair.
If $8.5 breaks down, then we need to reassess.
$UNI
This does not constitute investment advice.
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$PONS is testing its $0.50 support level as total daily revenue falls below $1.7 million, down sharply from the $9 million peak on September 5. Do you still see PONS as a buy, or should you pass?
$PONS is testing its $0.50 support level as total daily revenue falls below $1.7 million, down sharply from the $9 million peak on September 5.

Do you still see PONS as a buy, or should you pass?
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CME plans to launch futures contract $UNI on October 19, which is still pending regulatory review. This indicates that the professional market needs UNI risk management tools, but the listing of futures contracts itself will not increase protocol revenue and will not automatically lead to UNI being burned. What I care most about is still: whether the trading fees can continue to return to the Token, and whether the actual burn amount can be expanded. {spot}(UNIUSDT)
CME plans to launch futures contract $UNI on October 19, which is still pending regulatory review.

This indicates that the professional market needs UNI risk management tools, but the listing of futures contracts itself will not increase protocol revenue and will not automatically lead to UNI being burned.

What I care most about is still: whether the trading fees can continue to return to the Token, and whether the actual burn amount can be expanded.
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