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The Market Updates
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The Market Updates

Crypto Trader Since 2007.
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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran says its conditions for ending the war have been delivered to Washington through Qatar, and Tehran is now waiting for Trump’s answer. Mohsen Rezaei says U.S. threats will not change those terms, claims Iran knows the weak points of American forces, and warns that any renewed strikes would bring a harder response against U.S. bases and interests across the region. He also claims Iran recently tested a new anti-ship missile near a U.S. warship, while Qatari and Pakistani mediation continues. -- That missile claim comes from Tehran and has not been independently verified in the reporting I found. -- So both sides are now talking like negotiations are still alive while simultaneously describing how the next round of war would begin. Diplomacy, but with targeting coordinates. Source: Times of Israel, Marine Insight
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran says its conditions for ending the war have been delivered to Washington through Qatar, and Tehran is now waiting for Trump’s answer.

Mohsen Rezaei says U.S. threats will not change those terms, claims Iran knows the weak points of American forces, and warns that any renewed strikes would bring a harder response against U.S. bases and interests across the region.

He also claims Iran recently tested a new anti-ship missile near a U.S. warship, while Qatari and Pakistani mediation continues.

-- That missile claim comes from Tehran and has not been independently verified in the reporting I found. --

So both sides are now talking like negotiations are still alive while simultaneously describing how the next round of war would begin.

Diplomacy, but with targeting coordinates.

Source: Times of Israel, Marine Insight
A whale has opened a massive $87 Million $BTC long with 20x leverage. Previously, this whale has made $6.6 Million in profits.
A whale has opened a massive $87 Million $BTC long with 20x leverage.

Previously, this whale has made $6.6 Million in profits.
Altcoin MCap just had its highest daily close in 8 months. GIGA BULLISH FOR ALTS.
Altcoin MCap just had its highest daily close in 8 months.

GIGA BULLISH FOR ALTS.
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Kevin O’Leary says Congress will be forced to revist the Clarity Act after the midterms because it can’t tax crypto without setting clear rules for it. He also said Bitcoin could hit $1 Million if it can resolve quantum computing.
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Kevin O’Leary says Congress will be forced to revist the Clarity Act after the midterms because it can’t tax crypto without setting clear rules for it.

He also said Bitcoin could hit $1 Million if it can resolve quantum computing.
THIS CAN’T BE A COINCIDENCE. A whale opened a $107M BTC long 90 minutes ago, right before the CFTC news. Since then, Bitcoin has pumped nearly $3K, and the whale is sitting on $3.6 MILLION in unrealised profit.
THIS CAN’T BE A COINCIDENCE.

A whale opened a $107M BTC long 90 minutes ago, right before the CFTC news.

Since then, Bitcoin has pumped nearly $3K, and the whale is sitting on $3.6 MILLION in unrealised profit.
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Bullish
$BTC just broke out of its 2-week downtrend. HIGHERRRR.....
$BTC just broke out of its 2-week downtrend.

HIGHERRRR.....
🔥THIS IS MASSIVE 🇺🇸 CFTC has sent its crypto rulemaking to the White House for review. Congress failed, but the SEC and CFTC are delivering the pro-crypto regulation.
🔥THIS IS MASSIVE

🇺🇸 CFTC has sent its crypto rulemaking to the White House for review.

Congress failed, but the SEC and CFTC are delivering the pro-crypto regulation.
BREAKING: The Altcoin market cap just hit $222 billion for the first time in 8 months. Send everything 🚀
BREAKING: The Altcoin market cap just hit $222 billion for the first time in 8 months.

Send everything 🚀
🇮🇷 Iran's escape route from the blockade is 3,700 trucks deep and rotting in the sun The overland plan is collapsing at the borders. Truckers wait up to 20 days to reach Turkey, sit for days at the Pakistani crossing with no water, food or sanitation in 122-degree heat, and at Pishin only 40 of the 700 waiting trucks get through on any given day. Apricots have spoiled in the queues. Iron ore, cement and bottled gas sit stranded. A container from China now costs $12,000 overland against $3,000 by sea, and the Iran-China Chamber of Commerce puts the blockade's added cost at $18 billion a year, with bottlenecks adding up to a third of the price of ordinary goods by the time they reach Tehran. Most of that damage is bureaucratic, meaning Iran's own customs system is failing under volume it chose to create. Food inflation hit 128% in August, and the truckers already walked off the job over fuel prices this month. Iraq shut its cargo terminals over the weekend after accusing Tehran of launching the pipeline attack from Iraqi soil, which points at the real vulnerability. Every one of these routes belongs to somebody else, and each neighbor can close a gate whenever the war makes it convenient. Source: The Wall Street Journal
🇮🇷 Iran's escape route from the blockade is 3,700 trucks deep and rotting in the sun

The overland plan is collapsing at the borders. Truckers wait up to 20 days to reach Turkey, sit for days at the Pakistani crossing with no water, food or sanitation in 122-degree heat, and at Pishin only 40 of the 700 waiting trucks get through on any given day.

Apricots have spoiled in the queues. Iron ore, cement and bottled gas sit stranded.

A container from China now costs $12,000 overland against $3,000 by sea, and the Iran-China Chamber of Commerce puts the blockade's added cost at $18 billion a year, with bottlenecks adding up to a third of the price of ordinary goods by the time they reach Tehran.

Most of that damage is bureaucratic, meaning Iran's own customs system is failing under volume it chose to create.

Food inflation hit 128% in August, and the truckers already walked off the job over fuel prices this month.

Iraq shut its cargo terminals over the weekend after accusing Tehran of launching the pipeline attack from Iraqi soil, which points at the real vulnerability.

Every one of these routes belongs to somebody else, and each neighbor can close a gate whenever the war makes it convenient.

Source: The Wall Street Journal
This is absolutely massive for Altcoins. The Alt market cap on the weekly is finally breaking out of an almost 2-year downtrend. It is now up +10% this week. It's crazy because historically, the 4-year cycle treats 2026 as a bear year, yet the market is pushing higher. We are still far from the old $451 billion high, so I’m not calling altseason yet. But this is the first genuine breakout attempt we have seen in years. We need a weekly close above this trendline to sustain the bullish momentum. If it fails, the same $160B–$190B zone could be tested again. What makes this wild? Bitcoin is back above $77k despite the Clarity Act failing and the Fed hiking interest rates. Alts are printing their first real weekly breakout of 2026 regardless. Maybe this time it is actually different.
This is absolutely massive for Altcoins.

The Alt market cap on the weekly is finally breaking out of an almost 2-year downtrend.

It is now up +10% this week. It's crazy because historically, the 4-year cycle treats 2026 as a bear year, yet the market is pushing higher.

We are still far from the old $451 billion high, so I’m not calling altseason yet. But this is the first genuine breakout attempt we have seen in years.

We need a weekly close above this trendline to sustain the bullish momentum. If it fails, the same $160B–$190B zone could be tested again.

What makes this wild? Bitcoin is back above $77k despite the Clarity Act failing and the Fed hiking interest rates. Alts are printing their first real weekly breakout of 2026 regardless.

Maybe this time it is actually different.
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Bearish
Verified
🚨BREAKING🚨 🇯🇵 BOJ HIKE RATES BY 25BPS TO 1.25% HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 1995.
🚨BREAKING🚨

🇯🇵 BOJ HIKE RATES BY 25BPS TO 1.25%

HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 1995.
HUGE: 🇺🇸 $1 Trillion JPMorgan says Bitcoin could pump hard against gold if investors unwind their Bitcoin ETF hedges. Right now, BlackRock's IBIT ETF has near-record-high short interest and heavy put options, while gold shorts are below average. This means any short-covering or hedge-closing would trigger an explosive wave of forced Bitcoin buying and send the price higher.
HUGE: 🇺🇸 $1 Trillion JPMorgan says Bitcoin could pump hard against gold if investors unwind their Bitcoin ETF hedges.

Right now, BlackRock's IBIT ETF has near-record-high short interest and heavy put options, while gold shorts are below average.

This means any short-covering or hedge-closing would trigger an explosive wave of forced Bitcoin buying and send the price higher.
This week started rough with CLARITY failing to advance. But by the end of the week, there’s honestly more to celebrate than cry about. Two major crypto bills got approved. SEC is enabling 24/7 tokenized stock trading. CFTC is starting to put clear rules for crypto. And the best part is Bitcoin is still holding strong despite the biggest regulatory setback and Fed rate hike. We’ve almost survived the worst, things can only get better from here.
This week started rough with CLARITY failing to advance.

But by the end of the week, there’s honestly more to celebrate than cry about.

Two major crypto bills got approved.
SEC is enabling 24/7 tokenized stock trading.
CFTC is starting to put clear rules for crypto.

And the best part is Bitcoin is still holding strong despite the biggest regulatory setback and Fed rate hike.

We’ve almost survived the worst, things can only get better from here.
Binance is single-handedly holding the $BTC price. Chad Behaviour.
Binance is single-handedly holding the $BTC price.

Chad Behaviour.
THIS IS MASSIVE 🇺🇸 The CFTC says crypto developers can build trading apps without registering as brokers.
THIS IS MASSIVE

🇺🇸 The CFTC says crypto developers can build trading apps without registering as brokers.
Partly True
$930 Billion added to the US stock at market open as President Trump said Iran war is ending soon.
$930 Billion added to the US stock at market open as President Trump said Iran war is ending soon.
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 The SEC will now allow stocks to be traded onchain under a temporary exemption. This is huge.
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 The SEC will now allow stocks to be traded onchain under a temporary exemption.

This is huge.
The last time the Altcoin market broke out of a major monthly downtrend, it went parabolic within 9 months. We’re seeing a very similar setup again. If history repeats, this could be the early stage of another Altcoin season.
The last time the Altcoin market broke out of a major monthly downtrend, it went parabolic within 9 months.

We’re seeing a very similar setup again.

If history repeats, this could be the early stage of another Altcoin season.
Despite bad news like the Clarity Act failing and the Fed raising interest rates for the first time in 3 years, the crypto market is holding up incredibly well. Bitcoin has climbed back over $76,000 and ETH reclaimed the $2,450 level. Right in the middle of everything, we got a massive bullish news that the US is advancing the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Bill. We need to hold $76k for BTC to have another shot at claiming the W50 MA so the real bull run can start.
Despite bad news like the Clarity Act failing and the Fed raising interest rates for the first time in 3 years, the crypto market is holding up incredibly well.

Bitcoin has climbed back over $76,000 and ETH reclaimed the $2,450 level.

Right in the middle of everything, we got a massive bullish news that the US is advancing the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Bill.

We need to hold $76k for BTC to have another shot at claiming the W50 MA so the real bull run can start.
🇺🇸 CLARITY ACT IS NOT DEAD YET. 7 Senate Democrats say they're committed to getting the bill passed.
🇺🇸 CLARITY ACT IS NOT DEAD YET.

7 Senate Democrats say they're committed to getting the bill passed.
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