RazorTicks

#Oil popped 0.5% on the futures open. Still watching $96 support and $87.50 resistance. Clean levels, nothing fancy. If $96 holds, could see a bounce play. Break below and we're hunting lower. Above $87.50, flip bullish. Right now just range-bound noise. No setup until we test one of those zones with volume. Stay patient. #USoil #crude #trading

BZ+3.37%

$META pumped hard early week off #Muse hype and analyst chatter, but now it's stalling at $745 resistance with distribution vibes. Big wicks the last two days = sellers stepping in on every push. Topping tails are reversal flags.

Short setup is there, but I'm not in yet. Nasdaq still looks too strong and I'm missing the divergences I want. Watching daily—could flip short soon if weakness confirms.

Risk-first approach: no trade until the setup tightens.

META+0.02%

Liq swept below 84.2k — that's your line. Below it, we're hunting lower; above it, flip bullish.

82.2k is the bear confirmation. Hold above and we're theoretically long.

Lose 80.6k and it's a straight drop to the basement.

Everyone was crying bearish the last few days. Guess what? Here we are again. Trade the levels, not the noise.

$BTC tapped $86,900 early, got rejected as expected, now down 2.5%. Clean pullback in a still-strong structure.

First major support: $82,700
Next level: $81,000

This is just a pullback, not a breakdown. I'm watching price action at those supports. If we get a solid reaction—ideally around $81k—I'll consider taking profit on the short and flipping long.

If the bounce is clean, I'll also reload on some altcoins I recently exited. Pullbacks are part of the game. Trade the reaction, not the hope.

$UNG pulled near $3.08 but backed off—still +1.5% on the day. Chart setup unchanged, waiting for that target to hit. All other levels hold from prior calls. No chase, just patience.

NATGAS-0.18%

$GOLD down 1.75% today but chart structure unchanged. Now tracking a descending orange triangle — price rejected upper line today.

These patterns typically break upward, so formation remains bullish.

If price stays inside the wedge and drifts toward $4200, that's my add zone for longs. Will assess live when we get there.

#metals #trading $GLL $GLD

XAU-1.67%

Everyone's screaming "we going higher" while I'm already out at the top. Sniped the peak and locked in another 110% gain on a fresh 10k-100k scalp.

Up 13k and counting. Let them chase — I bank greens, not hopium.

We're pushing higher. Sniped the top on another runner — 110% locked in on a fresh 10k-100k play.

Up 13k and still counting. 💰

This is what clean entries and exits look like. No hope, no hold-and-pray. Just take the green when it's there and move to the next setup.

Entry barely survived but we held it. That's the game — stops intact, position live. Now we manage.

Closed my oil short at $89.50 after riding it from $100. Still think $87.50 is in play (60% prob), but risk/reward compressed too much to justify the hold.

Here's the logic:
• At $100 → 75% prob of pullback, $13 downside. Easy hold.
• At $96 → 65-70% prob, $8-9 left. Still clean.
• At $92 → 60% prob, $4.50 left. Marginal but okay.
• At $89.50 → 60% prob, $2 left. Not worth the reversal risk.

Chart showed triple bull div on the 1H RSI around $89, signaling a bounce back toward $92. That was my exit trigger. Could consolidate here and base, could still dump to $87.50. Don't care — I took the meat, cut the tail risk.

This is how you preserve capital: lock greens when the setup thins out, don't chase the last $2 into a reversal. Could I be wrong? Sure. But I'd rather book 90% of the move than give back 50% hoping for perfection.

If it drops to $87.50 without me, fine. I already ate. If it rips to $92, I'm flat and clean. That's the game.

BZ+3.37%

$UNG holding steady, eyeing $3.08 test soon. All setups stay live.

Quick note on contract rollover since it trips people up:

I chart NG1! (continuous front month). TradingView auto-switches to the next contract when volume flips — usually 3–5 days before expiry, not a fixed date. Right now we're on October, likely rolling to November today/tomorrow at $3.17.

The catch? Your chart might show a fat profit, but reality's messier. I trade the ETF so I skip rollover headaches, but rollover costs are baked into the ETF either way. You pay for convenience.

Still watching $3.08. Plans unchanged. Protect your stops.

NATGAS-0.18%

$Oil dipped 1% overnight. Still eyeing one more leg down into $87.50 before I'm interested. All levels and plans unchanged from yesterday. Watching for that final flush before any long setup. No chase.

BZ+3.37%

$COPPER finally cleared the highs, up 1.6% today. Clean breakout but not convinced it's got legs.

Wanted to see $7 broken — big psych level — but triple negative divergence on daily RSI + volume tapering off. That's enough for me.

Added to my short. Not waiting for $7 to chase a better entry. Orange line support and $6.72 below, but expecting both to crack. Targeting $6.36 zone again.

Divergence + fading volume = fade the rip. Lock it in.

COPPER-1.67%

$UNG finally waking up — +6.5% today, right into that September 3rd resistance. Been grinding this for a month. Main level to watch is $3.08, that's where I'm locking in profits on this long. Expecting a pullback there, not forcing anything.

Medium-term still bullish though. Think it runs to at least $3.35 over the next few months. Not shorting at $3.08 — if we get a decent dip after the profit-take, I'll reload long. Let the setup come to you.

NATGAS-0.18%

$SILVER pushing +1.7% and testing the parallel channel top. If it clears clean, $71.30 is the next major level — that's the signal the bottom's locked in.

But I'm not chasing yet. Today's move is borderline, not a confirmed breakout. Even if it pops, I need follow-through before I shift bias.

Slightly more bullish now, but no real change to the plan. Waiting for confirmation before I add size.

XAG-4.38%

Not much moving. Crypto's just riding stocks right now — no real breakouts, no cracks.

CVD on spot and futures both bleeding down. Could be setting up for another leg, but we're stuck between levels. No clean setup = no trade. Wait for structure.

$BTC down 0.3% but bouncing hard off intraday lows — stronger than I expected. Pullback from 86900 came as planned but didn't dig deep or last long. Now floating back toward that level with weak volume and no real buyer conviction, so another rejection's likely.

Still short. No changes to the plan. Watching 86900 for confirmation.

$COFFEE dropped 1.5% today but the structure hasn't changed — just lost $281 so that flips to resistance now. Next likely stop is $264 support. Watch those levels, no drama yet but the downside is clear if $264 doesn't hold.

$UNG bounced clean off the parallel bottom I called yesterday — now +3% and back over $2.85. Setup's holding exactly where it should.

Looking for continuation up to the top of the channel around $3.08. That's the natural magnet if this parallel stays intact.

If it breaks down instead, $2.63 is next support. Simple structure — either it rides the channel or it doesn't. Watch the parallel hold.

$OIL sitting on the fence today — down but off lows, printing an indecision candle. Traders are split 50-50, no clear direction yet.

Still holding half my short. If Hormuz news drops officially, expecting another leg down toward $87.50. Until then, letting it breathe.

No rush to cut when the setup's still live.