๐ฐ CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data
Bitcoin is holding just under $85k this morning, and the reason is pretty simple โ Treasury yields finally backed off their multi-decade highs, which takes some heat off risk assets across the board. Toss in oil sliding on reports of a phased US-Iran deal and you get a calmer macro backdrop, though nobody's popping champagne yet. The wildcard is Friday's Deribit expiry, roughly $14 billion in BTC options, so dealers will be hedging around the big strikes and price can get twitchy into the close. Watch OIL closely โ any hint the Iran deal stalls and crude rips higher, dragging risk sentiment down with it. XAU is the tell on whether this yield retreat is real or just a pause.
$ONDO ๐ข ONDO just ripped over 30% and everyone's asking if it's too late โ here's the level I'm actually watching.
๐ $ONDO Setup: Long Position Entry: 0.5541 Stop Loss: 0.52888 TP 1: 0.60454 TP 2: 0.62976
- Trend is bullish with a fresh break of structure five candles back through the 0.52888 swing high. - Price is trading above the dealing range in breakout premium territory, so momentum favors continuation over reversal. - The freshest bullish fair value gap sits directly under price and is already being respected as support. - No sell-side sweep or inducement trap is present, so this reads as continuation rather than a reversal play. - Stop rests below the 0.52888 breakout level, a real swing point, keeping risk tight against structure. - Upside target is the measured range projection, since no buy-side liquidity sits above current price.
Green candles feel safe right up until they don't โ size it like you plan to keep it.
Trump and Xi sat down for a state dinner, traded warm words and gifts, but reportedly made little headway on tariffs, tech export curbs or Taiwan. Markets read that as no de-escalation โ the trade standoff just stays on simmer rather than cooling off. That usually keeps a firm bid under safe havens, so XAU stays supported and the dollar (DXY) holds up as funds park in Treasuries while the next round of talks is unclear. BTC sits awkwardly in the middle: risk-off headlines from the China cycle tend to trigger selling, but any hint of future liquidity or tariff relief can flip it the other way fast. Watch chip and rare-earth commentary for the next jolt.
Quiet-ish day on the tape, and honestly the roundups are doing more work than the price is โ BTC is still chopping in that range nobody wants to call a top or a bottom, ETF flows are drifting in and out, and altcoins are mostly following rather than leading. That's the setup that usually precedes a real move, because when everyone's bored, the leverage builds up quietly and one macro print or one headline is enough to shake it loose. BTC is the obvious one to watch since it sets the tone for everything else, ETH tends to amplify whatever BTC does once the move starts, and SOL stays the high-beta play when risk appetite actually shows up. Until then it's patience and tight stops.
$PLUME Position: Buy | Enter Here: 0.017427 | SL: 0.016639 | Take Profit 1: 0.018941
PLUME is grinding higher and I'd rather buy the dip than chase this green candle.
The trend is bullish and the most recent structural shift was a bullish change of character 27 candles back through 0.015953, so dips remain the play. Price is sitting at 66.4% of the dealing range between 0.015233 and 0.018941 โ premium territory โ which is exactly why I want a pullback instead of a chase. There is a fresh bullish fair value gap from 0.017272 to 0.017427 printed 15 candles ago, plus a minor pullback low at 0.017437 from two candles back that has not been taken yet. Buy-side liquidity still rests above the swing high at 0.018941, while the bullish order block from 0.015233 to 0.016262 has already been tested once.
Pullbacks are a gift until they aren't โ keep size honest and let the stop do its job.
$SAGA (Short ๐) signal posted on 25 Sep 2026, 03:32 UTC just closed in profit โ entered at 0.03229, take profit at 0.02951, closing at +8.61% before leverage.
Our 1:2 risk-to-reward target is done. Staying in longer than this gets risky and goes beyond sound risk management.
Netanyahu is defending Israel's military campaign and delegates walked out of the UN General Assembly before his speech even finished, with him calling them "moral cowards" for leaving. The diplomatic split is the part markets care about, since it signals no near-term off-ramp in a region sitting right next to the Strait of Hormuz, so traders are quietly adding a bit of supply risk back into crude. Gold keeps catching safe-haven bids every time this story escalates, and it gets another leg up if the dollar firms on risk aversion. Crypto takes the other side โ BTC and the majors usually sell off first on escalation headlines, especially on thin liquidity, then stabilise once the tape settles.
๐ฐ CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data
Bitget just admitted a $352 million hack, with the CEO saying user funds are 'safe' โ but that's a lot of money to lose, and the market's already twitchy. Independent researchers spotted weird wallet moves before the announcement, so people are wondering if this is contained or the start of something bigger. BTC and ETH will feel it first: if traders panic and pull funds, we could see a sharp sell-off, though a calm response might mean a quick bounce. XAU might catch a bid as a safe haven if risk-off kicks in. Watch exchange flows and whether other CEXs see withdrawals spike.
SAGA holders, this one is ugly โ down over 30% and the chart is offering zero relief.
SAGA is bleeding and the chart agrees โ the trend is bearish and price just printed a fresh bearish change of character, breaking down through the level that had been holding as support. Price now trades below the entire dealing range, sitting in the discount half with nothing but open sell-side liquidity underneath. There is no bullish order block or fair value gap anywhere near to catch a bounce, and the nearest untapped pool of sell-side liquidity sits well below current price. The equal lows just overhead give a clean, tight stop for anyone leaning short, while the downside targets are the untouched liquidity levels below. Momentum and structure are aligned.
Keep size small here, this thing is moving fast โ protect the account first.
A priest was killed and four people injured in a knife attack at an abbey in Jarosลaw, Poland, and police have arrested a male suspect from Ukraine. It's a local criminal case so far, not a battlefield event, but it lands in a country that's a key NATO logistics hub for aid flowing into Ukraine, so any hint of Polish-Ukrainian friction tends to get read through a geopolitical lens. Realistically the market reaction should be small unless the story escalates. Still, headline risk in that region usually lifts XAU and PAXG on safe-haven bids, nudges DXY higher as traders rotate toward the dollar, and can put brief risk-off pressure on BTC if volatility picks up.
๐ฐ CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data
New York just dropped a lawsuit on Polymarket, claiming the prediction market is essentially an unlicensed gambling operation, and it wants the platform blocked and the profits clawed back. This matters because Polymarket has been one of the biggest crypto success stories of this cycle, with huge volume and mainstream attention, and most of that activity settles on-chain. The cleanest read-through hits UMA, since Polymarket leans on its optimistic oracle to resolve markets, so legal pressure on the core business is a real question mark for that demand. POL catches a hit too, given how much traffic routes through Polygon. And if this snowballs into a wider crackdown on prediction markets, expect BTC and the broader risk complex to feel some risk-off chill.