MAIX8 Research

Arthur Hayes just republished Maelstrom’s book. Same names. Different timeframe than today’s candle.
From the Medium essay Atención. (primary source, not a Square caption):
Maelstrom’s preferred cryptos haven’t changed. Bitcoin is the structural long. The speculative end-2026 bets remain Ether at $10,000, Ethena at $0.50, Ether.fi at $2.
What that is not: • a 15-minute long on $ENA at 0.150
• a signal that the 95% buyback is live
• a valuation model — the essay does not include one
Context around the quote: • $ENA ~0.150, range 0.148–0.153 after rejecting 0.1539
• USDe supply ~$4.26B vs the $7.5B buyback gate
• One-shot investor unlock still marked for 5 Oct
• US spot BTC ETFs: −$237M on 1 Sep, +$101M on 2 Sep
Hayes is running a multi-month book. A 10x isolated note is a different product.
Are you treating $0.50 as year-end research — or as tonight’s entry?
$ENA $ETH $BTC #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare #ArthurHayes

$ENA this stock is extremely strange, with huge fluctuations that aren’t easy to profit from; brothers should research carefully, don’t fomo into these bird-bot coins with shady hype

$ENA reject 0.1648 lần 3

$BTR Dã man thật

$btc BTC
• Price 78,579 (+1.05%/24h). Range 77.4k–79.3k. 1h 08:00 vol ~28 million — normal, no spike.
• OKX funding +0.0015% — flat.
• US spot ETF: the most recent day available 28/08 = −202 million (ended a 9-day streak). On 31/08, Farside is 0 / not settled yet. No “money inflow today” number. 
ETF AUM still ~99 billion. Last week there was strong inflow during 17–27/08, then outflow on 28/08. That was last week, not 01/09.

$ENA
• Price 0,1515 (+2,85%/24h) from low 0,1456 — bouncing range, not breaking.
• 24h spot ~24 million quote. 01:00 = 1.49 million (high tree 0,153), 08:00 = 0.56 — shrank.
• Funding +0,005%.
• Latest OI measured: −10%/24h with longs being liquidated. That’s money exiting perp, not entering.
• USDe ~4 billion, sUSDe supplied −15%/30 days. Buyback not enabled.
There is no ENA ETF. “Money into ENA” must show up via explosive spot vol + OI increasing + USDe mint. None of those are happening this morning.

ENA didn’t dump into the “unlock.” It hunted shorts under equal highs.
31 Aug structure, after the 0.165 → 0.145 flush:
• Session POC still 0.148
• Value area 0.147–0.151
• Afternoon POC migrated to 0.151
• Locked perp taker on the 03:00 4h: −91M delta, node 0.147 still net negative
• 17:00–17:45: wick 0.1518 → 0.1536 → close ~0.1519
That wick is a stop run, not new value. The 0.1536 print sits in a low-volume pocket. Almost no close-volume landed there.
Unlock calendars still show ~275M ENA around 1 Sep. On 27 Aug the Foundation bought out selling seed inventory and said remaining investor unlocks roll into 5 Oct, plus a buyback proposal. Price already did 0.19 → 0.145 on that news. Tonight is not the unlock.
Levels that matter now:
• Accept up: 15m close above 0.1536
• Reject short: tap 0.1536, close back under 0.1518
• Range still valid under 0.1493 lost
• Deep dump only after a close under 0.14519
Mid-range 0.151x is the body of the candle. That’s where shorts got swept.
Not financial advice. Levels can fail. Size the stop first.
What do you do after a wick like 0.1536 — fade it or wait for a hold?
#ENA #Ethena #VolumeProfile #BinanceSquare #CryptoTrading

$ENA Short — a script with higher probability in 24–48h
• Condition: 4H closes below $0.1539 (low 29/8), worse if it closes below POC $0.1500.
• Entry: $0.1490–$0.1535
• SL: above $0.1595 (or tight $0.1630 if entering after it loses $0.150)
• TP1: $0.1420 (lower edge of the 10-day VA)
• TP2: $0.1350 (weekly low / low 26/8)
• Reason: after the peak $0.1899, red delta 57%; 24h red delta 59%; price has fallen below the 48h POC $0.163; value is shifting down to $0.155.

$ENA ENA — the pump has already distributed, the short is in the right structure
ENA ran 0.070 → 0.190 (×2.7) over about 10 days, not a single candle. The wick hit 0.190 on 28/08, then daily closed at 0.162. From the top to the current price is about −16%, not −7%.
Volume profile splits into 2 houses:
• Long-term house: POC 0.151, thick volume 0.147–0.154
• Short-term house after the dump: POC 0.164, 37% of the 24h volume sitting in 0.162–0.166
• The tail 0.183–0.190 is thin. Delta 24h is red at 61%. The most recent 12h has already rebalanced
0.163–0.165 is real volume resistance (POC 24h/48h). This morning it tested 0.1646 and then dropped to 0.160 — the reject setup has occurred, so it’s no longer a pending order.
MA7 0.157 is the daily SMA. Price is still above the daily MA7 by a very thin margin, but it’s already below the 1H SMA7 and SMA25. Don’t use “still above MA7” as a reason to go long.
Cut out 3 things you can’t measure:
• Wall 848K ENA is not a wall. It’s about ~0.5% of daily volume, gone within a few minutes
• “Sell-side is fully controlled” is only true for the first 24h after the peak
• Target MA25 0.113 after breaking 0.157 is a jump. Below that there’s HVN 0.154, then POC 0.151
There’s still edge in the strategy:
• Short after reject 0.163–0.165 — already triggered
• Target 1: 0.157 / low 0.1566
• Target 2: 0.154 (HVN)
• Only consider 0.151 if 0.154 breaks
• Invalidation: 15m/1H closes holding above 0.1645–0.165
Not a recommendation to add more. Only hold what volume still confirms.

$ENA có thể nó neo giá để xả

$BTC dump con trâu này vẫn lỳ đòn $ENA

$ENA one of the hardest-to-handle animals ever

$ENA early September still has to be sold. Don’t just sit and wait for the market maker to pull so you can get fed.
Price just swept 0.18997 and then dropped back to ~0.160. Many people think the Foundation’s 27/8 news means “the sell pressure is over, only pumping remains.” Read the numbers—not the headlines.
• Total locked supply is 15 billion. Circulating is 9.83 billion — only 65.5%. About 1/3 hasn’t hit the market yet. • Old schedule: early September is still unlocking. One tracker shows about 275 million $ENA (~1.8% of total supply, nearly 3% of market cap). Another tracker shows a lower figure. No matter which number you take, it’s new supply going into orders, not a burn. • On 5/10, the portion locked from investors is released once, and then the monthly sell schedule ends. The team is still unlocking gradually up to 2028. Foundation says after the deal there’s still ~12% locked—plus there’s also the StablecoinX wallet at ~20% of supply, with its own separate schedule. • Token buyback machine: there’s a proposal, not running yet. The initial milestone needs ~7.5 billion USDe. USDe is currently ~4.0–4.1 billion, having fallen from a peak of ~14.8 billion back in 10/2025. About 3.5 billion more in minting is needed before buyback has a real chance to kick in.
What the 28/8 session was saying on the candlestick:
• 8h–9h volume was more than 3x the prior hours, the peak was 0.18997, and the sellers won. • 10h–11h buyers came in, the bottom was 0.15665, then it closed back around ~0.160. • Price is currently sitting right near the 0.161–0.165 cluster. Vol after 11:45 is weak (~0.5x the average). Not a “pump candle with no pullback.”
The key levels being discussed:
• Below: 0.15665 (session low) → 0.152 → 0.1476 (4-hour candle on 27/8 closed at 0.14763)
• Above: 0.1644 (4-hour candle on 28/8 closed) → 0.1689 → 0.190
Straight take: the 27/8 news only clears month-by-month overhang—it doesn’t erase the sell waves of 1–2/9. It doesn’t turn into a money-printing machine before USDe reaches 7.5 billion. If you’re profitable from the move 0.14 up to 0.16–0.19, then take some profit. Waiting for “the guys to pull” just means letting the unlocked supply eat your own profit.

$USDe #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare #Ethena

$ENA Ethena 27/08 — 4 items, read the official line correctly
Source: @EthenaFndtn + forum governance. Not fake news. Some parts have a headline stretched.
1 Bought all the ENA currently locked from several major seeds that previously sold within a 9-month period. Not all seeds. No number of tokens / price mentioned yet.
2 Signed the framework: IP + protocol value to the Foundation, token holders govern. Equity Labs no longer has residual cash flow.
3 A fee switch is being proposed; the Risk Committee is approving it, but holders haven’t finished voting yet. Buyback follows the USDe milestone (5% from $7.5B). USDe ~$4B → not activated yet. Not revenue used to buy ENA today.
4 Remove the VC unlock issue next month by releasing tokens that haven’t vested. The team is still locked on the old schedule. Where the token release goes—treasury, drip over time, or a one-time dump—has not been written down.
One sentence: cut part of the seed overhang + move IP to tokens; the fee switch is still waiting for a vote and for USDe to be larger.

$ENA broke 0.155. The supply isn’t fully done yet.
$ENA ~0.1566 | high 0.1577 | low 24h 0.1346
• Circ ~9.83B / cap 15B — about 1/3 of the supply left until 2028 • Team 30% + VC 25%: 1-year cliff then monthly linear vesting, TGE 5/3/2024 • Unlock around 1/9 — tracker off by 94M to 275M. Don’t pick one number and all-in • This morning it looked like the VC wallet was hacked, transferring ~21.85M ENA (~$3M) to Wintermute. Small compared to circ, small compared to the Sep unlock
Levels to watch:
• 0.1549–0.155: VAH just broken
• 0.1495: if it loses again, accept is over
• 0.162 / 0.168: if it holds above 0.155
View: price has left the POC. The real story is the Sep supply. Don’t chase 10x because of a “breakout above the daily high,” and don’t short just because of the VC caption.
Will you hold through 1/9, or take profit before the unlock?
$ENA $BTC #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare #Ethena #Tokenomics

$ENA is sitting on $0.144 after a $3M wallet flow into Wintermute.
What is confirmed: • Address 0x2a5…590CF (reported as Hack VC-linked) moved 21.85M ENA to a Wintermute deposit via several hops • That is inventory going to a market maker — not automatic proof the whole clip hit the book • Spot saw two days of net outflow (~$7M/day) before a small bounce in retail flow today • Next unlock window is around Sep 1 — separate supply event
Levels:
• $0.144: high-volume shelf
• $0.1375 / $0.1346: if $0.144 fails on a 1H close
• $0.1498: session sweep high
Bias: cautious, not “smash the short button.” Size is small vs daily volume. The tell is a 1H close under $0.144 — not the headline.
Are you treating this as OTC noise or the start of distribution?
$ENA $BTC #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare #OnChain

$ENA 🔥 $ENA dump done, stuck right in the “thick volume zone”
Price ~0.144 | -6% / 24h
• Local peak ~0.18, now pulled back to 0.138–0.144
• The 0.142–0.148 zone is POC — the highest-activity trading area for the whole pump
• Funding is still slightly positive; longs haven’t been fully shaken out
• Breaking 0.138 will open the way down to 0.132–0.135
• Holding above 0.148–0.152 means late shorts are likely to get a rebound
Key levels:
• Support: 0.138 / 0.132
• Resistance: 0.148 / 0.155
View: This isn’t a fresh base break. This is the Value Area dispute phase. Shorting above 0.16 was more reasonable. Shorting around 0.140 is betting against a crowd-heavy zone.
Are you waiting for a break of 0.138 or buying the bounce at 0.144?
$ENA #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare #ENAUSDT

$ENA ENA ~0,143 — short scenario
Maintain 0,1408–0,1415
Technical bounce: 0,1465 → 0,1505–0,1525. Only flip bullish when holding above 0,1505 (POC).
Lose 0,1408
Default path: 0,138 → 0,134.
0,134 is the critical support level for the pump wave.
Lose 0,134 near unlock 2/9
Open 0,126–0,118. Retreat to 0,09 / 0,07 only if there’s additional alt dumping, not due solely to 111 million ENA.
Unlock 2/9 (~111 million, ~16 million USD)
Some was already sold earlier (0,183 → 0,141). Enough to slip 0,138–0,134, but not enough by itself to pull price all the way down to the base.
Focus entries: 0,1408 and 0,134. The range between 0,141–0,146 has no edge.

Short priority (high quality) $ENA
• Wait for the price to retrace up to the 0.1460 – 0.1475 zone, or better: 0.1490 – 0.1505
• Enter Short when there is a clear rejected candle (red pin bar / red engulfing)
• SL: above the retracement high
• TP1: 0.1410 – 0.1405
• TP2: 0.1385
→ This is the most beautiful Short setup according to volume profile.

ENA is testing the lower edge of the 0.146–0.150 volume zone after a strong rejection from the 48h POC (0.161). The 24h delta is clearly leaning bearish (61% red). 0.1505 is the most important short-term decision level. No strong buy absorption has been seen after the 0.1458 low.