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People who were still shouting that SNDK is going to collapse earlier—this rebound has already made the shorts quiet. After $SNDK stabilized around 1200, it kept bouncing back and even rose above 1320. The downtrend line formed by the earlier decline has also been broken through again. In the short term, the structure has shifted from weak selling to rebound repair.
I added to my position around 1215. My initial target was to watch 1320. Now the first target has already been achieved, which suggests there is indeed support below. The main force didn’t keep pushing the price down; instead, it took advantage of panic to complete a round of share/position swapping.
The real question now isn’t whether it can still rise, but whether the supply/selling pressure in the 1320–1350 zone can be absorbed. There are plenty of trapped shares and short-term profit-taking orders there. When the price rallies into that area and starts to slow down, that’s completely normal.
Next, focus on volume and momentum. If it can rise with strong volume and hold above 1350, it would indicate the main force is willing to push higher. Then the rebound has a chance to open up toward around 1400. If it’s even stronger, we can then look at the higher resistance ahead.
But if the rally doesn’t continue with rising volume—especially if it repeatedly spikes and then pulls back while above 1320—it suggests the funds are mostly probing. The overhead supply hasn’t been fully cleaned out yet, so the short term could easily pull back first toward around 1300.
Support to watch: first 1300. Below that, look at 1270–1280. As long as these two zones aren’t broken down with a surge in volume, this rebound structure should remain intact. Only if it falls back below 1250 would we need to defend again.
SNDK’s latest financial report shows revenue and profits both exceeding expectations. Data center revenue has doubled quarter-over-quarter. The logic behind rising prices for AI storage and NAND is still there. The August 13 investor day is the next catalyst. In the short term, there are both expectations and selling pressure. Don’t chase just because it’s rising—wait until the main force has chewed through this hard resistance at 1350 before talking further. $KORU $SOXL #韩股KOSPI涨近5%启动买方侧车
This pullback has completely messed up the long/short rhythm. $BTC surged to 65300 and then quickly dropped back to 63700, and $ETH also got hammered from around 1925 down to 1860— the breakout momentum from earlier has basically been wiped out. Now for BTC: the 4-hour uptrend line has already been broken. For ETH: it rebounded to 1890 but still hasn’t managed to hold above 1900. First, BTC: watch whether it can reclaim 63800—64000. If it closes back up, there may still be a chance for a rebound toward 64500—64800. For ETH: first watch the 1900 level. After it holds, then we can talk about 1925—1950. Otherwise, the current rise can only be treated as a short-term correction/repair. BTC remains capped below 64000. Below that, look at 63500—63200. If ETH falls again and breaks below 1880, then you need to be on guard for 1850 to act as support/absorb orders. If the market once again sees heavy volume selling and pushes lower, BTC may test 62300, and ETH should also keep an eye on a wick/pin around 1820. Right now, it’s not about who guesses the direction first—it’s about who can wait for position/level confirmation. When the situation changes, you have to switch your mindset and don’t stubbornly cling to an old script against a new structure. #BTC走势分析 #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉
Damn it—those people in front who were still shouting about a big breakout, and this pullback has already put the bulls back to their senses. $BTC dropped all the way from around 65,300 to 63,700. The rebound that everyone finally managed to crawl out with has, in the blink of an eye, been slammed back down by the shorts. What’s even more uncomfortable is that the 4-hour uptrend line has already been broken. This little rebound can’t be taken as an outright stop-the-fall yet. Next, watch whether 63,800—64,000 can be reclaimed and recaptured. If it holds there, there’s a chance for a short-term rebound again toward 64,500. If it’s stronger, then look toward 64,800—that area is near the upper downward trendline, and selling pressure won’t be light. If price pushes higher without volume, it’s still easy to get hammered. If it can’t get back above 64,000, it means the bulls haven’t regained the rhythm. Then we still need to watch for support and follow-through in the 63,500—63,200 range. If 63,200 gets smashed through too, then this isn’t a normal pullback anymore. Most likely, it’ll go test around 62,300 again. Don’t chase the price right now. Let support give you the answer first. The biggest fear is that the market has already changed, and you’re still unwilling to let go of the mindset from the earlier breakout. #BTC走势分析 #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 $BNB
$ETH This wave of washout is driving both bulls and bears crazy!
Last night it surged to 1897. It looked like a breakout was coming, but just as the bulls rekindled hope, it was slammed back with a single bearish candle. This level is clearly not that simple.
Now the main force keeps stirring things up repeatedly within the 1850—1905 range. When it’s pushed up, someone sells into the rally; when it drops, someone steps in to buy. In this market, no one on either side is going to get profits easily.
The next thing to watch most is this: a fake breakout upward that lures chasing long positions in, then a sudden reversal to smash the market. The short orders around 1900—1905 remain the key observation area.
On the downside, keep watching the 1850 support. As long as it hasn’t truly broken down, ETH is still being range-washed. After a short-term pullback and stabilization, there’s still room for a rebound.
Recently, whale holdings transfers have started happening more frequently. The funding rate is also fluctuating back and forth, which suggests big players are readjusting their positions. This round of volatility won’t be small.
As for how it moves in the middle, just keep an eye on BTC’s “mood” and changes in volume. If you’re not at your level, just hold back—don’t chase longs just because it rallies, and don’t rush to short just because it’s falling.
If you can’t control your hands, just turn off the trading app. In this market, it’s never about who makes the most money in a single night—it’s about who, after getting repeatedly harvested, can still survive with their capital. #ETH走势分析
#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 Tonight at 8:30 PM, CPI will be released first. PPI will be released tomorrow at 8:30 PM. These two sets of data will not only determine the Federal Reserve’s subsequent interest-rate path, but will also directly influence the next direction of U.S. stocks and the crypto market.
At present, the market expects CPI year over year to fall from 3.5% to 3.4%, and core CPI year over year to fall from 2.6% to 2.5%. What the market truly wants to see is not a sudden collapse in inflation, but a gradual cooling of both overall and core inflation.
The most important outcome the market needs is for CPI to meet expectations or come in slightly below, core CPI not to rebound, and then for PPI to show no clear upside surprise. This would ease pressure for rate hikes while not making investors worry that the economy is suddenly stalling.
Such a result would be most favorable for U.S. stocks. U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar could have room to fall, valuation pressure on tech and growth stocks would ease, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 would be more likely to continue their repair, and high-valuation sectors that were under pressure earlier could rebound with greater strength.
For Bitcoin, a mild cooling would mean improved liquidity expectations. BTC would be more likely to hold the current support level and break upward through the range. ETH and other altcoins would then catch up, and overall risk appetite in the crypto market would likely recover noticeably.
If the data is clearly higher than expected, the market will likely start pricing in rate hikes again and the idea that high interest rates will be maintained for longer. Rising Treasury yields would simultaneously weigh on both U.S. stocks and the crypto market. If BTC breaks below support, it could also trigger another round of leveraged liquidations.
If the data is far below expectations, it isn’t necessarily all good news either. Combined with recent weakness in employment, the market may shift from trading for rate cuts to worrying about an economic recession. The most ideal scenario would be for CPI and PPI to both decline moderately—neither high enough to force the Fed to hike again, nor low enough to make investors doubt that the economy is in trouble.
$BTC is about to break out!!! From the 4-hour structure, the big coin has been compressed within a triangular range. The recent highs keep moving lower, while the lows gradually rise. Now price has once again come near the uptrend line Earlier, when BTC rebounded to around 64,400, it was quickly slammed back down, indicating that sell pressure in the short term is still heavy. The bulls seem to be trying to counterattack, but in reality they have not truly broken through the first major resistance Currently, 63,700—63,800 is the most critical support zone. This is near the prior low and also where the entire uptrend line lies. Whether this can be defended tonight is very important If price holds 63,700—63,800 and then quickly reclaims 64,000, it suggests there is still demand/support underneath, and there’s a chance for another short-term rebound to test 64,160—64,400 Only with a genuine breakout above 64,400 on increased volume will the rebound strength improve. Next, focus on 64,800—65,000; this area is also close to the descending trend line, so when price pushes up there, sell pressure may easily show up Once 63,700 is broken to the downside with a bearish body candle, and the subsequent pullback fails to reclaim it, this triangular structure will break down. First watch for 63,500, then 63,200—63,000 Right now, the big coin has not officially chosen a direction. Chasing shorts from the current position can easily hit support, and going long prematurely means facing heavy resistance overhead. Tonight, first watch the trend line, and only take action after a breakdown or a reclaim of the key levels #BTC走势分析 #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 $BNB
$ETH Big one is coming!!! Bears think that a drop below 1900 means the start of a new waterfall. Bulls, however, believe that the 1866 wick has already completed the shakeout, and that it will be pulled back immediately tonight. The real situation is that the bulls held the low, but they never managed to reclaim 1880. The bears are capping the rebound and also haven’t broken down through 1866. Neither side has gained an absolute advantage. Now the 1866—1880 range has become the most dangerous squeeze/harvest zone tonight. ETH remains strong and holds above 1880, which indicates that buy support is strengthening. For upside, first look at 1900, then 1930. When it reaches the resistance area, it’s not suitable to keep chasing longs. After the price spikes higher, if you see decreasing volume or a long upper wick, you can consider building short positions in batches to prevent a breakout that may just be the main force creating a bull trap. If the rebound fails to get back above 1880, then falls again below 1866 and the retest fails, later you should focus on potential long opportunities around 1847—1825. Tonight, don’t call it a reversal just because of one bullish candle, and don’t call it a waterfall just because of one bearish candle. Wait until the range is actually broken, then make the directional choice. #ETH走势分析 $BTC #贝莱德加拿大推出比特币关联ETF
$BTC This sudden plunge—tonight is definitely not simple!!! Last night, a single wick dropped straight to 63,800. The market instantly started shouting “waterfall,” and some people even claimed they’ve seen price below 62,000. But strangely, after the price was pushed down, it didn’t continue to sell off with increasing volume—instead, it quickly snapped back, suggesting there is indeed capital stepping in below 63,800. The issue is: after BTC rallied back up, 64,160 above kept getting rejected for a long time. Bulls want to counterattack, but bears also don’t seem ready to call it quits. Now both sides are waiting for the other to show a weakness first. The range from 63,800 to 64,160 has become the easiest spot tonight to get chopped up and harvested. If BTC strongly breaks 64,160 and then pulls back to hold, it would indicate this plunge was more like a shakeout, and the rebound room may reopen. On the upside, watch 64,800—65,500. Both of those areas are clearly resistance zones. If price climbs there and you see a volume contraction with stalled upward movement, or a quick rejection, you can consider entering short positions in batches. Don’t chase longs at resistance. If the rebound keeps failing to get above 64,160— and even again strongly breaks below 63,800—then this wick isn’t a bottom signal; it’s more like a continuation during the downtrend. After that, focus on potential long opportunities around 63,200—62,300. What I fear most tonight isn’t picking the wrong direction—but chasing shorts after the crash, or chasing longs after the rebound. There’s a high chance it will shake the market back and forth once more. Wait for price to move out of the range first, then follow the true direction $ETH $HYPE #BTC走势分析 #贝莱德加拿大推出比特币关联ETF
Wow, $BTC this time isn't a normal pullback. The lower edge of the triangle has been hit—tapped once already. Ahead, the price kept repeatedly pushing up through 65000—65500 but failed to hold, and sell pressure was persistent overhead. In the end it was directly smashed back from the high around 64300. The bulls' short-term momentum was clearly pressed down with a kick.
Now the 4-hour chart is still converging into a triangular structure. The real key isn't how much this bearish candle dropped, but whether the underlying rising trendline can still hold.
For the short term, watch 63800—64000. If this area holds, it means the triangle hasn't broken yet, and there may still be incoming capital to push the price. Then there's a chance to retest and rebound toward 64800; if it's stronger, it may even challenge the 65200 area again.
If 63800 is really broken down with volume, the structure changes. Then you need to keep defending further downside toward 63000, even around 62500 for a pullback.
Also, don't automatically call it a breakout just because it rebounds. Until the 65000—65500 zone of trapped supply hasn't been absorbed, any push upward is still likely to get hammered back.
This kind of converging range order is most prone to sweep both sides. Looking long today and short tomorrow isn't meaningful. First, wait to see which side of the triangle truly breaks.
This type of spike-and-reversal most easily disrupts the rhythm. The up and down moves aren't hard to see—what's hard is, once the market regime changes, you still keep using the same playbook. If you can't make sense of it, come find Luoshen $ETH #贝莱德加拿大推出比特币关联ETF #BTC走势分析 .
#金价升破4400美元创两月高位 Gold once touched $4,434, the highest since June 5. In the past two trading days, it has risen by about 3.6%, and last week’s gain was even more than 7%
This rally isn’t just a pure risk-off move—it’s being driven by three streams of capital at the same time
First, U.S. July employment data clearly cooled, and market expectations for the Fed to keep hiking have diminished Gold itself doesn’t generate interest. As rate expectations move lower, the opportunity cost of holding gold declines—so money naturally flows back into precious metals
Second, central banks and Asian funds are still buying China increased its holdings by about 20 tonnes of gold in July, and domestic gold ETFs have also continued to see inflows. This kind of capital isn’t chasing a one- or two-day trend—it’s shoring up gold’s medium-term outlook
Third, new uncertainty has emerged again in U.S.-Iran talks. Even if shipping through the Strait of Hormuz resumes normal operations, there’s still uncertainty With oil prices rising and geopolitical risks heating up, risk-hedging funds continue to squeeze into gold
However, the real turning point for the market is still the U.S. CPI As inflation cools and expectations for further Fed hikes keep falling, gold has a chance to challenge $4,500 If inflation rebounds, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar would strengthen again, and profit-taking from positions above $4,400 would start to be realized
What does this have to do with the crypto market? Gold and BTC both hedge against currency depreciation, but in the short term their capital behavior differs Gold’s rise comes from falling rate expectations, which is an indirect positive for BTC From rising tensions, war risk, and a hotter risk-hedge narrative, capital is more likely to first choose gold and the U.S. dollar—meaning BTC may more easily have liquidity pulled away in the short term Both of these logics are present this time. My bias is still a medium-term positive for BTC, but it isn’t suitable to chase the rally before the CPI is released Gold already ran ahead. Whether BTC can keep up depends on whether inflation data can continue to suppress expectations of further rate hikes If you have positions, keep holding. If you don’t, wait until after the CPI print to decide $BTC $XAU
$BTC This pullback—next big market move is coming!!!
Right now on the 4-hour chart, it’s a typical convergence: the top pressure is being pushed lower step by step, while the trend support underneath keeps rising. The range where bulls and bears can still actively maneuver has become smaller and smaller.
Earlier, when price surged to around 65,300, it was pushed back—this shows that sell orders overhead are still there, especially in the 65,000—65,500 zone. For the short term, it won’t be that easy to blast straight through.
But during this round of decline to around 64,000, price didn’t accelerate further. That suggests there are also buyers stepping in below—so the bears currently don’t have absolute control.
First, we should watch 63,800—64,000. This is the lower edge of the current triangle. If it holds, there’s still a chance for price to continue compressing and moving back and forth within it.
If 63,800 gets broken through with heavy volume, then we’ll need to look again at 63,000, and even the 62,500 area, for potential support/absorption.
The zone that truly needs to break upward is still 65,000—65,500. Only after price reclaims and holds above it can this triangle be considered to have opened to the upside—and then there may be an opportunity to test even higher levels.
The most critical thing now isn’t guessing long or short, but waiting to see who breaks the boundary first.
When convergence stretches all the way to the end, the easiest scenario is for a single K-line to decisively set the direction. The triangle has already been compressed to this point, so the next move is unlikely to be just a small fluctuation of a few hundred points.$ETH #BTC走势分析 #贝莱德加拿大推出比特币关联ETF
$XAU After this spike high, for the short term first look for a round of pullback After surging near 4439, it quickly dropped again, indicating that sell pressure above 4400 has already emerged. The long positions that chased up along the way have started to take profits. In the past hour, it feels a bit like a high-level correction Now first look around 4350. If it can’t hold, the more important area to watch below is 4320—4300. This zone is where there was relatively clear support during the earlier uptrend The upside resistance remains 4400—4440. If price can’t get back above that and reclaim it, then in the short term it’s easy to see continued choppy action with a downside digestion of the gains If volume continues to expand during the pullback, it means the profit-taking hasn’t finished yet, and the pullback depth could be a bit deeper than it is now The real strength-vs-weakness dividing line is around 4300. If this area can still hold, then this is more just a normal correction after the rise. Only after a breakdown will the rhythm of this move turn clearly weaker All the long positions from around 4076 have already taken profit. I’m not chasing here. Instead, wait for this round of pullback to finish, then look for the next opportunity
$XAU These past two days have suddenly surged, mainly because precautionary funds have been flowing in. And with the market waiting for the CPI, gold was pushed up immediately.
Also, the negotiations between the US and Iran have continued to stall, oil prices have risen again, and risk-aversion sentiment has returned. Spot gold today even rose above 4,400 USD at one point.
In addition, tomorrow is the US July CPI. The market is already pricing in inflation and the next interest-rate expectations. Once the data comes in above expectations, gold’s volatility will continue to expand.
Looking back at the 4-hour chart: price hovered around 4,050 for a long time. After breaking 4,100, it basically moved upward step by step. 4,250 and 4,350 were taken out one after another, and the structure still hasn’t truly turned bad.
After this push toward 4,439, price quickly returned to around 4,380, indicating that investors are already starting to lock in profits above 4,400. It’s completely normal for the short term to see high-level rotation.
Trading volume has clearly expanded during the breakout phase. What I fear most now is: if price continues to surge with heavy volume but can’t go higher, we need to guard against increasing selling pressure.
On the downside, first look at 4,320—4,350. The truly important support lies at 4,250—4,280. As long as that area holds, the 4-hour uptrend structure remains intact.
On the upside, still look at 4,440—4,450. Only if price can put on more volume and absorb it, will there be a chance to test 4,500 again. If it can’t break through, then it will likely grind higher for a while at the top range.
Gold’s trend is strong—strength is strong, but the position is also not low. Before the CPI, don’t chase with a single big bullish candle. Wait until the market has digested the high-level supply, and it’ll be more comfortable to enter.#黄金挑战4380美元
Oh wow, $BTC —this move is really ruthless. After grinding for half a day at 65000, it gets smashed back in one big bearish candlestick.
Now the price is hovering around 64000. The first wave of panic on the short term has already come out. If it keeps getting pushed down, there will also be funds starting to step in, which suggests this isn’t yet at the point of completely getting out of control.
But the structure is already different from before. The strong sideways consolidation above 65000 has been broken. For now, the plan is to pull back and repair on the retest—don’t rush to treat any rebound as a reversal.
Next, the key focus is 63600—63800. As long as this zone can be defended, there’s still a chance for price to correct upward. If it truly breaks down through, then we need to look at the holding/acceptance near 63000.
On the upside, 64500—64800 has turned into resistance. Only if it can reclaim that area and stand back above it will the short term finally have time to recover; otherwise, if the market tries to push higher, people may still bail out easily.
The volume in this selloff has clearly expanded, showing it’s not just an ordinary small pullback. The most important thing next is to see whether selling pressure can quickly fade.
This kind of market is most afraid of chasing shorts when it drops, and chasing longs when it rises. If your timing is off once, both sides can end up hurting you.
The truly comfortable opportunities are always near support where you look for acceptance, and near resistance where you look for fulfillment. Don’t follow your emotions in the middle. $ETH $HYPE #BTC走势分析 #贝莱德加拿大推出比特币关联ETF
$BTC Is this still just a normal pullback??? The price had been grinding sideways above 64,800. Several attempts to break through 65,500 didn’t create any room. In the end, the upside supply won out first—only then. This long bearish candle directly broke through the bottom of the range. During the selloff, volume also clearly expanded, indicating this isn’t just a stop-run wick. Short-term chips truly showed signs of concentrated profit-taking. Now the rebound around 64,000 can be treated as just a repair. The previous breakdown level has turned from support into resistance, so it won’t be easy to V-reverse immediately. Don’t focus on dozens or hundreds of points lower. The first area truly worth watching is 63,300—63,800—this is also the turnover zone during the prior up move. Below that is around 62,400. If price really reaches there, that will be a more important 4-hour test of follow-through support. On the upside, watch 64,800—65,200. If the rebound can regain and stand back in that zone, then the earlier breakdown has a chance to be reclaimed. Otherwise, any push higher is still likely to run into selling pressure. Also, tomorrow the U.S. will release July CPI. The market was already shrinking risk ahead of the data; stocks and crypto are both prone to amplifying volatility these days. CPI will directly affect expectations for the Fed’s rate path.#贝莱德加拿大推出比特币关联ETF Short term, price has shifted from high-level consolidation into an active pullback. Don’t rush to guess the bottom next. First, see whether the 63,300—63,800 batch of positions can actually be taken in and held:#BTC走势分析
$BTC This big move in Bitcoin basically took out both longs and shorts. The earlier long position was taken profit and exited directly after reaching the first target, without lingering. Later, when price rebounded to around 65200, the overhead selling pressure was clearly visible, so the idea was to switch to short immediately. A position was added at 65800, with defense placed at 66100. As it turned out, after not much consolidation, price dropped from above 65100 all the way to around 64300, and the short targets were basically all realized. What feels best in this kind of market is not just being right about direction once, but being long when you should be long, short when you should be short, and changing with the structure. Don’t talk about feelings with the market. Followers have already caught more than 700 points. In this round, from taking profit on the long to locking in gains on the short, the timing was basically on point. Markets happen every day. What is truly valuable is understanding when to hold, when to run, and when to flip short to long.#BTC走势分析