💹 BTC intraday market analysis I. Price action across different timeframes 1-hour level: the bullish structure continues, and the short-term trend remains relatively strong Current BTC price is about $65,494. RSI=72.5, indicating an overbought state. MACD histogram remains positive and shows signs of expansion; short-term repair momentum has strengthened. Moving averages are still in a bullish alignment, and the current price is above the 20-period moving average (SMA5 $65,340, SMA20 $64,960, SMA60 $64,489). Price is trading above the Bollinger midline, with overhead band resistance around $65,649. Volume ratio is 1.63, suggesting the current volatility is accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. 4-hour level: fix and enhance, begin testing the overhead pressure
💹 BTC market analysis late evening of July 24 I. Price action across different timeframes 1-hour timeframe: a minor repair, but still clearly below the key moving averages BTC current price is about $64,734. RSI=37.2, showing signs of a rebound within a weak/oversold range. The MACD histogram volume remains negative, and bearish momentum still has the upper hand. The moving averages stay in a bearish alignment, and the current price is below the 20-period moving average (SMA5 $64,932, SMA20 $65,127, SMA60 $65,544). Price is trading below the Bollinger midline, with the lower band reference at $64,689. The volume ratio is 0.10; the continuation of a rebound or a further drop still needs volume confirmation. 4-hour timeframe: sideways-to-bearish consolidation; rebound strength remains limited
BTC market analysis for the evening of July 23 I. Price action across different timeframes Hourly level: minor repair, but still clearly below the key moving averages BTC current price is about $65,088. RSI=33.0; there are signs of a rebound within a weak range. The MACD histogram volume continues to be negative, and bearish momentum still has the upper hand. The moving averages remain in a bearish alignment, and the current price is below the 20-period moving average (SMA5 $65,438, SMA20 $65,734, SMA60 $66,025). The price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band at $65,192, and short-term panic selling is clearly releasing. The volume ratio is 0.25; whether a rebound or decline can continue still needs volume confirmation. 4-hour timeframe: slightly weak sideways movement; the rebound strength remains limited
BTC market analysis I. Price action across different timeframes 1-hour timeframe: Weak-to-sideways consolidation; rebound strength is still limited BTC current RSI=45.2, staying in a neutral range of consolidation. The MACD histogram volume remains negative, and bearish momentum still has the advantage. The moving-average structure is still converging and consolidating; the current price is below the 20-period moving average. The price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band at $65,959, and short-term panic has released noticeably. The volume ratio is 0.66; the continuation of a rebound or further decline still needs confirmation with increased volume. 4-hour timeframe: The bullish structure continues, and the short-term trend remains relatively strong BTC current RSI=58.1, with bullish momentum relatively stronger. The MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, suggesting easing sell pressure, but momentum still needs further confirmation. Moving averages remain in a bullish alignment; the current price is above the 20-period moving average. Price is trading above the Bollinger middle band, and the upper-band pressure to watch is $66,948.
💹 BTC market analysis I. Price action across different timeframes 1-hour level: Weak-side oscillation; rebound strength remains limited BTC currently RSI=45.2, located in a neutral consolidation zone. The MACD histogram and volume/column remain negative, with bearish momentum still having the advantage. The moving average structure is still converging and consolidating; the current price is below the 20-period moving average. The price broke below the lower Bollinger Band at $65,959, and short-term panic has been released noticeably. The volume ratio is 0.66; whether a rebound or further decline can continue still needs volume confirmation. 4-hour level: Bullish structure continues, short-term remains relatively strong BTC current RSI=58.1, with bullish momentum relatively stronger. The MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, indicating signs that selling pressure is easing, but momentum still needs further confirmation. Moving averages remain in a bullish arrangement, and the current price is above the 20-period moving average. Price is trading above the middle Bollinger Band; the upper-band pressure to watch is $66,948.
Last week during the livestream, we said not to leave storage empty—be ready to迎接 a rebound market. The rebound has arrived on schedule.
$MU , don’t rush to go short. It has broken through the 950 resistance level; the next resistance level is 1000.
On July 22, $GOOGL is about to release its earnings report, which may affect the trend of the AI sector.
What the market is focused on is no longer just their revenue and profits, but also AI capital expenditures, data center construction, cloud business growth rates, and management’s guidance on future compute demand. This information is very likely to re-price the entire AI industry chain—especially the server, storage, HBM, semiconductor, and optical communications sectors.
During the earnings-report window, it’s advisable to proactively reduce positions and wait for the market to show direction.
CRCL from 53U to 65U has been a very good price in the long term. Yesterday I asked everyone to buy spot around 64U. Today it’s already 70U. The spot can still be held, and the first target is 80U.$CRCLB
BTC hasn't finished rising yet. There's no need to rush to short. In terms of timing, we still need to wait until after July 25. The long position you entered at 63,333 for BTC should be continued holding, and the long position you entered at 1,860 for ETH should be continued holding.
At the moment, the crypto market is in an uptrend. The $BTC has already touched 65,500, and the $ETH has also touched 1,900. It’s pretty much in line with what we analyzed before. A small rebound is coming at the end of the month. However, it’s arriving later than expected and is weaker than expected too. So for the medium- to long-term, it’s definitely not a good idea to chase longs here. Instead, it’s better to wait and start shorting around the 23rd to the 28th. Price levels are hard to pin down, but the extreme level for BTC is around 68,000, and for ETH it’s around 2,150. For the medium- to long-term, the key is to wait for the end-of-month opportunity to short, and then short aggressively. The following is a short-term market analysis. You can take this into consideration for short-term trading, but be sure to be very careful.
I just said that going sideways on the weekend was to load the order. In the live stream, they keep shouting for a rebound every day—this meal is being fed right to your mouth, you’ll surely be able to eat it, right? If you haven’t gotten it yet, join my chat room—free limited-time access
FlameKey
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The weekend looks like it may be trying to hold steady
The weekend looks like it may be trying to hold steady
FlameKey
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Bullish
July 17 Market Analysis【Short-term may continue to fall; medium- to long-term is bullish into the end of the month】
The overall market is pressing lower and pulling back as expected. From a technical perspective, it’s still bearish. In the short term, rallies are mainly for selling high; however, in the medium to long term, the uptrend view remains intact. BTC support is around 62000~63000, and ETH support is around 1830~1800. If BTC holds and starts showing signs of a rebound, you can go long for the medium to long term.
Below is the short-term market analysis based on the current行情 and short-term trading recommendations.
$BTC is currently around $63200, and the technicals are bearish.
For the 4-hour MACD, the DIF is -64.2 and the DEA is 148. The green bars continue to expand, meaning the short-term downtrend structure has not ended yet.
The 1-hour RSI is already at 36, and the 4-hour RSI is at 41. This indicates price is still in a neutral consolidation zone; direction needs to wait for a breakout or breakdown of key levels.
For the 1-hour Bollinger Bands, the lower band is at $62520. Price is still below the mid-band. The strength of any short-term rebound depends on whether it can reclaim the mid-band.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $63520~$63810, then consider going short.
The first target is $62950. If it breaks below, look at $62670. Place the stop loss above $63810.
$ETH is currently around $1835, and the technicals are bearish.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $1852~$1858, then consider going short.
The first target is $1833. If it breaks below, look at $1821. Place the stop loss above $1858.
$SOL is currently around $74.73, and the technicals are bearish.
With the current price at $74.73, going short directly has poor risk-reward. Wait for a rebound to $75.14~$75.50 before considering a short.
The first target is $74.62. If it breaks below, look at $74.30. Place the stop loss above $75.50.
#BNB is currently around $564.1, and the technicals are bearish.
It’s not recommended to chase shorts. Wait for a rebound to $565.8~$569.8, then consider going short.
The first target is $563.1. If it breaks below, look at $546.9. Place the stop loss above $569.8
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