Ather's pinnacle masterpiece 01, Stage 2 (No. 18) — Binance AMA is something we hope everyone will join. The featured live stream has airdrop surprises too ❤️❤️❤️
Good morning☀️ Stay clear-headed and composed, and let your inner world settle. Don’t rush to achieve success—wait quietly for the right moment🌱 In life and investing, keep your rhythm steady; time will surely reward you💫
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[Ended] 🎙️ Teacher Mingdao — With a future-facing eye, pierce the Web3 cycles; with the constellation-like grid, guide Lucy on her voyage to the stars.
Cognition is wealth, and vision is the dividend.
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August 15, Michael Hartnett, BofA Securities’ chief strategist, said in a recent report that in the current AI bubble environment, the optimal investment strategy is to go long both AI tech leaders and neglected “loser” assets that the market has long overlooked, in order to capture two-way returns during the final blow-off stage of the nominal GDP bubble, and to recommend shorting AI bonds. BofA’s bull-bear indicator edged down slightly from 9.7 to 9.3. It remains in an extreme bullish zone and continues to hold a “sell” signal, but global equities have still risen since the signal was issued in May. The report emphasized that capital is structurally flowing into gold and commodities, while tech stocks saw their largest single-week outflow in seven weeks. Private clients’ equity allocation has reached a historical high. Hartnett believes that historical bubble patterns show that in the run-up to a bubble top, emerging markets or oversold cyclical assets often benefit from spillover effects. In the current setup, the most likely path to replicate this pattern is the consumer sector. Meanwhile, more than $1 trillion in AI capital expenditures combined with negative cash flow will create significant issuance pressure for related bonds. At the same time, BofA keeps its broad-asset framework of “avoid bonds, avoid the dollar, fully allocate to AI,” and points out three potential constraints that could suppress further upside in the bull market: surging bond yields, a shift in voter sentiment toward caution, and positioning that is generally already too long. Private client data shows that equity allocation has risen to a historical high of 66.4%. The shares of cash and bonds have fallen to the lowest levels on record and the lowest since 2022, respectively. Against the backdrop of pressure as the size of U.S. Treasuries nears $4 trillion and debt-servicing costs continue to climb, BofA views the yield trajectory as the biggest variable and warns that intervention in the U.S. dollar–Japanese yen exchange rate has sent a signal that it is not desired for 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to break above 5%. Under the “avoid the dollar” theme, the report recommends going long gold as a hedge and also favors the Hong Kong real estate sector, where valuations are only about 12 times and where price levels are roughly in line with those from 30 years ago. Looking ahead, the November U.S. midterm elections are listed as a key political variable: if Republicans hold the Senate and the Texas governor is re-elected, AI risk assets could accelerate toward a peak in 2027; otherwise, it could trigger major adjustments in equities, the dollar, and yields.
On August 14, JPMorgan Chase upgraded SanDisk (SNDK) from “Neutral” to “Overweight” and set a target price of $2,250, still implying about 47% upside from Thursday’s closing price. SanDisk’s stock has gained 544% year to date. JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur said that as AI inference rapidly grows and drives a structural turning point in NAND demand, SanDisk is positioned to benefit in a relatively unique way. Accelerated AI application adoption has boosted storage demand and led to supply tightness. At an investor day in New York, SanDisk disclosed that the company will adopt a new business model, including structured pricing mechanisms and large-customer prepaid agreement terms. JPMorgan said the framework is expected to improve the company’s profit margins and reduce business cyclicality. SanDisk has already signed eight related long-term agreements. Based on the contract price floor, the total contract value is approximately $94 billion, with a weighted average contract term of more than four years. LSEG data shows that, among the 25 analysts covering SanDisk, 22 rate the stock as “Buy” or “Strong Buy,” and the other three rate it as “Hold.”
“I once said that you should get married early, otherwise all that’s left are the inferior ones—the ‘crooked melons and cracked dates.’ At the same time, Charlie Munger once said that in life you only need to get rich once. Based on my years of observation, I now have to disagree with Mr. Munger: if you don’t marry early and end up with one of those inferior partners, then you’ll need to get rich twice in your life.”
With mountains and seas in the heart, never give up; endless steps head for the light; break road thorns with persistent enthusiasm, and forge a brilliant life through years of tempering. 心有山海不言弃,步履生生向光明,以执着热忱破前路荆棘,凭岁月淬炼铸璀璨人生
Recently, the Coldcard wallet suffered a hacker attack that continues to escalate. Small Bitcoin transfer activity has simultaneously surged, reaching the highest level since the FTX collapse. The market is once again debating issues related to the security of Bitcoin self-custody. CryptoQuant research head Julio Moreno disclosed data showing that the number of Bitcoin transfers on-chain of less than 1 BTC has risen to its highest level since November 2022. On a single day, about 39,600 BTC were moved, which is only about 300 BTC lower than the record set on November 16, 2022—just a few days after FTX filed for bankruptcy (39,900 BTC). Users are actively taking action to mitigate risks. Previously reported, the Bitcoin hardware wallet Coldcard was attacked, and the stolen funds have increased to 1,367.05 BTC, worth approximately $88.6 million, involving 4,585 addresses. Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy, said the attack is still ongoing. Users who have not yet moved funds should immediately transfer their assets out of the addresses generated by Coldcard.
U.S. stock earnings season: AI track winners emerge—cloud computing’s three giants’ market values surge by 1 trillion
Amazon (AMZN.US) Google-C (GOOG.US) Microsoft (MSFT.US) ① Wall Street’s views on AI winners and losers are becoming increasingly polarized; ② the three largest hyperscale cloud service providers—Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet—saw their combined market value increase by nearly $1.5 trillion this week (about RMB 1 trillion). after reporting strong growth in cloud business. As global tech giants continue to release earnings and confirm or raise their capital expenditure outlooks, it shows that the AI investment boom has not cooled down. Wall Street’s views on AI winners and losers are becoming increasingly polarized. So far in this earnings season, six of the “Big Tech Seven” in the U.S. stock market have already reported earnings. This week, their combined market value saw capital inflows of nearly $2 trillion.
Sister Yi posted that Binance has been very lively recently, and even mentioned predict. Will it “nurse” predict? Oh my, just thinking about it is so exciting 🧧🧧🧧🍀🍀🍀❤️❤️❤️ Don’t you know what—waiting for you to get on the train, what are you waiting for? Action beats hesitation. Hold firmly to your bottom-position chips, 🧧🧧🧧🎉🎉🎉❤️❤️❤️
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