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tp1 has arrived
#Ethereum #ETH trend analysis

Retail investors are frantically buying up! ETH 3.82 times long and short divergence, has the "guillotine" of the big players been set up? If you are still blindly bullish at 1960 now, please take a look at the post-market data first. When the long-short ratio of accounts at the 15min level surged to 3.82, the market was no longer in a game of chance but in a harvest. Core logic: Why is 1980 the end point for bulls? Indicator kill: CVD is weak, although the long-short ratio diverges and the price slightly rebounds to 1959.41, the aggregated CVD remains sluggish, indicating that there is no significant capital actively buying. The long-short ratio of retail accounts, however, has reached as high as 3.82, and this signal of "retail charging forward, big players retreating" is a typical precursor to a crash. Structural kill: Top-bottom conversion + trend line suppression. The red downward pressure line at the 4h level remains an insurmountable ceiling. The previous support zone of 1970 - 1980 has now completed a "top-bottom conversion" and has become a steel defense line for bears. Style kill: Wyckoff LPSY confirms that this rebound after the drop from 2107, in Wyckoff logic, is a typical LPSY (Last Point of Supply). The big players are using the volatility to entice buying, preparing to hunt the liquidity below 1893.�� Practical short selling strategy (recommended for collection) Project precise position logic explanation Entry range $1,965 - $1,975 Top-bottom conversion pressure level, short-term stop loss Premium premium zone extreme stop loss $1,995.00 If it stabilizes above MA54 and breaks through the trend line, the logic will be invalid. Ladder take profit levels (refuse to be vague): TP 1: $1,930
TP 2: $1,910
TP 3: $1,870
TP 4: $1,850
If you are a long-term bearish trader, you can currently enter at a low leverage position. The current price level is very suitable for shorting, and there is still trend line suppression above, probably around 2050, at the four-hour level. I still look overall bearish. I will conduct long-term short trades and add positions as it rises, with stop loss controlled at 2200, and hope for a take profit at 1480!! The possibility of a large wick at the three-day line cannot be ruled out, as it has been too standard. If a large wick appears, the expected range will be between 980-1480. The longer the current position consolidates, the deeper the bottom of the decline will be!!!
Risk warning: Retail investors are buying, big players are selling, and OI is accumulating at high levels. This sword has been hanging over the 1900 mark for too long. Keep your stop loss and let profits run in the liquidity harvest! #Ethereum #以太坊策略 #SMC #币安广场专业分析 $ETH $ETH

时间会给你答案，三日线可能会有大针，概率较大，如果出现这个大针，基本就是大底部🤭等着吧

Ethereum $ETH is still firmly bearish, the daily line is very dangerous, be careful of big spikes, the kind that can be four to five hundred points. If a big spike of four to five hundred points occurs, the expected range will be between 980-1480. Reviewing past trends leads to the conclusion that currently holding short positions, depending on the situation, either reduce positions or maintain a break-even point, still firmly bearish!!! Bottom buying range 980-1480!!! Let's see how long this fluctuation lasts!! $ETH
#eth #技术分析教学

Arrived at target tp1, if we push the limit a bit, Ethereum may reach the range of 980-1480 where there will be a relatively large rebound, you can take a shot.

0.77 has arrived

The first take profit target for esp has been reached, strategy provided, follow me for daily free strategy sharing
#esp

Please pay attention to the aggregated CVD (contract) below. Although the price is rebounding, there is a slight downward turn, indicating that the quality of this rebound is relatively average. The main force has not strongly reversed, and the large holders' long-short ratio is relatively stable, without large-scale increased positions to support the market. One can pay more attention to the area of 1980-1995. If it rebounds to this level and starts to oscillate with a 15-minute bearish engulfing pattern, one can consider entering a short position with a small amount, setting a stop-loss at 2010. Entering short at highs is currently a better choice in terms of risk-reward ratio.

📉 Priority Strategy: Short on Rallies (Follow the Trend)
Entry Logic: The larger trend has deteriorated, and the 0.60 area has turned from support to strong resistance. The current weak rebound seems more like a 'trap' to attract more retail investors to enter and take over.
Entry Point: Focus on the 0.52 - 0.55 range. If the price rebounds and meets resistance here, and the CVD at the 15min level starts to turn down, it will be an excellent shorting opportunity.
Target Level: The first target is to look back at the previous peak of 0.43; once it breaks below, we will look towards the ultimate support at the larger level, 0.31 - 0.32.
Stop Loss: Set strictly at 0.61 (breaking this level indicates a reversal of the 1H level structure).
⚠️ Risk Warning: Do not attempt to bottom-fish on the left side for now.
Reason: The long-short ratio of account numbers at 0.28 indicates that most of those entering are retail investors, and the main players have not yet entered. Until we see a 'large volume bullish candle' at the 1H level that engulfs the previous bearish candle, all bottom-fishing is just catching falling knives. #Pippin

The current market is in a weak rebound period after a high-level decline, with bears still dominating.
Below is a deep analysis and operational decision for the current 1H level:
1. Core indicators breakdown (1H level)
Price action (obvious resistance): ETH is currently fluctuating around 1954.59. From the chart, the price has shown a significant decline after reaching today's high and is attempting to build support around 1950. The key resistance level above is at 2038.27, and the support level below is at 1921.64.
Indicator “death cross” resonance:
Aggregated CVD (contract) indicator is in a clear downward trend, with the latest reading at -3.91M, accompanied by significant green bars (active sell orders) increasing. This indicates that at the position of 1950, the force of active selling is still stronger than the force of support.
Technical analysis summary: The overall 1-hour technical indicators show “Strong Sell,” with RSI (14) in the weak zone around 37, and MACD also continuously showing a death cross below the zero axis.
Trend-following short (catching the decline)
Entry logic: The CVD at the 1H level continues to probe the bottom, and retail investors' bullish sentiment is overly crowded (3.81), while large investors are slowly retreating. Currently, it is in a typical “long squeeze” precursor.
Operational advice: If the price retraces and tests the resistance area of 1965 - 1980 and the CVD does not effectively turn green, enter short directly.
Target: First target 1920, second target 1875 - 1880 (deep liquidity area).
Stop loss: Strictly set at 2010 (above the previous high resistance level).
Blindly chasing long positions is no longer advised.
Reason: Although there is support around 1920, the current CVD signals and long-short ratio data are extremely unfavorable for bulls. Before seeing the 15min level CVD volume turning V, bottom-fishing is likely to lead to “getting caught by knives.”
Core summary
The current ETH is in a “slow boiling frog” bearish trend.
1. Retail investors are too heavy: The account ratio of 3.81 is the biggest risk on the market, and the main force is highly likely to trigger a quick drop to “explode the bulls.”
2. Momentum exhaustion: The new low in CVD indicates that active buying has flattened, and the price relies entirely on limit orders to hold.
Advice: Prioritize looking for high points to short lightly. As long as the price does not stabilize above 2000 with volume, the bearish trend will not reverse. #eth