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$STAR just printed a classic blow-off top after surging into resistance
Price got aggressively rejected near $0.1515 and immediately rolled over, signaling that buyers have run out of steam and sellers are stepping in to absorb liquidity.
$AKE dumped 5 days before its last unlock in April.
We're now 5 days out from the next one. August 21. Roughly 2.1 billion $AKE hitting the market.
History loves to repeat itself in this game.
But this time feels different. The market's had time to price this one in. Everybody who watched April knows what's coming. That alone changes the setup.
Still, time is ticking. 5 days is close enough that anyone holding should be paying attention, not hoping.
Would I short right now? Nah. Not without confirmation on a real breakdown.
Do you see $AKE dumping before the 21st, or do you think it will pull another rally to trick shorts and trap buyers?
In the first week of August, I shared a setup I identified on $BEAT , specifically highlighting $0.2628 as a potential demand zone where I expected price could eventually drop to as the larger structure developed.
But our immediate focus was different: we wanted to catch the higher-timeframe bearish move toward $1.00 first, before looking for the much larger downside toward $0.2628.
However, price spiked sharply to $3.70 to sweep liquidity, taking us out of our short before turning around and dumping over 90% directly into our $0.2628 macro target.
Direction was 100% right, but our timing got squeezed.
Sometimes the market grabs extra liquidity just to knock tight stops out before making the real move. It ruins our initial entry, but it doesn't change where price is ultimately headed.
How to play it next time: Wait for the fake pump to cool down, let lower timeframes turn bearish again, and re-enter.
Right now, the price of $HAEDAL isn't far from its all-time low. The token recently touched around 0.0141$, and despite that, the team keeps building within the SUI ecosystem.
That's exactly what interests me.
Because a project can be near its bottom, not make much noise on the market, yet keep developing solid products behind the scenes.
And that's the case with Haedal Protocol. Personally, I prefer to look at what's being built rather than just staring at the chart. The market can ignore a project for a while, and then at any moment, the project can wake up. A new integration, a new product, a new narrative around SUI… and everything can change quickly. I'm not saying $HAEDAL is necessarily going to explode. This isn't investment advice.
But I'm keeping an eye on it. Because sometimes, the projects we take lightly today are the ones everyone will be talking about tomorrow.
The market makers really are the Wild West of crypto. 😂
$VELVET finally delivered the massive breakout we were targeting.
However, as many of you know, our trade was stopped out before this expansion took place.
What actually happened? This was a textbook liquidity grab. Market makers drove price down into the $0.48 - $0.53 demand zone to sweep all the tight resting stops sitting below $0.60 before launching the real rally.
Our macro invalidation was $0.42, but giving a trade 40% downside just to avoid getting wicked out makes zero sense.
The analysis and setup direction were spot on. The only thing that wasn’t correct was thinking market makers would play fair.
And here's the lesson:
Getting stopped out by a liquidity sweep doesn't mean the setup was wrong. If price comes back and reclaims the zone on the lower timeframe, that's usually your cleaner re-entry, same target as before.
Also watching $CAP for a possible re-entry. My bearish bias remains intact.
Imagine buying heavily into what was sold as the next generation blockchain, back when the promises were big and the token was hot. You decided to hold until the next bull run. HODL was the deal. That word became the lie sold to people who believed in a future the builders may never have believed in themselves.
But the real nightmare was never the failed promises. It was watching your moonbag bleed out year after year while the myth of the next super-cycle kept you holding on. There were moments you could have cut your losses. But the promise of "just one more cycle" kept you in.
Then, before you even got the chance to face that truth, the protocol holding your bag got exploited. Four billion tokens minted out of nothing in a matter of hours. The coin you bought near its $0.38 all-time high crashed to under a tenth of a cent. Almost wiped out completely, and not from a bear market this time, but from a breach.
So when do you finally move on? Is holding still faith, or is it denial wearing a prettier name? And if you do sell now, is a fraction of a cent still worth calling an exit?
So many people in crypto are living this exact cycle right now. It's heartbreaking watching a promising project turn into a painful lesson. Hopefully we take the lesson with us.
In Part 2, we learned how to read market structure. We learned to identify: Higher Highs + Higher Lows → Bullish structure Lower Highs + Lower Lows → Bearish structure But here's where things get interesting. You can correctly identify the trend and still take a terrible trade. Why? Because direction isn't everything. Location matters. THINK ABOUT IT THIS WAY: Imagine BTC is clearly bullish. You see higher highs. You see higher lows. Everything looks good. So you buy. But there's one problem. You're buying directly into a major resistance level. Price rejects. And suddenly that “bullish setup” doesn't look so bullish anymore. This is why, after identifying structure, the next question should be: “Where is price right now?” 1️⃣ START WITH IMPORTANT LEVELS Look for areas where price has reacted strongly before. Things like: - Previous highs - Previous lows - Support - Resistance - Major supply or demand areas These areas matter because they've already shown that buyers or sellers are willing to act there. But don't mark every tiny reaction on your chart. Focus on the levels that actually matter. The goal isn't to turn your chart into a jungle of lines. It's to identify the areas where price is most likely to react. 2️⃣ THEN ASK: WHO IS TRAPPED? This is where liquidity comes in. Think about a previous high. If everyone can see that high, many traders are likely making decisions around it. Some may short the resistance. Others may place their stop losses just above it. Breakout traders may place buy orders above it. That creates a pool of orders around an obvious level. And price often moves toward areas where liquidity is concentrated. This is why you sometimes see something like this: Price breaks above a previous high... Everyone thinks: “Breakout! Buy!” Then price suddenly reverses. The breakout may have simply swept the liquidity above that high before reversing. 3️⃣ DON'T CHASE THE FIRST BREAK This is one of the biggest mistakes beginners make. They see: Resistance → Breakout → BUY! But a breakout by itself isn't always confirmation. Sometimes price breaks the level, grabs liquidity, and reverses. That's why you need to pay attention to what happens after the level is broken. Does price hold above it? Does it retest and continue? Does it quickly fall back below? Context matters. 4️⃣ LOCATION + STRUCTURE = A MUCH BETTER IDEA Now let's combine what we've learned so far. Imagine BTC is in a bullish structure. You don't want to blindly buy just because the market is bullish. Instead, you wait for price to pull back toward an important area. Then you watch how price behaves there. If buyers step in and the lower timeframe begins showing bullish confirmation... Now you have a much more interesting setup. Notice the difference: “BTC is bullish, so I'll buy.” vs. “BTC is bullish, price has pulled back into an important area, liquidity has been taken, and buyers are beginning to regain control.” The second one has context. And that's what we're trying to build. HERE'S THE FRAMEWORK SO FAR: - PART 1: Understand the market from higher timeframe → lower timeframe. - PART 2: Understand the market structure. - PART 3: Understand where price is and where liquidity is likely sitting. - PART 4? But how do you know when the market is actually giving you a reason to act? That's where things get interesting. We'll break that down in Part4. Follow so you don't miss it. 🔔
Price pulled back into the $0.55 - $0.60 demand zone, wicked down to $0.535, then printed a clear rejection before pumping back to $0.67. The $0.55 zone held as support exactly as planned.
Here is what I’m watching next for a confirmed long entry:
A full 4H candle close above $0.70, not just a wick that pokes above and rejects back down before the candle timer ends.
This tag usually signals higher risk and closer review, with the possibility of delisting later if the projects fail to meet Binance’s standards.
As often happens with these announcements, sharp price moves can follow.
$RARE has already taken off, while I’m personally watching $SOPH, $ ICxand $GLMR more closely right now as possible spot bags, they haven’t made a real move yet.
$CAP maintained an upward momentum, surging over 2x since its Upbit listing on August 6.
But no chart goes straight up forever. Right now, the buying energy is starting to cool off, and we are watching closely for a potential short setup if momentum fully flips.
What we’re watching before entering: If price tries to push back toward $0.059 but gets rejected and then closes below $0.053 on the 1H candle, it would signal that sellers have taken control.
Woke up to $PROM nearly 2x from a prime zone I was watching, and it just hit me that I had actually noted it down as a potential spot buy to share here alongside $B back on July 23rd.
With new opportunities coming in and a busy schedule, it completely slipped my mind.
Only realized that I hadn’t shared it yet after it made its way to the gainer’s list today.
Quickly checked my notes to confirm and gosh… painful confirmation.🤦
The main driver behind this move is Upbit’s listing of $PROM today.
We’ve already missed the good entry from the zone I was watching, so I’m a bit cautious about entering here.
I’d rather wait for the post-listing unwind to play out and then check back on $PROM .
Update on $B soon.
I get a ton of requests for personal analysis on specific assets. How do I keep up with all of that when I can barely keep up with my own schedule? 😂