加密交易叫兽

A 150x short position, held for 2 days
On closer inspection
Return rate +3%
How do you play this market?

Recent short sellers and SanDisk can refer to this chart 😂

Trivia: Never use a curved-screen phone when trading crypto

（All points below are alert levels set on TradingView or AICOIN; for the specific operation, follow the group notifications.）
BTC
It has re-entered a tight-range consolidation. After printing the low in the early morning, it quickly rebounded back to the level before the initial drop. The bearish arrangement on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes has not changed. There is no trading value in the short term—watch more, act less.
Long-entry alert: 64224 | Long defense level: 62412
Short-entry alert: 63244 | Short defense level: 64000
ETH
The idea is the same as Bitcoin. Before breaking the larger range of 1857-1944, do not trade frequently—set alerts only.
Long-entry alert: 1937 | Long defense level: 1848
Short-entry alert: 1820 | Short defense level: 1929
SNDK
Last night it reached the 1481 target emphasized recently. At the same time, on the 4-hour timeframe, a big bullish candle broke the downtrend line from 6.30. In the near term, it has mainly stayed bullish. Today, focus on whether it can hold above the middle of the bullish candle at 1477. Also, since the upward move last night was too fast, today is expected to be more about high-level rotation and turnover. Be patient and wait for the EMA30 to drift upward toward it. Do not blindly go short.
Long-entry alert: 1583 | Long defense level: 1402
Short-entry alert: None | Short defense level: None (Shorts are not considered.)
XAU
After forming a high-level stall the past two days, it broke below the strong support at 4361 last night. The 30-minute timeframe’s bearish alignment resonates downward, making the short-term bias bearish. Note that once 4317 breaks to the downside, the 4317-4226 area becomes a price vacuum zone, and it is likely to quickly reach that level. It is not advisable to go long for today’s short-term trading—prefer selling at highs.
Long-entry alert: 4400 | Long defense level: 4308
Short-entry alert: 4314 | Short defense level: 4373
MU
MU has been very profitable recently. 887 is the cost line. The moving stop-loss position is 914, and consider adding to the position after the breakout at 1014. The current minute chart and the hourly chart form a bullish cycle resonance upward. During the day, it will mainly be about consuming profits, but it still has room to rise. The thinking is basically the same as SNDK; no short-selling is considered.
Long-entry alert: 1002 | Long defense level: 929
Short-entry alert: Not considering short | Short defense level: Not considering short

BTC
Affected by the CPI, yesterday saw the market once again enter a choppy, door-rolling pattern. After a brief spike in the evening, it quickly dropped again early in the morning. It failed to break the high from August 11, thereby forming a 63238-64500 ranging zone, which matches the judgment made earlier yesterday morning. The 5-minute chart has again formed an EMA convergence along with a bear-flag pattern build-up. Overall, the intraday trend is slightly bearish. For the short term, focus mainly on selling/shorting, but the amplitude is small and the trade value is limited. You may watch more and act less.

ETH
It remains within the 1851-1935 ranging area with no clear direction. Meanwhile, both the minute-level and hourly-level charts have once again formed a bearish alignment resonance. In the short term, strong support lies at 1875; after a break, you can take short positions according to the real-time notifications in the group.

SNDK
Yesterday highlighted support at 1290-1299, and the intraday low at 1296 met expectations. On the 30-minute timeframe, the price has been pushed upward by the EMA (EMA30). Therefore, for intraday short-term trading, you can use this EMA as the dividing line between strength and weakness: as long as it does not break down, you can enter in line with the trend; and if you already hold a base position, you can add after breaking yesterday’s high of 1388. The near-term target is still around 1480. However, if price falls below 1312, you need to consider switching to a more bearish bias.

XAU
The bullish trend is clearly starting to weaken: the highs are making smaller and smaller declines, and more candle overlap has begun. On the 5-minute timeframe, the EMA is starting to converge. Be mindful of pullbacks intraday. Strong support is at 1371.

Crypto market, what a mess..
Most people probably will end up switching to US stock tokens afterward.
$MU

BTC
The price action matches the morning forecast from yesterday: the lowest point was around 63,251, in line with yesterday’s assessment of strong support at 63,300. The current 1-hour rebound has reached 63,800 but is running into resistance; however, the candle hasn’t closed yet. Shorting should wait until a large bearish candle confirms before entering. Meanwhile, the 1-hour downtrend has already pushed the 4-hour EMA to fully turn downward. Overall, the trend is a tight range with a bearish bias. Be cautious about going long intraday. Key support is 63,530, and resistance is 64,062.
ETH
Yesterday’s intraday low was 1,853.62, which matches the strong support at 1,854 mentioned in the forecast. The走势 is slightly stronger than BTC: it has rebounded to above two-thirds of yesterday evening’s large bearish candle, but it still hasn’t broken out of the range-bound structure. The intraday trading plan should focus on range trading, with the range being 1,849–1,898.
SNDK
After several days of consolidation and stop-hunting with wicks up and down on the 30-minute chart, the EMA has shifted from sticking together to dispersing upward, and it successfully broke above the previous day’s resistance at 1,289. However, from the perspective of the larger timeframe, it is still below the 4-hour descending trend line. It’s not advisable to chase longs intraday; observe the support between 1,290 and 1,299 instead.
XAU
The走势 is similar to the day before: after forming an intraday double top on the 1-hour chart, it is oscillating and rising. The current neckline level at 4,403 has been broken, and the EMA30/60 that is driving the current upward move is still pointing upward and has not been broken to the downside. Therefore, intraday the main focus is still on going long. You can switch to a smaller timeframe to monitor support around 4,400.

BTC:
Last night, it broke below the 1-hour ascending trend line, but the trading volume did not expand effectively. Most likely, it’s only a stop-hunt; below is a dense trading area, with 63,800 and 63,300 both serving as key supports. Do not chase a short. The current market doesn’t offer much trading value—watch more and act less. Switch to other instruments to trade. From the data, however, today the ratio between Bitcoin futures and spot trading volume has already broken the historical high to reach 7.82, meaning it’s the period with the highest leverage ratio ever. Ironically, Bitcoin’s volatility is still at a historical low and has been ranging sideways. Historically, volatility takes a “roller-coaster” ride once every half year, and we’re just at the bottom of that cycle now. This suggests a major move is likely coming soon. If you have a long-term position (bottom allocation), be sure to set and carry your stop-loss.

ETH:
After the daily chart completed its first break below the trend line, it rebounded for a retest. Currently, price is still trading within the consolidation range between EMA120 and EMA60, with no clear direction. Strong resistance today is 1883; supports are 1854 and 1832.

SNDK, MU:
Their走势 are almost identical. They still haven’t broken out of the triangle range—just wait. Do not trade.

XAU:
Breaks above the 4-hour high since 6.17, and the move is supported by reduced volume (rising on shrinking volume). There is no obvious sell pressure above. On the minute timeframe, it’s currently in an acceleration upward phase (near the top). Wait patiently for a pullback. Key support is 4400. The next resistance is around 4586. Friends who opened long positions with yesterday’s entry can continue holding and raise their stop-loss accordingly.

BTC：
On the daily timeframe, price is still ranging between EMA30 and EMA60, with the medium-term direction remaining consistent with yesterday. On the 4-hour timeframe, the current structure is a pullback process after yesterday’s broken-down trendline was reclaimed; the three EMAs are starting to converge and the short-term direction is about to break out. Today’s key confirmation signal is that once 65,000 is broken, the short-term direction can be confirmed as long—so be patient and reduce trading frequency.

ETH：
There is a severe lack of liquidity. The 30-minute chart has formed a converging triangle with no clear short-term direction. Overall, the structure is a pullback within an upward short-term consolidation. The long defense level is 1,873; if it breaks down, be alert for a shift to bearish.

SNDK：
For two consecutive days, there was a short-term surge after the US stock market opened, but yesterday it failed to reverse the bearish bias on the 30-minute timeframe. Currently, on the minute and hourly charts, bearish alignment is fully forming. The overall trend still leans bearish. Before 9:30 PM, focus mainly on shorting. The bearish defense level is 1,301. Two intraday support levels are: 1,223 and 1,203.

XAU：
Attempts to break above the right shoulder level of 4,291 at night failed. Early this morning it broke below the neckline at 4,253, but it received support from the EMA60 on the 30-minute timeframe, leading to a short-term rebound. At present, the short-term bullish trend has not been broken, so continue to treat it mainly as ranging upward. Also, yesterday’s daily candle closed as a relatively high-volume doji after touching EMA120, indicating strong downside absorption. The medium-term outlook is still bullish. Today’s key support is 4,223, where you can set an alert.

MU
On the 4-hour chart, a triangle convergence plus EMA lines sticking together suggests the short-term direction is about to emerge. After the big bullish candle at 8 PM last night, follow-through was weak and it has printed consecutive doji candles. Today, pay attention to the short-term support at 873. The long defense level is 853.