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CryptoZeno
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CryptoZeno

Verified Creator on #BinanceSquare #CoinMarketCap and #CryptoQuant | On Chain Research and Market Insights with Smart Trading Signals
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High-Frequency Trader
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$BTC Same Structure. Same Bottom. Yet people made the same mistake they’ve made EVERY. SINGLE. TIME we get a dip. They waited for lower. Suddenly, everyone had a new reason why Bitcoin was going to 54K. Funny how that works. {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC Same Structure. Same Bottom.

Yet people made the same mistake they’ve made EVERY. SINGLE. TIME we get a dip.

They waited for lower.

Suddenly, everyone had a new reason why Bitcoin was going to 54K.

Funny how that works.
PINNED
Article
The Breakout Trading Strategy I Use to Catch Big MovesI’ve longed resistance and shorted support for 9 years… This is the exact opposite of what every trader tries to do. In this article, I will share my entire strategy so you can skip years of testing and losses. This is something you will want to bookmark, take notes on, and set time aside to think about. Lesson 1: The Only 2 Trading Strategies Before you can identify good momentum setups, you need to understand what momentum trading actually is. Momentum and mean reversion are opposite strategies based on opposite assumptions. The Two Trading Styles Momentum (where you take a trade betting on a continuation of the current trend)Mean Reversion (where you take a trade betting on a reversal of the current trend) One assumes strength continues; the other assumes strength exhausts. Let’s consider this through a visual example. Suppose price is approaching a resistance level (in other words, a level where there was previously selling pressure, preventing the price from moving higher). Momentum assumes the level will break. You’re betting on continuation.Price approaches resistance, you buy, expecting it to push through and keep running.The level becomes support once broken. Mean reversion assumes the level will hold. You’re betting on rejection.Price approaches resistance, you short, expecting it to bounce back down.The level acts as a ceiling. Same chart. Same resistance level. Opposite strategies. There is no right or wrong. The key is to understand when you are in a momentum trade environment, such that momentum strategies are highly aligned. The next section shows you exactly how to identify when the environment favours momentum (my best strategy). Lesson 1 Summary There are 2 trading styles: momentum and mean reversionMean reversion bets levels will hold; momentum bets levels will breakOne is not better than the other; it depends entirely on the trade environment Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment Just opening a long every time price hits resistance won't make us any money. Without the right conditions, momentum dies immediately after the breakout. You enter. It reverses. You're stopped out. That's not bad luck, that's a bad trading environment. The Rowing Analogy Imagine you’re rowing a boat. You either row against or with the current. One makes it easier to row while the other takes a lot more effort. Your boat, or rowing technique, didn’t change… Only your environment did. Trading is the same. Your strategy is your boat. Your optimal trade environment is the current. Now use this 3-filter checklist to ensure you only take trades where a breakout is likely (with the current). Filter 1: How Did Price Approach the Level? What you WANT: A slow, grinding staircase pattern approaching resistance.Each candle makes incremental progress.Higher lows are stacking up.Controlled, deliberate movement. What you DON’T want: A fast vertical spike into resistance.Price shoots up in one or two large candles.After a spike, buyers' strength is depleted and price typically consolidates or reverses.This is exhaustion, not momentum. The staircase pattern shows sustained buying pressure building gradually. When this breaks through resistance, buyers are still engaged and ready to push further. Common mistake: Traders see a strong candle break resistance and assume momentum is strong. But these fast moves often reverse quickly. → Do this instead: Take momentum trades when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase over multiple candles. Real Trade Example: Slow clear grind into resistance showing an optimal ‘price approach to level’ for momentum. Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅ Filter 2: What Did Volume Look Like? Volume confirms whether the price movement has conviction behind it. What you WANT: Gradual increase in volume as price approaches resistanceThis pattern shows controlled, sustainable momentum. What you DON’T want: Flat volume (no conviction) or sudden volume spikes (exhaustion).Flat volume means the move lacks participation.Volume spikes often mark climax points where momentum exhausts.Decreasing volume (why would price break out of resistance now, if volume was lower than before?) Volume should mirror the price pattern, steady and building, not erratic. This strategy works because momentum continuation is most likely when participation is sustained, supply is absorbed gradually, and structure remains intact. Real Trade Example: Around the time the grindy staircase begins to emerge, we see a slow, consistent increase in volume. Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅Filter 2: clearly increasing volume ✅ Lastly, Filter 3: Moving Average Crossovers This filter distinguishes trending markets (good for momentum) from choppy, indecisive markets (bad for momentum). What you WANT to see: Moving averages with minimal crossovers. This indicates a directional trend. What you DON’T want to see: Frequent crossovers. This signals chop and indecision. Fewer crossovers = cleaner trend or range = better momentum continuation. Use the 30SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average). ✍️Quick Actionable Step: To add the 30SMMA on your charts: Search for the Smoothed Moving Average Indicator in TradingViewAdd it to your chartGo into settings and change the "Length" to "30" Real Trade Example: Filter 1 (Price Action): slow grindy staircase ✅ Filter 2 (Volume): clearly increasing volume ✅ Filter 3 (Crossovers): minimal MA crossovers ✅ 🎓Lesson 2 Summary Slow grinding staircase approaches have better follow-through than fast spikesVolume should be gradual (increasing or decreasing), not flat or spikingFewer MA crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions for momentum Lesson 3: Identifying Setups Now you know what momentum is. You also know the optimal conditions for it. Next, you need to know where to execute these trades. Step 1: Draw Support and Resistance Levels Momentum trades happen at these key levels. You need to identify them consistently. I've already written an in-depth masterclass on how to set these levels. I'll link it at the end of this article. Common mistake: Traders draw levels randomly or inconsistently, leading to missed setups or false signals. Do this instead: Use my step-by-step approach at the end of this article. Step 2: Await Your Entry Trigger on the 1-Minute Chart Once you’ve identified a resistance level on your primary timeframe, switch to the 1-minute chart for precise entry timing. Why 1-minute chart? You learn faster. More trades, more chart exposure and more oppurtunities to practice psychology. I’ve added a bonus guide on why you should be trading the 1-minute chart at the end of this article. Real Trade Example: Step 3: Three Filters Before entering, check the three filters from Section 2: Is price approaching resistance in a slow staircase pattern?Is volume gradually increasing or decreasing (not flat or spiking)?Are there minimal MA crossovers (not choppy)? If any filter fails, reduce your risk on the trade. Only take full risk on A-grade setups, not forcing trades in poor conditions. 🎓Lesson 3 Summary Draw levels using the ZCT masterclass approach at the end of this articleUse your entry trigger on the 1-minute timeframe: 2 candle closes above for confirmationCheck all three filters before entering, allocate risk and size accordingly Lesson 4: Strategy Logic: Stop Loss, and Take Profit You've drawn your levels. You've confirmed the setup aligns with optimal momentum conditions. Now you need precise execution. Entry timing, stop placement, and profit targets determine whether you capture the momentum move or get stopped out on a good setup. This is where most traders lose, not in analysis, but in execution. Step 4: Entry Trigger We have established to wait for two consecutive 1-minute candles to close fully above the resistance level. This confirms the level broke and momentum is continuing. Critical execution detail: After the second candle closes above resistance, place a limit order AT the resistance level (now acting as support), not above it. Price often pulls back slightly after breaking out. Your limit order gets filled on the pullback without chasing. Common mistake: Traders wait for confirmation, then market-buy above resistance as price runs away. They enter late with a wider stop and worse risk/reward. → Do this instead: Preset your limit order AT resistance after the second candle closes. Let price come back to you. Real Trade Example: Step 5: Stop Loss A swing low is: the lowest wick in a pullback. Your stop loss goes at the most recent swing low before the breakout. Common mistake: Traders place stops at the nearest swing low, even if it’s only 0.3% away, leading to frequent stop-outs from normal volatility Do this instead: Always measure the distance of your stop loss using the ruler tool on TradingView. If it’s less than 1%, use the next swing low down. Step 6: Take Profit 1R (Equal Distance to Stop) Your take profit target is 1R, the same distance as your stop loss, but in the profit direction If your stop loss is 1.982% away from entry, your target is also 1.982% away, but on the upside. This gives you a 1:1 risk/reward ratio. Why 1R? It’s conservative and achievable. Momentum trades often hit 1R quickly because the breakout has follow-through. You’re not trying to catch the entire move, you’re taking a high-probability piece of it. Over time, as you get data in your journal, you can start extending your profit targets when you see how far your average winning trades go beyond 1R. This way, you’re not guessing where to take profits, but following a systematic approach. Real Trade Example: 🎓Lesson 4 summary Enter after two 1-minute candle closes above resistance, using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) to avoid chasing price.Place stop losses at the most recent valid swing low, ensuring enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Set initial profit targets at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable, systematic way. Immediate Next Steps✍️: Read the Support and Resistance Masterclass to learn how to draw levels (shared at end of article)Look at 3 charts using the 3 filter checklist to identify a momentum trade environmentUse the strategy steps to enter your tradeGather 30 trades using this method, journalled and reviewed against the criteria 🎓 Final Summary Lesson 1: Momentum vs Mean Reversion Momentum trades bet that price will continue through a level, while mean reversion trades bet that a level will hold and reject price.Both strategies are valid, but performance depends entirely on matching the strategy to the correct trade environment. Understanding this distinction prevents applying breakout logic in conditions where it has no edge. Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment High-quality breakouts form when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase rather than fast vertical spikes.Volume should build gradually to confirm sustained participation, not remain flat or spike from exhaustion.Minimal moving average crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions where momentum continuation is more likely. Lesson 3: Identifying Setups Momentum trades should be executed at consistently drawn support and resistance levels.Entries are triggered on the 1-minute chart using two consecutive candle closes above resistance for confirmation.All three environment filters must align before taking full risk; weaker conditions require reduced sizing or passing the trade. Lesson 4: Stop Loss and Take Profit Enter using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) after two confirmed 1-minute candle closes to avoid chasing price.Stop losses should be placed at the most recent valid swing low with enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Initial profit targets are set at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable way. 🎓What Changes From Here The next time price approaches resistance, you won’t have to guess if it will break out. You’ll know when a breakout has real momentum, when volume confirms it, and when conditions support follow-through. You’ll also execute with defined entries, stops, and targets. #CryptoZeno #tradingStrategy

The Breakout Trading Strategy I Use to Catch Big Moves

I’ve longed resistance and shorted support for 9 years… This is the exact opposite of what every trader tries to do.
In this article, I will share my entire strategy so you can skip years of testing and losses.
This is something you will want to bookmark, take notes on, and set time aside to think about.
Lesson 1: The Only 2 Trading Strategies
Before you can identify good momentum setups, you need to understand what momentum trading actually is.
Momentum and mean reversion are opposite strategies based on opposite assumptions.
The Two Trading Styles
Momentum (where you take a trade betting on a continuation of the current trend)Mean Reversion (where you take a trade betting on a reversal of the current trend)
One assumes strength continues; the other assumes strength exhausts.
Let’s consider this through a visual example.
Suppose price is approaching a resistance level (in other words, a level where there was previously selling pressure, preventing the price from moving higher).
Momentum assumes the level will break.
You’re betting on continuation.Price approaches resistance, you buy, expecting it to push through and keep running.The level becomes support once broken.
Mean reversion assumes the level will hold.
You’re betting on rejection.Price approaches resistance, you short, expecting it to bounce back down.The level acts as a ceiling.
Same chart. Same resistance level. Opposite strategies.
There is no right or wrong. The key is to understand when you are in a momentum trade environment, such that momentum strategies are highly aligned.
The next section shows you exactly how to identify when the environment favours momentum (my best strategy).
Lesson 1 Summary
There are 2 trading styles: momentum and mean reversionMean reversion bets levels will hold; momentum bets levels will breakOne is not better than the other; it depends entirely on the trade environment
Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment
Just opening a long every time price hits resistance won't make us any money.
Without the right conditions, momentum dies immediately after the breakout.
You enter. It reverses. You're stopped out.
That's not bad luck, that's a bad trading environment.
The Rowing Analogy
Imagine you’re rowing a boat.
You either row against or with the current.
One makes it easier to row while the other takes a lot more effort.
Your boat, or rowing technique, didn’t change… Only your environment did.
Trading is the same.
Your strategy is your boat.
Your optimal trade environment is the current.
Now use this 3-filter checklist to ensure you only take trades where a breakout is likely (with the current).
Filter 1: How Did Price Approach the Level?
What you WANT:
A slow, grinding staircase pattern approaching resistance.Each candle makes incremental progress.Higher lows are stacking up.Controlled, deliberate movement.
What you DON’T want:
A fast vertical spike into resistance.Price shoots up in one or two large candles.After a spike, buyers' strength is depleted and price typically consolidates or reverses.This is exhaustion, not momentum.
The staircase pattern shows sustained buying pressure building gradually. When this breaks through resistance, buyers are still engaged and ready to push further.
Common mistake: Traders see a strong candle break resistance and assume momentum is strong. But these fast moves often reverse quickly.
→ Do this instead: Take momentum trades when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase over multiple candles.
Real Trade Example:
Slow clear grind into resistance showing an optimal ‘price approach to level’ for momentum.
Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅
Filter 2: What Did Volume Look Like?
Volume confirms whether the price movement has conviction behind it.
What you WANT:
Gradual increase in volume as price approaches resistanceThis pattern shows controlled, sustainable momentum.
What you DON’T want:
Flat volume (no conviction) or sudden volume spikes (exhaustion).Flat volume means the move lacks participation.Volume spikes often mark climax points where momentum exhausts.Decreasing volume (why would price break out of resistance now, if volume was lower than before?)
Volume should mirror the price pattern, steady and building, not erratic.
This strategy works because momentum continuation is most likely when participation is sustained, supply is absorbed gradually, and structure remains intact.
Real Trade Example:
Around the time the grindy staircase begins to emerge, we see a slow, consistent increase in volume.
Filter 1: slow grindy staircase ✅Filter 2: clearly increasing volume ✅
Lastly,
Filter 3: Moving Average Crossovers
This filter distinguishes trending markets (good for momentum) from choppy, indecisive markets (bad for momentum).
What you WANT to see: Moving averages with minimal crossovers. This indicates a directional trend.
What you DON’T want to see: Frequent crossovers. This signals chop and indecision.
Fewer crossovers = cleaner trend or range = better momentum continuation.
Use the 30SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average).
✍️Quick Actionable Step:
To add the 30SMMA on your charts:
Search for the Smoothed Moving Average Indicator in TradingViewAdd it to your chartGo into settings and change the "Length" to "30"
Real Trade Example:
Filter 1 (Price Action): slow grindy staircase ✅
Filter 2 (Volume): clearly increasing volume ✅
Filter 3 (Crossovers): minimal MA crossovers ✅
🎓Lesson 2 Summary
Slow grinding staircase approaches have better follow-through than fast spikesVolume should be gradual (increasing or decreasing), not flat or spikingFewer MA crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions for momentum
Lesson 3: Identifying Setups
Now you know what momentum is.
You also know the optimal conditions for it.
Next, you need to know where to execute these trades.
Step 1: Draw Support and Resistance Levels
Momentum trades happen at these key levels. You need to identify them consistently.
I've already written an in-depth masterclass on how to set these levels. I'll link it at the end of this article.
Common mistake: Traders draw levels randomly or inconsistently, leading to missed setups or false signals.
Do this instead: Use my step-by-step approach at the end of this article.
Step 2: Await Your Entry Trigger on the 1-Minute Chart
Once you’ve identified a resistance level on your primary timeframe, switch to the 1-minute chart for precise entry timing.
Why 1-minute chart?
You learn faster.
More trades, more chart exposure and more oppurtunities to practice psychology.
I’ve added a bonus guide on why you should be trading the 1-minute chart at the end of this article.
Real Trade Example:
Step 3: Three Filters
Before entering, check the three filters from Section 2:
Is price approaching resistance in a slow staircase pattern?Is volume gradually increasing or decreasing (not flat or spiking)?Are there minimal MA crossovers (not choppy)?
If any filter fails, reduce your risk on the trade. Only take full risk on A-grade setups, not forcing trades in poor conditions.
🎓Lesson 3 Summary
Draw levels using the ZCT masterclass approach at the end of this articleUse your entry trigger on the 1-minute timeframe: 2 candle closes above for confirmationCheck all three filters before entering, allocate risk and size accordingly
Lesson 4: Strategy Logic: Stop Loss, and Take Profit
You've drawn your levels. You've confirmed the setup aligns with optimal momentum conditions.
Now you need precise execution.
Entry timing, stop placement, and profit targets determine whether you capture the momentum move or get stopped out on a good setup.
This is where most traders lose, not in analysis, but in execution.
Step 4: Entry Trigger
We have established to wait for two consecutive 1-minute candles to close fully above the resistance level. This confirms the level broke and momentum is continuing.
Critical execution detail: After the second candle closes above resistance, place a limit order AT the resistance level (now acting as support), not above it. Price often pulls back slightly after breaking out. Your limit order gets filled on the pullback without chasing.
Common mistake: Traders wait for confirmation, then market-buy above resistance as price runs away. They enter late with a wider stop and worse risk/reward.
→ Do this instead: Preset your limit order AT resistance after the second candle closes. Let price come back to you.
Real Trade Example:
Step 5: Stop Loss
A swing low is:
the lowest wick in a pullback.
Your stop loss goes at the most recent swing low before the breakout.
Common mistake: Traders place stops at the nearest swing low, even if it’s only 0.3% away, leading to frequent stop-outs from normal volatility
Do this instead: Always measure the distance of your stop loss using the ruler tool on TradingView. If it’s less than 1%, use the next swing low down.
Step 6: Take Profit 1R (Equal Distance to Stop)
Your take profit target is 1R, the same distance as your stop loss, but in the profit direction
If your stop loss is 1.982% away from entry, your target is also 1.982% away, but on the upside. This gives you a 1:1 risk/reward ratio.
Why 1R? It’s conservative and achievable. Momentum trades often hit 1R quickly because the breakout has follow-through. You’re not trying to catch the entire move, you’re taking a high-probability piece of it.
Over time, as you get data in your journal, you can start extending your profit targets when you see how far your average winning trades go beyond 1R. This way, you’re not guessing where to take profits, but following a systematic approach.
Real Trade Example:
🎓Lesson 4 summary
Enter after two 1-minute candle closes above resistance, using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) to avoid chasing price.Place stop losses at the most recent valid swing low, ensuring enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Set initial profit targets at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable, systematic way.
Immediate Next Steps✍️:
Read the Support and Resistance Masterclass to learn how to draw levels (shared at end of article)Look at 3 charts using the 3 filter checklist to identify a momentum trade environmentUse the strategy steps to enter your tradeGather 30 trades using this method, journalled and reviewed against the criteria
🎓 Final Summary
Lesson 1: Momentum vs Mean Reversion
Momentum trades bet that price will continue through a level, while mean reversion trades bet that a level will hold and reject price.Both strategies are valid, but performance depends entirely on matching the strategy to the correct trade environment.
Understanding this distinction prevents applying breakout logic in conditions where it has no edge.
Lesson 2: Optimal Trade Environment
High-quality breakouts form when price approaches resistance in a slow, grinding staircase rather than fast vertical spikes.Volume should build gradually to confirm sustained participation, not remain flat or spike from exhaustion.Minimal moving average crossovers indicate cleaner directional conditions where momentum continuation is more likely.
Lesson 3: Identifying Setups
Momentum trades should be executed at consistently drawn support and resistance levels.Entries are triggered on the 1-minute chart using two consecutive candle closes above resistance for confirmation.All three environment filters must align before taking full risk; weaker conditions require reduced sizing or passing the trade.
Lesson 4: Stop Loss and Take Profit
Enter using a limit order at prior resistance (now support) after two confirmed 1-minute candle closes to avoid chasing price.Stop losses should be placed at the most recent valid swing low with enough distance to avoid normal volatility and minor stop hunts.Initial profit targets are set at 1R to capture high-probability momentum continuation in a repeatable way.
🎓What Changes From Here
The next time price approaches resistance, you won’t have to guess if it will break out.
You’ll know when a breakout has real momentum, when volume confirms it, and when conditions support follow-through.
You’ll also execute with defined entries, stops, and targets.
#CryptoZeno #tradingStrategy
$BTC This zone has to hold. {future}(BTCUSDT) The current main support is the area between 77k and 77.4k. Looking at the LTF structure, it’s likely that we see a further drop in price and a retest of this zone. If we get this retest, this zone has to hold for bullish continuation. If it instead breaks, a violent and quick move into the low 70s is extremely likely.
$BTC This zone has to hold.

The current main support is the area between 77k and 77.4k.

Looking at the LTF structure, it’s likely that we see a further drop in price and a retest of this zone.

If we get this retest, this zone has to hold for bullish continuation.

If it instead breaks, a violent and quick move into the low 70s is extremely likely.
$BTC This downside liquidity is going to get cleared eventually. {future}(BTCUSDT) Over the past two weeks, liquidity has been stacking up below $76K. Since then, BTC has swept the highs three times, but has front-run the downside cluster every single time. I believe that once we get a confirmed break below $77K, we could see a sharp correction where longs get squeezed and this liquidity finally gets swept. This would also bring price closer to my main area of interest for another swing long around $72K–$74K, where I’ll be looking to add to my already running position.
$BTC This downside liquidity is going to get cleared eventually.

Over the past two weeks, liquidity has been stacking up below $76K.

Since then, BTC has swept the highs three times, but has front-run the downside cluster every single time.

I believe that once we get a confirmed break below $77K, we could see a sharp correction where longs get squeezed and this liquidity finally gets swept.

This would also bring price closer to my main area of interest for another swing long around $72K–$74K, where I’ll be looking to add to my already running position.
$BTC Never fails... ✔️ {future}(BTCUSDT) Bullish sentiment into my 4–6th pivot has always marked a local top. Down -4.6% since. Pay attention to the sentiment heading into the 4–6th pivot next month.
$BTC Never fails... ✔️

Bullish sentiment into my 4–6th pivot has always marked a local top.

Down -4.6% since.

Pay attention to the sentiment heading into the 4–6th pivot next month.
$BTC Another retest of $77K is becoming increasingly likely. {future}(BTCUSDT) Price has now printed both a lower high and a lower low, while also losing the monthly open. The EMAs are also all sitting above price again, which could provide additional dynamic resistance. What I’m looking for next is a retest of the resistance area around $79.5K, where several bearish confluences line up. If price pushes into that area and gets rejected, I believe another continuation to the downside toward $77K is likely.
$BTC Another retest of $77K is becoming increasingly likely.

Price has now printed both a lower high and a lower low, while also losing the monthly open.

The EMAs are also all sitting above price again, which could provide additional dynamic resistance.

What I’m looking for next is a retest of the resistance area around $79.5K, where several bearish confluences line up.

If price pushes into that area and gets rejected, I believe another continuation to the downside toward $77K is likely.
Heavy wallet/exchange activity, extreme leverage, but spot side is genuinely strong too. $SOPH {future}(SOPHUSDT) Two separate sources show up in the data. One is the Sophon team's Gnosis Safe wallet, four back-to-back transfers over the last 4-17 hours (roughly $2.2M combined) sent to exchanges. The other is the Sablier vesting contract, regular transfers to exchanges that started 2 weeks ago and are still ongoing. These tokens aren't just flowing one-way into exchanges, they're also moving exchange to exchange. Could be liquidity management, or a distribution process where the actual sell venue hasn't been settled yet. Leverage is extreme, but the spot side isn't thin. OI at 118.6% of mcap, a book bigger than the market cap itself. OI is up 368.4% in 24h. But spot volume is $155.05M, roughly 7x the $21.33M market cap, a genuinely strong number. Futures at 7.3x spot is actually measured for an OI/mcap ratio this stretched, because spot is participating heavily too. Funding is negative, the crowd is short and paying for it. Top trader positions at 0.89, nearly the same direction as the crowd, no real split here. $4.16M liquidated in 24h, a large number. This isn't a hollow move purely inflated by leverage, there's real spot participation underneath it. But the ongoing supply pressure from vesting/team wallets, plus OI expanding this fast, keeps the structure fragile.
Heavy wallet/exchange activity, extreme leverage, but spot side is genuinely strong too. $SOPH

Two separate sources show up in the data. One is the Sophon team's Gnosis Safe wallet, four back-to-back transfers over the last 4-17 hours (roughly $2.2M combined) sent to exchanges. The other is the Sablier vesting contract, regular transfers to exchanges that started 2 weeks ago and are still ongoing.

These tokens aren't just flowing one-way into exchanges, they're also moving exchange to exchange. Could be liquidity management, or a distribution process where the actual sell venue hasn't been settled yet.

Leverage is extreme, but the spot side isn't thin. OI at 118.6% of mcap, a book bigger than the market cap itself. OI is up 368.4% in 24h. But spot volume is $155.05M, roughly 7x the $21.33M market cap, a genuinely strong number. Futures at 7.3x spot is actually measured for an OI/mcap ratio this stretched, because spot is participating heavily too.

Funding is negative, the crowd is short and paying for it. Top trader positions at 0.89, nearly the same direction as the crowd, no real split here.

$4.16M liquidated in 24h, a large number.

This isn't a hollow move purely inflated by leverage, there's real spot participation underneath it. But the ongoing supply pressure from vesting/team wallets, plus OI expanding this fast, keeps the structure fragile.
$AERO update: yesterday's thesis played out, LAPTOP launches tomorrow, and there's a sell wall waiting above. {future}(AEROUSDT) Yesterday we talked about LAPTOP's launch on Base potentially bringing volume to Aerodrome. Price was around 0.53 when that news broke, it's at 0.6345 now, up 18.64% in 24h. Structure stays healthy: OI at 3.7% of mcap, futures at 4.1x spot, both within range. L/S at 1.87, the crowd is clearly long. Top trader positions at 1.83, nearly the same direction as the crowd, no real split, but everyone's on the same side. Taker at 0.86, slightly seller-leaning, worth noting with price climbing. Whale orders show two layers. Above (0.75-1.2 range), there are stacked sell walls, the largest at 0.99 for $560.98K, most aged between 1 and 94 days. Below (0.28-0.62 range), there are buy orders, the freshest at 0.62 placed 3 hours ago for $118.81K, the closest support to current price. One day out from launch, the thesis has held up so far. But those sell walls above, especially the 0.75-0.99 band, form real resistance, whether tomorrow's LAPTOP volume is enough to clear them is the real question.
$AERO update: yesterday's thesis played out, LAPTOP launches tomorrow, and there's a sell wall waiting above.

Yesterday we talked about LAPTOP's launch on Base potentially bringing volume to Aerodrome. Price was around 0.53 when that news broke, it's at 0.6345 now, up 18.64% in 24h.

Structure stays healthy: OI at 3.7% of mcap, futures at 4.1x spot, both within range. L/S at 1.87, the crowd is clearly long. Top trader positions at 1.83, nearly the same direction as the crowd, no real split, but everyone's on the same side.

Taker at 0.86, slightly seller-leaning, worth noting with price climbing.

Whale orders show two layers. Above (0.75-1.2 range), there are stacked sell walls, the largest at 0.99 for $560.98K, most aged between 1 and 94 days. Below (0.28-0.62 range), there are buy orders, the freshest at 0.62 placed 3 hours ago for $118.81K, the closest support to current price.

One day out from launch, the thesis has held up so far. But those sell walls above, especially the 0.75-0.99 band, form real resistance, whether tomorrow's LAPTOP volume is enough to clear them is the real question.
$BTC The amount of people waiting for new lows is absurd. {future}(BTCUSDT) Most got front-run expecting the bear market bottom in October. Price will likely revisit the 76–69K area, which will be the next best area to bid. The goal isn't to catch the exact bottom of this higher low. It's to catch the next major move, which I believe will be to the upside. Don't make the same mistake by lowering your targets when price visits the bid box.
$BTC The amount of people waiting for new lows is absurd.

Most got front-run expecting the bear market bottom in October.

Price will likely revisit the 76–69K area, which will be the next best area to bid.

The goal isn't to catch the exact bottom of this higher low. It's to catch the next major move, which I believe will be to the upside.

Don't make the same mistake by lowering your targets when price visits the bid box.
Partly True
The team is at it again: another exit from $BILL {future}(BILLUSDT) Months ago we talked about the Billions team's selling. They kept dumping at every level without hesitation, and that's what drove price from 0.055 down to 0.015. After losing hope myself, I wanted to take another look at BILL's onchain activity today. Another 140M tokens (roughly $2.3M) left the team's safe wallet over the past week, moved to Bybit's hot wallet. For anyone still considering holding BILL long-term: I've been telling you for months how unreliable this team is, and today's just another reminder.
The team is at it again: another exit from $BILL

Months ago we talked about the Billions team's selling. They kept dumping at every level without hesitation, and that's what drove price from 0.055 down to 0.015.

After losing hope myself, I wanted to take another look at BILL's onchain activity today.

Another 140M tokens (roughly $2.3M) left the team's safe wallet over the past week, moved to Bybit's hot wallet.

For anyone still considering holding BILL long-term: I've been telling you for months how unreliable this team is, and today's just another reminder.
Someone just opened a $41,200,000 $BTC short with 20x leverage. {future}(BTCUSDT) Insider or gambler?
Someone just opened a $41,200,000 $BTC short with 20x leverage.

Insider or gambler?
$BTC Holiday Weekend Weakness 📉 {future}(BTCUSDT) 78k looks likely, as there is a FVG and liquidation in that range. I'll be looking for a short if we get a back test of 79.5k today. It's a holiday and PA is usually difficult to predict. Consider waiting until tomorrow to trade. 👌
$BTC Holiday Weekend Weakness 📉

78k looks likely, as there is a FVG and liquidation in that range.

I'll be looking for a short if we get a back test of 79.5k today.

It's a holiday and PA is usually difficult to predict. Consider waiting until tomorrow to trade. 👌
A bug in Coldcard let attackers drain over $115 MILLION in Bitcoin from more than 8,000 wallets, without ever touching the physical devices The flaw made the wallets' secret keys guessable, so hackers cracked them remotely One wave draining 1,000 Bitcoin in 41 minutes It's the biggest hardware wallet hack ever, and the attackers are only now starting to launder it If you set up a Coldcard between 2021 and this year, move your Bitcoin to a new wallet immediately Updating the device doesn't fix it
A bug in Coldcard let attackers drain over $115 MILLION in Bitcoin from more than 8,000 wallets, without ever touching the physical devices

The flaw made the wallets' secret keys guessable, so hackers cracked them remotely

One wave draining 1,000 Bitcoin in 41 minutes

It's the biggest hardware wallet hack ever, and the attackers are only now starting to launder it

If you set up a Coldcard between 2021 and this year, move your Bitcoin to a new wallet immediately

Updating the device doesn't fix it
$BTC The order book currently shows strong buying interest below $76K. {future}(BTCUSDT) A large concentration of resting bids is sitting in this region, which could provide support if price continues lower. Selling pressure, on the other hand, remains relatively thin in comparison. If BTC trades into this area and buyers manage to absorb the selling pressure, we could see a stronger bounce from there. What will be important is whether those bids stay in place as price approaches them. If they get pulled instead, the support could disappear before price even reaches it. This also supports my broader thesis that a pullback into the $72K–$74K region could offer a good opportunity to add to my already running swing long.
$BTC The order book currently shows strong buying interest below $76K.

A large concentration of resting bids is sitting in this region, which could provide support if price continues lower.

Selling pressure, on the other hand, remains relatively thin in comparison.

If BTC trades into this area and buyers manage to absorb the selling pressure, we could see a stronger bounce from there.

What will be important is whether those bids stay in place as price approaches them. If they get pulled instead, the support could disappear before price even reaches it.

This also supports my broader thesis that a pullback into the $72K–$74K region could offer a good opportunity to add to my already running swing long.
Someone drained $320 MILLION in Bitcoin from a network and left a note saying "we are whitehats, contact us on chain" It hit Liquid, a network built on top of Bitcoin where people lock up their coins for faster private transactions The hackers emptied the wallet holding almost all of that locked Bitcoin, 95% of it Now the hackers and the company are negotiating in public, writing messages to each other directly on the blockchain The hackers say they'll return it once the bug is fixed But nobody knows if that's real or just a hacker playing games Ledger's own security chief doubts it, a real whitehat reports a bug before draining $320 MILLION, not after {future}(BTCUSDT)
Someone drained $320 MILLION in Bitcoin from a network and left a note saying "we are whitehats, contact us on chain"

It hit Liquid, a network built on top of Bitcoin where people lock up their coins for faster private transactions

The hackers emptied the wallet holding almost all of that locked Bitcoin, 95% of it

Now the hackers and the company are negotiating in public, writing messages to each other directly on the blockchain

The hackers say they'll return it once the bug is fixed

But nobody knows if that's real or just a hacker playing games

Ledger's own security chief doubts it, a real whitehat reports a bug before draining $320 MILLION, not after
Someone opened a $18,800,000 $ZEC short with 5x leverage. {future}(ZECUSDT) He is now $120 away from liquidation.
Someone opened a $18,800,000 $ZEC short with 5x leverage.

He is now $120 away from liquidation.
$BTC Retest $78.6k and then send it higher. {future}(BTCUSDT) I’m currently looking for a sweep of this low to take out some of the liquidity that has built up below over the weekend. Right below this level also sits the Golden Pocket of the recent upmove as well as the monthly open, making it an area where another bounce is likely. If we see a sweep later today and buyers step in quickly pushing price back above $78.6k I will likely look for a scalp long. Should bearish momentum on the other hand be strong enough to push back below that level we will likely retest $77k again.
$BTC Retest $78.6k and then send it higher.

I’m currently looking for a sweep of this low to take out some of the liquidity that has built up below over the weekend.

Right below this level also sits the Golden Pocket of the recent upmove as well as the monthly open, making it an area where another bounce is likely.

If we see a sweep later today and buyers step in quickly pushing price back above $78.6k I will likely look for a scalp long.

Should bearish momentum on the other hand be strong enough to push back below that level we will likely retest $77k again.
$BTC Bears will get rekt soon. {future}(BTCUSDT) Price is still trading inside this bull flag. For me, it’s a sign of strength that after a pump like the one we saw previously, market participants are still accumulating. If we get a confirmed breakout, this could bring price toward 104k.
$BTC Bears will get rekt soon.

Price is still trading inside this bull flag.

For me, it’s a sign of strength that after a pump like the one we saw previously, market participants are still accumulating.

If we get a confirmed breakout, this could bring price toward 104k.
🚨Garrett Jin is now down over $24 MILLION on the largest on-chain $ZEC short. {future}(ZECUSDT) Instead of closing, he added another $8.4 million and is now short $47.22 million worth of ZEC, with liquidation at $2,292. In June he made $11.24 million shorting Zcash. Now the same trade is destroying him.
🚨Garrett Jin is now down over $24 MILLION on the largest on-chain $ZEC short.

Instead of closing, he added another $8.4 million and is now short $47.22 million worth of ZEC, with liquidation at $2,292.

In June he made $11.24 million shorting Zcash. Now the same trade is destroying him.
Bitcoin dominance has fallen from 60.4% to 59.6% and is now sitting directly on the 59.5% support level. This is where things get interesting. If 59.5% breaks and holds, I think we could see Bitcoin start losing more market share to the rest of crypto. The next major level I'd be watching is 58.8%. That would be a meaningful move and could create a much better environment for ETH and altcoins to outperform Bitcoin. But I wouldn't call an altseason just yet. We need to see ETH/BTC strengthen and the broader market actually expand alongside the drop in BTC dominance. If 59.5% holds, Bitcoin dominance could simply bounce back towards 60% and eventually retest the 60.75% resistance. For now, 59.5% is the line I'm watching. A break below it could be the first real sign that capital is starting to rotate away from Bitcoin. 👀 {future}(BTCUSDT)
Bitcoin dominance has fallen from 60.4% to 59.6% and is now sitting directly on the 59.5% support level.

This is where things get interesting.

If 59.5% breaks and holds, I think we could see Bitcoin start losing more market share to the rest of crypto.

The next major level I'd be watching is 58.8%.

That would be a meaningful move and could create a much better environment for ETH and altcoins to outperform Bitcoin.

But I wouldn't call an altseason just yet.

We need to see ETH/BTC strengthen and the broader market actually expand alongside the drop in BTC dominance.

If 59.5% holds, Bitcoin dominance could simply bounce back towards 60% and eventually retest the 60.75% resistance.

For now, 59.5% is the line I'm watching.

A break below it could be the first real sign that capital is starting to rotate away from Bitcoin. 👀
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