Clarity or not, $BTC will go up. Doesn't need it before, doesn't need it now either.
Binance News
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US Senate Fails to Advance CLARITY Act on Digital Asset Regulation
The US Senate on Tuesday failed to pass a cloture motion on the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, blocking a bill that would have created the country’s first regulatory framework for digital assets. According to Cointelegraph, the setback means the legislation is unlikely to move forward for the rest of the year, with less than 36 days of business remaining before 2027, when a new session of Congress is scheduled to be sworn in after November’s midterm elections. The failure leaves unresolved key questions about how the cryptocurrency sector will be regulated at the federal level, including the division of oversight between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission. The bill had already stalled before Congress’ August recess amid debate over ethics provisions that would have restricted government officials and their families from issuing or profiting from digital assets while in office. U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to most of a bipartisan proposal aimed at strengthening those restrictions ahead of Tuesday’s vote, but the measure faced renewed resistance on Monday from 18 state attorneys general. They argued that the bill would weaken states’ ability to police crypto fraud and misconduct. The latest setback adds to uncertainty over the future of federal crypto regulation as lawmakers remain divided over both ethics safeguards and the scope of state and federal authority.
The market is too volatile to trade with leverage for now. If you don't know what you are doing that's no difference with gambling. Instead just buy spot of revenue generating projects like $HYPE $ASTER and $PUMP . Stop Gambling ,be the house instead my dear friends. These projects can easily x10 the next bullrun. You just gotta know how to hold.
1)Ethics / conflict-of-interest fight (Democrats want stronger language on senior officials’ crypto holdings)
2)Bank lobby pushing back hard on stablecoin yields/rewards
3)Tight Senate calendar + midterms approaching
4)Procedural cloture vote is still set for next week (Sept 15), but the path remains messy.
But here’s the part that matters for us: The catalyst is already written. The bill exists. The framework is there. It’s not a question of if regulatory clarity comes — it’s a question of when. If this thing suddenly clears (or even just gains real momentum), the market will reprice fast. We’ve seen this movie before with every major regulatory green light. So if we get any dips in the meantime… buy them. Don’t get sidelined waiting for the perfect headline. The smartest positioning is usually done while everyone’s still arguing about the delays. Stay ready. $BTC $ETH $XRP
$BTC hit ~$126k in early October 2025 (roughly 18 months after the April 2024 halving). We’re now trading around $77k–$78k in early September 2026 — a solid but not catastrophic drawdown of ~38–50%. Classic cycle watchers call that the cycle top. But what if it wasn’t?
In my view, historical cycles have compressed in size but kept similar timing, with peaks usually arriving 12–18 months after each halving. This time feels different because institutional flows, ETFs, and the debasement trade brought more structural demand and less pure retail FOMO.I also see precedent for a mid-cycle high followed by a multi-month correction and then a stronger second leg higher, just like parts of 2019 or 2020–21.
I believe that the drop after the October 2025 peak looks like a healthy correction and accumulation phase rather than the start of a full 12–18 month crypto winter. I expect bottoming and base-building to wrap up through Q3–Q4 2026. Momentum should then return in Q4 2026 or early 2027, driving a renewed leg higher into the next halving window around 2028 and a higher cycle peak in 2028–2029.
$BTC has already been closing above the EMA200 since the pump about 2 weeks ago. We can expect a retrace to retest the EMA200 before the next leg up. If we get that EMA200 retest, don’t be afraid to buy the dip. In the meantime, stay patient and go easy on the leverage.