Cointime

ZachXBT 披露卧底调查：渗透涉嫌为 Lazarus 集团洗钱团伙，并协助冻结 Bybit 攻击事件相关资金
“链上侦探” ZachXBT 发文称，其曾伪装成客户渗透一个涉嫌为朝鲜背景黑客组织 Lazarus Group 洗钱的犯罪团伙，并协助冻结 2025 年 Bybit 攻击事件相关资金。ZachXBT 表示，2025 年 2 月 Bybit 遭遇价值 15 亿美元攻击后，他发现 Telegram 和 Discord 公开群组中有超过 15 个账户寻求帮助处理与被盗资金相关的交易。随后，他联系其中一名使用 “Jimmy Green” 别名的 Telegram 用户，并通过多笔交易建立信任。据其披露，2025 年 3 月 6 日，他向一个以太坊地址转入 349.7 万美元 USDC，用于与对方进行 USDC 与 TRON 链 USDT 兑换交易。该地址的 Gas 资金来源可追溯至 Bybit 攻击资金，并被公开标记为 Bybit 攻击黑名单地址。ZachXBT 称，后续交流中，对方透露其团队曾参与处理 Bybit 被盗资金，并提前透露资金将在 Solana 等链上转移。通过交易时间、金额及链上数据匹配，他发现一个涉及超过 1,200 万美元 Bybit 攻击资金的钱包集群，资金路径包括 BTC→ETH→SOL→TRON 等多个网络，其中约 44.2 万枚 USDT 已被 Tether 冻结，该团伙还尝试通过 Uniswap 流动性池和低流动性代币等方式进行洗钱。此外，对方还透露曾帮助其他客户处理约 300 万美元诈骗所得资金，ZachXBT 追踪发现相关资金流向已被制裁的 Huione Guarantee 相关钱包。ZachXBT 透露，此次调查中他先行投入 349.7 万美元资金，并承担每笔交易约 5% 的损失风险，最终获得的情报已第一时间提供给相关调查机构和执法部门。自 2022 年以来已协助冻结与朝鲜相关事件有关资金超过 7,500 万美元。

希腊士兵涉嫌参与 800 万美元加密货币金字塔骗局
据 Decrypt 报道，希腊检方指控一个加密货币庞氏骗局从约 1 万名投资者处骗取约 800 万美元，两名希腊军人在内的九名嫌疑人于周一接受调查法官讯问。警方已就该案逮捕 17 人，称该组织以庞氏骗局方式运作，并通过其控制的平台推动投资者投资加密货币。相关指控尚未经法院审理，数据来自警方而非起诉文件。报道称，该组织通过一个地方公民团体招募参与者。一名 44 岁、领导 Katerini 人工智能爱好者协会的男子被还押候审，另有六人在限制条件下获释，保释金为 1.5 万至 2 万欧元。投资者被鼓励投入至少 800 欧元，VIP 投资者被要求投入 5000 欧元，均被承诺资金翻倍。仅在 Katerini，调查人员估计该组织招募 1842 名会员，收取约 200 万欧元。

Analysis: Bitcoin short-term holders continue to accumulate, with average cost rising to $74,100
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. said that as of October 4, Bitcoin short-term holders had added 87,000 BTC to their holdings over the past 30 days, bringing the total to 3.94 million BTC. This marks seven consecutive weeks in which the figure has exceeded the level of the previous month. The metric has remained positive since August 18, indicating that the supply of Bitcoin moved within the past six months is growing. Short-term holders’ average cost basis is currently around $74,100, with an overall unrealized profit of about 15%—roughly unchanged from a week ago, but below the interim peak of 19% on September 22. Meanwhile, their average cost basis has risen by about $1,000 from a week ago, suggesting that as Bitcoin’s price rises, short-term holders’ entry costs are also increasing. $74,100 is a key level to watch. If Bitcoin falls below it, short-term holders as a group will move into unrealized losses; if the 30-day change in their holdings also turns negative, it would mean the group’s holdings are beginning to contract as well, potentially further weakening market structure.

Nikkei 225 Index closes up 2.4%
On October 5, according to Bitget market data, the Nikkei 225 Index closed up 1,637.40 points on Monday, October 5, a gain of 2.40%, at 69,946.86 points.

An Ethereum OG deposited 13,330 ETH to Coinbase, expected profit of over $36.21 million
On October 5, on-chain analyst @ai_9684xtpa monitored that a 2016 ETH OG with a cost as low as $11.61 has allegedly been selling after six months. The expected profit is over $36.21 million. Two hours ago, this address deposited 13,330 ETH to Coinbase, worth $36.37 million. The deposit price was $2,728.59; if sold, the return on investment could be as high as 23,402%.

Brent crude oil falls 1% intraday, now at $101.21 per barrel
On October 5, Brent crude oil fell 1% intraday, now at $101.21 per barrel.

Ethereum’s Q3 gain outpaced Bitcoin, but liquidity relative to Bitcoin has clearly narrowed
According to a CoinGecko report, in Q3 Ethereum’s native token, ETH, outperformed Bitcoin: its price rose 70%, exceeding Bitcoin’s gain of 42%. However, during the same period ETH’s liquidity relative to Bitcoin clearly narrowed. Between July 6 and September 30, ETH’s average daily market median depth was only 35% to 45% of Bitcoin’s, whereas it was at least 60% during the same period last year. Market depth measures the total U.S. dollar value of buy and sell orders within a certain range around the current price. ETH’s depth within the 0.15% price range is $13 million to $14 million. CoinGecko says that within this range ETH still maintains relatively good liquidity, with depth on both the buy and sell sides across most exchanges staying above $1 million. Liquidity for other major tokens has also been thinning. Solana’s SOL depth within the 2% price range fell from about $28 million per side last year to about $20 million this year. XRP’s total depth has remained stable at around $30 million, but the order book is skewed toward the buy side: buy orders are about $18 million and sell orders about $14 million. CoinGecko notes that XRP’s market cap is about 40% higher than SOL, but depth within the 2% price range is lower. The reason is that SOL’s average daily trading volume is still 25% higher than XRP’s.

OpenAI’s 28-day sprint for Codex: noticeable improvement every day or the quota resets
OpenAI product and team lead Thibault Sottiaux announced that over the next 28 days, Codex and ChatGPT Work will either deliver a daily update that brings “clearly noticeable improvements for most users,” or undergo a full reset (resetting the quota). The day before, Sottiaux also said the team has already “locked onto the goal.” User feedback has been very clear: everyone wants the product to become simpler. Going forward, the team will only do four things: simplify the product, improve efficiency so users get more usable quota, deliver breakthrough features, and introduce new models. This statement comes as Codex faces stronger external competition. After Anthropic released Opus 5.5, comparisons between Claude Code and Codex have increased significantly in the community, with discussions mainly focusing on model capability, speed, and subscription quotas.

Data: Huang Licheng achieved profits for 12 consecutive trades over the past week, totaling USD 2.14 million. He currently holds positions worth over USD 150 million.
According to Lookonchain monitoring, Huang Licheng has also made profits in PUMP trades two more times; over the past week, he has already achieved profits for 12 consecutive trades, with cumulative earnings of USD 2.14 million.

His current long positions include 34,100 ETH, valued at USD 92.98 million; 456 BTC, valued at USD 39.41 million; 174,500 HYPE, valued at USD 15.84 million; and 425 million PUMP, valued at USD 2.72 million.

Famous trader: Bitcoin will break the previous high between April 26 and August 2 next year
On October 5, well-known trader Killa posted a prediction that BTC will break its all-time high between April 26 and August 2, 2027. In his accompanying chart comparing historical cycles, he notes that the bottoming periods in 2022 and the end of 2026 are shorter, suggesting the cycle pace accelerates due to an earlier bottom. Based on this, he estimates Bitcoin could set a new high as early as May to July 2027. Killa, a quantitative trader focused on BTC, previously predicted the top of this bull cycle in May 2025. On the X platform, he has more than 200,000 followers. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688, and during the broad market selloff on June 5, he switched to going long.

Data: Hyperliquid bought back and burned assets worth $10.15 million in the past 24 hours
According to Onchain Lens, in the past 24 hours Hyperliquid bought and destroyed 112,580 HYPE tokens at a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) of $90.2, worth approximately $10.15 million. The funds may come from AQAv2 revenue and fees. The data shows its estimated 24-hour fees are $0.989 million, 7-day revenue is $9.85 million, and 30-day revenue is $52.06 million. To date, a total of 49.25 million HYPE tokens (about $4.45 billion) have been permanently removed from circulating supply.

WTI crude oil futures rebounded from their intraday low to $90 per barrel, with the latest price at $90.042 per barrel.
On October 5, WTI crude oil futures rebounded from their intraday low to $90 per barrel. The latest price is $90.042 per barrel, down 1.17% for the day.

Safe early investors file regulatory complaints with Swiss authorities against Greenfield, accusing foundation directors of pressuring with tokens
Greenfield Capital has filed a complaint with the Swiss Federal Foundation supervisory authority ESA regarding governance issues of the Safe Ecosystem Foundation, alleging that Safe foundation directors demanded relevant personnel hand over large amounts of SAFE tokens after an attack occurred on Bybit.

Meanwhile, the director threatened to sever Safe and to sell holdings of about 10% of the total SAFE supply through Gnosis.

Iran says it has responded to a U.S. proposal, arguing that the focus should be on the Strait of Hormuz
A spokesperson for Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that Iran has responded to the U.S. proposal. The U.S. proposal is similar to the previous one, focusing on nuclear issues, while Iran wants to place the emphasis on the Strait of Hormuz.

BTC breaks through $85,000.00, currently quoted at $85,028.86
BTC breaks through $85,000.00, current price: $85,028.86. Market volatility: Cointime reminds investors to pay attention to risk management.

After CFTC Chair Discusses the Follow-Up of the CLARITY Act: Regulators Will Continue to Issue New Rules for the Crypto Sector Using Existing Authority
On October 4, according to a disclosure by WOLF Terminal, Michael Selig, Chair of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), discussed the follow-up work of the “CLARITY Act”: “Each regulator itself already has substantial existing statutory authority. In joining the President’s Digital Asset Market Working Group to carry out relevant work, we also studied the scope of statutory authorization and authority at the legislative level. The report contains an entire chapter devoted to explaining how to use our existing regulatory powers.”
Regarding the current regulatory outlook: “The President has already laid out a plan, and we are prepared as well. The time for action is upon us. We will continue to roll out regulatory rules to ensure readiness for the arrival of a new financial era.”

Brazilian Presidential Election or Its Impact on the Direction of Crypto Policy: If the Incumbent Wins, It Will Strengthen Regulation and Compliance Requirements
According to a report by Bitcoin.com News, Brazil’s presidential election will be held on October 4, and the outcome may shape the country’s crypto policy direction—one that influences global cryptocurrency adoption rates, where Brazil is currently first. Incumbent President Lula Lula will face off against Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of the former president. If President Lula is re-elected, it is expected to strengthen regulatory and compliance requirements. The central bank has already increased oversight of exchanges and may also push for taxes on stablecoin transactions (which were previously put on hold due to the election). If Flavio Bolsonaro, the former president’s son, wins, his stance on crypto is unclear, and there is no record indicating he has ever mentioned cryptocurrencies. However, he previously defended people associated with the “Bitcoin Pharaoh” pyramid scheme.

Data: STRK sees a short-term breakout above $0.056; a certain crypto KOL reportedly bought in early
According to OKX market data, STRK briefly broke above $0.056 and is currently trading at $0.05338, up 23.93% over the past 24 hours. Monitoring by Arkham indicates that a suspected crypto KOL, Qwerty (@Quanterty), placed an early order from about 13 hours ago, investing $767,000 to buy approximately 17.454 million STRK at an average price of $0.0439. The position is currently in profit of about $170,000.

Meta uses AI data center to apply for high tax credits
According to The New York Times, Meta is using the U.S. research and development experimental tax credit policy to seek tax breaks worth billions of dollars for its artificial intelligence data centers. Last year, the policy helped Meta reduce its tax burden by nearly $4 billion, but internal accountants warned that doing so carries legal risks. BPM partner and tax advisory firm stated that classifying AI data centers as “beyond the norm” R&D experimental projects.

After two years, an address rebuilt its ETHFI position at the time of writing, with total investment of about USD 6.99 million
On September 30, according to on-chain analyst Ai Yi ( @ai_9684xtpa ), the address 0xd28…7c1e7 has, since yesterday, accumulated about USD 6.99 million worth of ETHFI. The last time it held/accumulated coins was two years ago. Data shows that yesterday the address withdrew 2.61 million coins from an exchange, and then about an hour ago it withdrew another 6.91 million coins, bringing the total to 9.52 million coins. The current average withdrawal price is USD 0.734; based on market price, it is temporarily up by approximately USD 217,000. The related wallet address has been made public.