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一哥交易经
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一哥交易经

价格行为交易员. 除周六外,每晚8点30直播,9点复盘行情并分享日内/波段/中长线 主流价值币交易机会. 交易手续费立省20%邀请码:ONE666 公众号:一哥交易经 X:0xOnebit
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🚀 Binance chat room has launched the 【private chat】 feature! To facilitate smoother communication in the future, you no longer have to worry about not being able to find me if you have questions; you can add me as a friend or join the chat room! Add Friend: 1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance 2. Click the “➕” in the top right corner and then click add contact 3. Enter one666 or my Binance ID 463061964 to add me as a friend Join Chat Room: 1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance 2. Click the “➕” in the top right corner and click scan 3. After scanning the QR code below, click to join the chat! For everyone's convenience, please scan to enter the chat room, so that market trends and news can be communicated directly in real-time!
🚀 Binance chat room has launched the 【private chat】 feature! To facilitate smoother communication in the future, you no longer have to worry about not being able to find me if you have questions; you can add me as a friend or join the chat room!

Add Friend:
1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance
2. Click the “➕” in the top right corner and then click add contact
3. Enter one666 or my Binance ID 463061964 to add me as a friend

Join Chat Room:
1. Enter 【chat room】 in the search bar to find the entrance
2. Click the “➕” in the top right corner and click scan
3. After scanning the QR code below, click to join the chat!

For everyone's convenience, please scan to enter the chat room, so that market trends and news can be communicated directly in real-time!
🎙️ 0819 transfer or send flowers, hello collect on delivery 1,800 -0821 where to wait for the callback?-----market scan recap & trading plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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🎙️ 0812 Have the bull-bear turning points arrived? --- Market scan recap & trading plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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260820 Daily Market Analysis - The Bear Side Is StrictIt’s been a long time since I saw the bulls celebrating wildly. Since June, last night’s sharp surge should be one of the few massive rallies in the near term; the last time I saw something like that was back in November last year. I have to say the bulls have truly built up their strength gradually and are now reaping the rewards; the spot I copied earlier has turned green again. First, let’s talk about what caused the rally to surge. Due to the U.S. bond crisis, the auction situation for long-term U.S. Treasuries—especially those with maturities of more than 10 years up to 30 years—has not been satisfactory. This has caused U.S. Treasury yields to spike, which has led to the U.S. dollar staying weak. In a short period, a clearly apparent liquidity crisis emerged. And the U.S. stock market hit 7,800 last week, after which momentum weakened. And this week it has turned weak with choppy, sideways trading. At the same time, data this month has weakened and further reduced rate-hike expectations, while the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting minutes from last night were overall relatively hawkish.

260820 Daily Market Analysis - The Bear Side Is Strict

It’s been a long time since I saw the bulls celebrating wildly. Since June, last night’s sharp surge should be one of the few massive rallies in the near term; the last time I saw something like that was back in November last year.
I have to say the bulls have truly built up their strength gradually and are now reaping the rewards; the spot I copied earlier has turned green again.
First, let’s talk about what caused the rally to surge. Due to the U.S. bond crisis, the auction situation for long-term U.S. Treasuries—especially those with maturities of more than 10 years up to 30 years—has not been satisfactory. This has caused U.S. Treasury yields to spike, which has led to the U.S. dollar staying weak. In a short period, a clearly apparent liquidity crisis emerged.
And the U.S. stock market hit 7,800 last week, after which momentum weakened. And this week it has turned weak with choppy, sideways trading. At the same time, data this month has weakened and further reduced rate-hike expectations, while the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting minutes from last night were overall relatively hawkish.
🎙️ 0819 transfer or sending flowers, hello cash on delivery 1,800---market scan review & trading plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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🎙️ 0818 Market Scan Recap & Trading Plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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🎙️ 0817 How many weeks does it take to see a direction after re-accumulating?---Market Scan Recap & Trading Plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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260817 Daily Market AnalysisLast week was another fairly boring one. In the short term, the market remains divided with stocks strong and coins weak. Bitcoin remains in low-level consolidation at the daily and weekly levels, while volatility continues to narrow. As in my previous view, this is usually a sign of a buildup before a directional move. $BTC Last Sunday’s daily line continued to stay in a choppy downward move. It wasn’t until Monday morning that it began to stop the decline and rebound. The intraday rebound strength wasn’t strong. After pulling back to the 624 area, there wasn’t any obvious increase in volume. In the morning, the shrinking-volume rebound and retest toward the 638 area caused the price to temporarily pause there while waiting. In the evening, watch whether the area around 638 above can break through. The support around 624 below is the short-term location to reduce shorts and take profit. There will be some liquidity buy orders waiting in ambush—don’t fight it for too long.

260817 Daily Market Analysis

Last week was another fairly boring one. In the short term, the market remains divided with stocks strong and coins weak.
Bitcoin remains in low-level consolidation at the daily and weekly levels, while volatility continues to narrow. As in my previous view, this is usually a sign of a buildup before a directional move.

$BTC
Last Sunday’s daily line continued to stay in a choppy downward move. It wasn’t until Monday morning that it began to stop the decline and rebound.
The intraday rebound strength wasn’t strong. After pulling back to the 624 area, there wasn’t any obvious increase in volume. In the morning, the shrinking-volume rebound and retest toward the 638 area caused the price to temporarily pause there while waiting.
In the evening, watch whether the area around 638 above can break through. The support around 624 below is the short-term location to reduce shorts and take profit. There will be some liquidity buy orders waiting in ambush—don’t fight it for too long.
$SNDK In the US stock after-hours session, this particular stock—meaning 1733—however, in the futures market it's 1775. This indicates that in the futures market, some big players have already been liquidated. The sharp drop in open positions over a short period also confirms this claim. Since last week, the funding fee has shown a clear negative premium. And the price hasn’t fallen noticeably, especially after the upcoming investors’ positive developments are realized. So in the short term, this is clearly a short squeeze. The question is: when will it stop? With no major changes in fundamentals, it depends on when the big bear shorting the US stocks—i.e., Michael Burry—will surrender, although he is shorting Micron. The three major players in Hai Dali’s lineup are moving basically in sync. And after the Korean market and KOSPI, jointly with the Korea-US efforts to support the market, the rebound has recently turned strong. In the short term, the trend is starting to gradually move out of the 123 reversal. For all subsequent pullbacks, 1400–1500 is an important support/resistance level. Especially for the short positions that were trapped earlier—most of them will choose to close and exit here. Secondly, long positions looking to get in during a waiting opportunity will also choose to lay in positions here. The combination of the two further strengthens the buying power in this area. #SNDK分析
$SNDK
In the US stock after-hours session, this particular stock—meaning 1733—however, in the futures market it's 1775. This indicates that in the futures market, some big players have already been liquidated. The sharp drop in open positions over a short period also confirms this claim.

Since last week, the funding fee has shown a clear negative premium. And the price hasn’t fallen noticeably, especially after the upcoming investors’ positive developments are realized.
So in the short term, this is clearly a short squeeze. The question is: when will it stop?
With no major changes in fundamentals, it depends on when the big bear shorting the US stocks—i.e., Michael Burry—will surrender, although he is shorting Micron.
The three major players in Hai Dali’s lineup are moving basically in sync. And after the Korean market and KOSPI, jointly with the Korea-US efforts to support the market, the rebound has recently turned strong.

In the short term, the trend is starting to gradually move out of the 123 reversal. For all subsequent pullbacks, 1400–1500 is an important support/resistance level. Especially for the short positions that were trapped earlier—most of them will choose to close and exit here. Secondly, long positions looking to get in during a waiting opportunity will also choose to lay in positions here. The combination of the two further strengthens the buying power in this area.
#SNDK分析
🎙️ 0814 Strong coin, weak market: stick to the position or shift the battlefield? — Market Scan Recap & Trading Plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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260814 Daily Market Outlook Analysis - Stocks Rise, Crypto CrashesFirst, let’s talk about US stocks. The S&P 7,800 has been touched. Individual stocks, especially AI and storage, have once again kicked off a rally. Especially the storage “Three Dummies” [Hai Dalì]. SanDisk announced to investors on the day about its investment returns for the next two years being 100% returned to shareholders. Bullish expectations instantly boosted the market value of storage “Three Dummies.” Before that, I didn’t know whether anyone had noticed that the fundamentals PPI data suddenly came in “cold” again—below expectations. It suggests that inflation seems to be under control, and that it’s starting to cool down (personally I’m doubtful). Second, there was also that surprise “cold” in the prior Nonfarm Payrolls and Initial Jobless Claims data. Employment is starting to weaken. This is a piece of news that undermines expectations for further rate hikes.

260814 Daily Market Outlook Analysis - Stocks Rise, Crypto Crashes

First, let’s talk about US stocks. The S&P 7,800 has been touched. Individual stocks, especially AI and storage, have once again kicked off a rally.
Especially the storage “Three Dummies” [Hai Dalì]. SanDisk announced to investors on the day about its investment returns for the next two years being 100% returned to shareholders.
Bullish expectations instantly boosted the market value of storage “Three Dummies.”
Before that, I didn’t know whether anyone had noticed that the fundamentals PPI data suddenly came in “cold” again—below expectations. It suggests that inflation seems to be under control, and that it’s starting to cool down (personally I’m doubtful).
Second, there was also that surprise “cold” in the prior Nonfarm Payrolls and Initial Jobless Claims data. Employment is starting to weaken. This is a piece of news that undermines expectations for further rate hikes.
🎙️ 0813 No bullish logic, waiting for new lows. --- Market scan recap & trading plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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🎙️ 0812 CPI后往哪看? ---Market scan recap & trading plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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260812 Daily Market Analysis - CPI Throws a CurveballBefore the CPI data, the US stock market has still been holding at high levels with a narrow-range consolidation these past few days. There isn’t much short-term volatility as it waits for the CPI data to provide direction. On the other hand, gold remains in a long position today. Overall it is still relatively strong, and gold’s initial upswing occurred relatively early. In the short term, the CPI data is unlikely to easily affect the continuation of the bullish trend. $BTC The crypto sector has been continuously weak lately. After completing two rounds of small selloffs over the past two days, the short positions previously held have been reduced. After breaking below the 638 area and retesting to around 633, an oversold rebound begins today. Before the CPI data, it starts to rebound as well; typically it ends in the form of price poking up and down with wicks.

260812 Daily Market Analysis - CPI Throws a Curveball

Before the CPI data, the US stock market has still been holding at high levels with a narrow-range consolidation these past few days. There isn’t much short-term volatility as it waits for the CPI data to provide direction.
On the other hand, gold remains in a long position today. Overall it is still relatively strong, and gold’s initial upswing occurred relatively early. In the short term, the CPI data is unlikely to easily affect the continuation of the bullish trend.
$BTC
The crypto sector has been continuously weak lately. After completing two rounds of small selloffs over the past two days, the short positions previously held have been reduced.
After breaking below the 638 area and retesting to around 633, an oversold rebound begins today. Before the CPI data, it starts to rebound as well; typically it ends in the form of price poking up and down with wicks.
🎙️ 0811 Can’t rise, can’t fall, what is the market waiting for?—Market scan recap & trading plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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260811 Daily Market AnalysisLast night, U.S. stocks remained strong, and stocks and crypto again staged a sharp divergence—stocks rose while crypto fell. In the short term, price performance and market capital flows are still continuously flowing back into the U.S. stock market. This can be clearly seen as well from the ETF inflow/outflow data mentioned earlier. The most important CPI data this week will be released tomorrow. July’s CPI was the month when oil prices rebounded sharply. Recent employment data shows a slowdown in the pace of growth; if tomorrow’s CPI data comes in clearly above expectations, then for the market in the short term it is undoubtedly a major negative. Especially given that the Fed is currently operating in the context of [protecting jobs] and [fighting inflation].

260811 Daily Market Analysis

Last night, U.S. stocks remained strong, and stocks and crypto again staged a sharp divergence—stocks rose while crypto fell.
In the short term, price performance and market capital flows are still continuously flowing back into the U.S. stock market. This can be clearly seen as well from the ETF inflow/outflow data mentioned earlier.
The most important CPI data this week will be released tomorrow. July’s CPI was the month when oil prices rebounded sharply. Recent employment data shows a slowdown in the pace of growth; if tomorrow’s CPI data comes in clearly above expectations, then for the market in the short term it is undoubtedly a major negative. Especially given that the Fed is currently operating in the context of [protecting jobs] and [fighting inflation].
🎙️ 0810 Sideways Consolidation Holding Back a Big Move --- Market Scan Recap & Trading Plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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260810 Daily Market Briefing Analysis - Breakthrough Forever? X?From late June to July, selling pressure on crypto ETFs continued to ease, with inflows starting to pick up gradually. Last Friday’s major non-farm payrolls once again came as a surprise—gold continued last week’s uptrend. This surprise employment data almost put out expectations for rate hikes in September, and even for the rest of the year. And as the Fed talks tough while still not daring to actually press the rate-hike button, you hear the “wolf is coming” story so many times that the market has started to reprice the Fed’s credibility again. In other words, the market is betting that there are no bullets in your gun—that the U.S. Federal Reserve would never dare to raise rates.

260810 Daily Market Briefing Analysis - Breakthrough Forever? X?

From late June to July, selling pressure on crypto ETFs continued to ease, with inflows starting to pick up gradually.
Last Friday’s major non-farm payrolls once again came as a surprise—gold continued last week’s uptrend.
This surprise employment data almost put out expectations for rate hikes in September, and even for the rest of the year. And as the Fed talks tough while still not daring to actually press the rate-hike button, you hear the “wolf is coming” story so many times that the market has started to reprice the Fed’s credibility again.
In other words, the market is betting that there are no bullets in your gun—that the U.S. Federal Reserve would never dare to raise rates.
🎙️ 0807 S&P 7 thousand 8, understands Wang laughing ha-ha—market scan recap & trading plan [BTC/ETH/SOL]
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