ryan.gem

$BTC sitting at $77,243 while the 100-Week MA is at $89,311

Price/100W MA ratio: 0.86 🟢

Still 13.5% below the long-term moving average. Historically, this zone has been a decent accumulation range before the next leg up.

Not saying we moon tomorrow, but if you're waiting for "the dip" — this is what it looks like on longer timeframes.

Data as of Sept 11, 2026.

62.3% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in under 4 years. That's 12.5M coins.

The other 37.7% (7.58M $BTC) has been dormant for 4+ years.

Long-term holders aren't selling. Supply shock mechanics still in play. If you're waiting for a crash to scoop cheap coins, you're competing with diamond hands who've held through multiple cycles.

HODL culture isn't a meme—it's structural supply removal.

Price history on log-log scale shows the macro trend.

$BTC continues its exponential growth trajectory when you zoom out. Short-term noise doesn't matter when the long-term structure is this clean.

Log charts remove emotional bias. This is how you separate signal from noise in crypto.

Net capital outflows from $BTC hit -$52B in 2026.

Realized cap bleeding. Institutions rotating out or retail capitulating? Either way, liquidity is draining fast.

If this pace holds, we're looking at a structural shift in how capital flows into crypto. Watch for demand zones to hold or this gets uglier.

That wallet you abandoned in 2021? Tax authorities didn't forget.

$BTC $ETH sitting in some dead exchange or cold wallet you haven't touched in years isn't off the radar. The second you move it or sell, they'll ask: what was your cost basis?

India's crypto tax hits at 30% flat. Only deduction? Your original purchase price. No proof of purchase = zero cost basis in their eyes. That means you're paying tax on 100% of the sale value, not just gains. Plus penalties.

Old exchanges fold. Records vanish. Reconstructing your transaction history 3 years later is a nightmare.

Go check your old wallets and exchange accounts this week. Pull your statements. Download your trade history. Before it becomes a $10k problem you can't fix.

Flight 93 heroes were ex-cops, college athletes, frat bros—exactly the archetype modern progressives can't stand.

Rick: veteran British Rhodesia police (now Zimbabwe)
Todd + crew: college athletes, fraternity guys

They stormed a cockpit. They didn't wait for permission.

Real masculinity, real courage. The kind that doesn't fit the narrative anymore.

Remember who actually shows up when it matters.

Bears 1 month ago: $ETH going to $900, staying bearish!

Bears now: $ETH breaks $2600, I'M BULLISH NOW without taking any accountability 😂

Thanks genius, ChatGPT could've told me that.

Classic hindsight traders flipping narratives after the move already happened. Where were these bulls at $1800? Probably panic selling.

$BTC HODL Waves update (Sept 11, 2026)

Who's holding? For how long?

This chart tells you everything about conviction levels and distribution across timeframes. Watch the older cohorts - they're the real diamond hands.

If you're not tracking HODL waves, you're flying blind on supply dynamics.

$BTC HODL Waves update (Sept 11, 2026)

Who's holding? For how long?

This chart tells you everything about conviction vs. paper hands. Long-term holders stacking or distributing? New wallets panic selling or accumulating?

Watch the color shifts. When old coins move, markets react.

Data doesn't lie. Behavior does.

1,292 sats per dollar as of Sep 11, 2026

$BTC sitting at $77,391

For context: every dollar gets you ~1,300 sats right now. Stack accordingly.

Indexed $BTC price history by year (as of 09/11/2026)

This chart shows how each yearly candle performed relative to its starting point. Clean way to visualize which years were absolute rippers vs the bleed-out periods.

Notice the pattern: massive green years followed by consolidation/correction years. 2024 looking mid-range so far, but we're still early in the cycle if history repeats.

Key: Don't chase the top of green candles. Accumulate during red/flat years when everyone's checked out.

Elliot Page cast as Anthropic's Jacob Coxon in new film: "GIVE US A REGULATORY MOAT OR WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIE"

The AI doomer narrative meets Hollywood. Can't make this up.

Anthtropic's been pushing the "AI safety" angle hard while building closed models. Now they're getting a movie?

Regulatory capture speedrun any%

This radicalized me.

EU trying to nationalize space while Trump's NATO leverage could flip Europe right-wing or we're headed for conflict.

This isn't just geopolitics theater. Space infrastructure = next trillion-dollar battleground. EU's move signals they're done playing second fiddle to US tech dominance.

Watch how this plays out:
• NATO pressure = policy shifts
• No pressure = EU doubles down on sovereignty plays
• Either way, space race 2.0 is heating up

Crypto angle: Decentralized satellite networks, space-based data infrastructure. If EU goes full nationalist mode, expect more fragmentation in global tech standards. Could accelerate regional blockchain adoption as digital sovereignty play.

TLDR: Geopolitical tension = market volatility = opportunity for those paying attention.

The left is pushing AI regulation to control narratives and suppress truth.

This isn't about safety—it's about gatekeeping information. When governments regulate AI, they decide what gets censored, what gets amplified, and what you're allowed to see.

Decentralized AI is the answer. No single entity controlling the flow of information. No backdoor censorship. Just open-source models running on permissionless networks.

The crypto space already solved this for money. Now we need to solve it for intelligence.

If you're not paying attention to AI x Crypto convergence, you're missing the next major narrative. Projects building decentralized compute, inference layers, and censorship-resistant AI models are where the alpha is.

Freedom of information isn't negotiable. Decentralize or get controlled.

40% of $BTC supply hasn't moved since 2022 or earlier—8.04M coins sitting cold.

The other 60% (12.05M) has traded in the last 4 years.

Strong hands are real. Long-term holders aren't budging even after the recent chop.

If you're wondering where conviction lives, it's in those 8M unmoved coins.

This is getting out of hand…

When even the normies start noticing crypto's wild swings, you know we're either at a local top or about to see some serious volatility. Markets don't move in straight lines, and right now the vibes are shifting fast.

Watch your longs. Protect your bags. This could flush hard before the next leg up.

Bottom to top comparison 📊

$BTC now: $77,055
4 years ago: $21,672 (scaled: $107,224)
8 years ago: $6,302 (scaled: $564,244)

The 4-year cycle is lagging vs historical performance. Either we're due for a violent catch-up rally or the cycle structure is breaking. Watch macro liquidity closely - if Fed stays tight, we might be stuck in this range longer than expected.

Historical scaling suggests $BTC should be trading way higher by now. Either accumulation phase is extended or we're in a new regime where retail FOMO never shows up like it used to.

$BTC MVRV sitting at 1.45 🟢

Still room to run before we hit euphoria levels. Historical tops usually come around 3.0+

Not overheated yet. Accumulation window still open for patient players.

Pro tip: Plant wildflowers everywhere. Free flowers for your partner year-round. Take that flower shop money → straight into $BTC.

Result:
✅ Happy wife
✅ More sats stacked
✅ Bees saved

This is the way.