查理-Charlie

No, I’m saying—hasn’t Biden already stepped down?

Why are there still so many people buying his son’s coin?

Basically, if you buy $TRUMP you might still get a chance to go to the White House and even have dinner with that blond guy. What use is this Biden son’s coin?

September 8 morning news report, and this Harmony item really caught me off guard: the public chain is getting shut down, and they’re switching to making AI videos? 😂

The team proposed migrating ONE to Ethereum. The reasons include AI agents and the security threats posed by state-level attackers. It’s still only a proposal for now, but users have already been reminded to exit their smart contracts by September 10. LPs, multisigs, and things like that can’t be automatically migrated. And for all the fans who have assets in there—remember to check the official announcements.

There’s also follow-up on the Liquid side. Previously, about 4,000 BTC/"big pancakes" ($BTC ) was moved out—worth roughly $320 million. The other party now says that after they fix the vulnerability, they’ll return most of it. Don’t treat it as solved until the money comes back. The issue is on Liquid’s sidechain—don’t spread it as if the big pancake mainnet was hacked.

The market is also not very comfortable. In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin fell about 1.5 percentage points, Ethereum fell by $ETH 1.3 percentage points, and $SOL fell 2.5 percentage points. Tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, US stocks and spot ETFs resume trading. I’m more interested in whether buy-side demand can come back after the holiday ends.

$SOL You can try to look for a rebound short. It dropped 2.3 points in one day. The area around 105 used to hold up, but now it has broken below it. Early in the morning the rebound reached 104.43 and was sold down again; the trend is weak.

Short around 104.30–104.80, with a stop-loss at 106.20. Below, 102.96 is the near-term support; if it breaks, the targets are 101.20 and then 99.50.

Hold this trade for one or two days. Take partial profit at 101.20, and the rest looks toward 99.50. Since 103.4 is too close to the prior low, wait for a rebound before entering; the stop-loss and potential profit space will be more appropriate. If there’s no entry level, then forget it.

$LINK surged nearly 9 points in a day, and the most recent 4-hour trading volume was about 6 times the previous candle’s, much stronger than Bitcoin.

The collaboration with Bottomline a few days ago was considered bullish, but the news has already been out for several days. In the short term, we’re still watching whether it can continue rising after the volume expansion.

I’m leaning toward buying on a pullback to 12.80—12.95, with a stop loss at 12.35. On the upside, first watch the 13.35 resistance; after breaking through, targets are 13.80 and 14.40.

This trade is meant to be held for one or two days. Take partial profit at 13.80 first, and let the rest run toward 14.40. If it drops to the stop loss, exit—don’t keep averaging down.

Don't forget one thing today: Big Pancake $BTC —U.S. Labor Day means U.S. stocks and spot ETFs are closed.

Last Thursday and Friday, ETFs saw a combined net inflow of $905.4 million. That’s a pretty solid amount of buying, but today we won’t get their normal opening session.

Looking at the hourly chart, price dipped below 79,233 and then bounced back to around 79,900, but the 80,100–80,200 area still can’t be broken through repeatedly. My feeling is to treat today as range-bound first; the ETF inflow news alone isn’t enough for me to call for a breakout directly.

For the short term, I’m leaning toward a rebound short: if it reaches 80,050–80,150, wait for a 15-minute close back below 80,000 before entering. Stop loss at 80,350. First target 79,650, then 79,300.

If the 1-hour chart closes directly above 80,200, then this short setup is canceled. Holiday wicks that pop up and then get squeezed back down are annoying—wait for the candle close before acting.

Spot $XRP ETF has seen net inflows for 8 consecutive weeks, totaling $1.68 billion.

Sounds pretty impressive, but this week it only brought in $19 million, and on Friday it was literally zero. The price also played along, hovering around 1.41 with little movement 😂

It just dipped to a low of 1.3963 and then rebounded. For short-term longs, enter around 1.408–1.412, stop loss at 1.398, first target 1.422, and if it breaks through, then look at 1.432.

If the 15-minute chart breaks above 1.433 on strong volume, keep looking for 1.445. If the 1-hour candle closes below 1.400, this spike is basically invalid, and the long should be closed immediately.

No rest for the weekend, the U.S. and Iran have escalated again, and Bitcoin $BTC has also fallen back below 80k.

This morning the U.S. military confirmed strikes on 3 Iranian oil tankers, and Iran then warned that attacks on U.S. warships could continue to expand. Trump is still pressing for rate cuts, but after stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls came out, the market has already raised the probability of a September rate hike to nearly 60%.

However, on Friday spot Bitcoin ETFs still saw a net inflow of $174.6 million, marking the 3rd straight day of inflows, though that was 76 million less than the previous day. In plain terms, there are buyers, but selling pressure above 80k is stronger.

My short-term trade: short at 79950—80150, stop loss 80450, initial target 79500, and if that breaks, look for 78800

If the 1-hour chart holds above 80200, this trade is invalid; if it retests 80000, consider going long again, target 80700. Weekend news can easily cause sudden wicks, so keep your stop loss in place and don’t force it.

BTC 15-minute trading strategy

$BTC is currently around 79600. Today it quickly dropped from around 81300 to around 78800, then has been consolidating in the 79300 to 79800 range. In the short term, don’t treat this rebound as a confirmed turn stronger yet. The key is whether 80000 can be reclaimed.

If 15-minute price action moves back above 80000 and a retest of 79800–79900 can hold, you can consider going long, first targeting 80300–80500, and if volume continues to expand, then 80800.

On the downside, first watch 79200–79300. If that breaks and the rebound cannot reclaim it, in the short term you can follow the move lower toward 78800–79000. If the low of the day breaks again, the next level to watch is 78400–78600.

Right now 79500 to 79800 is the middle range, so I would trade less here. In a move like today’s, waiting for 80000 to be confirmed reclaimed, or waiting for 79200 to fail, is easier to handle than guessing direction in the middle.

Personal market analysis, not investment advice.

For this BTC move $BTC , I’m leaning bearish on the bounce. If it can’t reclaim 80k, I’ll first trade it as weak.

Last night, U.S. nonfarm payrolls added 162,000 jobs, far above the expected 53,000. Right after the data came out, BTC dropped as much as about 2.5% in one hour, falling from around 81.3k to 79.1k. With employment still so strong, the market naturally worries that the Fed won’t be in a hurry to cut rates.

The orange-haired guy then posted urging the Fed to cut rates, and even threatened to stop doing business with countries that run trade deficits. Pushing for rate cuts is normally good news for the crypto market, but this was just talk, not an actual Fed cut. The trade threat in the second half also wasn’t welcomed by the market, so after bouncing for half a day, BTC still couldn’t reclaim 80k.

Reference levels

79,850—80,050: enter short in batches
Stop loss: 80,520
Target 1: 79,350, take half off there first
Target 2: 78,800

If price doesn’t bounce and instead breaks below 79,350 first, cancel this trade. If 80,520 gets hit, admit the mistake. Don’t turn a short-term trade into long-term faith haha

Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of $731 million in a single day, and Trump is still pushing for rate cuts—so why has the market still pulled back?

That ETF inflow corresponded to September 3 in U.S. Eastern Time. The nonfarm payrolls report released afterward showed 162,000 new jobs, while expectations were only 53,000. Employment was much stronger than expected, so it’s not easy to rely on this data to get rate cuts. Money buying in one day doesn’t mean prices can only go up afterward.

Trump’s latest post demanded that the Federal Reserve cut rates, otherwise he would stop doing business with countries that have trade surpluses with the U.S. Pushing for rate cuts while also threatening trade—this really shouldn’t be read only from the pleasant-sounding part 😂 No specific implementation measures have been announced yet.

For the short term, I lean bearish on a rebound. The Bitcoin $BTC 8w has not yet been reclaimed. My plan is to short on a rebound to 79,900–80,100, with a stop loss at 80,400. First target is 79,200; take half off there. For the rest, look at 78,700 and move the stop loss to the entry average price.

This trade will only be one round. Cancel any unfilled limit orders at 4:00 a.m. Beijing time. If price drops to 79,200 before entry, cancel the plan as well. If 80,400 gets hit, I’ll accept being wrong and won’t add to the short.

Two pancakes $ETH This afternoon it shot up to 2547, then pulled back to around 2514 and bounced back again. Right now I’m leaning long, and I want to do a pullback-and-rebound setup.

Go long in batches at 2518–2522, with a stop loss at 2508. First watch 2542—if it reaches there, take half off. The rest is aiming for 2560, with the stop moved up to the entry average. If it breaks below 2508, admit the mistake—don’t average down.

Tonight Beijing time at 20:30 is Non-Farm Payrolls. I’ll only hold this trade until 20:15; at that time, cancel any unfilled orders and close the remaining position. After the data comes out, reassess—don’t keep using these same entry/exit levels!

9.4 Morning News — This rebound early today is even stronger than $XRP versus two pancakes. In the past 24 hours, it’s up about 7.6 points. Big BTC $BTC and pancake #2 $ETH are both up more than 5 points, and BNB is also up 5.5 points.

Last night, Waller said that if inflation continues to cool, September can keep interest rates unchanged. The market’s worries about a rate hike eased a bit, but this is conditional support for not hiking—there’s still a long way to go before any confirmed rate cuts.

On the ETF front, a Bloomberg analyst estimates that BlackRock’s IBIT net inflow for the day could be around $300 million. That’s certainly a strong daily figure. What I’d really like to see is whether inflows can continue over the next few days.

Tonight at 20:30 Beijing time is the Non-Farm Payrolls report. Pay particular attention to employment figures and wages. If both come in too hot, the rate-hike concerns that just eased may return. If you’re trading short-term today, make a note of this time.

Last night, Waller said that if inflation continues to cool, September can keep interest rates unchanged, and worries about rate hikes have eased a bit. The big move—$BTC —also climbed more than 5 points. I’m bullish today as well. Although 82,280 didn’t hold, when it pulled back to around 80,900 it bounced back and I feel there’s still a chance to test the recent high again.

Trade this one by buying the pullback directly: the plan is to split the position into two parts—enter one lot each at 81,200 and 81,000, with a unified stop-loss at 80,500. Take out half at 82,200; the remainder will be aimed at 82,800, and meanwhile raise the stop-loss to the average entry price. If 80,500 breaks down for real, acknowledge the mistake and do not add more on the way down.

Tonight at 20:30 Beijing time, we have the Non-Farm Payrolls. This setup is only for the data window—at 20:00, cancel any unfilled pending orders and handle the remaining positions. What I want is to catch this rebound; there’s no need to also gamble on what the NFP does in the dark 😂
#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万

The big coin $BTC is now around 77,100. In the past 24 hours it has basically been fluctuating between 76,400 and 77,700. Over the last 7 days it’s down 2 percentage points. Right now it’s neither up nor down—pushing through is not worth it.

If it pulls back to 76,500–76,700 and then, after 15 minutes, reclaims 76,700, you can go long with a small position. Set the stop-loss at 76,200. Take-profit targets are 77,400 and 77,800.

If the 15-minute candle closes below 76,400 and later the rebound can’t get back through, then consider going short. Stop-loss: 76,800. Take-profit targets: 75,500 and 75,000.

On the other hand, if the big coin breaks above 77,800 and the pullback doesn’t drop back, then wait for the pullback long setup—target 78,500. Don’t open short positions.

BTC falls back to around 78,000; ETH is still in the green. This divergence isn’t necessarily a good sign.

At the price check, BTC is about 77,950. Its 24-hour range is 77,675 to 79,250. ETH is about 2,457, with a range of 2,437 to 2,490. Tonight, fresh tensions between Iran and the U.S. are flaring up again. Brent oil rises to $92.2, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumps to 4.79%. The probability of a rate hike in September is pushed to around 65%. The logic of this chain is clear: oil prices moving up → inflation concerns intensify → rate expectations rise → BTC and ETH face pressure. However, liquidity hasn’t completely broken down. In the previous trading day, U.S. spot ETFs saw net inflows of $216.7 million and $87.6 million respectively, and there’s still support below.

Tonight, we just wait for a 15-minute confirmation.

$BTC 15 minutes reclaim 78,300. If the pullback holds, it could open up more room. 79,250 is the first target, with the main target at 80,000. If it closes below 77,650 on the 15-minute chart, the setup is invalid.

$ETH 15 minutes close above 2,468. On a pullback, holding 2,458 to 2,462 could allow for more. 2,500 is the first target, with the main target at 2,535. If it closes below 2,437 on the 15-minute chart, the setup is invalid. If conditions aren’t met, just wait.

For market analysis only and not investment advice.

Among the mainstream coins I’m currently only watching $HYPE , because the broader market really isn’t offering much to look at right now. It has already topped out near 85; it’s only a small gap away from the 86.7 all-time high.

Hyperliquid is currently in discussions with Kraken’s parent company regarding a U.S.-compliant perpetuals business. If this can truly be implemented, U.S. users will likely increase, and both trading volume and platform revenue expectations should rise. HYPE will be the first to price in this expectation. However, the Lazarus-related fund event could also bring compliance pressure.

Strategy: If we reclaim 85.3 on the 15-minute chart, and then retest 84.8–85.0 without breaking it, consider a long. 86.7 is only the near-term resistance; there’s no rush to take profit there. The real targets are 88.5 and 91.0. A break below 84.2 invalidates the setup. Entering around 85 implies a first take-profit risk-reward of roughly 4:1; if the conditions aren’t met, wait.

For market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.

After a while, the big pancake just barely touched 80,000 yuan not long ago—then with a kick it was smashed back to 77,000. ETH and SOL followed and turned down together.

$BTC is currently quoted at 77350—77550, down about 1.1% over the past 24 hours.

$ETH is back to 2410—2420.

$SOL is down nearly 3.9%. The total market cap of the whole market fell back by about 3.85%, while the BTC dominance rose to 59.66%, indicating that money is withdrawing from altcoins faster.

This spike was mainly triggered by geopolitical news.

After the U.S. struck Iran’s targets again, Iran launched missiles at U.S. troops stationed in Jordan. Brent crude rose more than 2.5% and moved above 90 dollars. If oil prices keep climbing, it will intensify inflation concerns and worries about higher interest rates, so risky assets get sold first.

On Friday, BTC spot ETFs saw another net outflow of $201.9 million. Institutional buying just happened to weaken, and once it broke below 78,000, the selloff speed was further amplified.

So far, I haven’t seen systemic incidents at major exchanges or on public chains—this looks more like macro-driven risk aversion. BTC is still weak below 77,900. If 77,000 breaks, look for 76,200. Only after it reclaims 78,000—78,200 will the situation ease. For ETH, first watch 2,400; if it closes below, then 2,360—2,380. It counts as stopping the decline only after it reclaims 2,440.

I’m relying on that yellow-haired guy to start trouble again. Oil prices surged overnight to $90. And BTC is still hovering around 78.3k. This kind of quiet is actually not good for trading.

The U.S. again strikes targets in Iran, and Brent crude rose by over 2%. Continued upward pressure on oil prices will intensify concerns about inflation, and rate expectations are likely to turn more hawkish—putting downward pressure on both BTC and ETH.

There’s also divergence on the funding side. On August 28, spot BTC ETFs saw net outflows of $201.9 million; this breaks the 9-day streak of inflows. In the short term, it means there’s one less layer of institutional buying. On the same day, spot ETH ETFs recorded net inflows of $102.1 million, and inflows have now continued for 12 trading days. So when ETH pulls back, it may be more resilient.

$BTC is currently trading around 78350. If 78000–78200 does not break, look for 79000 and 79400. If the 15-minute candle closes below 77900, then watch 77200.

$ETH is around 2460–2470. Hold 2450–2460 to look for 2500 and 2535. If it closes below 2440, then watch 2400.

For personal market planning only and does not constitute investment advice

Awesome, now that finding a “big dog angle” has become so absurd, it’s reached this level

After $牛来 , there’s actually another one—Penglai. I heard its market value is about to break a million now 🤣🤣

Wow, SOL finally has a catalyst that can land on a specific date.

Solana’s CTO Jacob Creech confirmed that Transaction V1 will be launched on September 9. The per-transaction size limit will be increased from 1232 bytes to 4096 bytes, allowing for more complex multisig, ZK proofs, and batch operations. Next week, the first phase of rent reduction will also be rolled out.

The news carries weight, but $SOL has already risen by about 11% over the past week, and it’s currently back at day highs around 105–106.

For the main order: if you can retest and hold the 105.0–105.5 range for more, set a stop-loss at 103.7, and take profit at 107.8/109.8.

If the 15-minute candle closes above 106.8, wait for a pullback to 106.2–106.6 and hold for more; set a stop-loss at 105.0, and take profit at 109.0/110.8.

If the 15-minute candle closes below 103.7, the long order plan is canceled; near-term targets are 102/100.8.

This is only a personal trading plan and does not constitute investment advice.

#Solana inflation reduction proposal passed by vote