pce

【US Inflation Finally Cooled! First Monthly Decline in 6 Years—Is a Turnaround for Bitcoin Coming? 📉🚀】

Just now,
there was a major piece of news from the United States! 🇺🇸

According to the latest data,
US PCE inflation month-over-month saw its first decline in six years. 📊

Many people may ask:
👉 Why is the crypto market so focused on PCE?

Because it is one of the inflation indicators the Federal Reserve pays the most attention to. 🏦

If inflation continues to cool,
markets will start to expect:

✨ Rate cuts are getting closer
💰 Liquidity may improve
🚀 Risk assets could benefit more easily

After the news was released,
Bitcoin and the entire crypto market remained relatively stable,
with no major volatility.

This also shows that

the market is waiting for more data
to confirm whether inflation truly is entering a downward trend. 👀

However,
if PCE continues to fall over the next few months,

the Fed’s policy stance will very likely become an important catalyst for the next leg of the行情. 🔥

📌 The first monthly drop in six years for US PCE inflation is a positive sign. But what ultimately determines the market’s direction is whether inflation can keep cooling afterward—and whether the Fed will, as a result, signal potential rate cuts. 📈

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#PCE #PCE数据 #PCE物价指数 #韩股KOSPI创纪录涨15% #韩国KOSPI触发买方侧车
👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇

🚨 $1,000,000,000,000 added to the US stock market at open.

This is happening because PCE inflation had its first monthly decline in 6 years.

#FOMCWatching #PCE

$AAPL.US $NVDAB $GOOGL.US

🚨 BREAKING:

🇺🇸 $900 billion was added to the U.S. stock market at the open after the latest PCE inflation report showed its first monthly decline in six years.

📈 Cooling inflation boosted investor confidence, fueling a strong risk-on move across the markets.

#Market_Update #PCE #Fed

💎Trading Rule for $BTC Bitcoin Tonight.

1. If Core PCE Price Index, GDP, and Initial Jobless Claims 🟩GREEN => SHORT📉
2. If Core PCE Price Index, GDP, and Initial Jobless Claims 🟥RED => LONG📈
3. If Core PCE Price Index, GDP, and Initial Jobless Claims has 🟩🟥MIXED colours => DON'T TRADE

Data releases at 12:30 UTC+0. You can check the data on the Economic Calendar here: investing. com/economic-calendar

#NFA #DYOR 🔥
Not a Buy/Sell Signal🛑
Follow and tip if you find this helpful, unfollow and block if you are disturbed☕
$ETH $BNB #PCE #GDP #InitialJoblessClaims #macroeconomic

After the release of GDP and PCE, I believe the real beneficiaries are not all risk assets, but rather gold and high-beta crypto assets.
U.S. Q2 GDP annualized growth came in at 1.5%, below expectations of 2.1%; June core PCE rose 0.1% month over month, below the expected 0.2%, while year over year it remained at 3.3%. After the data was released, the Nasdaq 100 futures’ gain briefly widened to about 1.48%. The market first priced in “slowing growth and cooling inflation at the margin.”
My view:
1. $XAU : Slightly bullish in the short term—its logic is the clearest.
If the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields continue to fall, gold will benefit directly.
2. $ETH , $SOL: Their rebound elasticity may be greater than $BTC .
When liquidity stress eases, high-volatility crypto assets typically react faster, but they also tend to retrace more.
3. $BTC : Mildly bullish, but not a trend reversal.
Core PCE year over year is still 3.3%, and the Fed is still far from truly turning dovish.
4. Copper: Neutral to slightly bearish.
Lower-than-expected GDP will suppress expectations for industrial demand.
5. Crude oil: Temporarily neutral to slightly bearish.
Slowing growth is not favorable for demand, but geopolitical supply risks may still outweigh the impact of macro data.
So my current ranking is:
Gold slightly bullish > ETH and SOL slightly bullish in the short term > BTC mildly bullish > Copper and crude oil more cautious.
If long-end Treasury yields keep refusing to decline, the bullish tailwind for this round of risk assets could quickly fade.
Do you think this set of data is most favorable for gold, or for the crypto market?
$BTC $ETH #PCE #黄金

GDP is below expectations, but core PCE hasn’t fully come down: this isn’t a major positive—just gives risk assets a chance to catch their breath.
Just released data:
US Q2 GDP annualized growth 1.5%, below the market’s 2.1% forecast
June total PCE fell 0.1% month-over-month, and rose 3.7% year-over-year
Core PCE rose 0.1% month-over-month, below the expected 0.2%
Core PCE year-over-year remains 3.3%, in line with expectations
My take:
This set of data is modestly positive in the short term for $BTC and technology stocks, but it’s not enough to prove the Fed will pivot to easing.
With GDP below expectations and the core PCE month-over-month cooling, it may ease market concerns about an immediate rate hike; however, core inflation year-over-year is still as high as 3.3%, and Q2 consumer spending grew 3.2%, indicating that US demand hasn’t truly broken down.
So I’m more inclined to think:
There may be a rebound in the short run, but for now we should treat it as a “post-data cooling” move rather than rush to define it as the start of a new uptrend.
Next, we need to watch two confirmation signals:
Whether US Treasury yields continue to fall
After $BTC rises, whether it can hold its gains instead of quickly surging and then dropping back
If Treasury yields don’t decline, worries about tightening will quickly return.
Do you think this data is truly “good news” that’s getting priced in, or is it only enough to let the market breathe for a moment?
$BTC #PCE #美联储 #宏观市场

The most important thing tonight may not be GDP, but core PCE.
At 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. will release its preliminary Q2 GDP, June PCE inflation, and personal income and spending data all at once.
These figures will very likely directly affect how the market re-prices the risk of a rate hike in September.
My view is:
As long as core PCE stays around 3.3% or even higher, the Fed will find it difficult to give risk assets a clear expectation of easing.
There are three reasons:
Even though the Fed did not raise rates this time, internally it is clearly more hawkish—among the 12 voting members, 3 already support an immediate 25-basis-point hike;
While June CPI and PPI have cooled, they still aren’t enough to prove that inflation risks have truly ended;
If tonight’s GDP shows resilience and core PCE is also elevated, the market will be even more concerned that the Fed has no reason to shift toward easing soon.
So I’m paying more attention to core PCE rather than just GDP.
If core PCE comes in higher than expected, I’ll be more cautious;
If core PCE falls while GDP shows no obvious slowdown, then that would be the kind of combo that looks like a positive catalyst for risk assets.
Tonight, will you focus on GDP first, or core PCE first?$BTC #美联储 #PCE #宏观市场

Tonight 20:30: Major data release — US Core PCE (the Fed’s core inflation anchor indicator)

Core expectations:
Previous value: YoY 3.4%, MoM 0.3%
Market forecast: YoY 3.3%, MoM 0.2%
This will be the first key inflation data after the Fed’s rate decision, directly impacting rate expectations and determining the short-term strength/weakness of BTC/ETH. Tonight’s volatility is certain to be amplified.

Three market scenarios:
1. Data > expectations (≥3.4%) → Bearish
Inflation stickiness comes in hotter than expected; expectations for high interest rates continue to heat up. The broader market faces pressure and is prone to quickly probe lower.
2. Data meets expectations (3.3%) → Range-bound with choppy “shakeout”
No clear direction. Price is likely to fluctuate up and down with wicks—focus on observation, do less, and don’t chase orders.
3. Data < expectations (≤3.2%) → Bullish
Inflation cools off; easing expectations recover, which is supportive of a rebound in the broader market. Be mindful of the risk of “good news being sold”—a rally that spikes and then fades.

Trading reminder:
Liquidity is extremely poor before and after the data—reduce leverage on contracts and use hard stop-losses
Don’t take a directional bet in advance; wait for the 15-minute chart to confirm, then trade in line with the move
With PCE staying elevated, this round is unlikely to produce a large-scale bull market

Summary: Worse-than-expected is bearish; better-than-expected is bullish; meeting expectations leads to a range-bound shakeout.#PCE #美国核心PCE即将公布

🔔 Tonight at 20:30: Core PCE makes its big debut 🔥🔥🔥

Key point: Core PCE is the inflation indicator the Fed cares about most. Its influence is greater than CPI and it directly determines the probability of rate-cut expectations.

Released at the same time: Q2 GDP and personal income & spending data—all coming out simultaneously, which will amplify market volatility.

Baseline reference:
✅ Core PCE price index, YoY: previous 3.40%, forecast 3.30%

Three scenarios for market volatility

Scenario 1: Core PCE > 3.30% (above forecast, inflation stubborn)

Interpretation: Inflation cools less than the market expects, and rate-cut expectations are pushed back significantly.
Market reaction: The US dollar strengthens, and US Treasury yields rise.
👉 Bearish for the market; it will very likely quickly fall back under pressure.

If GDP is also above forecast, it further reinforces the view that the economy is overheated and no rate cuts are needed—bearish pressure becomes even stronger.

Scenario 2: Core PCE = 3.30% (in line with expectations)

Interpretation: Inflation falls steadily and maintains the existing rate-cut schedule expectations.
👉 Price action will most likely first trade in a mild range; in the short term bulls and bears will wrestle, and it will most likely continue the current trend. It’s hard to break into a one-way strong move—watch which side market funds choose.

Scenario 3: Core PCE < 3.30% (below forecast, inflation continues to ease)

Interpretation: Inflation continues to cool, and the market starts pricing in the Fed starting rate cuts sooner.
👉 Bullish for the crypto market; liquidity expectations improve, and the market is more likely to see rebounds and upside moves.

Additional supporting data to help with judgment

1. US Q2 GDP, annualized QoQ: forecast 2.1%

- GDP > 2.1%: The US economy is resilient, weakening hopes for a large rate cut, which could offset the bullish effect of PCE
​
- GDP < 2.1%: Economic weakness + falling inflation—double positives for risk assets.

2. Personal spending, MoM: forecast 0.3%, previous 0.7%
A sharp drop in consumption signals the economy is cooling, which is bullish for rate-cut expectations; if consumption is hot, it means demand remains firm and is unfavorable for rate cuts.
#PCE #中际旭创港股首日跌12.77% #韩国拟暂停可疑加密账户支付 #韩国股市因三星财报反弹 #美国30年期国债收益率升至近5.23% $BTC $ETH

GM Market Briefing☕
Thursday, July 30 2026
$BTC Outlook (UTC 0):
🟨00:00–09:00 → Yellow => Asian session consolidation. Bitcoin holding near 63.7k after yesterdays FOMC pause. Markets are waiting for the US data dump. No conviction yet.
🟨09:00–11:00 → Yellow => London open with low volume. No major catalysts until 12:30 UTC. Sideways drift with slight bullish bias from dovish PCE expectations.
🟩11:00–15:00 → Green => US data hits at 12:30 UTC. Core PCE expected to cool from 0.3% to 0.2% MoM and 3.4% to 3.3% YoY. Personal Spending also cooling from 0.7% to 0.4%. Dovish signals outweigh the GDP beat (2.3% from 2.1%). BTC rallies towards 64.5k.
🟩15:00–18:00 → Green => US follow-through. Markets digest the data. If actual prints confirm dovishness, the rally extends. Fed's Balance Sheet at 20:30 UTC adds liquidity context. BTC pushes towards 65k.
🟨18:00–00:00 → Yellow => Late US close. Profit-taking emerges. Japanese data at 23:30 UTC (Tokyo Core CPI at 1.8% from 1.6%) may add minor volatility. Sideways drift with bullish bias.
Bias: Bullish (Dovish PCE)
RSI: 47.35
#NFA #DYOR 🔥
Not a futures signal🛑

📉 Core PCE expected to cool from 0.3% to 0.2% MoM and 3.4% to 3.3% YoY. Dovish.
📈 GDP beat expected at 2.3% from 2.1%, but inflation data dominates.
🏛️ Fed's Balance Sheet later will show liquidity injection. Structural support remains.
📊 RSI at 47.35, TD Sequential at 7 Down suggests downside exhaustion near.
💎 Strategy: Wait for actual PCE and Claims data at 12:30 UTC. If data is RED (cooling inflation, rising claims), go LONG towards 65k. If data is GREEN (hotter inflation, lower claims), go SHORT towards 62.5k. Do not enter before the release. Volatility will be extreme. Scale out before the US close.

$ETH $BNB #FOMCWatching #PCE #IranFiresBallisticMissilesAtJordan #TRUMP

🔴 HIGH IMPACT — Thursday July 31
PCE Price Index June 🔥
📅 8:30 AM ET · Headline PCE tracking at 3.65% YoY · Core PCE tracking at 3.33% YoY
The Fed's favorite inflation gauge — drops the morning after FOMC. Based on incoming data estimates, there will be some short-term energy relief — but oil surging 37.5% in three weeks complicates the picture significantly. 🌡️

#CorePCE #fomc #dyor #PCE

$ETH The real thing to watch isn’t the hour-to-hour rise and fall, but how this set of macro data at the end of July changes the discount rate on capital.

In the next 15 days, the FOMC will meet on July 28–29, and the BEA will release its second-quarter GDP estimate and June personal income and spending on July 30. For crypto, this isn’t just calendar filler. If rate expectations ease, long-term assets will benefit first; if growth data is too weak, it will also push risk appetite back down.

Right now in the Binance snapshot, ETHUSDT is around 1921, up 0.931% in 24 hours, with trading volume of roughly 631 million USDT. It’s not leading versus BTC, but it’s not falling behind either. At this level, I care about two things more: whether BTC can keep holding the main trend, and whether ETH itself can turn the area around 1900 into a consolidation/absorption zone.

If the PCE data comes in relatively mild, ETH’s upside elasticity may be more obvious than BTC’s, because the market will reprice on-chain earnings, staking expectations, and application-layer valuations. But once the data kills the imagination of rate cuts, even a high-beta asset like ETH can get chopped first.

So don’t rush to call a trend reversal. Hold the line, see volume expand, then talk about turning active.
$ETH $BTC #宏观 #PCE

The thing to watch isn’t just expectations of a rate cut, but whether the data released on July 30 will twist the pricing logic for risk assets back around.

On that day, BEA will release the initial reading of Q2 GDP and June personal income/PCE. PCE is the inflation measure the Fed likes more—year-over-year in May it was still 4.1%. If June cools off noticeably in line with CPI and PPI, the market will be more willing to assign valuations to $BTC and $ETH ; but if income and consumption remain solid, it will instead make the interest-rate path turn awkward again.

That’s why BTC isn’t just a “digital gold” story. It’s now more like a risk thermometer within highly liquid assets. When macro conditions loosen, funds buy the majors first; when macro tightens, even if alts are still hot, they’re easy to get flushed out. ETH is similar: whether it can hold above 1900 determines whether on-chain risk appetite can keep repairing.

I’ll look at two signals: BTC not breaking the 63100 area, and ETH being able to hold above 1840; plus, if PCE doesn’t rebound, the main storyline will be much smoother. Otherwise, don’t rush to talk about a big bull—slow down the position timing first.

$BTC $ETH #Binance #PCE #Crypto

🎯 Core PCE hits a 7-month low

📰 Fed’s megaphone: June core PCE is expected to rise only 0.18%, the lowest since last November. Rate-cut expectations are back again

💬 Honestly, this data is pretty crucial—before it lands, it will likely churn around the 65K area. If the direction is right, then there’s a story for the market

🏷️ #PCE #美联储 #BTC #加密市场 #rate cut

PCE might spike to 3.9%, Fed officials lining up to hawk – Rate hikes are on the way

April CPI year-over-year jumped to 3.8%, hitting a nearly three-year high, while PPI surged to 6%. Energy costs are fully transmitting to the service sector. Market expectations for April's core PCE have been raised to 3.2%-3.3%, with the overall PCE potentially reaching 3.9%.

The internal sentiment at the Fed has shifted. The minutes from the April meeting reveal that the "majority" of officials believe that if inflation remains above 2%, rate hikes "might become appropriate," with even "many" officials calling for the removal of language suggesting future rate cuts. This marks the largest internal divergence within the FOMC since 1992.

The interest rate futures market has priced in over a 60% chance of a rate hike before December, with the 10-year Treasury yield nearing 4.7% at one point, and the 30-year surpassing 5.2%, hitting a new high since 2007. Rate hikes are no longer a "black swan" event but are being factored into the baseline scenario.

#PCE #宏观预警 $HYPE

🚨 BREAKING: Key U.S. Inflation Data Just Dropped Markets Got Exactly What They Expected!

The latest Core PCE inflation data has been released, and the numbers came in exactly as forecast.

📊 Core PCE: 0.3%
✅ Market Expectation: 0.3%

No surprises. No shockwaves.

Core PCE remains one of the Federal Reserve's most closely watched inflation indicators, making this release a critical signal for risk assets, including Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

With inflation meeting expectations, traders will now be watching closely for the market's next move and any clues regarding future Fed policy decisions.

⚡ Crypto markets often react sharply to major macroeconomic data. Will this neutral reading provide stability, or is volatility still around the corner?

$SYN $JUP $PUMP
#USNews #BREAKING #PCE #TaikoSaysL2IncidentNoUserFundLoss #Inflation

Next week has three key events, each one more crucial than the last—Monday starts with China's LPR, and Friday brings the PCE which will determine our fate. But what I'm really keeping an eye on is Thursday's Nvidia shareholder meeting; with Blackwell+Vera ramping up production, last year this news shot NV up 4.3% to a new high. Bitcoin has been grinding at 64k for a month now, and if the PCE turns out soft + AI narrative sparks, someone might just flip the table in this mud pit.

The catch is, PCE has been sticky above 3% for a while, and Waller is sticking to data-driven rhetoric. If PCE exceeds expectations—rate hike fears will rear their heads again, and 64k may not hold. Conversely, if PCE drops + Nvidia leads the charge, the alpha in the AI chain should start to accumulate early.

How do you prioritize these three risks? Let's chat in the comments.

#下周事件 #宏观数据 #PCE

🚨 BREAKING: US PCE INFLATION DATA JUST HIT THE WIRES — AND IT CAME IN EXACTLY IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS 📊🇺🇸

This is a big one for the markets.

Headline PCE (YoY):
Actual: 3.8%
Expected: 3.8%

Core PCE (YoY):
Actual: 3.3%
Expected: 3.3%

The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge just delivered no upside surprise, and that matters.

Why traders care:
🔥 Inflation did not come in hotter than feared
🔥 Rate-cut hopes are still alive
🔥 Bond yields could ease if markets take this as a cooling signal
🔥 Bitcoin, stocks, and other risk assets may catch a bid if sentiment improves

Core PCE is the key number here because it strips out food and energy, giving a cleaner look at underlying inflation trends. And right now, the message is clear:

Inflation is still elevated — but it is not re-accelerating.
That’s a relief for markets and a key data point for the Fed.

Now all eyes turn to:
👀 Federal Reserve commentary
👀 Bond market reaction
👀 Bitcoin + Nasdaq volatility
👀 Future rate-cut odds

This was one of the most important macro prints on the calendar — and it landed without triggering a shockwave.
For traders, that’s a win. 🚀📈

#PCE #Inflation #FederalReserve #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets

🚨 HOT PCE DATA JUST DROPPED — AND BULLS ARE LOCKING IN 👀📈

U.S. inflation came in HOTTER than expected (3.8%) 🔥
That means money printers might stay active longer… and crypto LOVES liquidity 💸🚀

BTC holding strong.
Altcoins waking up.
Memecoin season could get absolutely insane 👀

Don’t get left watching from the sidelines. 🐂

#Bitcoin #PCE #Bullish #gua

$GUA
$ALLO
$BZ

#AsiaLeadsRegulatedCryptoAdoption