The U.S. midterms are entering the final countdown. Has the window for trading U.S. stocks around the election already opened?
The U.S. midterm elections are happening today. During my livestreams over the past couple of days, people have been asking whether they should make a bet on U.S. stocks based on the election results, or $BTC …
My answer: Don’t treat the election as a trading signal. This is much more likely to be a “noise window” than a “free money window.”
Why’s that? I looked through the data, and a few things struck me as pretty counterintuitive. People may feel that stock markets are more volatile in midterm election years, but JPMorgan analyzed data going back several decades and found that the average return in midterm election years was actually 9.2%. That’s certainly lower than the 13.3% in non-election years, and volatility is higher, too. But the key point is that the election itself isn’t what causes the volatility. For example, stocks fell in 2022, a midterm election year, because the Fed hiked rates aggressively. They fell in 2002 because of the aftereffects of the dot-com bubble. Blaming the election is just getting the cause and effect wrong 😂
Now, let’s look at the market. The baseline expectation is that Democrats will win the House while Republicans hold on to the Senate—in other words, a “divided government.” Some analysts have made the point directly: if that’s what happens, hardly anyone will trade on the result, because it’s already priced in. What might actually be worth trading is a low-probability outcome like “Republicans unexpectedly hold on to both chambers”—but betting on that is basically like flipping a coin 😂
And don’t forget, there’s a much bigger issue hanging over the market. The Fed held steady in October, but there are plenty of hawkish voices within the committee. The president of the Dallas Fed even said rates may need to be raised at least twice more. While you’re placing trades based on the election results, institutions are watching the odds of a December rate hike (currently priced by the market at around 85%).
So… For crypto and U.S. stocks, the election outcome is, at most, a short-term emotional “pulse” from the removal of uncertainty. If you already have positions, holding on is a better bet than trying to call the direction. If you’re out of the market and want to get in, consider waiting for the results and for volatility to come down before looking for an entry point. You’ll have better odds than by placing your bet now.
Folks, let’s not let our political enthusiasm affect our positions. After all, elections are elections, and trading is trading~ What do you think? Drop a comment below 🥳
A new chapter for StockFi officially begins! When traditional U.S. equity assets meet on-chain finance, StockFi becomes the next big narrative. Flying Squirrel is launching on BNB Smart Chain, with its launch on the FLAP platform scheduled for November 2, 15:00–19:00. Led by multiple institutions and backed by strategic capital, the project has a clear strategy and strong value-driven leadership. As a co-building community, Mars Guild will continue to foster consensus, nurture talent, and empower the ecosystem.
$6.3 billion was stolen, and Binance used its own money to plug 80% of the shortfall. If this had happened to another exchange, it might have been wiped out on the spot. But this time, #币安 is putting real money on the line…
The tokens corresponding to over $5 billion are already in place. They didn’t just make a promise to “pay people back”—they actually bought back USDC, $BTC , and $ETH and added them to the reserves. They’re also buying up the rest on the OTC market. On top of that, 3 billion has been frozen on-chain. A freeze doesn’t mean the funds have been recovered, but at least they’re showing their commitment, and they haven’t stopped taking action~
I think you can tell whether a platform is reliable not by what it usually says, but by whether it blames users or takes responsibility when something goes wrong.
Binance chose to take responsibility this time. CZ put it pretty plainly: the key question is “whether the platform can cover the losses in full, rather than making users bear them.” It sounds simple, but when it comes to paying out $6.3 billion, there aren’t many companies that can afford to do it…
The attack vector hasn’t been fully identified yet, but at least so far, they’ve backed up their response with both action and money. Isn’t the whole point of keeping our money with a major exchange that it can bail us out?
What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments 🥰 #币安披露黑客事件进展63亿美元损失已弥补八成
🌺@听澜321 Throughout this journey, your trust and support have made every step I take steady and strong!
Thank you to all my fans and friends for being there at every key moment. We come together through our shared passion in #币安 Square.
This is more than just a square— it's a journey we write together, as a community of kindred spirits…
There's still a long road ahead. May we keep moving forward side by side and weather every cycle together. Binance Square will be even more wonderful with you ❤️❤️❤️
BINANCE UNDER PRESSURE: THE CRYPTO MARKET ON ALERT!
The episode involving suspicious movements in Binance wallets raised concerns about security and transparency in the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin and Ethereum came under selling pressure. BNB felt the impact of the lack of confidence. Billion-dollar liquidations hit leveraged positions. 🔎 Movements involving billions of dollars raised questions about the security of exchanges. 🛡️ Binance's response and the investigations will be crucial to restoring investors' confidence.
Elon Musk's statement about security vulnerabilities also sparked curiosity in the community, although there is no proof that he had prior knowledge of the episode.
North Korean hackers are making headlines again 😯 Nearly 89% of crypto losses are linked to them—that share is downright terrifying! These aren’t ordinary thieves anymore, they’re a state-sponsored operation bringing in revenue…
Let me say a few things: while we’re playing DeFi on-chain and chasing shitcoins, they’re carrying out nation-state-level APT infiltration 😂 Our retail-investor anti-phishing awareness really doesn’t stand a chance against APTs~
So let’s not just curse the hackers—we should first take a good look at the cards we’re holding. Chasing shitcoins on-chain, blindly clicking airdrop links, and leaving token approvals uncleared is basically handing the North Korean comrades a weapon 😂 Getting the basics right is ten thousand times more effective than complaining afterward. So make sure you nail the fundamentals in advance, and don’t begrudge the effort~
Fortunately, #币安 has consistently maintained its risk controls and proof of reserves. At least the money kept on the exchange feels a lot safer than tossing it into some unknown liquidity pool. We have to stay vigilant about security ourselves. The platform may have our backs, but let’s not send the North Korean comrades money for their military budget~😂
$PREDICT is getting a spot listing on the #币安 exchange!
Let me start with a pretty practical take: this coin carries a Seed Tag, and Binance requires users to take a quiz every 90 days to trade it. That shows the platform has a clear understanding of its risk level. But that’s not a bad thing—in fact, it’s a way of protecting everyone, by encouraging you to think carefully about what you’re getting into before you make a move~
I think a spot listing is a good thing; it means the project has passed the platform’s review process. But “being tradable” and “deserving a big position” are two very different things~
$PREDICT is in the prediction market sector, which has plenty of potential, but prices for new tokens are often driven by sentiment early on, not supported by fundamentals~
Pre-market futures reached 1.99U, while the Prime Sale subscription price was only 0.29U. That gap alone shows that “early-stage” and the secondary market are really two different games~
So, all in all, coins with a Seed Tag may be worth testing with a small position, but they’re not suited to going all in…
Suggestion: don’t rush to chase the price when sentiment sends it soaring after listing. You can wait for the market to settle and get a clearer read on trading volume before deciding~ After all, new coins never lack opportunities—they lack investors with enough capital to stay in the game~
What do you think? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments ❤️
@听澜321 liquidations of around $1.5 billion, mostly in long positions, as a violent leverage flush following news of the alleged hacker attack. They argue that the drop was not a simple correction, but a rapid move that triggered automatic closures before many traders could react. They also warn that a rebound after the drop does not confirm a bottom: fewer leveraged positions do not mean a return of spot-market demand. The central message is to avoid replenishing margin impulsively and to prioritize risk management.
听澜321
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Just saw these numbers: $1.5 billion in liquidations 😮 Long positions accounted for nearly 90% of that… Put simply, this wasn’t a “pullback”—it was a targeted blowout of highly leveraged longs~
As soon as news broke that Binance had been hacked, prices plunged in an instant. Automated liquidations kicked in, leaving people no time to react. Those holding highly leveraged long positions didn’t necessarily get the direction wrong—they simply never got the chance to wait for a rebound.
I don’t think we should mistake “the liquidations are over” for “we’ve hit the bottom.” A lot of people see the price bounce after that sharp wick and assume everything’s fine. But it’s not that simple. Liquidations just mean leverage has been forcibly flushed out; they don’t mean spot buyers have really returned.
The hack and the fundamentals behind crypto prices are two different things. The market looks lighter now because everyone who was going to get liquidated already has been. A lighter market doesn’t mean prices are about to rise—it just means there’s temporarily no one left to stop them from falling~
So, everyone, if you still have positions open, don’t rush to throw the margin you just added back onto the table. At a time like this, staying in the game matters more than trying to catch the bottom~
What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments 🥰
🌺 BAPE is bringing online and offline together to fire the first shot in its all-channel growth strategy! Staying true to our original vision, we set out to explore new horizons; united in purpose, we open a new chapter— BAPE invites you to witness the start of a new cycle in its all-channel ecosystem.
Here’s how we’ve spent BAPE’s 200-plus days… Over 200 days is no short time. The market has had its ups and downs. We haven’t chanted a single slogan—we’ve simply made every step count: building on transparent on-chain mechanisms, bringing the community together through self-governance, and paving the way with nationwide grassroots outreach. We don’t chase trends or gamble on luck. We believe in one thing: a solid foundation comes before taking flight.
Today, we’re continuing to build awareness online while rolling out our grassroots outreach network across the board. Breaking into new audiences and deepening our roots go hand in hand, with both channels working together to create an all-channel impact. This isn’t a sudden burst of momentum. It’s the natural beginning after more than 200 days of quietly building strength~
At this AMA, we’ll get straight to the point: How to understand the advantages of our mechanisms, how to put our grassroots strategy into action, how to make our traffic strategy work, and how to safeguard long-term value. No beating around the bush or piling on buzzwords—just clear, in-depth explanations packed with practical insights…
We’ve also prepared exclusive prize draws and a major airdrop for the livestream, just to show our appreciation for the fans who tune in and support us 🥰
A possible cyberattack involving billions of dollars in digital assets set off alarm bells in the market this Thursday (29).
🔴 Suspicious activity in hot wallets. 🔴 Around US$1.8 billion in stablecoins may have been frozen. 🔴 Withdrawals temporarily suspended, according to reports. 🔴 Bitcoin and Ethereum under pressure amid uncertainty.
The security of funds and the transparency of investigations are essential to market confidence.
⚠️ In times of crisis, information is protection. Don't panic, and avoid making hasty decisions. $BTC $ETH #Binance #Bitcoin #CryptoSecurity #Ethereum #CryptoNews
A possible cyberattack involving billions of dollars in digital assets set off alarm bells in the market this Thursday (29).
🔴 Suspicious activity in hot wallets. 🔴 Around US$1.8 billion in stablecoins may have been frozen. 🔴 Withdrawals temporarily suspended, according to reports. 🔴 Bitcoin and Ethereum under pressure amid uncertainty.
The security of funds and the transparency of investigations are essential to market confidence.
⚠️ In times of crisis, information is protection. Don't panic, and avoid making hasty decisions. $BTC $ETH #Binance #Bitcoin #CryptoSecurity #Ethereum #CryptoNews
🌺 The voting for the “2026 Blockchain Top 100 Creators — Annual Streamer Nominee” has come to a close, but the words in my heart are only just beginning… I want to sincerely say “thank you” to every friend at home and abroad who has quietly supported @听澜321 !
Though we’ve never met, some of you are thousands of miles away; some are separated from me by language and time zones; and some have to rely on translation just to read my words. Yet all of you have quietly supported me from afar, sending your purest heartfelt wishes across mountains and seas to reach me! We may not speak the same language, but our hearts speak the same language—and this time, I’ve truly felt the profound meaning behind those words. I’ve seen every bit of your support, and I’ll carry it in my heart…
This hasn’t been an easy road. I’ve felt exhausted and uncertain, and there have been times when I had to grit my teeth and push through all alone. But because you’re here, even the hardest moments have felt a little warmer. Your company reminds me that no matter how difficult the road ahead, I have someone walking beside me—and no matter how dark the night, someone is lighting the way for me.
This vote has given me so much—not just numbers and results, but a chance to see who has been quietly giving their all, who has been lighting the way for me from the shadows, and who has stood by me silently and unconditionally. This bond means more to me than any result could ever mean~
Whatever the final result may be, I’m at peace! Because I’ve given it my all, and you’ve poured your hearts into supporting me. Neither of us has let the other down on this journey together. You’ve truly worked so hard…
In the days ahead, I’ll stay true to my original intentions, keep working hard, and move forward one step at a time. On the #币安 Square, let’s continue this journey hand in hand. We have plenty of time ahead, and a long road to travel. May we always be together~ #FOMC会议
🌺 The voting for “Annual Streamer Nominee among the 2026 Top 100 Blockchain Creators” has come to an end, but the words in my heart are only just beginning…
I want to sincerely say “thank you” to every friend at home and abroad who has quietly supported @听澜321 !
None of you have ever met me in person. Some of you are thousands of miles away; some are separated from me by language and time zones; and some have to rely on translation just to read my words. And yet, all of you have quietly supported me from behind the scenes, sending your purest goodwill across mountains and seas to reach me! We may not speak the same language, but our hearts speak to one another. This time, I’ve truly felt the profound meaning of those words! I’ve seen every bit of your support, and I’ll keep it in my heart…
This road hasn’t been easy. I’ve felt exhausted and uncertain, and there have been times when I gritted my teeth and kept going all alone. But because you were there, those difficult moments felt a little warmer. Your companionship reminds me that no matter how rough the road, someone is walking alongside me; no matter how dark the night, someone is lighting the way for me.
I’ve gained so much from this vote—not just numbers and results, but a clearer understanding of who has quietly given their all, who has been lighting the way for me in the shadows, and who has stood by me silently and unconditionally. This friendship is more precious than any result~
Whatever the final result, I’m at peace! Because I gave it my all, and you poured your hearts into supporting me. Neither of us has let the other down on this journey we’ve shared. You’ve all worked so hard…
In the days ahead, I’ll stay true to my original purpose, keep working hard, and move forward one step at a time. Let’s continue this journey together in the #币安 Square. We have a long road ahead, and all the time in the world. May we always stay together~
🌺 I met so many wonderful people while campaigning for votes this time 😭 Today, I’m picking one of them to post about (and I just realized I hadn’t followed him before—so embarrassing 😭) So many, many people sent me messages, but I only just saw his after I finished streaming…
On this poster, the only thing I can understand is my profile picture. I can’t understand any of the other text, but behind those words I can’t read is everything he quietly did, without seeking recognition or expecting anything in return. But kindness like this doesn’t need translating. Through his actions, he made “sincerity” crystal clear— more powerful than any words I can read.
I’ll remember this kindness! I can’t express my deepest “thank you,” because he never expected me to repay him anyway 😭
If you also like “听澜321,” please vote for her too. Thank you ❤️
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