UKong

$SAGA

In the short-term, the price action looks like a rally-and-retrace: the 0.05 integer level plus the previous high at 0.05115 form a clear resistance zone. Below that, 0.046–0.044 is the earlier consolidation platform. Further down, 0.042 and 0.03935 are stronger support levels.

The volume hasn’t fully dried up yet as price falls, which suggests the bears are gaining some momentum—the market is already starting to cash out at higher levels.

Personal trade plan: short.
Entry: wait for a rebound into the 0.0498–0.0505 range to short.
Stop loss: 0.0528.
Take profit: around 0.0375.

If it breaks below 0.046 and accelerates downward, hold. Only consider a reversal after it reclaims 0.05115 and holds above it.
Small-cap volatility is high—manage position sizing well; don’t go all-in. NFA.

Now that this round of the US stock AI rally has come this far, you can’t just blindly chase hot stocks.

The market’s disagreements are pretty significant right now:

On one side, big tech companies are continuously increasing capital expenditures, and the orders for computing power are real.

On the other side, valuations could lead to a deep pullback at any moment under valuation pressure. So my own approach isn’t an all-in bet. I prioritize holding the core positions with solid underlying logic, and I keep some cash reserved to wait for pullback opportunities.

On the hardware side, I’ve taken a small position in $MU , mainly betting on the HBM memory track. As cloud server capacity expands, HBM demand is hard and non-negotiable. The expectation for product price increases is still there, but this stock is extremely volatile. My position size is kept very low, so it’s only suitable for long-term planning—not for frequent short-term trading back and forth.

On the software side, I allocated a bit into Microsoft $MSFT . On the one hand, Azure cloud continues to capture demand for model computing power. On the other hand, Copilot has started rolling out as a paid offering for enterprise customers. Compared with pure-play chip manufacturers, Microsoft has both the compute base layer and AI software products, giving it a more balanced business structure. That should help smooth out some of the impact from industry-cycle swings.

I didn’t add any additional AI stocks. In my view, the long-term direction for AI is fine, but the biggest risk at this stage comes from valuation. If market risk appetite declines, pullbacks in high-growth stocks can be quite frightening. Rather than digging for every kind of theme everywhere, it’s more prudent to stay with companies whose revenue realization you can already see, and then gradually add to positions when the market falls.

#AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会

$4

The short-term has slightly run out of steam. The structure is still an upward channel, but the rejection at 0.028 is very clear. For now, it’s more reliable to treat it as a spike-and-retrace.

Key levels:
Resistance: 0.0268–0.0272 — a small consolidation zone. Above it is 0.02805 (the prior high), then 0.0295.
Support: 0.0248–0.0252; below that is 0.0228. Strong support is at 0.0204 / 0.01934.

Personal plan: short.
Entry: short in batches at 0.0268–0.0272.
Stop loss: above 0.0293.
Take profit: first target 0.0248 (reduce a bit), second target 0.0228. The main target is around 0.0150.

The middle level at 0.0193 is the key line of defense—only if it breaks through does the shorting space truly open.
If there’s a pullback and price directly holds above 0.02805, and stays there, then this trade is void—don’t force it.
Not a call—manage your own position.

$NIL

Recently I’ve been pushing Encrypted Markets and Covenants. Dusk plans to launch on the Ethereum mainnet in the first week of October. The narrative is still there, but more of the move is driven by what the chart does itself.

First, let’s look at the structure: the recent low is around 0.06738, which held and stopped the drop. Then there was a breakout with strong volume that swept upward. The 24h high was tagged at 0.08750, and now it has pulled back to around 0.081.

Overall, it’s still making higher highs and higher lows. However, that 0.0875 wick was clearly slammed back down, and momentum in the short term looks a bit exhausted.

Key support to watch:
- Near-term 0.078–0.075 (a previous small consolidation)
- Next lower at 0.072
- The strongest support is that 0.0674 low; if that breaks the structure changes

Resistance:
- Near-term 0.083–0.085
- The key is still the previous high at 0.0875
- Only after breaking it will there be a chance to look toward 0.094

My personal plan: go long.
Entry: scale in within 0.076–0.078
Stop loss: below 0.067
Take profit: first target around 0.0875—reduce there; second target 0.094–0.096. If it goes farther, leave a small portion to try for 0.11.

If 0.075 can’t be held and it directly breaks through 0.067, then this long setup is invalid—don’t fight it.
For the short term, first see whether the pullback can be accepted/held. If it holds, follow along; if it doesn’t, stay on the sidelines.
Not financial advice—manage your own risk and position sizing.

$KERNEL

The momentum burst when it was being pushed higher, but afterwards it clearly lost strength. It has now pulled back to around 0.062 and is consolidating; each successive high is lower than the last, and trading volume has also been shrinking—this is a typical distribution/pullback structure after a spike.
In the short term, support is around 0.060–0.061 (the previous high-density trading area). Below that are 0.055 and the earlier low at 0.047. Resistance is very clear: the first barrier is 0.065–0.066, and 0.070–0.071 is the 24-hour high. If it can’t break through, it will most likely continue moving downward.

Personal plan: short
Entry: wait for a rebound into the 0.0635–0.065 range to go short
Stop loss: 0.072
Take profit: first target 0.055, second target around 0.047 (the earlier low).

Overall: the move up was too intense; in the short term, bullish momentum can’t keep up. For now, look for a pullback to digest. Note: don’t use too much leverage—this kind of low-market-cap coin has high volatility.

$BTC

In spot ETFs, net inflows of about $433 million were recorded last Friday. Strategy also disclosed that it added roughly 950 BTC. Price broke through the 83,000–86,000 short-seller dense zone in one go after hovering around 81,000. Short positions were liquidated by hundreds of millions, approaching the ~$800 million range—this is spot buying plus a short squeeze.
Saylor posted, “We’re so back.”

Resistance: 87,385 (near-term), 88,000, and the psychological level of 90,000.
Support: 86,300–86,000, 85,000 (the platform that was just broken through—must hold), 84,200, and below that are 82,800 / 80,819.

The structure still points to moving upward with higher lows.

Personal trade plan: go long.
Entry: On a pullback to 85,800–86,250, scale in with batches.
Stop loss: 84,750.
Take profit: First target 87,380—sell 20%. Second target 88,800—sell another 20%. Third target 92,200–92,800.

If it directly rebounds back to 87,385 with a strong bullish candle, do not flip bearish—reduce exposure instead, and wait until 87,385 is retested and held as support before considering adding.
The shorts have just been liquidated; right now, shorting at the top has a very low probability of success.

$XAU

Personal operation: go long
Entry: pullback 4358–4366, buy in batches
Stop loss: 4318
Take profit in batches: first target 4388 (sell 30%), second target 4425 (sell another 30%), main target 4495–4520

Current price 4368 is already slightly around the mid-axis—don’t FOMO into chasing longs, and don’t go try the top short just because of two bearish candles.
The 4327 sweep hasn’t been broken yet. If liquidity improves in the US session and price pushes directly to 4388, reduce exposure without flipping to a short.
Not investment advice—gold can wipe out the overnight position with just a small move.

$ZETA

An official major development just landed: the proposal passed, with 99.4% agreeing to shut down their own L1. ZETA 1:1 migrates to Solana as an SPL, and the narrative is being changed to use Anuma’s private AI as an application-layer token. After migrating, there will be a second vote; the exchange has not formally confirmed the swap yet either. “Killing their own chain to go to Solana,” but the market has already shifted from accumulation to distribution.

Structurally, once the news impulse wave ends, the high-range consolidation turns weaker. 0.060–0.0615 is the newly established base platform and the most comfortable area for short-position cover/entries. 0.0706 is the “head” of this move—only if it truly reclaims that level does a short thesis get invalidated. Down below, 0.0543 is the near-term support; if it breaks, the next targets are 0.050 and 0.044. Further out is the ignition platform at 0.038–0.040.

Personal plan: I will short.
Entry: On a pullback, short in batches at 0.0598–0.0615; the main order around 0.0608.
Stop-loss: 0.0668.
Take-profit: First target 0.0500—reduce by half. Second target 0.0440—reduce again. Third target 0.0355–0.0388.

Not investment advice—contracts can liquidate very quickly, size according to your own principal.

$PHA

The market is actively trading the AI + privacy computing narrative; the spillover from ZEC is being propagated—once funds come in, they move in.

At the high level, a big bullish candle pushed directly to around 0.066. Volume surged instantly. It has already pulled back 20%+ from the high. As volume falls back from its peak, it indicates that those who chased at the top are starting to exit, and near-term momentum is weakening.

Personal strategy: short.
Entry: short on a rebound around 0.054–0.055.
Stop loss: above 0.060.
Take profit: first target 0.045, second target around 0.042.

Don’t take too heavy a position—this coin is very volatile and pullbacks happen quickly.
If it directly breaks below 0.048 and can’t hold, you can consider adding to the position or moving the take-profit, but follow the plan first.
Watch the chart yourself—don’t go all-in (no “yolo”). The market can change at any time. Set your stop loss before you act.

$龙虾

The upper wick is long and thin at the high; the volume is the largest for the whole day—typical of a topping where distribution follows.
The structure has shifted from a single-sided move to a pullback from the high.

Personal setup: Short
Entry: 0.268–0.273 area. If the price can’t push higher and breaks that area, open a short there; or if it drops heavily and breaks below 0.252, only short again if the subsequent retest/overshoot fails to reclaim.
Stop loss: Above 0.298
Take profit: First target 0.232, second target 0.168

The prerequisite to switch to longs is at least reclaiming 0.275 and closing firmly. The pressure level line is clearly visible—handle this as a short first.
Meme contracts are not spot; slippage is large. Any unplanned wick movements are to be treated as normal.

$ETH

The sell-off power is strong; after the pullback, the rebound is already on shrinking volume. 2708 is a clear sell-pressure level, not a breakthrough that’s easily passed.

Structurally, it’s still high-level consolidation within a larger-scale rebound. In the short term, it has shifted from one-way movement to being unable to go higher and not dropping deeply.

Personal plan: short.
Entry: rebound into 2688–2695 to short in batches; the main position targets 2690.
Stop loss: 2740.
Take profit: first target 2600, second target 2440.

If it breaks below 2640, you can consider adding a bit, but don’t chase a short at 2660. If
volume returns and it reclaims 2708 and holds above 2720, then cancel the short positions directly.
When BTC suddenly pulls like a gust, ETH will also tremble—keep some room in position sizing.

$VVV

Venice privacy AI + buyback/burn + the private inference/entry narrative with NEAR over there has been steadily simmering. The community has also grouped $VVV and $NEAR together as the AI/privacy rotation.

The short-term trend has shifted from one-way to high-level distribution and probing. The highest volume appeared during the top run. As it pulled back, volume contracted; bullish momentum is weakening. This isn’t panic selling after a deep drop.

Personal plan: short
Entry: short in batches on the rebound to 33.00–33.20, with the main position targeting 33.10.
Stop loss: 34.20
Take profit: first target 30.80, second target 27.70

If it breaks below 32.20, you can consider adding a bit.
If volume increases and price reclaims 33.38 and holds above 33.60, the short position is invalid.
Short-term is a high-level pullback; the mid-term narrative is still there—don’t go all-in on position sizing.

$NEAR

The structure is at the end of an upward channel, but the short-term momentum has shifted from a fierce pull to grinding against resistance.
Volume is highest in the initial rise; during the subsequent spike higher, it didn’t expand further—typical signs that profit-taking has started to loosen.

Personal trade: short.
Entry: on a rebound to 4.40–4.43, short in batches; main position targets 4.42.
Stop loss: 4.55.
Take profit: first target 4.10, second target 3.65.

The mid-term story is still there—don’t turn a short-term short into a belief trade.
If volume increases and price reclaims 4.46 and holds above 4.50, cancel this trade directly.
A drop below 4.30 could be an opportunity to add a little, but the core idea is still to wait for a rebound back toward the prior high to enter again; chasing shorts can get hit by a quick reversal.

$PTB

A long upper shadow indicates heavy sell pressure above. Volume did not die immediately during the decline, and the shorts are still gaining strength.

Personal plan: Short.
Entry: On the rebound to 0.00118–0.00122, short in batches. For the main position, look around 0.00120.
Stop loss: 0.00135
Take profit: First target 0.00095, second target 0.00082.

Don’t take too aggressive a position size—this coin has large slippage and many wick spikes.
If it breaks 0.00100, and accelerates downward, you can add a bit. But the cleaner short entry is when it fails to rebound above 0.00122 and shows a volume-backed stall/hesitation.
If the rebound directly holds above 0.00132, this setup is invalid—don’t hold on stubbornly.

$CELR

Push upward step by step from the bottom around 0.0023–0.0024. There were a few sideways periods in the middle to digest, and then an explosive acceleration on rising volume—straight doubling and approaching +94%. The peak briefly touched 0.004998, and it’s currently pulling back to around 0.004564. It feels a bit dispirited in the short term, but overall the structure is still clearly an uptrend: successive highs are being made higher, and the lows are also lifting. Trading volume has been coordinating well, and in the next few waves, the rally volume is likely to expand noticeably.

In the short term: after coming down from the peak, there have been consecutive bearish candles, which looks like a normal pullback after being overbought. The 0.0045–0.0046 area is holding for now—if it can stay put, another push higher could happen at any time. If it breaks down on increasing volume, the first line of defense will be around the starting point of that earlier accelerating move (roughly 0.0040–0.0042). Further down, there’s a dense prior-high zone around 0.0035.

Overhead resistance is the recent 0.00498–0.00500 psychological level. Only if it breaks through and holds steady will there be room for further acceleration.

Overall, this is a high-range consolidation phase after a low-level explosive rally. The risk of chasing highs is now clearly greater than at the low point. But after such a fast surge, it’s also completely normal for the bears to start probing.

Personal plan: go short.
Entry: near the current price, around 0.00456–0.00462, try shorting in batches.
Stop loss: above 0.00512.
Take profit: first target 0.00405–0.00410; second target 0.00348–0.00355.

Key levels to watch: support at 0.00450 and resistance at 0.00500. If it breaks below 0.00450, you can add to the short. If it stands above 0.00500, admit the mistake and exit decisively.

The move comes fast and leaves fast—keep position sizing under control.

$STRK

After the L2 rotation and the rise of counterfeit sentiment, the market chases higher and then liquidity is “hunted” in the tape—typical spike-and-retrace and profit-taking after a fake breakout.

The price is currently stuck around 0.04037, churning. Downside volume has already shrunk, indicating selling pressure has temporarily paused. However, the dense trading zone overhead around 0.042–0.044 hasn’t been digested yet; any rebound is likely to get slammed again.

Personal plan: go short.
Entry: wait for a rebound to the 0.0418–0.0425 area, then short.
Stop loss: 0.0448.
Take profit: first target at 0.0380; second target at 0.0345–0.0350.

If 0.0448 is effectively reclaimed, this short trade will be admitted as a loss and exited directly.
If it doesn’t reclaim, keep following the pullback setup. Don’t chase a short at the current price near 0.040—there isn’t enough room to make it look good.

$F

The higher-level stagnation has a slightly stronger taste; the first two waves were volume-expanding rallies and then volume-contraction adjustments. Now it’s grinding around 0.005, and it could choose a direction at any time.

Personal plan: short
Entry: try short around 0.00520–0.00530
Stop loss: 0.00580
Take profit: 0.00450; if it breaks, continue to look at 0.00380, or even back to the original 0.0033 range.

The key is to watch whether the 0.00550 resistance can hold. If it can’t hold, don’t force a short first. Control your position size yourself—don’t go all-in.

$HYPE

Official has just announced the launch of Manual Borrows. With HYPE/BTC as collateral, you can borrow USDC/USDT—and on the very first day, 269 million were borrowed. Combined with yesterday’s SEC Innovation Exemption and other positive catalysts like NEAR confidential perpetuals, capital pushed the price directly from the low end all the way to a new high of 92.766.

After starting around 86, the chart showed a classic stair-step rally. Pullbacks in the middle were brief and shallow, while volume noticeably increased in the latter half. After reaching 92.766, there was a small dip; the price is currently consolidating around 91.5 to digest gains. Overall, it’s still clearly a strong structure at elevated levels, and the key uptrend momentum hasn’t been broken. The 24h low at 81.666 is now a long way behind. In the short term, what matters most is whether this high-level consolidation turns into a launchpad for a continuation upward.

Right now, volume has eased a bit from the peak—this is normal. If it can hold steady around 90.5–91, it will likely attempt the highs again. But if it breaks below 90 on increased volume, short-term sentiment will cool off significantly.

My personal strategy: go long
Entry: buy in batches on the pullback between 90.2–90.8
Stop loss: 88
Take profit: first target 96.5–97, second target 105–106

Note: In high-level markets, fake breakouts followed by pullbacks are common. Don’t deploy your full position at once—scaling in is better. If it directly breaks down through 89.2 with heavy volume, then consider adjusting your plan.

$UNI

Yesterday the SEC granted an innovation exemption, allowing compliant license-model AMM transactions to be tokenized US stocks.
Uniswap officially said that in Robinhood Stock Token trades, roughly 80% goes through Uniswap, with cumulative volume already exceeding $10 billion.
Superstate also publicly stated they want to use v4 Permissioned Pools to move tokenized stocks onto the chain.
Fee burn is still ongoing, Robinhood Chain volume is still surging, and a round of short liquidations has happened.
So this isn’t just a sentiment-driven pump—it’s a combination of the regulatory narrative + real trading activity + shorts getting squeezed at the same time.

On the chart, price stepped up from 6.209 all the way higher, with almost no meaningful pullbacks in between—typical trend acceleration. At the high, there was a candle with wicks both above and below showing a bearish move; volume is still there, suggesting it needs to push too hard first and shake out short-term longs.
The earlier up-move green bars on the volume bottom clearly expanded; during the pullback, volume didn’t match perfectly, more like rotation/turnover at high levels rather than an immediate top where selling hits hard.
Short-term overheating is real, but the daily timeframe trend hasn’t broken.

Personal plan: go long.
Entry: scale in within the 8.50–8.70 range.
Stop loss: 8.05. If it drops below 8.2 and then breaks 8.05 again, this acceleration structure is basically invalidated.
Take profit: first target 10.50, second target 12.70.

Don’t go full position—high-level volatility gets messy. If it pulls back to around 8.50, watch first; if 9.456 isn’t broken, keep waiting.

$COTI

Official just rolled out Avalanche Privacy-on-Demand + Privacy Portal (Sept 16-17). One-click privacy for AVAX/USDC: the news flow directly blew up the market. It surged from around 0.0175 to 0.02673, with a peak gain of over 37%.
The public sentiment is also moving—during the rotation among small-cap coins, COTI’s appearance rate has clearly increased. Now that the news has passed the first wave of momentum, the market is entering a digestion phase.

Starting from the low level around 0.0166, it launched a main rally with almost no pullback. After hitting 0.02673, it quickly dropped back, and is currently moving sideways in the 0.0236–0.0244 range. Volume has fallen from the surge peak, but hasn’t fully died out—this is a typical “high-level consolidation after good news is realized.”
In the short term, the structure is choppy, but the bigger picture still favors bulls. The dense trading zone above is around 0.0255–0.0267. If it pulls back, support to watch is 0.0230–0.0225.

Personal plan: go long.
Entry: around the current price 0.0242 to take a small position; a steadier approach is to add on the pullback near 0.0232–0.0230.
Stop loss: below 0.0218.
Take profit: first target 0.0265–0.0268; second target can be 0.0285–0.0290.

If it breaks below 0.0218, admit the mistake and exit—don’t hold and fight it out.
During high-range consolidation, don’t chase; it’s more comfortable to wait for a pullback before acting.
If there’s no new near-term catalyst in the news flow, first see whether this consolidation can hold above 0.023.