MK守约

Article

Summary of the series of articles on 'The Philosophy of Trading', continuously updated～

This article will summarize a series of articles written on the trading sector.
The directory is as follows ⬇️ for fans to quickly jump ⏭️
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#站在守约的肩膀上悟自己的交易之道
56。《为什么你总是在错误的位置加仓》
55。《扛单的本质，是不承认自己错了》

BNB-0.83%

PINNED

Just saw it! It's over 10,000!
I'm going to show off!
It seems that except for Binance's official live broadcast.
No individual anchor has exceeded 10,000!
Am I the first one?
Hahaha!

BNB-0.83%

Verified

Meets market expectations. A 25 basis point rate hike has been implemented.
$BTC

Verified

Article

93% bet on a rate hike, BTC held at 75,600: tonight’s most dangerous thing isn’t guessing the wrong direction—it’s chasing the first candlestick

93% bet on a rate hike, and BTC held at 75,600: tonight’s most dangerous thing isn’t guessing the wrong direction—it’s chasing the first candlestick.
Whenever it’s FOMC, don’t you always make the same mistake?
The moment you see the words “rate hike,” you immediately go short.
After the first needle is driven in, you think the downside is exhausted—then you flip and chase longs.
As soon as the press conference started, the market reversed course, and both longs and shorts got hit.
Tonight’s most dangerous thing isn’t that you guessed wrong about the Fed.
But what you do is treat the first candlestick as the final answer.
A piece of information that 93% of people know is no longer a secret.
At 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on September 17, the U.S. Federal Reserve released its interest rate decision and the latest economic projections; at 2:30 a.m., the chair, Kevin Warsh, held a press conference.

Article

49 to 50—looks like a gap of 1 vote, but in reality it’s a gap of 11: after CLARITY failed, what did the crypto world truly lose?

49 to 50—looks like a gap of 1 vote, but in reality it’s a gap of 11: after CLARITY failed, what did the crypto world truly lose?
The core isn’t “if the bill doesn’t pass, will BTC fall?”—it’s this:
126 amendments can’t buy even a single cross-party “yes” vote. What the market is selling isn’t BTC itself, but the certainty of regulatory oversight for the U.S. crypto industry.
The following is the full draft; it hasn’t been published yet.
Those who were still waiting for good news from the CLARITY Act last night ended up waiting for a set of numbers that are very easy to misread:
49 votes in favor, 50 against.
At first glance, you might think it’s only a one-vote difference.
Wrong.
This procedural vote needs 60 votes. CLARITY wasn’t short by 1 vote—it was short by 11, and didn’t even get close to the threshold for entering formal debate.

Bearish

Sit down, sit down, everybody sit down. Basic operations—don’t overthink.
Do your market analysis and make predictions, and believe in your own viewpoint. The rest is up to the fans and time; the outcome will have the fans argue it out for you.
$BTC

MK守约

Bearish

$BTC 达摩克利斯之龙吐息 ing ...

Whose fan order is this? So hard to guess, huh. $BTC

Bearish

$BTC 7万6 it's broken. Can this wave hold at 75500?
If it can’t hold, then we’ll have to go to 6w8.

MK守约

Just right—thanks for the 18pm sent by $SOL ……

$ETH this 100u dip drops very smoothly.

Just right—thanks for the 18pm sent by $SOL ……

Bearish

Before $LSK , the prices across multiple platforms were completely inconsistent. Unable to withdraw coins for arbitrage.
Afterward, there was a violent pump to generate hype; next comes a complete mess on the ground.
They’ve said in the livestream many times that for this kind of coin, nobody would still be buying in that much, right?
Waiting for this coin to go to zero.

LSK+93.24%

777 - Fan Group Entry ⬇️!

Draw the door again. I’ll come again with an extra hand to Xiaokong!

Article

60 votes decide the fate of crypto? If the CLARITY Act passes, don’t chase. If it fails, don’t rush to dump

60 votes decide the fate of crypto? If the CLARITY Act passes, don’t chase. If it fails, don’t rush to dump.
Are you already ready?
The CLARITY Act passes—chase longs.
The CLARITY Act fails—smash the market.
If you really plan to do this, stop for a moment first.
At 2:15 a.m. Beijing time on September 16, the U.S. Senate will hold a key procedural vote on the CLARITY Act. The threshold is 60 votes. The Republicans currently have 53 seats, so even in the ideal scenario where all Republicans support it, at least 7 Democratic or independent members would need to cross party lines. And if there’s any dissent within the Republican Party, you’d need even more cross-party votes.

🎙️ AMA-9-14 The Road Is Long, But We Keep Our Promise

End

02 h 12 m 46 s

321

#事件合约 Is this thing fun for anyone?
I saw some fans in the fan group saying it’s fun, but I don’t think there’s any momentum. I tried it.
The feeling is, odds around 80–85. It’s hard to explain.
🐶 nobody plays it (ps: if the dog won’t, I’ll play it).
After playing, I had this thought:
In one sentence: “bet big or bet small, bet and release, then wait to die (roll the dice).”
There’s zero flexibility and zero strategy—no real trading or game play.
I can’t feel any fun at all.
It’s basically just gambling. And per round, you’re only allowed to place up to 5 bets of 250u each.
It’s pure boredom—when you’ve got nothing else to do, you can pass the time.
Not really fun. Not recommended!

Article

With bearish pressure mounting, why is BTC so resilient?

With bearish pressure mounting, why is BTC so resilient?
Have you noticed something rather unusual?
What’s recently been weighing on BTC is that there are almost no good headlines.
August CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year; core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, above the market expectation of 0.2%. After the data came out, market pricing for a 25-basis-point rate hike in September quickly jumped to about 85%.
US 10-year Treasury yield once surged to 4.98%; by the official close on September 11, it was still 4.96%. The 10-year real yield also reached 2.60%.
ETFs are seeing outflows as well. From September 8 to 11, US spot BTC ETFs had total net outflows of $443.5 million.

Article

CPI month-on-month at 0.4% and an 86% rate-hike probability: BTC still “painted a trap” at $79,890—going long or short got harvested.

With the CPI month-on-month at 0.4% and the probability of a rate hike at 86%, BTC still “painted a trap” at $79,890: going long or short got you harvested.
Your direction might not be wrong, but your position got knocked out.
At 20:30 Beijing time, the CPI is released.
BTC first got slammed to $76,046. You see core inflation higher than expected, and you chase the short.
An hour and a half later, the price surged to $79,890. Your short position’s stop loss is triggered, and you start to wonder whether the bad news is already “fully priced in.”
Above $79,000, you’re afraid of missing out—so you hesitate to chase longs.
In less than two hours, BTC bottomed at $77,303. From the peak, it gave back $2,587, a drop of about 3.24%. As of 00:43 the next day, the price was around $77,745.

Let the storm come even more violently.
$BTC

Bearish

With such a strong pull, I’ll short with one hand to see how it feels.
$SOL 105.55 $ETH 2666