Kalshi Odds of September Fed Rate Hike Rise to 34% as Bitcoin Rallies Prediction markets showed a clear uptick in expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate increase while Bitcoin was climbing last week. Key Details from the Latest Kalshi Data: > Probability of a 25-basis-point (0.25%) hike: 34% > Meeting date: September 16, 2026 > Odds have moved higher compared with earlier readings this month A rate hike means the Federal Reserve would raise its benchmark interest rate, typically done to fight inflation. Higher rates can make borrowing more expensive and sometimes pressure risk assets like Bitcoin. Prediction markets such as Kalshi reflect real-money bets from traders on what they believe will happen. The rise in hike odds occurred at the same time Bitcoin and the broader crypto market posted strong weekly gains. Markets often price in policy expectations ahead of official decisions, creating situations where asset prices and rate odds move in opposite directions. Does the jump in rate-hike odds suggest traders see stronger inflation data coming, or is it simply short-term positioning ahead of the September meeting? #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #BTC Price Analysis#
$BTC Demand Turns Positive in Both Spot and Futures Markets For the first time since Bitcoin’s all-time high in October 2025, demand has turned positive in both the regular (spot) market and the leveraged perpetual futures market. In simple terms: > Spot demand means people are actually buying and holding real Bitcoin on exchanges. > Perpetual futures demand means traders are increasing leveraged bets that the price will rise. When both move higher at the same time, it usually shows broader buying interest from both long-term holders and short-term traders. The last time this happened was around Bitcoin’s previous peak. According to data from CryptoQuant, the current rise is still modest. Analysts note that if this trend continues for another month, it could signal that the recent downturn is ending and a stronger upward phase may be beginning. A clear shift in market demand after many months of weaker buying pressure. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH
August 2026 Becomes Bitcoin’s Strongest Month in Years August has historically been Bitcoin’s weakest month of the year. Looking at data since 2013, the median (typical middle) return for August is –6.99% — the worst performance of any month on the calendar. Many past Augusts finished in the red. This year is completely different. August 2026 is currently up +25.58%. That makes it: > The best month for Bitcoin since November 2024 > The strongest August performance since 2017 > Still running with 7 days left in the month In simple terms: the month that usually hurts Bitcoin the most is delivering one of its biggest gains in years. A clear break from the long-term seasonal pattern. #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH #BTC Price Analysis#
Zcash Surges Over 70% in Crypto’s Strongest Week Since 2021 The wider crypto market just enjoyed one of its best weeks in years, with $BTC rising about 24% and ETH climbing over 30%. Zcash (ZEC) stood out even more, jumping more than 70% and reaching an eight-year high near $885 before settling around $820. Here’s what is driving the move in simple terms: > Grayscale (a major investment firm) filed plans to turn its existing Zcash product into a regular stock-market ETF. This would make it much easier for everyday investors to buy $ZEC through normal brokerage accounts. Talks are underway for a large purchase of roughly 200,000 ZEC by a related company. > A major network upgrade vote (called NU7) is also underway, adding extra attention to the project. > The broader market rebound from low sentiment levels has given extra fuel to privacy-focused coins like Zcash. Zcash is a privacy-focused cryptocurrency that lets users choose to keep transactions more private than regular Bitcoin transfers. The combination of an ETF push and strong overall market momentum has made it one of the week’s top performers. A clear example of how specific project news plus a strong market week can create rapid price moves.
#BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ZEC #Macro Insights#
Needham Says Bitcoin’s Rebound “Has Legs” Analysts at the research firm Needham believe Bitcoin’s recent price recovery is real and can continue higher. Here’s what they highlighted in simple terms: > In the first half of 2026, Bitcoin miners and companies that hold large amounts of Bitcoin (called DATs) sold about $4.2 billion worth of the coin. This selling pressure is now fading. > Investor mood had dropped to the same extreme fear levels last seen during the big 2022 crypto crash. When sentiment gets this low, prices often start recovering. > The intense hype around artificial intelligence (AI) and commodities (like gold or oil) is cooling down. That means more money may flow back into Bitcoin instead. These three factors, according to Needham, give the current rebound a solid foundation. Bitcoin has already climbed from the mid-$60,000s back toward the high $70,000s in recent weeks. A clear signal that professional analysts see this upward move as having lasting strength.
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stablecoins are becoming something people actually spend crypto card spending hit around $1.04b in july, more than 3x from a year ago, with over 10m tracked transactions usdc made up around 50.8% of the volume while usdt added another 20.3% that means more than 70% of the tracked card spending came from just these two dollar stablecoins and the interesting part is where the money is going > groceries, > food, > travel, > subscriptions and everyday purchases are becoming part of the activity this is a different kind of crypto adoption people aren’t just holding digital dollars anymore they’re using them to pay for things gud tek >>> #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH #Macro Insights#
Decentralized exchange (DEX) activity jumped sharply last week as traders returned to on-chain platforms. Daily trading volume on DEXs rose from about $3.3 billion to a peak of $12.9 billion — nearly a 4x increase. This marks one of the strongest short-term rebounds in on-chain activity since early summer. Unlike previous cycles dominated by a single chain, memecoin trading this time has been spread across multiple ecosystems, each producing its own local winners. Breakdown of the recent activity: > Overall DEX volume surged nearly 4x in a week, peaking at $12.9 billion in a single day > Activity fragmented across Base, Solana, Hyperliquid, and Robinhood ecosystems > Solana delivered some of the largest percentage gains (examples: CYBERLEEK +1,639%, WEN +382%) > Base saw strong local movers such as DRB (+539%) > Hyperliquid and Robinhood Chain also produced their own standout memecoins with triple-digit weekly returns This pattern shows speculative interest returning in a more distributed way rather than concentrating on one network. It has come alongside the broader market rebound and rising overall DEX volumes that recently crossed $10 billion again for the first time since June. A clear sign that local memecoin seasons are heating up across multiple chains at the same time.
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $ETH #BTC Price Analysis#
stablecoins are becoming something people actually spend crypto card spending hit around $1.04b in july, more than 3x from a year ago, with over 10m tracked transactions usdc made up around 50.8% of the volume while usdt added another 20.3% that means more than 70% of the tracked card spending came from just these two dollar stablecoins and the interesting part is where the money is going > groceries, > food, > travel, > subscriptions and everyday purchases are becoming part of the activity this is a different kind of crypto adoption people aren’t just holding digital dollars anymore they’re using them to pay for things gud tek >>> #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Macro Insights#
BitMine Buys $81 Million of Ethereum — Largest Purchase in 2 Months Tom Lee’s BitMine has recorded its biggest Ethereum accumulation in the past two months. The firm purchased approximately $81 million worth of $ETH last week. This marks the largest single-week buy by BitMine since June and comes as Ethereum continues to attract institutional attention. Breakdown of the recent activity: > $81 million in ETH acquired last week > Largest weekly purchase by BitMine in two months Continues a pattern of steady accumulation by the firm This level of buying stands out after a quieter period of smaller purchases. It arrives alongside Tom Lee’s long-term price target of $62,000 for $ETH and improving market sentiment. A clear signal of continued institutional demand for ETH through BitMine.
Whale Opens $72 Million Bitcoin and Ethereum Longs with 20x Leverage A major trader has entered one of the larger single-wallet leveraged long positions seen in recent sessions. The combined notional value reaches approximately $71.97 million across $BTC and $ETH , opened with 20x cross leverage. This stands out after a period of relatively quieter large-scale directional bets by individual wallets. Breakdown of the recent activity: > Bitcoin long: 600 BTC valued at ≈ $47.05 million Entry $78,031.7 | Current $78,401 | Unrealized +$232,944 (+9.90%) > Ethereum long: 10,000 ETH valued at ≈ $24.92 million Entry $2,479.18 | Current $2,491.8 | Unrealized +$129,118 (+10.36%) > Total margin used ≈ $3.60 million | Account equity $8.33 million 1-week perp PnL +$333,743 | Long exposure 100% This level of concentrated leveraged demand marks a clear example of high-conviction positioning. It has come alongside Bitcoin’s sharp rebound from the mid-$60,000s back toward the high $70,000s. A significant display of aggressive bullish exposure by a major player using substantial leverage.
#BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $ETH #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Ethereum
Bitcoin Jumps to $79,000 as $65 Million in Shorts Liquidated in 12 Hours $BTC has surged to the $79,000 level, triggering a fresh wave of forced closures on leveraged bearish positions. According to derivatives data: > Approximately $65 million in short positions liquidated over the past 12 hours
The rapid price move higher squeezed traders betting against the rally, adding buying pressure as positions were automatically closed. This activity comes amid Bitcoin’s strong rebound in recent sessions, with the asset reclaiming levels not seen in the prior days of consolidation. The size of the short liquidations highlights continued vulnerability among leveraged downside bets and coincides with improving market momentum. A clear signal of bullish pressure forcing bears to cover as Bitcoin tests the $79,000 zone.
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bitcoin has moved back above $78,200. the rebound comes as the u.s. treasury continues to expand its long-term bond buyback program. officials recently raised the size of those operations and have discussed using more of the treasury’s cash reserves to support the purchases. the goal is to help ease pressure on longer-term yields. lower yields and the signal of further liquidity support have been among the factors helping risk assets, including bitcoin, in recent sessions. the market is watching closely to see how much additional buying the treasury is prepared to do. bitcoin is holding the reclaimed level for now while the treasury’s next steps on bond buybacks remain in focus.
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strategy raises $2.01 billion and lifts usd reserve to $5.10b strategy sold 18.26 million mstr shares last week and raised approximately $2.01 billion in net proceeds. capital was allocated as follows: > $300 million added to the usd reserve (bringing it to $5.10 billion) > $1.59 billion placed into a newly created “usd cash” pool > $136.4 million used to repurchase strc preferred shares
the new usd cash pool is flexible and can be used for bitcoin purchases, debt repayment, dividends, share buybacks, or other general purposes. bitcoin holdings remain unchanged at 840,447 btc. at current prices the position shows roughly $2.45 billion in unrealized profits. strategy is continuing to strengthen its dollar liquidity while keeping its bitcoin stack steady.
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strive adds 1,110 bitcoin to its treasury strive has purchased another 1,110 $BTC for approximately $81.5 million. key details from the latest update: > average purchase price: $73,409 per bitcoin (including fees) > previous holdings: 20,246 btc > new total holdings: 21,356 btc
the buys took place between august 17 and august 21. strive has been steadily accumulating bitcoin through a mix of direct purchases and capital raised via its common stock and preferred stock (sata) programs. this latest addition lifts the company further up the list of public bitcoin treasury holders and continues the consistent buying approach it has maintained in recent months. a clear increase in the bitcoin treasury at an average cost in the low $70,000s, bringing total holdings above 21,000 $BTC .
#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $SOL #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#
strategy buys zero bitcoin last week, builds dollar reserve instead strategy (mstr) did not purchase any bitcoin last week. the company has been on a clear pause from adding to its btc holdings. instead of buying more bitcoin, it has focused on raising capital through share sales and directing those funds into its dollar reserve and related cash positions. key points from the latest updates: > bitcoin holdings remain unchanged at the previously reported level (around 840,000 btc) > the usd reserve has been increased, most recently reported at $5.10 billion > additional cash of $1.59 billion was also established > part of the proceeds continues to go toward preferred stock (strc) repurchases
this marks a shift from the aggressive bitcoin accumulation seen in earlier periods. strategy is currently prioritizing liquidity and its dollar reserve over new btc purchases. a clear pause in bitcoin buying while the dollar side of the balance sheet is being strengthened.
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Wallets are starting to become more than places to hold your tokens. My Wallet just integrated Omniston into its swap aggregator, bringing STONfi's cross-chain execution directly into the wallet. That matters because users don't really want to think about which DEX has the best route. They want to select the asset they're selling, choose what they want to receive, and get a competitive execution without jumping between different interfaces. That's where Omniston fits. It can source liquidity from connected DEXs and resolvers, compare available routes, and coordinate the swap from one interface. STONfi currently positions Omniston for wallets, aggregators, exchanges and DeFi products looking to add cross-chain swaps without building the entire infrastructure themselves. There's another interesting part of the My Wallet integration. Users can access xStocks on TON, including tokenized exposure to assets such as AAPL, NVDA, AMZN, COIN, HOOD and TSLA, directly through the wallet's swap flow. So this isn't just another wallet adding a swap button. It's another example of liquidity infrastructure moving closer to where users actually manage their assets. The direction makes sense: wallet → liquidity → execution Instead of sending users somewhere else to trade, the wallet itself becomes the place where the trade happens. And as more wallets connect to Omniston, STONfi's infrastructure gets another route into the wider TON and cross-chain DeFi market. Explore STONfi:https://app.ston.fi/swap Read and explore more about STONfi here: blog.ston.fi/ #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $XRP #Macro Insights# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
$ETH closed the weekly candle above its 50 ema ethereum just printed a strong weekly close back above the 50-period exponential moving average. looking at the weekly chart: > the white line is the 50 ema > the blue line is the 50 sma > price spent months trading below the 50 ema during the decline from the higher levels > this week’s large green candle pushed price back above the 50 ema and the week closed near $2,460
this is the first weekly close above that moving average in several months. the 50 sma is still sitting higher around the mid-$2,500s, so it remains an overhead level to watch, but reclaiming the 50 ema on the weekly timeframe is a clear improvement in the higher-timeframe structure. the move comes after eth rebounded sharply from the lower $1,800–$2,000 area and alongside stronger market-wide flows. traders often watch weekly closes above key moving averages as signs that momentum is starting to shift on the bigger picture. a constructive higher-timeframe development after a long stretch below the 50 ema.
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Japan Issues First New Crypto Exchange License in Four Years Nomura-backed Laser Digital has received approval to operate as a crypto asset exchange service provider in Japan — the first new license of its kind in four years. The registration under Japan’s Payment Services Act allows Laser Digital Japan to begin operations. The firm plans to start by providing liquidity to existing licensed local crypto companies before expanding into broader institutional trading services. The approval comes after Japan moved to reclassify crypto as a financial product, a shift that opens the door to further developments such as potential ETFs and possible tax reforms. A recent survey also showed that 79% of Japanese institutions plan to allocate to digital assets within the next three years. After a long period of limited new entrants, the license signals that Japan is gradually reopening its regulated crypto market to well-capitalized institutional players. A meaningful regulatory step for Japan’s digital asset sector. #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #Macro Insights# #BTC Price Analysis#
XRP Has Led BTC and ETH last Week $XRP has clearly outperformed both Bitcoin and Ethereum over the past seven days. Weekly performance (approximate): XRP: +46% to +48% Ethereum: +28% Bitcoin: +21% to +22% XRP moved from around the $1.00 area back toward $1.48–$1.50, marking one of its strongest weekly advances of the year. The move came alongside broader market strength, ETF inflows across several products, and renewed attention on regulatory developments. On relative upside from here, XRP still sits well below its previous cycle highs near $3.65, while $BTC and ETH are also recovering from their own corrections. Some analysts continue to point to higher targets for XRP in a stronger regulatory and adoption scenario, though any of the three could lead depending on capital flows and broader market direction in the coming weeks. XRP has taken the short-term performance lead. Whether it maintains that edge will depend on follow-through and overall market conditions. #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# $BTC $XRP #BTC Price Analysis# #Ripple
XRP Has Led BTC and ETH last Week $XRP has clearly outperformed both Bitcoin and Ethereum over the past seven days. Weekly performance (approximate): XRP: +46% to +48% Ethereum: +28% Bitcoin: +21% to +22%
XRP moved from around the $1 .00 area back toward $1 .48–$1 .50, marking one of its strongest weekly advances of the year. The move came alongside broader market strength, ETF inflows across several products, and renewed attention on regulatory developments. On relative upside from here, XRP still sits well below its previous cycle highs near $3.65, while $BTC and ETH are also recovering from their own corrections. Some analysts continue to point to higher targets for XRP in a stronger regulatory and adoption scenario, though any of the three could lead depending on capital flows and broader market direction in the coming weeks. XRP has taken the short-term performance lead. Whether it maintains that edge will depend on follow-through and overall market conditions. #BTC Price Analysis# $BTC $XRP #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #Ripple