The high/low points in this period are 2,484 / 2,377, with trading volume of 841 million USDT.
2,377 is the support you should focus on right now. If it breaks below, there won’t be any obvious spot buyer afterward. On the upside, 2,484 is the resistance for this round. Until it can stand above that level with increased volume, any rebound can only be viewed as a pullback.
Liquidity in this time window is thin, so prices can be pushed around by small orders; spikes and sweepers are not surprising. If you really want to take action, don’t chase the market price—place your limit order instead, and don’t set your stop-loss too close.
About freedom, there’s a principle discussed: Many people enter the crypto market for financial freedom, only to end up even more tightly bound by the market’s fluctuations—checking their phones eighty times a day. If the way you make money makes you lose your freedom, then your purpose and your means have been reversed.
Take today’s $ETH as an example: right now it’s 2,471, 24h +3.31%. This kind of market action perfectly confirms the principle above. It’s not a coincidence—it’s human nature repeating itself in the charts.
This sounds simple, but putting it into practice will still require paying a lot of tuition. First, tighten up and reduce your position size.
The recent high/low in this period is 77,179 / 75,065, with trading volume of 1.143 billion USDT.
75,065 is the support that should be watched most closely right now. If it breaks below, there won’t be any clear spot for buyers to step in. To the upside, 77,179 is the resistance level for this round. Until it breaks above with volume, any rebound can only be viewed as a bounce.
In this time window, liquidity is rather thin, so price can easily be pushed around by small orders; it’s not unusual to see wicks (pin needles) and “painting the range.” If you really plan to take action, don’t chase the market price when placing limit orders, and don’t set your stop-loss too tight.
Someone asked me what I think about reading the chart, and what came to mind was this saying.
In the piece “Thoughts from watching the market late at night,” it talks about a principle: At 4 a.m., I was jolted awake by a liquidation warning—only people who’ve been through that can understand the feeling. Later, I set stop-losses on all my positions, and I was never woken up in the middle of the night again. A good trading system should let you sleep soundly.
Let me give an example using today’s $ETH : Right now it’s 2,456, up 2.88% over the last 24h. This kind of market action perfectly confirms the principle above. It’s not a coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself on the charts.
Looking back, every place I stumbled is written in that sentence: Wait for the signal, not the mood.
Not much to say today—let’s talk about something else.
In Zeng Guofan’s approach, there’s a principle: “Harden the defenses and fight a war of attrition.” With these six words, Zeng Guofan subdued the Taiping Rebellion. In trading, it means: first make your defense solid, don’t chase clever tricks; use the most obvious, plain method to repeatedly do the right things.
Let’s take today’s $ETH as an example: right now it’s 2,477, up +3.31% over the last 24 hours. This kind of market action precisely confirms the principle above. It’s not a coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself in the market.
The more I think about it, the more I feel that in trading in the end, what you’re competing on isn’t technique—it’s mindset.
I went through today’s market moves before bed. Honestly, today’s action had quite a bit of information.
Today BTC ranged between 75,065 and 77,179, and finally closed at 76,714, up 1.39% for the day. What’s most worth watching about this move isn’t the up or down itself, but whether the trading volume kept up. Today’s volume was 1.131 billion USDT—honestly, not very active—suggesting market sentiment is still fairly cautious.
ETH is a bit stronger: up 2.90% for the day, closing at 2,463, with a trading range from 2,369 to 2,480. The linkage with BTC is still very clear—if BTC doesn’t move, it’s hard for ETH to run independently.
The strongest today was $SUI : up 5.55% for the day, with trading volume of 50 million. This kind of move is either capital getting positioned early, or a sentiment-driven tug-of-war that amplifies volatility.
The most core signal today is this: whether BTC can put volume at key levels will determine the next direction. Tomorrow I’ll focus on whether BTC’s xxx level can hold.
Up all day +0.95%, closed at 76,465. High/low: 77,179 / 75,065. Trading volume: 1.109 billion USDT. The volume today is quite genuine.
The most important thing to remember today is that BTC has capital showing interest. If tomorrow it can hold above 76,465, the market may still have room to continue. But if tomorrow’s open is immediately hammered downward, then this move today was most likely just a short-term trade.
I read an old saying and suddenly it matched what’s going on in today’s market.
In *Cycle*, there’s a principle: Howard Marks said the market is like a pendulum, always swinging between extremes. In crypto, the pendulum swings even wider. What you can’t do is predict where it will land—you can only stand on the other side when it has swung too far.
Take today’s $ETH as an example: now it’s 2,464, with a 24h change of +2.35%. This kind of chart just happens to confirm the idea above. It’s not a coincidence—it's the repetition of human nature reflected in the price action.
Between knowing and doing, there are several liquidations. The market is right there—being anxious won’t help.
The recent high and low in this period are 0.003951 / 0.003565, with trading volume of 0.30 billion USDT.
0.003565 is the support that needs to be watched most right now. If it breaks down, there won’t be any obvious place for buyers to step in. To the upside, 0.003951 is the resistance for this leg. Unless it breaks above with volume, any rebound can only be treated as a bounce.
Liquidity in this window is relatively thin, so price can easily be pushed around by small orders—wicks and “painting/dragging” moves aren’t unusual. If you really do take action, don’t chase the market price with limit orders; and don’t set your stop-loss too tight.
ETH is currently at 0.080820 in the evening, up 0.89% over the past 24 hours.
Today’s full-day range is 0.078310 to 0.081710, with trading volume of 0.55B USDT. During this evening time window, ETH is most likely to follow BTC’s rhythm. If Bitcoin suddenly spikes up, ETH will most likely catch the next wave; if Bitcoin drops, it’s also hard for ETH to stay out of it.
If you want to take action in the evening, it’s recommended to watch the support level at 0.078310. If it holds steady, you can consider trying a small position; if it breaks, wait for the next support. The worst scenario is getting carried away emotionally at night—if you haven’t thought it through, don’t rush in.
Someone asked me what I think about reading the market chart, and this saying came to mind.
In the section about blind spots, there’s a principle: Everyone has parts they can’t see. The most dangerous thing isn’t what you don’t know—it’s what you think you know, but it’s actually wrong. Regularly question your basic assumptions.
Take today’s $ETH as an example: now 2,433, 24h +1.28%. This kind of chart perfectly confirms the idea above. It’s not coincidence; it’s the repetition of human nature reflected in the market.
This sounds simple, but in practice you still have a lot of tuition to pay. When it’s time to wait, you have to wait.
The market is about to close, and today $ZEC is indeed worth discussing.
The entire day was up +14.83%, with trading volume of $680 million USDT, making it one of the most active coins in today’s market.
The price surged from 1,189 up to 1,399, and now it’s back down to around 1,369.
This kind of movement suggests that the capital hasn’t left yet, but short-term profit-taking is also starting to sell. The most crucial point to watch tomorrow is whether it can keep the volume up around 1,369. If the volume can’t keep up, it will likely pull back a bit; if it continues to surge with volume, then the upside room will open up.
Did you catch this move today? Do you still have a good outlook for this coin tomorrow?
I copy this passage into my notebook, and then translate it again every so often.
In “Market Noise and Independent Thinking,” there’s a lesson: In every group, there’s always someone shouting that this time is different. But if you look back, the basic script of every bull-bear cycle has never changed. What’s different is the storyteller; what’s the same is the person who ends up losing money.
Take today’s $ETH as an example: now it’s 2,439, 24h +2.12%. This kind of chart action perfectly confirms the lesson above. It’s not a coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself on the market.
The market won’t show mercy just because you understand the principles. When you need to wait, you have to wait.
As the afternoon market moves to this point, ETH is hovering around 725.79, with a 24h gain of +1.61%.
Today’s range is from 704.29 to 729.22, with trading volume of 0.97 billion USDT. Right now, neither the bulls nor the bears are making any big moves—they’re both waiting for a signal.
If in the afternoon there’s a breakout above 729.22 on increased volume, it suggests the bulls still have some ideas. Conversely, if a pullback to 704.29 can’t hold, then this move may be nearing its end. For friends trading contracts at this time, the biggest taboo is going all-in to bet on direction—it can easily be wiped out by a single candle.
In the afternoon, will you stay in cash and watch, or do a quick trade for a move?
Beyond the order book, let me share something I’ve been thinking about for a long time.
In the Analects, there’s a principle: “Hurrying leads to failure; when you’re tempted by small gains, great matters won’t be accomplished.” Someone who wants to triple or multiply tenfold in just three months will usually be out of the game within those three months. The four words “grow rich slowly” may sound like a joke in the crypto world, but the ones who survive are the ones who do it that way.
Let’s use today’s $ETH as an example: right now it’s 2,437, with a 24h change of +1.22%. This kind of market movement happens to perfectly confirm the lesson above. It’s not a coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself in the chart.
Everyone has heard the principle; what’s hard is whether you can do it when that moment actually arrives.
Glance at the plate during lunch. $DASH The current trend looks quite strong—over the past 24 hours it’s up +14.27%.
Now the price is 58.04, with an intraday high of 60.52 and a low of 50.50, and the trading volume is 0.34B USDT. This volume indicates it’s not just a small move—there really is money paying attention to it.
But I still have to say this: chasing it up during the lunch session comes with a price. A lot of coins surge a bit at noon, and then in the afternoon they start to pull back. If you like it, instead of rushing in now, you’d better wait for confirmation of support in the afternoon.
At this lunchtime level—are you already on board, or are you waiting for a pullback?
Off the trading chart, let me talk about something I’ve been thinking about for a long time.
In *Asymmetric Risk*, there’s a principle: a good trade isn’t about making a lot—it’s about making enough when you’re winning and losing little when you’re losing. This asymmetric ratio determines whether you can stay at the table. Chasing win rate is less important than chasing the payoff ratio.
Take today’s $ETH as an example: now it’s 2,435, up +1.15% over the last 24 hours. This kind of chart pattern perfectly confirms the idea above. It’s not a coincidence—it’s human nature repeating itself on the market.
Between knowing and doing, there are several waves of liquidation. Wait for the signal, not the mood.
Scanned the early session. <$ENA > is a bit interesting today—it surged directly by +7.28%.
Now the price is 0.150400, with an intraday high/low of 0.154700 / 0.138500. Trading volume is 0.39B USDT, which suggests funds are actively buying—not random retail “blind charging.”
For coins that suddenly see volume in the early session, the most common two scenarios are: either good news was sniffed out by the funds ahead of time, or the main force is running a trial bid (probing the market). No matter which it is, the scariest thing at this moment is chasing blindly. It has already climbed so much—going in now has more risk than opportunity.
If you’re already in it, watch the 0.138500 level. If it breaks, you should definitely exit. If you haven’t entered yet, it’s better to wait for a pullback to a support area before considering it.
Someone asked me what I think of reading the chart, and what came to mind was this saying.
In the principle of unity of knowing and doing, there’s a lesson: You understand the principles, but you can’t do them. This sentence is the problem itself—if you can’t do it, then you don’t truly understand it; you’ve only memorized it. The sign that you truly understand is that your body will automatically carry it out.
Take today’s $SYN as an example: right now it’s 0.169320, and in the last 24h it’s +75.64%. This kind of chart action perfectly confirms the principle above. It’s not coincidence—it's human nature repeating itself on the chart.
Between knowing and doing, there are several rounds of liquidation. Wait for the signal, not the mood.
ETH is currently moving around 99.06 in the early session, up 2.02% over the past 24 hours.
Last night’s high/low were 99.20 / 96.09, and price has been oscillating within the range overall. The key point to watch in the early session is whether it can hold the 96.09 level—if that level breaks, downside room opens up; if it holds, you may see a short-term small rebound.
Trading volume is 227 million USDT; it’s not that large, which suggests early-session capital is still watching and there isn’t a clear directional selection. At a time like this, the worst thing is to act too quickly—observe first before making a move.