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Serein1
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Serein1

I create wealth and freedom through joy, vitality and loving myself | Follow me, and let's become great together! BP-9BB43A6AD6D7
Frequent Trader
3.5 Years
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341 Followers
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Posts
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This time, the long side is getting the tuition $BTC has probed the high around 87,000 After it gets smashed down In the next 24 hours, the whole network liquidates about $434 million Longs liquidated about $322 million Shorts liquidated about $112 million Longs make up roughly 74% In the past 12 hours, longs have nearly been maxed out Single-coin liquidation on Bitcoin is about $104 million Ethereum is also around the $105 million level Yesterday we were still talking about the shorts getting liquidated first But the price action flipped the direction Spot has now returned to around 84,800 Let it range between 84,000–85,000 first Don’t chase the liquidation direction and add leverage Wait until the shakeout becomes dull before discussing direction #Futures #BTC$ {spot}(BTCUSDT)
This time, the long side is getting the tuition

$BTC has probed the high around 87,000
After it gets smashed down
In the next 24 hours, the whole network liquidates about $434 million
Longs liquidated about $322 million
Shorts liquidated about $112 million
Longs make up roughly 74%
In the past 12 hours, longs have nearly been maxed out
Single-coin liquidation on Bitcoin is about $104 million
Ethereum is also around the $105 million level
Yesterday we were still talking about the shorts getting liquidated first
But the price action flipped the direction
Spot has now returned to around 84,800
Let it range between 84,000–85,000 first

Don’t chase the liquidation direction and add leverage
Wait until the shakeout becomes dull before discussing direction

#Futures #BTC$
$ZEC spot ETF saw outflows this week There are reports that the U.S. Zcash spot ETF this week had net outflows of about $93.56 million Since it was listed at the end of August, this is the first time net outflows have occurred in a single week. Fund net assets are down to roughly the $750 million level Spot is around 1308. In a day, about -1%. The day’s high is still around 1335. The low dipped to around 1283. Trading volume is about $95 million. From the September peak near 1700, it’s already given back quite a bit. Outflows don’t mean it will go to zero right away, but it’s a fact that buy-side liquidity has thinned. First, watch who can take the 1280–1335 range. If it can’t be held, don’t chase highs—beta first. #spot #ZEC #ETF
$ZEC spot ETF saw outflows this week

There are reports that the U.S. Zcash spot ETF
this week had net outflows of about $93.56 million
Since it was listed at the end of August,
this is the first time net outflows have occurred in a single week.
Fund net assets are down to roughly the $750 million level

Spot is around 1308.
In a day, about -1%.
The day’s high is still around 1335.
The low dipped to around 1283.
Trading volume is about $95 million.
From the September peak near 1700,
it’s already given back quite a bit.

Outflows don’t mean it will go to zero right away,
but it’s a fact that buy-side liquidity has thinned.
First, watch who can take the 1280–1335 range.
If it can’t be held, don’t chase highs—beta first.

#spot #ZEC #ETF
Oil Prices Are Soaring, Gold Prices Are Plunging: Understanding the Logic Behind This “Abnormal” Move to Know What Your Wallet Is ExperiencingOil prices are surging and gold prices are plunging: understanding the logic behind this “abnormality” is how you know what your wallet is going through In recent times, global financial markets have seen a curious scene: gold has plunged while oil has surged. On one side, the king of commodities—crude oil prices—keeps climbing; on the other, the traditional safe-haven asset, gold, is being sold off. These two types of assets are usually seen as barometers of inflation expectations, yet they are now tracing almost completely opposite paths. What macro logic lies behind this? And for ordinary people, how will this “oil rising and gold falling” show up in the ledgers of everyday life?

Oil Prices Are Soaring, Gold Prices Are Plunging: Understanding the Logic Behind This “Abnormal” Move to Know What Your Wallet Is Experiencing

Oil prices are surging and gold prices are plunging: understanding the logic behind this “abnormality” is how you know what your wallet is going through
In recent times, global financial markets have seen a curious scene: gold has plunged while oil has surged.
On one side, the king of commodities—crude oil prices—keeps climbing; on the other, the traditional safe-haven asset, gold, is being sold off. These two types of assets are usually seen as barometers of inflation expectations, yet they are now tracing almost completely opposite paths. What macro logic lies behind this? And for ordinary people, how will this “oil rising and gold falling” show up in the ledgers of everyday life?
Fear greed drops to 65 $BTC first managed to spit out 87,000 Spot is about 84,800 Up about +0.2% per day The day high is still at 85,000 The low was poked around 84,500 $ETH about 2,690 $SOL about 120 Yesterday greed was still at 67 Today it moved down one more notch 87,000 didn’t hold For now it’s grinding between 84,000–85,000 Don’t treat a pullback as the trend—it's already dead And don’t treat a rebound as a breakout to solve everything First look at 84,000 {spot}(BTCUSDT) Who can take it up above #Market #BTC
Fear greed drops to 65
$BTC first managed to spit out 87,000

Spot is about 84,800
Up about +0.2% per day
The day high is still at 85,000
The low was poked around 84,500
$ETH about 2,690
$SOL about 120
Yesterday greed was still at 67
Today it moved down one more notch

87,000 didn’t hold
For now it’s grinding between 84,000–85,000
Don’t treat a pullback as the trend—it's already dead
And don’t treat a rebound as a breakout to solve everything
First look at 84,000
Who can take it up above

#Market #BTC
BlackRock shouldered the entire inflow by itself $IBIT’s single-day net inflow is roughly $196 million All Bitcoin spot ETF across the whole market add up to only about $103 million Others combined are net outflows It alone turned the price action green Over the past month $IBIT has accumulated net purchases of about $1.57 billion accounting for more than half of the total net inflow into all spot ETFs Its scale is around the $109 billion range Spot $BTC is roughly 84,700 down about −2.1% in a day the day high is still around 87,200 the low was poked around 83,900 Fear & Greed is still at 67 Institutional channels are still buying It doesn’t mean that once above 87,000 is already fully cleared First, look at who can hold up 84.0–85.0 If they can’t, just treat the “ETF {spot}(BTCUSDT) inflow” as background noise #Market #BTC #ETF
BlackRock shouldered the entire inflow by itself

$IBIT’s single-day net inflow is roughly $196 million
All Bitcoin spot ETF across the whole market
add up to only about $103 million
Others combined are net outflows
It alone turned the price action green

Over the past month
$IBIT has accumulated net purchases of about $1.57 billion
accounting for more than half of the total net inflow into all spot ETFs
Its scale is around the $109 billion range

Spot $BTC is roughly 84,700
down about −2.1% in a day
the day high is still around 87,200
the low was poked around 83,900
Fear & Greed is still at 67

Institutional channels are still buying
It doesn’t mean that once above 87,000 is already fully cleared
First, look at who can hold up 84.0–85.0
If they can’t, just treat the “ETF
inflow” as background noise

#Market #BTC #ETF
A giant whale dumped about 30,000 $BTC in a week Ali Charts calls it out In the sideways trading over the past week, whale holdings have dropped by about 30,000 coins. At the current price, that’s on the order of about $2.5B. 87k is exactly sitting right at the top of the recent channel. A push higher getting capped a bit isn’t surprising. Spot is around 84,600. Down about −2.1% in a day. The day’s high is still 87,220. The low was probed down to about 83,900. Fear & Greed is still at 67. Long liquidations already played out once during the day. The whale is still cutting positions. Distribution at the highs may not be finished. First, see if 82,500 has a real buyer to catch it. If it can’t hold, don’t treat a rebound as a reversal. #Market #BTC #Whale {spot}(BTCUSDT)
A giant whale dumped about 30,000 $BTC in a week

Ali Charts calls it out
In the sideways trading over the past week,
whale holdings have dropped by about 30,000 coins.
At the current price, that’s on the order of about $2.5B.
87k is exactly sitting right at the top of the recent channel.
A push higher getting capped a bit isn’t surprising.

Spot is around 84,600.
Down about −2.1% in a day.
The day’s high is still 87,220.
The low was probed down to about 83,900.
Fear & Greed is still at 67.

Long liquidations already played out once during the day.
The whale is still cutting positions.
Distribution at the highs may not be finished.

First, see if 82,500 has a real buyer to catch it.
If it can’t hold, don’t treat a rebound as a reversal.

#Market #BTC #Whale
SEC custody rules have pushed forward another step For investment advisers and funds when they cannot find a qualified custodian, they may allow certain self-custody for clients’ encrypted assets State-chartered trust companies can also be added to the custody roster This is paving the way for institutions to directly obtain coins Not to hand retail investors fresh leverage Spot $BTC at around 84,600 Down about −2.1% in a day The day’s high is still around 87,200 The low tapped about 83,900 Fear & Greed is still at 67 A proposal doesn’t mean it can be bought immediately It still has to go through the comment period before implementation Don’t hear “can be custodied” and take it as “start right away” First, check that the rules are explicitly written {spot}(BTCUSDT) Let’s talk about position sizing #Market #BTC #SEC
SEC custody rules have pushed forward another step

For investment advisers and funds
when they cannot find a qualified custodian,
they may allow certain self-custody for clients’ encrypted assets
State-chartered trust companies can also be added to the custody roster
This is paving the way for institutions to directly obtain coins
Not to hand retail investors fresh leverage

Spot $BTC at around 84,600
Down about −2.1% in a day
The day’s high is still around 87,200
The low tapped about 83,900
Fear & Greed is still at 67

A proposal doesn’t mean it can be bought immediately
It still has to go through the comment period before implementation
Don’t hear “can be custodied” and take it as “start right away”
First, check that the rules are explicitly written
Let’s talk about position sizing

#Market #BTC #SEC
$ENA The door unlock is only two days away The price is still being pushed down Spot is about 0.232 About −7% per day The day high is still 0.252 The low was poked down to around 0.228 Trading volume is about 42 million USD On October 5, investors will unlock about 1.4 billion tokens That’s roughly more than 10% of the circulating supply Once it’s released early, it’s all gone No {spot}(ENAUSDT) It’s not a big deal bStocks / The narrative is still there Doesn’t mean you can just close your eyes and chase before the unlock First, see who steps in above 0.23 If they can’t hold it, then cut a bit first—don’t just enjoy the noise #spot #ENA #DeFi
$ENA The door unlock is only two days away
The price is still being pushed down

Spot is about 0.232
About −7% per day
The day high is still 0.252
The low was poked down to around 0.228
Trading volume is about 42 million USD

On October 5, investors will unlock about 1.4 billion tokens
That’s roughly more than 10% of the circulating supply
Once it’s released early, it’s all gone

No
It’s not a big deal

bStocks / The narrative is still there
Doesn’t mean you can just close your eyes and chase before the unlock

First, see who steps in above 0.23
If they can’t hold it, then cut a bit first—don’t just enjoy the noise

#spot #ENA #DeFi
$QNT Just after getting poked and slammed 224 Now it has already swallowed the dip back again Spot is about 266 Up about +17% in a day The intraday high has touched 267 The low is still at 224 Trading volume is still around the 70M dollars level The bank-rail narrative hasn’t died The parabolic pullback is not over either The two-day consecutive wash—worst if you end up chasing both sides First, see who can hold up 255–267 If it can’t hold, just treat it as a volatility digestion phase Don’t let the Sibos headline {spot}(QNTUSDT) get played twice again #spot #QNT
$QNT Just after getting poked and slammed 224
Now it has already swallowed the dip back again

Spot is about 266
Up about +17% in a day
The intraday high has touched 267
The low is still at 224
Trading volume is still around the 70M dollars level
The bank-rail narrative hasn’t died
The parabolic pullback is not over either
The two-day consecutive wash—worst if you end up chasing both sides

First, see who can hold up 255–267
If it can’t hold, just treat it as a volatility digestion phase
Don’t let the Sibos headline
get played twice again

#spot #QNT
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Bullish
The SEC has widened the leverage gap by another notch What was approved is the Cboe listing rules Covering 3x $BTC and $ETH Also gold, silver, crude oil, and natural gas A total of six Volatility Shares products Using futures exposure Leverage resets once per day Note: Passing the rules doesn’t mean you can buy You still have to wait for the S-1 registration to become effective There is currently no trading schedule Spot $BTC has just been dumped from 87,200 back to about 84,600 Down about -1.7% in a day Fear & Greed is still at 67 Approval is a signal It doesn’t mean you immediately get the leverage fuel First distinguish between “can be listed” and “can {spot}(BTCUSDT) place an order” #contract #BTC #ETH
The SEC has widened the leverage gap by another notch

What was approved is the Cboe listing rules
Covering 3x $BTC and $ETH
Also gold, silver, crude oil, and natural gas
A total of six Volatility Shares products
Using futures exposure
Leverage resets once per day

Note: Passing the rules doesn’t mean you can buy
You still have to wait for the S-1 registration to become effective
There is currently no trading schedule
Spot $BTC has just been dumped from 87,200 back to about 84,600
Down about -1.7% in a day
Fear & Greed is still at 67

Approval is a signal
It doesn’t mean you immediately get the leverage fuel
First distinguish between “can be listed” and “can
place an order”

#contract #BTC #ETH
This time, the bulls are up on the tuition $BTC has been poked at 87,200 today After a few hours, it was smashed back to around 84,000 Spot is around 84,500 Down about -2.3% for the day The low got tapped to around 83,900 Across the whole web, total 24-hour liquidations are about $580 million Long positions are about $330 million Short positions are about $250 million In that one hour when it got smashed down, the long positions' share hit the ceiling This morning we were still talking about shorts getting wrecked first By the afternoon, the market flipped the direction Don't chase liquidating orders by adding leverage First, see who can hold up 8.38–8.50 #Futures #BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
This time, the bulls are up on the tuition

$BTC has been poked at 87,200 today
After a few hours, it was smashed back to around 84,000
Spot is around 84,500
Down about -2.3% for the day
The low got tapped to around 83,900

Across the whole web, total 24-hour liquidations are about $580 million
Long positions are about $330 million
Short positions are about $250 million
In that one hour when it got smashed down, the long positions' share hit the ceiling

This morning we were still talking about shorts getting wrecked first
By the afternoon, the market flipped the direction
Don't chase liquidating orders by adding leverage
First, see who can hold up 8.38–8.50

#Futures #BTC
$NVDA touched a new intraday high but at the close it gave back part of the gains US stocks closed at about 234 up about +1.3% for the day day high brushed 237.9 the low is still 233.6 market cap is about $5.7 trillion still about one step short of $6 trillion Amazon is still discussing roughly $8 billion Nvidia chips are carved out into an SPV and then leased back the buyback authorization was also increased by another $150 billion the AI supply chain continues to lift its footing Making a new high is a signal not automatic perpetual motion first look at 234–238—who takes the baton next if you can’t hold it, treat it as the pullback after the top #USStocks #NVDA #AI
$NVDA touched a new intraday high
but at the close it gave back part of the gains

US stocks closed at about 234
up about +1.3% for the day
day high brushed 237.9
the low is still 233.6
market cap is about $5.7 trillion
still about one step short of $6 trillion
Amazon is still discussing roughly $8 billion
Nvidia chips are carved out into an SPV and then leased back
the buyback authorization was also increased by another $150 billion
the AI supply chain continues to lift its footing

Making a new high is a signal
not automatic perpetual motion
first look at 234–238—who takes the baton next
if you can’t hold it, treat it as the pullback after the top

#USStocks #NVDA #AI
This time, futures fees were learned by the shorts $BTC surged past 86,000 in that hour The entire market was liquidated for roughly $121 million Shorts were about $119 million liquidated Longs were about $2.55 million Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin shorts liquidated are still on the order of around $140 million The intraday high touched 87,200 Spot has now returned to around 84,600 Yesterday, the longs were the ones washed out first Today the ratio has flipped back again A short squeeze can push prices up But it doesn’t mean there’s no liquidity wall above Don’t chase the liquidation direction and add leverage Wait for the 84,000–87,200 range to shake and turn dull before talking about direction #Futures #BTC
This time, futures fees were learned by the shorts

$BTC surged past 86,000 in that hour
The entire market was liquidated for roughly $121 million
Shorts were about $119 million liquidated
Longs were about $2.55 million
Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin shorts liquidated are still on the order of around $140 million
The intraday high touched 87,200
Spot has now returned to around 84,600

Yesterday, the longs were the ones washed out first
Today the ratio has flipped back again
A short squeeze can push prices up
But it doesn’t mean there’s no liquidity wall above

Don’t chase the liquidation direction and add leverage
Wait for the 84,000–87,200 range to shake and turn dull before talking about direction

#Futures #BTC
$WLD Yesterday it was still bleeding out Today it has already bought back the drop Spot is about 0.577 Over one day, roughly +18% It touched the day high around 0.590 The low is still at 0.486 Trading volume is about 80 million USD The AI-identity narrative is still in play And the volume ratio has clearly picked up too After the breakout, the most frightening part is when it fills both gaps and you end up chasing from either side First, look at 0.50–0.59—who can hold up if it breaks? If it can’t hold, don’t just keep repeating the identity narrative #spot #WLD
$WLD Yesterday it was still bleeding out
Today it has already bought back the drop

Spot is about 0.577
Over one day, roughly +18%
It touched the day high around 0.590
The low is still at 0.486
Trading volume is about 80 million USD
The AI-identity narrative is still in play
And the volume ratio has clearly picked up too
After the breakout, the most frightening part is when it fills both gaps and you end up chasing from either side

First, look at 0.50–0.59—who can hold up if it breaks?
If it can’t hold, don’t just keep repeating the identity narrative

#spot #WLD
$AAVE has directly reached this year’s new high zone Spot is around 184 In a day, roughly +10.2% The day high reached 187.5 The low is still at 164 Trading volume is about $56 million Yesterday they were still talking about big holders moving/accumulating inventory Today the price first lifts itself up to the previous position A new yearly high doesn’t mean it’s about to launch immediately First, watch whether it can hold above the 180–187 area in terms of volume/market strength If it can’t hold, then treat it as a DeFi overheating pullback and fill-in #spot #AAVE #DeFi
$AAVE has directly reached this year’s new high zone

Spot is around 184
In a day, roughly +10.2%
The day high reached 187.5
The low is still at 164
Trading volume is about $56 million
Yesterday they were still talking about big holders moving/accumulating inventory
Today the price first lifts itself up to the previous position

A new yearly high doesn’t mean it’s about to launch immediately
First, watch whether it can hold above the 180–187 area in terms of volume/market strength
If it can’t hold, then treat it as a DeFi overheating pullback and fill-in

#spot #AAVE #DeFi
$AAVE has directly reached this year’s new high zone Spot is around 184 In a day, roughly +10.2% The day high reached 187.5 The low is still at 164 Trading volume is about $56 million Yesterday they were still talking about big holders moving/accumulating inventory Today the price first lifts itself up to the previous position A new yearly high doesn’t mean it’s about to launch immediately First, watch whether it can hold above the 180–187 area in terms of volume/market strength If it can’t hold, then treat it as a DeFi overheating pullback and fill-in #spot #AAVE #DeFi
$AAVE has directly reached this year’s new high zone

Spot is around 184
In a day, roughly +10.2%
The day high reached 187.5
The low is still at 164
Trading volume is about $56 million
Yesterday they were still talking about big holders moving/accumulating inventory
Today the price first lifts itself up to the previous position

A new yearly high doesn’t mean it’s about to launch immediately
First, watch whether it can hold above the 180–187 area in terms of volume/market strength
If it can’t hold, then treat it as a DeFi overheating pullback and fill-in

#spot #AAVE #DeFi
Fear and greed sink to 72 $BTC , but first touched 87.2k $BTC Spot price is roughly 85,200 About +1.0% per day The day’s high hung above 87,200 The low is still at 84,100 $ETH is roughly 2,695 $SOL is roughly 120 Yesterday’s Bitcoin spot ETF turned back to net inflows of about $103M That $149M outflow from the day before was covered over Sentiment is still stuck on greed Funds first relit the 8.5 range above Don’t treat 87k as stable Watch who can hold 85.0–87.2k #Market #BTC #Uptober
Fear and greed sink to 72
$BTC , but first touched 87.2k
$BTC
Spot price is roughly 85,200
About +1.0% per day
The day’s high hung above 87,200
The low is still at 84,100
$ETH is roughly 2,695
$SOL is roughly 120
Yesterday’s Bitcoin spot ETF
turned back to net inflows of about $103M
That $149M outflow from the day before was covered over

Sentiment is still stuck on greed
Funds first relit the 8.5 range above
Don’t treat 87k as stable
Watch who can hold 85.0–87.2k

#Market #BTC #Uptober
$NEAR was beaten from both sides today Spot price is about 4.84 Down about -8% per day The day’s high even touched 5.54 The low has already bounced back to 4.74 Trading volume is about 230 million USD On the Intents side, there’s an estimated 3.8 million USD vulnerability Service has been fixed; they promised full compensation But the market first dumped panic The Bitwise NRR listing story is still ongoing ETF hype hasn’t been cancelled The batch that followed the rise got washed out first as well A cross-chain incident doesn’t mean the main chain is zero And it doesn’t mean the ETF will be flooded with liquidity immediately First, see whether there are real buyers taking in above 4.8–5.0 If there’s no volume, don’t keep turning the news headline into a mess for more money {spot}(NEARUSDT) Next #spot #NEAR #ETF
$NEAR was beaten from both sides today

Spot price is about 4.84
Down about -8% per day
The day’s high even touched 5.54
The low has already bounced back to 4.74
Trading volume is about 230 million USD
On the Intents side, there’s an estimated 3.8 million USD vulnerability
Service has been fixed; they promised full compensation
But the market first dumped panic
The Bitwise NRR listing story is still ongoing
ETF hype hasn’t been cancelled
The batch that followed the rise got washed out first as well

A cross-chain incident doesn’t mean the main chain is zero
And it doesn’t mean the ETF will be flooded with liquidity immediately
First, see whether there are real buyers taking in above 4.8–5.0
If there’s no volume, don’t keep turning the news headline into a mess for more money
Next

#spot #NEAR #ETF
$AAVE A big whale took action first Prices are still being added to upward On-chain monitoring shows a large transaction of about 39,000,000 tokens Approximately $6.2 million withdrawn from Kraken Spot holdings are around 1.72 In a day about +7.8% The day high touched 1.75 The low is still 1.59 Yesterday they were talking about giving it back/withdrawing Today funds first moved the stash back Then pushed the price up another step Whale buying doesn’t necessarily mean it will take off immediately First, watch whether there’s sustained volume above 1.70–1.75 If it can’t hold, then treat it as a DeFi rebound patch $ #Spot #AAVE #DeFi
$AAVE A big whale took action first
Prices are still being added to upward

On-chain monitoring shows a large transaction of about 39,000,000 tokens
Approximately $6.2 million withdrawn from Kraken
Spot holdings are around 1.72
In a day about +7.8%
The day high touched 1.75
The low is still 1.59
Yesterday they were talking about giving it back/withdrawing
Today funds first moved the stash back
Then pushed the price up another step

Whale buying doesn’t necessarily mean it will take off immediately
First, watch whether there’s sustained volume above 1.70–1.75
If it can’t hold, then treat it as a DeFi rebound patch
$
#Spot #AAVE #DeFi
$ENA is still pumping But the Oct 5 unlock is right at the door Spot is about 0.270 In a day about +9.5% Intraday high touched 0.281 The low is still at 0.244 Trading volume about $100M USDe endorsement dragged into Binance bStocks Then pair with shorting stocks perps to eat funding fees After that, there are still about 1.4 billion tokens that investors will unlock The structural story is solid It doesn’t mean you can blindly chase before the unlock First, watch who takes the trade above 0.27 If it can’t be held, reduce a little first to cool things down {future}(ENAUSDT) #spot #ENA #DeFi
$ENA is still pumping
But the Oct 5 unlock is right at the door

Spot is about 0.270
In a day about +9.5%
Intraday high touched 0.281
The low is still at 0.244
Trading volume about $100M
USDe endorsement dragged into Binance bStocks
Then pair with shorting stocks perps to eat funding fees
After that, there are still about 1.4 billion tokens that investors will unlock

The structural story is solid
It doesn’t mean you can blindly chase before the unlock
First, watch who takes the trade above 0.27
If it can’t be held, reduce a little first to cool things down

#spot #ENA #DeFi
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