Crypto Entrepreneur. 10 years TA FA. Founder of CryptoPatel. Alpha Hunter. SMC and ICT Trader. Sharing 10x Gems, X: CryptoPatel, Pro Setups, Market Trends ๐
Trump Media appears to have sold another 2,628 BTC worth $165M, bringing total sales to 7,281 BTC after accumulating 11,542 BTC.
They bought at an average of $118,522 but sold at just $74,855, leaving the company with an estimated $555M unrealized and realized loss on its Bitcoin position.
Everyone is posting that $MSTR just approved a $5 billion Bitcoin sale after its Q2 2026 loss. That headline is wrong. Here are the facts ๐
What was actually said: On the Q2 call, CEO Phong Le explained the $BTC Monetization Program allows Bitcoin sales for 3 purposes:
โก๏ธ Up to $1.25B to build the USD Reserve โก๏ธ ~$1.76B per year for preferred dividends + interest โก๏ธ Up to $2B for buyback programs
Add them up and you get ~$5B of capacity, not a $5B sell order.
The Detail Nobody Caught: Phong Le's own "$5 billion" line was about the USD Reserve size ($3.75B + $1.25B = $5B), not the amount of Bitcoin to be sold. Media merged two different numbers from the same call.
Timing Correction: Saylor clarified on Aug 1: the program was announced June 29 โ 31 days before Q2 results, not after the loss. He confirmed the program requires zero BTC sales and Strategy expects to stay a net buyer.
โถ๏ธ Holdings: 843,775 BTC @ avg $75,476 โถ๏ธ BTC sold in 2026: only $218.4M โถ๏ธ Bought vs sold YTD: 174,895 vs 3,620 โ 48x more bought than sold โถ๏ธ USD Reserve: $3.75B = 2.1 years of coverage โถ๏ธ Q2 net loss: $8.22B (non-cash mark-to-market)
This isn't about Saylor dumping Bitcoin. It's about $STRC trading at $89.50 vs its $99โ100 target. BTC sales are simply the funding valve to repair digital credit. Target date to restore par: around Sept 8.
Selling capacity โ selling decision. Read the filing, not the headline.
$FLOKI Is At The Most Important Price Level Since May: A Massive Move Is Coming
#FLOKI is trading at one of its most critical technical levels in months.
After spending nearly three months inside a descending channel, price is now testing the lower channel support around $0.00001980. This level is likely to determine the next major move.
Bullish Scenario: ๐น $0.00001980 holds as support. ๐น Buyers regain momentum. ๐น A 30โ50% rally becomes possible with upside targets at: $0.00002285/$0.00002663/$0.00002981
Bearish Scenario: ๐น A confirmed breakdown below $0.00001980 invalidates the bullish setup. ๐น That could trigger another 20% downside, with the next major support around $0.00001591.
This is a high-conviction decision zone where risk and opportunity are both elevated. Keep a very close eye on the $0.00001980 level. The market's reaction here will likely define FLOKI's next major trend.
Patience pays. Wait for confirmation, then follow the direction.
HE STACKED BITCOIN FOR 8 YEARS. IT WAS GONE IN MINUTES
HE STACKED BITCOIN FOR 8 YEARS. IT WAS GONE IN MINUTES: HIS 2 BTC WERE LOCKED IN A SAFE. THEY STOLE ALL $125,000 ANYWAY. A five-year-old bug in Coldcard hardware wallets is letting attackers steal Bitcoin without ever touching the device. A 39-year-old posted on r/Bitcoin today. Eight years of saving. 2 $BTC, worth over $125,000, drained. He was not chasing hype coins. He was not trusting an exchange. He did exactly what the community told him to do: he bought a cold wallet. He came from a country under FATF sanctions with a weak and inflated currency. He wanted money that could not be censored or printed away. He was building a cushion to retire before 50. He chose Coldcard because it was praised as one of the most secure, open-source wallets available. Today he says he is done with Bitcoin and is not sure he believes in it anymore. That is the cost no dashboard shows. The scale (Galaxy Research) ๐ด 1,367 BTC drained, around $89 million ๐ด 4,585 addresses affected ๐ด Three separate waves between July 30 and August 1 ๐ด The sweeping is still ongoing What Actually Went Wrong: A firmware update released in March 2021 caused Coldcard devices to skip their hardware random number generator and use predictable software randomness instead. The result: seed strength dropped from 128 bits to around 40 bits on the Mk3, and around 72 bits on the Mk4, Mk5 and Q. In simple terms, attackers can rebuild your seed phrase on their own computer and check it against the public blockchain. Your device can sit switched off in a safe. It makes no difference. Who is at Risk: ๐ด Mk2, Mk3, Mk4, Mk5 and Q on firmware 4.0.1 to 5.0.3 ๐ด BIP85 seeds created from an affected seed ๐ด Key Teleport and Clone Coldcard session keys ๐ข Safe: seeds created with 50 or more dice rolls ๐ข Safe: Tapsigner, Opendime, Satscard ๐ข Safe: Ledger, Trezor and Bitkey, all confirmed unaffected What to Do Right Now: 1๏ธโฃ Install the patched firmware 2๏ธโฃ Generate a completely new seed 3๏ธโฃ Check the new wallet works 4๏ธโฃ Move all funds across Important: updating the firmware does not repair an old seed. If you restore your old seed onto the new firmware, the weakness comes with it. A new seed is the only fix. The Lesson: "Not your keys, not your coins" only holds if those keys were created with real randomness. Firmware is a black box, even for advanced users. Dice-roll entropy, multisig setups and using more than one hardware brand are no longer paranoia. They are basic protection. Coinkite has announced no compensation. Once Bitcoin is swept, only the attacker can return it. We can hope for recovery, but hope is not a security plan. If you know anyone holding Bitcoin on a Coldcard, send them this today. Many long-term holders stay offline and still have no idea. #CryptoPatel
๐ท๐บ CONFIRMED: Russia bans crypto mining in Moscow until 2032
Resolution No. 936, signed by PM Mishustin on July 25, amends the Dec 2024 decree and adds:
Aug 15, 2026 โ Dec 31, 2032
Key detail most outlets missed: the ban covers participation in mining pools, not just mining itself. Russia holds 13โ17% of global BTC hash rate. This doesn't kill hashrate, it relocates it. Watch the US, Kazakhstan and Central Asia.
Bitcoin's most debated upgrade in years is heading into its deadline week and the numbers are not close.
๐ฐ Where signaling stands: At block 960,561, only 24 of 946 blocks in the current difficulty period signaled support = 2.54%. Activation needs 55% (1,109 blocks out of 2,016).
๐ฐ The math is already decided ๐น Blocks left in this period: 1,070 ๐น Best possible total: 24 + 1,070 = 1,094 ๐น Still below 1,109, early lock-in this period is now impossible, even at 100% signaling from here.
๐ฐ Who is actually signaling: Almost every signal comes from DATUM solo miners via OCEAN pool, which switched to signal-by-default on July 15. Foundry, AntPool, ViaBTC and F2Pool, the four pools running most of the network hashrate, are not signaling. F2Pool has refused outright.
๐ฐ The part most people get wrong: If miner support stays near 2%, it is BIP-110 nodes (Bitcoin Knots) that land on a minority chain, not Bitcoin. Normal Core nodes are unaffected. Node adoption is estimated at 7โ15%, but hashrate support is under 1%.
Michael Saylor's take: He calls BIP-110 a marketing push for Knots and OCEAN/DATUM, and warns that "100% signaling" shown during the mandatory window will reflect the software rule, not real miner consensus. ๐ That's his opinion: OCEAN's own leadership disputes it.
CryptoPatel Note: BIP-110 wanted to cap arbitrary data (Ordinals, inscriptions, oversized OP_RETURN) for one year. The real story now isn't activation, it's Foundry's miner vote closing at block 961,632, and whether any chain-split noise creates short-term BTC volatility.
Watch that vote result. That's the only thing that can still move this.
$SHIB Is Sitting At Its Biggest Weekly Decision Zone: A 1,700% Rally Could Start From Here
$SHIB Has Completed Another ~95% Macro Correction And Is Now Trading Inside A Historical Accumulation Zone. The Weekly Structure Is Repeating The Same Fractal That Preceded Previous Multi-Hundred Percent Expansions. However, No Weekly Close Above Resistance = No Confirmed Bull Market. Technical Structure โ Cycle 1: +1,636% Rally โ -93.86% Correction โ Cycle 2: Descending Trendline Break โ +740% Expansion โ -95.43% Markdown โ Cycle 3: Breakdown โ Failed Retest โ Capitulation โ HTF Accumulation โ Multi-Year Descending TL Continues Acting As Dynamic Resistance โ Key Weekly Trigger Level: 0.00000537 (Trendline + Horizontal Supply Confluence) โ Macro Accumulation Zone: 0.00000400โ0.00000500 โ Weekly Wick Into Resistance Confirms Buyer Interest, But No Weekly Close Above Yet โ Bullish Structure Activates Only Above 0.00000537 (Weekly Close Confirmation) โ HTF Targets: 0.0000067 โ 0.000013 โ 0.000024 โ 0.000038 โ 0.00008854 (Previous ATH) โ Risk Invalidation: Weekly Close Below 0.00000400 โก๏ธ 2021: Accumulation โ +1,636% Expansion โก๏ธ 2023โ24: Trendline Break + Retest โ +740% Rally โก๏ธ 2025โ26: Distribution โ Breakdown โ -95% Capitulation โก๏ธ Current Phase: Post-Markdown โ Institutional Accumulation Fundamental Structure โ Regulatory Clarity Has Improved Significantly With SHIB Recognized As A Digital Commodity In The U.S. And Continued Expansion In Japan's Regulated Market โ Exchange Reserves Continue Declining, Suggesting Long-Term Holders Are Accumulating โ Open Interest Remains Historically Low, Indicating Leverage Has Been Reset Shibarium Adoption And On-Chain Activity Still Remain Relatively Weak, Meaning SHIB Is Currently Trading More As A Liquidity Beta Asset Than A Utility Token Scenario 1 โ Bullish Confirmation: Weekly Close Above 0.00000537 With Expanding Volume, Followed By A Successful Retest, Could Trigger The Next HTF Expansion Toward 0.00000670 And Higher Macro Targets. Scenario 2 โ Range Accumulation: As Long As Price Holds Between 0.00000400โ0.00000537, Expect Continued Base Building And Institutional Accumulation Before The Next Major Directional Move. Scenario 3 โ Bearish Invalidation: Weekly Close Below 0.00000400 Invalidates The Current Accumulation Thesis And Opens The Door For Lower Liquidity Levels. Structure Shift Requirements 1๏ธโฃ Weekly Close Above 0.00000537 2๏ธโฃ Successful Retest Holding As New Support 3๏ธโฃ Higher High + Higher Low On The Weekly Timeframe 4๏ธโฃ Rising Volume Confirming Institutional Participation Bull Cycle Targets: 0.0000067 โ 0.000013 โ 0.000024 โ 0.000038 โ 0.000089 The 0.00000400โ0.00000460 Region Represents SHIB's Most Important Macro Accumulation Zone Since The Previous Cycle Bottom. Until 0.00000537 Is Reclaimed On A Weekly Closing Basis, The Trend Remains Neutral-To-Bearish. Let The Market Confirm The Reversal Before Chasing Momentum. TA Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR. #SHฤฐB #CryptoPatel
The CLARITY Act could define the future of U.S. crypto regulation. โถ๏ธ ๐บ๐ธ Republicans want it passed before Nov. 3 to deliver clear SEC/CFTC rules and boost U.S. crypto leadership. โถ๏ธ Democrats support crypto but want stronger AML, ethics, investor protection, and conflict-of-interest safeguards. โถ๏ธ A Republican loss in Congress could delay or significantly rewrite the bill. โถ๏ธ Despite political uncertainty, Bitcoin active addresses remain near 1M, showing adoption continues to strengthen.
The biggest question isn't if the CLARITY Act passes, It's what version ultimately becomes law.
Galaxy Research confirms 1,082 BTC (~$70M) drained from 1,196 wallets in just 41 minutes.
Why: A 2021 firmware bug made Coldcard seed phrases predictable. Attacker guessed the private keys offline, devices were never touched.
At risk: ๐น Mk3 (4.0.1โ4.1.9) ๐น Mk4/Mk5 before 5.6.0 ๐น Q before 1.5.0Q
โ Safe: seeds made with 50+ dice rolls. Action: Update firmware โ create a NEW seed โ move funds. Updating alone does NOT fix an old seed.
Lesson: Cold storage stops hackers from reaching your keys. It can't help if the keys were weak from day one. Split funds across different wallet brands.
U.S. BITCOIN ETFs SOLD ~4,217 BTC Worth $265.37M ๐บ๐ธ BlackRock ETF Has SOLD 1,950 BTC for $122.66M And BOUGHT 8,240 ETH for $15.38M ๐บ๐ธ ARK 21Shares ETF Has SOLD ~279 BTC for $17.54M ๐บ๐ธ Fidelity ETF Has SOLD ~870 BTC for $54.78M And 996 ETH for $1.86M ๐บ๐ธ Grayscale ETF Has SOLD 836 BTC for $52.63M And 1,050 ETH for $1.96M ๐บ๐ธ Bitwise ETF Has SOLD ~282 BTC for $17.77M And 1,360 ETH for $2.54M
Fact: U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs SOLD Nearly 9 Days Mined BITCOIN Supply Yesterday.
BREAKING: $BTC Dominance Has Broken Down. And Retested. And Got Rejected.
The Weekly Chart Says It All. โ Resistance Line Rejected โ Breakdown Confirmed โ Retest Complete โ Failed At Bearish OB โ FVG Filled โ Rejection In Progress
BTC.D Currently At 58.95% And Heading Lower. Target: 43% Zone (-36% Drop In Dominance)
Every Time BTC.D Dropped Like This... A MASSIVE Altseason Followed. Without Exception.
While Many Still Question Stablecoins, Tether Keeps Strengthening Its Balance Sheet. ๐น $1.5B Net Operating Profit In Q2 ๐น $4.11B Reserve Buffer Above Liabilities ๐น $184.6B USDT Supply With 60%+ Stablecoin Market Share ๐น ๐บ๐ธ One Of The World's Largest Buyers Of U.S. Treasuries ๐น Gold Holdings Now Exceed 146 Tons
Even Through Bitcoin & Gold Volatility, USDT Remained Fully Backed While Adding Over 30M New Users. The Largest Stablecoin Is Quietly Becoming One Of The Strongest Financial Companies In Crypto.
$4 B Iran Crypto Network Exposed: Dubai Exchange Shelbit Shut Down
Reuters today revealed that Shelbit, an unlicensed Dubai crypto desk, moved $4 billion+ since May 2024 for an Iranian gambling network (2,000+ sites), Iran's central bank, and sanctioned exchange Nobitex.
$676M reached Binance with ~$540M flowing after Dubai's regulator had already fined Shelbit. VARA issued a cease-and-desist + fines on 24 July 2026 for money laundering, terrorism financing and KYC failures.
Reuters could not confirm IRGC control. Binance says Shelbit never held an account and that it froze and reported linked users. No convictions yet.
Dubai is enforcing hard. "Regulated country" โ "regulated platform." Check the VARA licence before you trust any OTC desk with size, tainted coins get accounts frozen.
RESEARCH 1: REAL REVENUE GEMS 2026: HYPERLIQUID ($HYPE)
REAL REVENUE GEMS 2026: HYPERLIQUID ( $HYPE ) Starting a new series: projects that actually EARN money. Not promises. Real fees, from real users. ๐ฐ WHAT IT IS: A decentralised perpetual futures exchange running on its own Layer 1 chain. Simple version: it does what Binance Futures does but on-chain, and you keep custody of your funds. Built by Jeff Yan, funded through his own market-making firm. Zero venture capital. Remember that point, it matters later. LIVE 31 JULY 2026 โช๏ธ Price: ~$55 โช๏ธ Market cap: ~$12.2B (rank #10) โช๏ธ All-time high: $76.70 on 16 June 2026 โ now -28% from top โช๏ธ Week: -9% โช๏ธ Month: -19% โช๏ธ Year: +30% Read that again. HYPE made a new all-time high in June 2026, while the whole market was bleeding. ๐ฐ THE BUSINESS: โ $871M revenue in 12 months (Grayscale, 24 June 2026) โ Monthly fees running $58Mโ$80M โ 97โ99% of revenue buys back HYPE from the open market โ Buyback averaged ~$74M per month over the last year, about $900M total, ~20M HYPE repurchased โ 9.3% of GLOBAL perpetual open interest, measured against Binance and every CEX. Up from 6.9% in late May. Record high. โ 70%+ of ALL on-chain perp volume โ 30-day volume $172.6B, that is 3.3x Aster, the #2 โ HyperEVM: $1.5B TVL, 243 protocols โ ARK Invest: Hyperliquid + Pump.fun together = ~67% of ALL crypto application revenue ๐ฐ THE PIVOT NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT: RWA perps were 52% of Hyperliquid's volume in the week of 13โ19 July. Target is 75% by 2027. Stocks, commodities, indices, traded on-chain, 24/7. A community operator launched an NVDA perp that did $12M volume in 24 hours. Plus: the CFTC approved regulated crypto perpetual futures in the US in June 2026. Hyperliquid is the leading on-chain venue for exactly that. ๐ฐ NOW THE RISK: THIS IS THE PART THAT MATTERS: I will not sell you a dream. Here is the math almost nobody shows you: โ Only ~252.49M of ~952.91M tokens circulate. Market cap $14B, FDV ~$52B โ There is no VC cliff but the team allocation is ~238M tokens, vesting straight-line over 24 months from early 2026 โ That is ~9.9M HYPE entering supply EVERY MONTH through 2027 โ The buyback removes ~20M HYPE per YEAR Compare in tokens, not dollars: ~119M unlocking per year vs ~20M bought back. Unlock is roughly 6x the buyback. The buyback spends a fixed dollar amount. The unlock releases a fixed token amount. When price falls, the buyback buys more tokens but the unlock never slows down. Other Risks: โ Aster briefly took 50%+ market share in Sept 2025. The lead is defensible, not permanent. โ Revenue is 100% tied to trading volume. Bear market = less leverage = less revenue = smaller buyback. All at once. โ The March 2025 JELLY incident exposed liquidation and backstop weaknesses โ US-listed HYPE funds are in their longest stretch without inflows since launch โ Market odds of HYPE hitting $100 by December fell to 20.5%, down from 29% a week earlier ๐ฐ TRACK THESE 3 THINGS MONTHLY: 1๏ธโฃ Monthly volume โ direct proxy for buyback size 2๏ธโฃ Share vs Aster and Lighter 3๏ธโฃ RWA volume % โ is the 75% pivot real? If volume and market share fall together, the thesis is dead. Exit on the data, not the chart. Fundamental Research Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR #Hyperliquid #CryptoPatel
๐บ๐ธ Major Development For U.S. Crypto Regulation
The CLARITY Act has received official backing from major U.S. law enforcement organizations, including NOBLE and the National Fraternal Order of Police.
These groups support the bill because recent revisions ensure that authorities can still investigate crypto crimes, enforce AML rules, and seize illegal digital assets while giving legitimate crypto businesses clearer regulatory guidelines.
Why It Matters: ๐น Reduces concerns that the bill could weaken law enforcement. ๐น Adds credibility and bipartisan support to the legislation. ๐น Could improve the chances of the CLARITY Act advancing in Congress.
If passed, the CLARITY Act would be one of the most important crypto regulatory frameworks in the U.S., providing greater legal clarity for exchanges, projects, and investors while maintaining strong protections against financial crime.
Bitcoin's Short-Term Holder Realized Cap has fallen below $250B for the first time since October 2024, dropping to $249.7B. That's a decline of more than $350B from its 2025 peak above $600B.
What's interesting? Despite $BTC still trading around $64.7K, the cost basis of short-term holders has reset to levels last seen in late 2024.
This doesn't mean $350B left Bitcoin. Instead, it signals a major structural reset in recently active supply. Historically, these resets often occur before the next major phase of the market.
#PUMP Perfectly Tested Our Accumulation Zone And Reacted Exactly As Expected. Price Is Now Up 24% From Our Entry. Hope You Enjoyed This Swing Trade. ๐ค
As Long As $PUMP Holds Above The $0.0016 Support Level, The Higher Timeframe Bullish Structure Remains Valid, Keeping The 200% Upside Target In Play.